Poll: Will McConnell Return as Minority Leader if the GOP Doesn’t Win the Senate?

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WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 21: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) looks on during a news conference on Capitol Hill, November 21, 2013 in Washington, DC. The Senate voted 52-48 to invoke the so-called 'nuclear option', voting to change Senate rules on the controversial filibuster for most presidential nominations with a simple majority vote. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
National Journal
Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
May 15, 2014, 5:01 p.m.

If Mitch Mc­Con­nell wins reelec­tion but Re­pub­lic­ans fail to win the Sen­ate, will he be back as minor­ity lead­er?

Demo­crats (86 Votes)

Yes: 61%
No: 39%

Yes

“He had to fight off a tea-party op­pon­ent — don’t think they can blame him for TCOT [Top Con­ser­vat­ives on Twit­ter] nut­ti­ness.”

“Mean as a rattlesnake and smart as a fox — he sur­vives.”

“He re­flects a ma­jor­ity of the GOP caucus in the Sen­ate — barely.”

“Mc­Con­nell is their DNA blue­print.”

“Like Re­id in the ma­jor­ity, his caucus ap­pre­ci­ates his craft­i­ness, dog­ged­ness, and abil­ity to ab­sorb bul­lets on their be­half.”

“He’s the per­fect minor­ity lead­er: sneaky, snarky, and shame­less.”

No

“GOP will have blown good op­por­tun­it­ies to take over in 2008, 2010, and 2012. Three strikes and Mitch is out.”

“It is time for a change — on both sides.”

“If Ken­tucky voters don’t ditch Mitch, the Sen­ate GOP will, if it is still in the minor­ity. If the GOP fails to win the Sen­ate this year, it nev­er will.”

“You gotta ro­tate the crops.”

“Some­body’s got to take the fall.”

If Mitch Mc­Con­nell wins reelec­tion but Re­pub­lic­ans fail to win the Sen­ate, will he be back as minor­ity lead­er?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (88 VOTES)

Yes: 85%
No: 15%

Yes

“Yes, he’s more savvy than any­one else in the Sen­ate GOP.”

“No ques­tion!”

“Any­one with enough cha­risma or cap­it­al to chal­lenge Mc­Con­nell is run­ning for pres­id­ent.”

“He is rock sol­id as lead­er. Cruz et al are the prob­lem.”

“Un­til you kill the king, he’s still the king.”

“He won’t be chal­lenged by any es­tab­lish­ment types, and the tea party doesn’t be­gin to have the votes.”

“Mc­Con­nell’s col­leagues trust his judg­ment above all else — and the fact that he’s not in­ter­ested in be­ing pres­id­ent.”

“Mc­Con­nell him­self failed to win seats over two cycles as NR­SC chair, yet be­came lead­er any­way. He’s dodged this bul­let be­fore.”

“He will be able to cel­eb­rate both his new title and his new term.”

“As long as there’s a net gain in seats.”

“The caucus is com­fort­able with him, even if the gen­er­al elect­or­ate is not.”

“He shouldn’t be, but no one will have the guts to take him on.”

“He said he’d crush the tea party, and he is do­ing that. That should take care of it.”

No

“Like the Caps fired [coach Adam] Oates and [gen­er­al man­ager George] McPhee, the Sen­ate Re­pub­lic­ans will fire Mc­Con­nell — time for a gen­er­a­tion­al change.”

“It’s like hockey. Make it to the play­offs five times and fail to win the Cup, the coach gets fired. Same should ap­ply here.”

… … . .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

If Mitch McConnell wins reelection but Republicans fail to win the Senate, will he be back as minority leader?

Demo­crats (86 Votes)

Yes: 61%
No: 39%

Yes

“He had to fight off a tea-party op­pon­ent — don’t think they can blame him for TCOT [Top Con­ser­vat­ives on Twit­ter] nut­ti­ness.”

“Mean as a rattlesnake and smart as a fox — he sur­vives.”

“He re­flects a ma­jor­ity of the GOP caucus in the Sen­ate — barely.”

“Mc­Con­nell is their DNA blue­print.”

“Like Re­id in the ma­jor­ity, his caucus ap­pre­ci­ates his craft­i­ness, dog­ged­ness, and abil­ity to ab­sorb bul­lets on their be­half.”

“He’s the per­fect minor­ity lead­er: sneaky, snarky, and shame­less.”

No

“GOP will have blown good op­por­tun­it­ies to take over in 2008, 2010, and 2012. Three strikes and Mitch is out.”

“It is time for a change — on both sides.”

“If Ken­tucky voters don’t ditch Mitch, the Sen­ate GOP will, if it is still in the minor­ity. If the GOP fails to win the Sen­ate this year, it nev­er will.”

“You gotta ro­tate the crops.”

“Some­body’s got to take the fall.”

If Mitch McConnell wins reelection but Republicans fail to win the Senate, will he be back as minority leader?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (88 VOTES)

Yes: 85%
No: 15%

Yes

“Yes, he’s more savvy than any­one else in the Sen­ate GOP.”

“No ques­tion!”

“Any­one with enough cha­risma or cap­it­al to chal­lenge Mc­Con­nell is run­ning for pres­id­ent.”

“He is rock sol­id as lead­er. Cruz et al are the prob­lem.”

“Un­til you kill the king, he’s still the king.”

“He won’t be chal­lenged by any es­tab­lish­ment types, and the tea party doesn’t be­gin to have the votes.”

“Mc­Con­nell’s col­leagues trust his judg­ment above all else — and the fact that he’s not in­ter­ested in be­ing pres­id­ent.”

“Mc­Con­nell him­self failed to win seats over two cycles as NR­SC chair, yet be­came lead­er any­way. He’s dodged this bul­let be­fore.”

“He will be able to cel­eb­rate both his new title and his new term.”

“As long as there’s a net gain in seats.”

“The caucus is com­fort­able with him, even if the gen­er­al elect­or­ate is not.”

“He shouldn’t be, but no one will have the guts to take him on.”

“He said he’d crush the tea party, and he is do­ing that. That should take care of it.”

No

“Like the Caps fired [coach Adam] Oates and [gen­er­al man­ager George] McPhee, the Sen­ate Re­pub­lic­ans will fire Mc­Con­nell — time for a gen­er­a­tion­al change.”

“It’s like hockey. Make it to the play­offs five times and fail to win the Cup, the coach gets fired. Same should ap­ply here.”

… … . .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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