POLITICAL INSIDERS POLL

Poll: What Kind of Risk Does a “Yes” Vote on Syria Pose for the Parties?

Michael Catalini Tim Alberta Peter Bell
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Michael Catalini Tim Alberta Peter Bell
Sept. 5, 2013, 4:05 p.m.

On bal­ance, does a “yes” vote on Pres­id­ent Obama’s Syr­ia res­ol­u­tion help or hurt your party?

DEMO­CRATS (99 VOTES)

Help: 62%
Hurt: 17%
No im­pact: 21%

Help

“Obama’s pres­id­ency would be hurt with a ‘no’ vote, no mat­ter which party is most re­spons­ible for that.”

“It will provide the pres­id­ent with the broad mantle of lead­er­ship to do what he wants — at­tack Syr­ia — al­low­ing Demo­crats to be both states­men and tough on dic­tat­ors. The GOP is left at best as the ‘me too’ crowd.”

“Re­gard­less of the is­sue, if the pres­id­ent’s agenda is at stake, Demo­crats have to win. When U.S. prestige is on the line, we have to win.”

“Help­ing re­store Obama’s cred­ib­il­ity will mod­estly help the Demo­crat­ic Party, but what a mis­played hand this has been since Day One. Em­bar­rass­ing lack of lead­er­ship.”

“If Obama loses this, his pres­id­ency is in danger. This is huge.”

“It will strengthen Demo­crats on na­tion­al se­cur­ity, a con­sist­ent weak spot.”

“It helps, as­sum­ing a strike is suc­cess­ful and does not es­cal­ate U.S. in­volve­ment bey­ond that. Those are pretty big as­sump­tions, however.”

Hurt

“Go­ing to war with Syr­ia — and that is how voters will per­ceive it — is not good for Demo­crats.”

“The law of un­in­ten­ded of con­sequences will kick in. An es­cal­a­tion of our in­volve­ment in Syr­ia will hurt Demo­crats in ‘14 and ‘16.”

“Really? An­oth­er war? I don’t think these are the kind of jobs the Amer­ic­an people are look­ing for.”

No im­pact

“It amazes me how the Re­pub­lic­ans have gone from a party of ‘either you are with Amer­ica or against Amer­ica’ to the party of Chick­en Little in less than 10 years.”

“The ques­tion is wheth­er it hurts or helps the pres­id­ent, and that is to be de­term­ined!”

 

On bal­ance, does a “yes” vote on Pres­id­ent Obama’s Syr­ia res­ol­u­tion help or hurt your party?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (102 VOTES)

Help: 16%
Hurt: 31%
No im­pact: 53%

Help

“So the pres­id­ent had the au­thor­ity to go to war alone and now he needs Con­gress? He looks in­de­cis­ive and weak­er than ever on for­eign policy.”

“Any­one who votes ‘no,’ re­gard­less of party, will be culp­able in the ter­rible dam­age to U.S. glob­al prestige that would surely fol­low if Con­gress fails to pass this res­ol­u­tion.”

Hurt

“The pres­id­ent walked the coun­try’s cred­ib­il­ity out on a limb on a policy the people do not sup­port, and now dares Con­gress to cut off the limb be­hind him. Great job of lead­er­ship, Mr. Pres­id­ent.”

“Amer­ic­ans don’t un­der­stand why we should en­gage in a civil war. To vote ‘yes’ is to ‘trust the pres­id­ent’ that he knows best.”

“The Syr­ia res­ol­u­tion will be one more fault line of di­vi­sion in the Re­pub­lic­an ranks, and for no good reas­on.”

“En­dors­ing an ef­fort that was flawed from the start, flawed now, and shows no signs of get­ting any bet­ter would be a mis­take.”

No im­pact

“Most voters simply don’t care and don’t want to care.”

“Both parties will be split on this vote. Sup­port­ers will gain if the res­ults of the strikes are suc­cess­ful and As­sad goes down.”

“The pub­lic un­der­stands there are no truly good op­tions. Sup­port­ing the pres­id­ent will not cost us.”

“If any­thing goes south, the blame will fall on Obama for his zig­zag on mil­it­ary re­sponse.”

“If Con­gress thinks the Con­sti­tu­tion is wrong about war powers, then it should pro­pose an amend­ment ced­ing power to the ex­ec­ut­ive. Oth­er­wise, it should ac­cept that the job means tak­ing tough votes some­times.”

“The pres­id­ent has done a hor­rible job of mak­ing his case, but most Re­pub­lic­ans don’t want to com­pletely des­troy our in­ter­na­tion­al repu­ta­tion, so it’s a wash.”

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

On balance, does a "yes" vote on President Obama's Syria resolution help or hurt your party?

DEMO­CRATS (99 VOTES)

Help: 62%
Hurt: 17%
No im­pact: 21%

Help

“Obama’s pres­id­ency would be hurt with a ‘no’ vote, no mat­ter which party is most re­spons­ible for that.”

“It will provide the pres­id­ent with the broad mantle of lead­er­ship to do what he wants — at­tack Syr­ia — al­low­ing Demo­crats to be both states­men and tough on dic­tat­ors. The GOP is left at best as the ‘me too’ crowd.”

“Re­gard­less of the is­sue, if the pres­id­ent’s agenda is at stake, Demo­crats have to win. When U.S. prestige is on the line, we have to win.”

“Help­ing re­store Obama’s cred­ib­il­ity will mod­estly help the Demo­crat­ic Party, but what a mis­played hand this has been since Day One. Em­bar­rass­ing lack of lead­er­ship.”

“If Obama loses this, his pres­id­ency is in danger. This is huge.”

“It will strengthen Demo­crats on na­tion­al se­cur­ity, a con­sist­ent weak spot.”

“It helps, as­sum­ing a strike is suc­cess­ful and does not es­cal­ate U.S. in­volve­ment bey­ond that. Those are pretty big as­sump­tions, however.”

Hurt

“Go­ing to war with Syr­ia — and that is how voters will per­ceive it — is not good for Demo­crats.”

“The law of un­in­ten­ded of con­sequences will kick in. An es­cal­a­tion of our in­volve­ment in Syr­ia will hurt Demo­crats in ‘14 and ‘16.”

“Really? An­oth­er war? I don’t think these are the kind of jobs the Amer­ic­an people are look­ing for.”

No im­pact

“It amazes me how the Re­pub­lic­ans have gone from a party of ‘either you are with Amer­ica or against Amer­ica’ to the party of Chick­en Little in less than 10 years.”

“The ques­tion is wheth­er it hurts or helps the pres­id­ent, and that is to be de­term­ined!”

 

On balance, does a "yes" vote on President Obama's Syria resolution help or hurt your party?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (102 VOTES)

Help: 16%
Hurt: 31%
No im­pact: 53%

Help

“So the pres­id­ent had the au­thor­ity to go to war alone and now he needs Con­gress? He looks in­de­cis­ive and weak­er than ever on for­eign policy.”

“Any­one who votes ‘no,’ re­gard­less of party, will be culp­able in the ter­rible dam­age to U.S. glob­al prestige that would surely fol­low if Con­gress fails to pass this res­ol­u­tion.”

Hurt

“The pres­id­ent walked the coun­try’s cred­ib­il­ity out on a limb on a policy the people do not sup­port, and now dares Con­gress to cut off the limb be­hind him. Great job of lead­er­ship, Mr. Pres­id­ent.”

“Amer­ic­ans don’t un­der­stand why we should en­gage in a civil war. To vote ‘yes’ is to ‘trust the pres­id­ent’ that he knows best.”

“The Syr­ia res­ol­u­tion will be one more fault line of di­vi­sion in the Re­pub­lic­an ranks, and for no good reas­on.”

“En­dors­ing an ef­fort that was flawed from the start, flawed now, and shows no signs of get­ting any bet­ter would be a mis­take.”

No im­pact

“Most voters simply don’t care and don’t want to care.”

“Both parties will be split on this vote. Sup­port­ers will gain if the res­ults of the strikes are suc­cess­ful and As­sad goes down.”

“The pub­lic un­der­stands there are no truly good op­tions. Sup­port­ing the pres­id­ent will not cost us.”

“If any­thing goes south, the blame will fall on Obama for his zig­zag on mil­it­ary re­sponse.”

“If Con­gress thinks the Con­sti­tu­tion is wrong about war powers, then it should pro­pose an amend­ment ced­ing power to the ex­ec­ut­ive. Oth­er­wise, it should ac­cept that the job means tak­ing tough votes some­times.”

“The pres­id­ent has done a hor­rible job of mak­ing his case, but most Re­pub­lic­ans don’t want to com­pletely des­troy our in­ter­na­tion­al repu­ta­tion, so it’s a wash.”

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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