SPOTLIGHT

The House Immigration Vote and 2016

Mark Udall during a Q&A session on April 20, 2010.
National Journal
Scott Bland
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
Scott Bland
July 31, 2014, 7:45 a.m.

House Re­pub­lic­ans are ex­pec­ted to vote Thursday on a bill to pre­vent Pres­id­ent Obama from stop­ping more un­doc­u­mented im­mig­rant de­port­a­tions by ex­ec­ut­ive or­der, as he’s ex­pec­ted to do soon. It may not end up be­ing a big deal in the 2014 elec­tions. But one state il­lu­min­ates a loom­ing fu­ture is­sue for the GOP.

— As the GOP bashes Obama’s im­mig­ra­tion policies and sev­er­al red-state Demo­crat­ic sen­at­ors ask him to be cau­tious about fur­ther ac­tion, one battle­ground Demo­crat has gone the oth­er way. Sen. Mark Ud­all (D-CO) an­nounced on a Latino Den­ver ra­dio sta­tion in June that he wanted Obama to push for­ward with ex­ec­ut­ive im­mig­ra­tion ac­tion if the House wouldn’t act on im­mig­ra­tion re­form.

— In the spring of 2013, days after Rep. Cory Gard­ner (R-CO) ini­tially de­cided not to run for Sen­ate, Gard­ner joined most of his party in sup­port­ing an amend­ment to undo Obama’s 2012 “de­ferred ac­tion” DREAM Act-like or­der. Between then and now, though, Gard­ner made a move from a safely Re­pub­lic­an dis­trict to a purple state-wide run, and Ud­all, Demo­crats, and im­mig­ra­tion act­iv­ists have been fiercely crit­ic­al of him on im­mig­ra­tion, of­ten cit­ing that old vote.

— By run­ning for the Sen­ate in­stead of the House, Gard­ner’s en­vir­on­ment has changed in the same way that the coun­try’s will from 2014 to 2016. This elec­tion is fo­cused in areas of the coun­try that are far less di­verse than av­er­age and that Mitt Rom­ney won in 2012, from the Sen­ate battle­ground to a ma­jor­ity of the House of Rep­res­ent­at­ives. That doesn’t min­im­ize Demo­crats’ li­ab­il­it­ies this year. But it does raise the ques­tion, again, of how Re­pub­lic­an strategies in the demo­graph­ic­ally shiel­ded en­virons of 2014 will af­fect the party’s pres­id­en­tial pro­spects in 2014. The House vote on pre­vent­ing fur­ther im­mig­ra­tion ac­tion by Obama won’t pre­vent him from tak­ing ac­tion, thanks to Sen­ate Demo­crats (just like the 2013 amend­ment), but it will in­crease pres­sure on 2016 Re­pub­lic­ans to join in after Obama does make his move on im­mig­ra­tion — be­fore a pres­id­en­tial elec­tion when Re­pub­lic­ans have ac­know­ledged their need to in­crease the party’s share of Latino votes.

The House im­mig­ra­tion vote Thursday may only af­fect a few races in 2014. But it’s easy to see how it could give Re­pub­lic­ans trouble on a dif­fer­ent play­ing field in 2016.
— Scott Bland

What We're Following See More »
THE PRESIDENT’S POCKET
16th Charity Cancels Function at Mar-a-Lago
13 hours ago
THE LATEST
OVER N. KOREA NUCLEAR PROGRAMS
U.S. Imposes Sanctions on 16 Companies
15 hours ago
THE LATEST
U.N. REPORT REVEALS DETAILS
North Korean Chemical Weapons Shipments to Syria Intercepted
1 days ago
THE LATEST

"Two North Korean shipments to a Syrian government agency responsible for the country's chemical weapons program were intercepted in the past six months, according to a confidential United Nations report on North Korea sanctions violations."

Source:
PARTICIPATES IN TOWN HALL TONIGHT
Ryan: “There Are No Sides” on Charlottesville
1 days ago
THE LATEST

After taking fire for not forcefully condemning President Trump's statements on Charlottesville, Speaker Paul Ryan today issued a statement that takes issue with any "moral relativism" when it comes to Neo-Nazis. "There are no sides," he wrote. "There is no other argument. We will not tolerate this hateful ideology in our society." Ryan participates in a CNN town hall tonight from Racine, Wis.

Source:
TRUST FOR NATIONAL MALL SET TO REFURBISH SITE
New Jefferson Memorial Exhibit Will Acknowledge His Owning of Slaves
1 days ago
WHY WE CARE

"An exhibit alongside the nation's chief memorial to Thomas Jefferson will receive an update that reflects 'the complexity' of his status as a founder of the United States and a slaveholder, according to stewards of the National Mall." The Trust for the National Mall, which works with the National Park Service to maintain the Mall, "has been planning to raise money to refurbish the National Park Service exhibit accompanying the memorial, which has deteriorated since its installment about 20 years ago." An official with the Trust told the Washington Examiner: "We can reflect the momentous contributions of someone like Thomas Jefferson, but also consider carefully the complexity of who he was. And that's not reflected right now in the exhibits."

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login