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Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Will Congress Reach an Agreement in Time to Avert Another Shutdown?

Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?


Yes: 73%
No: 27%



"It will always come down to the last day or moment, but there will certainly be more GOP discipline this time."

"There is no incentive for Republicans to force another shutdown as they get closer to an actual election."


"Because [Mitch] McConnell said so."

"For Republicans' sake, they better hope so. Otherwise, House will be under Democratic control in January 2015."

"Lesson learned?"

"Elections are around the corner, and the shutdown doesn't serve any incumbent party."


"Despite Ted Cruz and the tea-party zealots pushing for another shutdown, I think cooler heads will prevail this time."

"Most likely they will kick the can down the road again."

"Democrats may say GOP lost shutdown, but no one really won."

"Default is where the rubber meets the road."

"If not, Republican House members are truly masochistic."

"I have to believe the Republicans aren't that wacko!"

"McConnell keeps saying no more shutdowns, but [John] Boehner is the one that matters."


"There's as much chance of reaching a budget agreement by Jan. 15 as there is for the New York Giants to win the Super Bowl a month later."

"The speaker of the House is a hostage of the tea party. There is no leader to stop it from happening again."

"The Ted Cruz crowd thinks they won a moral victory. Why not attempt a twofer?"

"Give them another week, just for sport."

"You're kidding, right? Have they reached an agreement on anything the past four years?"


Do you think Democrats and Republicans will reach an agreement in time to avert another government shutdown on Jan. 15?


Yes: 81%
No: 19%


"We can't be that stupid twice in such a short time, I hope."

"If they let self-indulgent egoists like Cruz do this to them again, our party may need a lobotomy."

"No wisdom gained from the second (third? fourth?) kick of a mule."

"Small ball at best."

"I can't imagine Republicans will want to relive this."

"There is no stomach among the GOP to put their collective heads in a wood chipper."


"The recent disaster has emboldened the Republican leadership to push back firmly against Ted Cruz and the tea party."

"Count on President Obama to be AWOL again, but the adults in the room on Capitol Hill will get to a deal."

"Boehner and McConnell now have enough reasons to stare down the kamikaze caucus."

"The toll on Republicans was too great to allow a repeat—and the holdouts will be pummeled, threatened, and ostracized as never before."

"After the last government shutdown put Santa's elves way behind schedule, Santa is demanding a deal before he delivers any gifts to members of Congress or the president. As the largest importer of coal in the world, Santa expects this to be done before Christmas."


"Not a chance. By January every grandstander will be ready for more."

"Debt-ceiling death matches are (or should be) off the table. Shutdowns, not necessarily."

"The GOP has few cards to play. Focus must be on winning in '14."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud. 

This article appears in the October 26, 2013 edition of National Journal Magazine as Political Insiders Poll.

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