House Republicans are expected to vote Thursday on a bill to prevent President Obama from stopping more undocumented immigrant deportations by executive order, as he’s expected to do soon. It may not end up being a big deal in the 2014 elections. But one state illuminates a looming future issue for the GOP.
— As the GOP bashes Obama’s immigration policies and several red-state Democratic senators ask him to be cautious about further action, one battleground Democrat has gone the other way. Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) announced on a Latino Denver radio station in June that he wanted Obama to push forward with executive immigration action if the House wouldn’t act on immigration reform.
— In the spring of 2013, days after Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO) initially decided not to run for Senate, Gardner joined most of his party in supporting an amendment to undo Obama’s 2012 “deferred action” DREAM Act-like order. Between then and now, though, Gardner made a move from a safely Republican district to a purple state-wide run, and Udall, Democrats, and immigration activists have been fiercely critical of him on immigration, often citing that old vote.
— By running for the Senate instead of the House, Gardner’s environment has changed in the same way that the country’s will from 2014 to 2016. This election is focused in areas of the country that are far less diverse than average and that Mitt Romney won in 2012, from the Senate battleground to a majority of the House of Representatives. That doesn’t minimize Democrats’ liabilities this year. But it does raise the question, again, of how Republican strategies in the demographically shielded environs of 2014 will affect the party’s presidential prospects in 2014. The House vote on preventing further immigration action by Obama won’t prevent him from taking action, thanks to Senate Democrats (just like the 2013 amendment), but it will increase pressure on 2016 Republicans to join in after Obama does make his move on immigration — before a presidential election when Republicans have acknowledged their need to increase the party’s share of Latino votes.
The House immigration vote Thursday may only affect a few races in 2014. But it’s easy to see how it could give Republicans trouble on a different playing field in 2016.
— Scott Bland
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Foreign Policy takes a look at the future of mining the estimated "100,000 near-Earth objects—including asteroids and comets—in the neighborhood of our planet. Some of these NEOs, as they’re called, are small. Others are substantial and potentially packed full of water and various important minerals, such as nickel, cobalt, and iron. One day, advocates believe, those objects will be tapped by variations on the equipment used in the coal mines of Kentucky or in the diamond mines of Africa. And for immense gain: According to industry experts, the contents of a single asteroid could be worth trillions of dollars." But the technology to get us there is only the first step. Experts say "a multinational body might emerge" to manage rights to NEOs, as well as a body of law, including an international court.
Not to be outdone by Jeffrey Goldberg's recent piece in The Atlantic about President Obama's foreign policy, the New York Times Magazine checks in with a longread on the president's economic legacy. In it, Obama is cognizant that the economic reality--73 straight months of growth--isn't matched by public perceptions. Some of that, he says, is due to a constant drumbeat from the right that "that denies any progress." But he also accepts some blame himself. “I mean, the truth of the matter is that if we had been able to more effectively communicate all the steps we had taken to the swing voter,” he said, “then we might have maintained a majority in the House or the Senate.”
Ronald Reagan's children and political allies took to the media and Twitter this week to chide funnyman Will Ferrell for his plans to play a dementia-addled Reagan in his second term in a new comedy entitled Reagan. In an open letter, Reagan's daughter Patti Davis tells Ferrell, who's also a producer on the movie, “Perhaps for your comedy you would like to visit some dementia facilities. I have—I didn’t find anything comedic there, and my hope would be that if you’re a decent human being, you wouldn’t either.” Michael Reagan, the president's son, tweeted, "What an Outrag....Alzheimers is not joke...It kills..You should be ashamed all of you." And former Rep. Joe Walsh called it an example of "Hollywood taking a shot at conservatives again."
In a sign that she’s ready to put a longer-than-expected primary battle behind her, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) is no longer going on the air in upcoming primary states. “Team Clinton hasn’t spent a single cent in … California, Indiana, Kentucky, Oregon and West Virginia, while” Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-VT) “campaign has spent a little more than $1 million in those same states.” Meanwhile, Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Sanders’ "lone backer in the Senate, said the candidate should end his presidential campaign if he’s losing to Hillary Clinton after the primary season concludes in June, breaking sharply with the candidate who is vowing to take his insurgent bid to the party convention in Philadelphia.”