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Poll: If Reid Doesn't Return as Head of Senate Democrats, Who Will Replace Him? Poll: If Reid Doesn't Return as Head of Senate Democrats, Who Will Rep...

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Poll: If Reid Doesn't Return as Head of Senate Democrats, Who Will Replace Him?

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Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.(Photo by Mark Wilson/Getty Images)

If Reid does not return as leader, who is most likely to succeed him in the caucus?

DEMOCRATS (86 VOTES)

Dick Durbin: 21%
Chuck Schumer: 53%
Patty Murray: 22%
Debbie Stabenow: 4%

 

Dick Durbin

"He is good on camera, breaks through partisan politics, and is smart as hell."

"Durbin should have the inside track, but I would not underestimate Schumer."

 

"Dick Durbin is articulate and an excellent communicator. But it could be Patty Murray."

Chuck Schumer

" 'Most likely' is Schumer. 'Ought to' is Durbin, but a change is better than more of the same."

"He's the best legislator since LBJ, who also was known to be a bit blustery and to get up in other people's business."

 

"Durbin has ceded the field to Schumer."

"He's our best five-tool player. Money, message, politics, policy, loyalty; and he helped elect more than half the caucus."

"Chuck has been working toward this for several years. Patty would be interesting."

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"I don't think it is much of a race."

"Lots of senators owe him."

"Senate Democrats would be looking for a fighter, not a manager."

Patty Murray

"She can bring new energy to the battle and can bridge the battle lines between Durbin and Schumer."

"A woman would be good. And we need the Shoe man to keep up the fundraising."

"She has the right balance of policy and politics. Can she muster the votes?"

 

If Reid does not return as leader, who is most likely to succeed him in the caucus?

REPUBLICANS (93 VOTES)

Dick Durbin: 17%
Chuck Schumer: 71%
Patty Murray: 12%
Debbie Stabenow: 0%

Dick Durbin

"Schumer is capable, but Durbin is first in line."

"He still carries a big stick, but it is more concealed."

"Lord, just reading this list of 'alternatives' is enough to keep you up at night."

Chuck Schumer

"He is their best deal-maker."

"Schumer is transactional, like Ted Kennedy was."

"He's the one with the best microphone shtick. They'll need that."

"He raises money, excites the base, and cuts deals. The fact he is an egomaniac is not sufficient for him not to win."

"Conservative Republicans cannot tell Murray, Durbin, and Schumer apart, so as Hillary Clinton says: 'What difference does it really make?' "

"A classic Beltway cutthroat."

"He has been sharpening his knives for a long time, and the Democrat Party will need a really mean and nasty knife-thrower."

"Schumer is a machine. He'll lock it down if Reid doesn't return."

"Who's gonna tell him no?"

Patty Murray

"Less abrasive than Durbin and Schumer, more seasoned than Stabenow."

"You don't dump Reid for Reid-Lite."

"The Senate Democratic women will stage a coup and put Murray in charge."

. . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article appears in the May 10, 2014 edition of National Journal Magazine as Political Insiders Poll.

Don't Miss Today's Top Stories

Chock full of usable information on today's issues."

Michael, Executive Director

Concise coverage of everything I wish I had hours to read about."

Chuck, Graduate Student

The day's action in one quick read."

Stacy, Director of Communications

Great way to keep up with Washington"

Ray, Professor of Economics

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