Recent stories by Charlie Cook
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You can’t repeat the elections past
So we beat on, electoral boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.
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The purple-state problem
Swing states might be in the ideological center, but data shows they may be closer to one end than the other.
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The remaining primary risks for Democrats
Upcoming nominating contests could put must-win seats in play for Republicans if progressives prevail.
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Democrats saw Graham Platner as the key. The data said otherwise.
The now-defunct Senate candidacy had big assets and bigger liabilities.
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A generic Democrat is no guarantee in Maine
Sen. Susan Collins has a solid track record with political independents.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Pine Tree State Puzzle
National Journal's Jeff Dufour and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook unpack the evolving situation in Maine's Senate race.
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Maine, Michigan scramble the Senate picture
Facts on the ground are changing rapidly in two must-win states for Democrats.
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Remembering Alan Greenspan and Glen Bolger
Plus: New Senate polling in critical Ohio, Maine.
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Democrats still need the majority of toss-ups to go their way
The party currently has 205 solid, likely, and lean seats in its column. The GOP has 212—closer to the magic number of 218.
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For Republicans, is it about the environment or the exposure?
There aren't many low-lying political areas left that can get swallowed up in a political storm.
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Ohio poll could portend trouble for Republicans
Head-to-head matchups and favorability ratings are all trending in the wrong direction for the GOP.
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The Paxton-Platner connection
Did their respective parties nominate the wrong guys?
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Where are the Republicans who might vote for a Democrat?
A big win for Democrats will require GOP defections. And those are likely to be in short supply.
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Underneath the weirdness, this midterm is playing to type
Don't fall for talk of vibes and waves.
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National Journal Radio Bonus Episode: The Redistricting Rumble
Hotline Editor Kirk A. Bado and Cook Political Report with Amy Walter founder Charlie Cook discuss the recent rulings on redistricting.
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Have Republicans already bottomed out?
Given how many voters are locked into partisan lanes, there may not be that many more votes for the GOP to lose.
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Why American politics could benefit from a landslide
Because the parties are so fully sorted and evenly divided, voters rarely give them an unambiguous message about what they want. So they get gridlock instead.
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Party defections are mostly a thing of the past
Federal candidates can typically rely on 90+ percent support from their party's base.
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For all their troubles, Republicans won't suffer from exposure
Democrats already have a sizable share of the House; there are only so many vulnerable Republican seats for them to pick off.
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Why you shouldn't overread the drop in Trump's approvals
He's lost about all the support he can lose without shedding his core Republican supporters—and that's unlikely.