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Poll: Can the State of the Union Boost Congressional Democrats? Poll: Can the State of the Union Boost Congressional Democrats? Poll: Can the State of the Union Boost Congressional Democrats? Poll: Can the State of th...

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Magazine / Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Can the State of the Union Boost Congressional Democrats?

January 23, 2014

On balance, will President Obama's State of the Union and 2014 agenda boost congressional Democrats?


Help: 45%
Hurt: 5%
Have no effect: 50%



"He can lay out the case for immigration reform and for minimum wage and other ways to battle income inequality. Likely won't pass Congress, but he can set up a clear contrast with the Republicans."

"Rally the base, define a positive agenda, and wait for someone to yell 'liar!' "

"Obama's State of the Union is yet another opportunity to look forward rather than being defensive."


"He will go left because that is what he believes, and he has proven he doesn't care about congressional Democrats. In fact, he seems to loathe congressional Democrats."

"Off-year elections tend to hurt the party in leadership. Only hope is the Senate."

No effect

"State of the What?"

"If past practice is any guide, it will be a good speech, but little follow-up."

"The politics are all local on this one. He's increasingly irrelevant and, absent some foreign-affairs success, will remain so."

"It's every candidate for themselves in the Democratic Party at this point."

"No one pays attention."

"The Hill Democrats are firmly settled into a 'go it alone' strategy. Sometimes by design and usually by necessity."

"Unless he can change the subject from Obamacare, it is irrelevant."


On balance, will President Obama's State of the Union and 2014 agenda boost congressional Democrats?


Help: 5%
Hurt: 20%
Have no effect: 75%


"He's going to try very hard to drive out the Left and demonize the GOP. That's all he's got, and it seemed to help him in 2012."

"But only because no one likes Congress, and this map is impossible for House D's to win. So it can't possibly get worse."


"Hi, folks, remember me? I'm the guy who screwed up your health care, invaded your privacy, and ruined our image abroad. Pardon me while I interrupt your prime-time viewing with this infomercial that convinces you to abandon my party in November."

"If Democrats want to run on income inequality, they'll have to explain what they plan to do. Americans have never trusted redistribution schemes."

No effect

"Absent a crazy surge in the economy, opinions about Obama are pretty baked, and a speech won't change them."

"The president has lost his ability to persuade."

"Obama is now a weakened lame duck."

"No matter how hard he tries, he will not be able to escape the disaster that is Obamacare."


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article appears in the January 25, 2014 edition of National Journal Magazine as Political Insiders Poll.

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