It's Way Too Early to Bet on 2016 Polls. Just Look at the Past Few Presidential Races.

At this point in the 2008 and 2004 presidential election cycles, Hillary Clinton was winning among Democratic voters.

Republican candidates Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Herman Cain at the first GOP primary debate in New Hampshire in 2011.
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