RACE FOR THE HOUSE | NC-2 | AL-2

Ryan to Hold Big-Dollar Fundraiser Next Month

The presidential primary calendar could cause problems for incumbents.

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Kimberly Railey
Jan. 11, 2016, 9:44 a.m.

House Speak­er Paul Ry­an (R) will hold a “Winter PAC Re­treat” in mid-Feb­ru­ary in Boca Raton, FL. “Ry­an is tar­get­ing K Street donors and busi­ness com­munity polit­ic­al ac­tion com­mit­tees for the event.” (Politico)

SCHEDUL­ING NOTE. The pres­id­en­tial primary cal­en­dar could help con­gres­sion­al chal­lengers pre­vail over in­cum­bent can­did­ates, par­tic­u­larly in the south­ern states that are host­ing a March 1 primary.

“The S.E.C. states,” said Re­pub­lic­an con­sult­ant James Har­ris, “will have an up­tick in their nor­mal turnout be­cause of the pres­id­en­tial primar­ies.” And can­did­ates like real es­tate mogul Don­ald Trump (R) and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) could draw anti-es­tab­lish­ment voters to the polls.

That could have a not­able ef­fect in AL-02, where Tea Party lead­er Becky Ger­rit­son (R) is chal­len­ging Rep. Martha Roby (R). Two weeks later, a sim­il­ar scen­ario could play out in NC-02, where Rep. Ren­ee Ellmers (R) is try­ing to fend off a primary chal­lenge from Chath­am County GOP Chair Jim Duncan (R). (Roll Call)

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