Hey, Barack, There’s a 77 Percent Chance You’re a Democrat

A new tool uses voter information to show whether more Democrats or Republicans have your first name.

National Journal
Add to Briefcase
Matt Vasilogambros
Feb. 27, 2014, 10:03 a.m.

There is a 53 per­cent chance I’m a Re­pub­lic­an, a 46 per­cent chance I have a gun in my home, a 50 per­cent chance I go to church weekly, and a 58 per­cent chance I have a col­lege de­gree.

Clar­ity Cam­paigns Labs, a pro­gress­ive strategy firm based in Wash­ing­ton, re­leased a new tool this week that shows stat­ist­ics as­so­ci­ated with re­gistered voters’ first names. They got the in­form­a­tion from na­tion­al voter data.

So, with my giv­en name of Mat­thew, the tool gave me those stats. For the re­cord, I’m not re­gistered to a polit­ic­al party, have no guns, some­times go to church, but do have a col­lege de­gree. It’s some­what ac­cur­ate.

How does it pan out for White House con­tenders and cur­rent oc­cu­pant? There’s a 55 per­cent chance that a Hil­lary is a Demo­crat, a 77 per­cent chance that a Barack is a Demo­crat, and, sur­pris­ingly, a 56 per­cent chance that a Mitt is a Demo­crat. A Wil­lard, Mitt Rom­ney’s ac­tu­al first name, on the oth­er hand, is 54 per­cent likely to be a Re­pub­lic­an.

Barack National Journal

For Pres­id­ent Obama, the stat­ist­ics check out: He has many guns in his house (the White House, that is), he does not at­tend church weekly, and he does have a col­lege de­gree.

And let’s look at a few names from politi­cians on the Hill.

With the name Saxby, for ex­ample, there’s a 67 per­cent chance of be­ing a Re­pub­lic­an. Fit­tingly, the only mem­ber in Con­gress with that name is Saxby Cham­b­liss, a Re­pub­lic­an sen­at­or from Geor­gia.

On the oth­er side, with the name Sher­rod, there’s an 80 per­cent chance you’re a Demo­crat. The only mem­ber with that name is Sen. Sher­rod Brown, an Ohio Demo­crat.

There are 27 mem­bers of Con­gress name John; 11 are Demo­crats and 16 are Re­pub­lic­ans. Ac­cord­ing to the stat­ist­ics, 53 per­cent of Johns are Re­pub­lic­an. In Con­gress, 59 per­cent of Johns are Re­pub­lic­ans, ex­clud­ing Sen. Johnny Isak­son, R-Ga.

And this goes for any name. For the re­cord, there are 25 re­gistered voters named Gan­dalf, 53 per­cent of whom are Demo­crats. And 66 per­cent of the 158 re­gistered voters named Apple are Demo­crats.

So, how ac­cur­ate is it for you? Try it out.


Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.