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Poll: Will Obamacare's Rollout Hurt Senate Democrats in 2014? Poll: Will Obamacare's Rollout Hurt Senate Democrats in 2014?

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Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Will Obamacare's Rollout Hurt Senate Democrats in 2014?

What are the chances that the problematic rollout of Obamacare will adversely affect Senate Democrats in 2014?


Very likely: 19%
Somewhat likely: 44%
Somewhat unlikely: 31%
Very unlikely: 6%


Very likely

"Endangered Dems are gone; competitive Dems are in trouble."

"Right now, it's feeling like we're in the wayback machine and 2010 is looking us square in the face."


Somewhat likely

"Obama needs two fixes immediately: the website and authorizing people to keep their existing health insurance. Besides, soon we will be talking about the GOP threatening to send the country into default, again."

"Democrats will either lose some seats over this or the seats that they hold will be opposing Obamacare."

"If the ship gets righted by summer, Dems will be OK; otherwise, a big problem."


"A month ago, everyone thought the shutdown had killed the Republicans' chance to take back the Senate. Today, Obamacare has flipped the math."

Somewhat unlikely

"The elections are still a year away, and during the middle of October, everyone had the Democrats retaining the Senate and possibly winning the House."

"The hit will be in the House rather than the Senate."

"If it works, life goes on. If it doesn't work, pass the defib paddles."

"It will only happen if Dems knuckle under. Thirty-two million Americans still need health care."

Very unlikely

"It's like having cable installed. When you can watch the Big 10 Network, you quickly forget about the problems with installation."


What are the chances that the problematic rollout of Obamacare will adversely affect Senate Democrats in 2014?


Very likely: 66%
Somewhat likely: 29%
Somewhat unlikely: 3%
Very unlikely: 2%

Very likely

"Obamacare will be an anvil tied to Senate Democrats running in 2014."

"Overnight, Jeanne Shaheen has gone from being one of its biggest backers to one of its biggest critics. Whiplash, anyone?"

"The cure for red-state Democrats from this law has yet to be found."

"Unless there is a national security challenge to eclipse it, Obamacare is the defining issue of 2014."

"Republicans will be on Senate Dems like Miley Cyrus on a foam finger, come election season."

"Hope Republicans have enough candidates to go around."

"This is an enormous opportunity for us; now, we just can't blow it (see O'Donnell, C., and Angle, S.)."

"Democratic senators made their metaphorical hospital beds; voters will see that their careers lie in them."

Somewhat likely

"Would you want to defend Obamacare in a red state right now?"

"Will help create opportunities for GOP, but they'll be largely wasted unless top-drawer candidates are recruited."

"The failed website screams out for smaller government, and Obama's brand has taken a beating."

"But they still get to run against Republicans, the lucky dogs."

"They will try to bob and weave, but too many have been too supportive to escape responsibility."

Very unlikely

"Never doubt the Republicans' ability to change the subject to their detriment."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article appears in the November 23, 2013 edition of National Journal Magazine as Political Insiders Poll.

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