Poll: Which State’s Senate Campaign Needs More Attention?

Democratic Political Insiders say the focus should be on Michelle Nunn’s Georgia race.

National Journal
Peter Bell, Sarah Mimms and Michael Catalini
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Peter Bell Sarah Mimms and Michael Catalini
July 18, 2014, 1 a.m.

Q: Head­ing in­to the gen­er­al elec­tion, which state’s Sen­ate cam­paign should be get­ting more at­ten­tion?

DEMO­CRATS (85 VOTES)

Michelle Nunn (UPI/Pat Ben­ic)Geor­gia: 40%
Iowa: 22%
Michigan: 13%
Min­nesota: 5%
Mis­sis­sippi: 4%
Montana: 2%
South Dakota: 7%
West Vir­gin­ia: 4%
Oth­er: 3%

Geor­gia

“Have Geor­gia’s demo­graph­ics changed enough in an off-year elec­tion to provide a vic­tory for Michelle Nunn?”

“After GOP run­off, Geor­gia needs much more me­dia at­ten­tion. Could be a very dy­nam­ic race in a trans­ition­al state.”

“Des­pite the head­winds, Michelle Nunn has a real shot, and if she’s elec­ted, she will cata­pult to the head of the class. Mod­er­ate, South­ern, fe­male? She’s a win­ner.”

Iowa

“Will [Joni] Ernst pop­ular­ize [Sarah] Pal­in’s brash, ballsy style and win? Could be the be­gin­ning of a new phase of  tea-party in­flu­ence if it pro­duces a win­ning strategy.”

“If Dems lose Iowa, they could be in real trouble.”

Michigan

“This is Carl Lev­in’s seat, for cripe’s sake!”

Min­nesota

“The be­lief that [Al] Franken is sol­id is not to be be­lieved.”

Oth­er

“New Hamp­shire is very com­pet­it­ive with Scott Brown in the race. Every state is en­titled to two sen­at­ors, but can­did­ate Scott Brown thinks he is en­titled to two states.”

Q: Head­ing in­to the gen­er­al elec­tion, which state’s Sen­ate cam­paign should be get­ting more at­ten­tion?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (90 VOTES)

Geor­gia: 9%
Iowa: 33%
Michigan: 22%
Min­nesota: 10%
Mis­sis­sippi: 1%
Montana: 5%
South Dakota: 2%
West Vir­gin­ia: 3%
Oth­er: 15%

Iowa 

“[Bruce] Bra­ley is not nearly as strong as the Wash­ing­ton chat­ter­ing class would want to be true. He still is the fa­vor­ite, but he is far from def­in­ite.”

“A flip here would all but se­cure the GOP ma­jor­ity, but this [is] likely to seesaw through to Novem­ber.”

Geor­gia

“Michelle Nunn’s name and con­tacts will make this a closer race than many think.”

Michigan

“That’s the one most in play for a change in the most un­likely of places.”

“Most Demo­crats could beat [Terri Lynn] Land, but then there’s [Gary] Peters.”

Montana

“Un­der­per­form­ance by Demo­crat­ic can­did­ate makes Montana a prime GOP pickup op­por­tun­ity.”

Oth­er

“Ore­gon. The po­ten­tial to be a very ex­cit­ing race.”

“Col­or­ado. Cory [Gard­ner] is look­ing like the in­cum­bent.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

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