POLITICAL INSIDERS POLL

Poll: Which Party Has the Most at Risk in the Upcoming Talks on the Debt Ceiling?

Michael Catalini, Tim Alberta and Peter Bell
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Michael Catalini Tim Alberta Peter Bell
Sept. 5, 2013, 4:05 p.m.

Which party has the most at risk in the up­com­ing ne­go­ti­ations over the debt ceil­ing?

DEMO­CRATS (101 votes)

Demo­crats: 7%
Re­pub­lic­ans: 79%
Both equally: 14%

Re­pub­lic­ans

“Re­pub­lic­ans al­ways over­play their hand on fisc­al is­sues, and it al­ways comes back to bite them.”

“The GOP is play­ing with fire by threat­en­ing a shut­down.”

“The di­vi­sions with the GOP House caucus will lead the party to dis­aster over the budget show­down. Any­body re­mem­ber Plan B?”

“The money is spent. We have to pay the bills.”

“The GOP either does the right thing and gets no no­tice, or op­poses it and amp­li­fies their fisc­al in­com­pet­ence.”

“Every mo­ment of tea-party ex­pos­ure is good for Dems.”

“They own the gov­ern­ment-de­fault is­sue. No mat­ter what hap­pens, they can’t get that stink off their pelt.”

“It is hard for any­one to be more out of touch than House Re­pub­lic­ans, who will once again over­play their hand.” 

“If some Re­pub­lic­ans suc­ceed in clos­ing down the gov­ern­ment or fur­ther de­grad­ing our cred­it rat­ing, the Amer­ic­an will elect a Demo­crat­ic House in 2014.”

Both equally

“Both sides are set­ting them­selves up for fail­ure. It’s go­ing to come down to ‘com­prom­ise or blow the eco­nomy up.’ “

“In this Do-Noth­ing Con­gress, every­one looks bad here.”

 

Which party has the most at risk in the up­com­ing ne­go­ti­ations over the debt ceil­ing?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (103 votes)

Demo­crats: 16%
Re­pub­lic­ans: 54%
Both equally: 30%

Demo­crats

“When the top­ic is spend­ing, Dems lose.”

“Demo­crats whiffed on their se­quester scare tac­tics. Voters are savvy to their tired ar­gu­ments and ready for lead­er­ship.”

Re­pub­lic­ans

“Obama’s bully pul­pit is tough to com­pete with.”

“There is very little up­side for the GOP: Sup­port­ing the in­crease re­flects poorly on the party with the base; block­ing the in­crease wor­ries the mar­kets, which re­flects poorly with every­one else.”

“We’re bet­ting most of our chips. The Dems have little to lose.”

“If our most adam­ant types do not come to their senses, it will be noth­ing short of a self-im­posed dis­aster. What is most of­fens­ive is their pre­tense that their stu­pid­ity equates to be­ing the only ones with con­vic­tions.”

“Re­pub­lic­ans have a poor re­cord on this is­sue, and Jack Lew has our num­ber.”

“The debt ceil­ing will be dem­agogued by Obama and by the far-right fringe, mak­ing it al­most im­possible for the Re­pub­lic­an brand to emerge un­scathed.”

“If Ted Cruz gets his way, GOP can say good-bye to 2014!”

“When has the GOP ever ‘won’ polit­ic­ally on a budget, [con­tinu­ing res­ol­u­tion], or debt-ceil­ing vote?”

Both equally

“It helps Re­pub­lic­ans if we achieve real cuts; it hurts if we push the coun­try to the brink of de­fault.”

“Is it pos­sible for Con­gress’s ap­prov­al rat­ing to drop be­low zero? We may soon find out.”

“Noth­ing says more about the con­tin­ued in­ef­fect­ive­ness of all of D.C. than yet an­oth­er fight on the debt lim­it.”

 

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

Which party has the most at risk in the upcoming negotiations over the debt ceiling?

DEMO­CRATS (101 votes)

Demo­crats: 7%
Re­pub­lic­ans: 79%
Both equally: 14%

Re­pub­lic­ans

“Re­pub­lic­ans al­ways over­play their hand on fisc­al is­sues, and it al­ways comes back to bite them.”

“The GOP is play­ing with fire by threat­en­ing a shut­down.”

“The di­vi­sions with the GOP House caucus will lead the party to dis­aster over the budget show­down. Any­body re­mem­ber Plan B?”

“The money is spent. We have to pay the bills.”

“The GOP either does the right thing and gets no no­tice, or op­poses it and amp­li­fies their fisc­al in­com­pet­ence.”

“Every mo­ment of tea-party ex­pos­ure is good for Dems.”

“They own the gov­ern­ment-de­fault is­sue. No mat­ter what hap­pens, they can’t get that stink off their pelt.”

“It is hard for any­one to be more out of touch than House Re­pub­lic­ans, who will once again over­play their hand.” 

“If some Re­pub­lic­ans suc­ceed in clos­ing down the gov­ern­ment or fur­ther de­grad­ing our cred­it rat­ing, the Amer­ic­an will elect a Demo­crat­ic House in 2014.”

Both equally

“Both sides are set­ting them­selves up for fail­ure. It’s go­ing to come down to ‘com­prom­ise or blow the eco­nomy up.’ “

“In this Do-Noth­ing Con­gress, every­one looks bad here.”

 

Which party has the most at risk in the upcoming negotiations over the debt ceiling?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (103 votes)

Demo­crats: 16%
Re­pub­lic­ans: 54%
Both equally: 30%

Demo­crats

“When the top­ic is spend­ing, Dems lose.”

“Demo­crats whiffed on their se­quester scare tac­tics. Voters are savvy to their tired ar­gu­ments and ready for lead­er­ship.”

Re­pub­lic­ans

“Obama’s bully pul­pit is tough to com­pete with.”

“There is very little up­side for the GOP: Sup­port­ing the in­crease re­flects poorly on the party with the base; block­ing the in­crease wor­ries the mar­kets, which re­flects poorly with every­one else.”

“We’re bet­ting most of our chips. The Dems have little to lose.”

“If our most adam­ant types do not come to their senses, it will be noth­ing short of a self-im­posed dis­aster. What is most of­fens­ive is their pre­tense that their stu­pid­ity equates to be­ing the only ones with con­vic­tions.”

“Re­pub­lic­ans have a poor re­cord on this is­sue, and Jack Lew has our num­ber.”

“The debt ceil­ing will be dem­agogued by Obama and by the far-right fringe, mak­ing it al­most im­possible for the Re­pub­lic­an brand to emerge un­scathed.”

“If Ted Cruz gets his way, GOP can say good-bye to 2014!”

“When has the GOP ever ‘won’ polit­ic­ally on a budget, [con­tinu­ing res­ol­u­tion], or debt-ceil­ing vote?”

Both equally

“It helps Re­pub­lic­ans if we achieve real cuts; it hurts if we push the coun­try to the brink of de­fault.”

“Is it pos­sible for Con­gress’s ap­prov­al rat­ing to drop be­low zero? We may soon find out.”

“Noth­ing says more about the con­tin­ued in­ef­fect­ive­ness of all of D.C. than yet an­oth­er fight on the debt lim­it.”

 

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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