Three new polls of the Democratic New York City mayoral primary show Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) with a commanding lead. The trio of polls indicate that de Blasio has a chance of winning the 40% necessary to avoid a runoff, while former Comptroller Bill Thompson (D) and City Council Speaker Christine Quinn (D) are in a battle for second place.
A Quinnipiac University poll (Sept. 6-8, 782 LVs; +/- 3.5%) shows de Blasio leading Thompson, 39-25%. Quinn finishes third with 18%, while former Rep. Anthony Weiner (D) receives 6%. Comptroller John Liu (D) garners 4%, and former Councilman Sal Albanese (D) receives 1%. (release)
In a new WNBC-TV/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll (Sept. 3-6; 556 LVs; +/- 4.2%), de Blasio leads with 36%, while Thompson and Quinn are tied with 20% apiece. Weiner receives 7%0, and Liu garners 5%. None of the other candidates tested receive more than 1%. (release)
In a Public Policy Polling poll (D) (IVR) (Sept. 7-8; 683 LVs; +/- 3.8%), de Blasio receives 38%, followed by Thompson at 19% and Quinn at 13%. Weiner receives 9%, while Liu finishes at 5%. None of the other candidates tested receive more than 3 percent. (release)
De Blasio has a solid shot at winning the primary outright on Tuesday. If he fails to reach 40 percent, Thompson appears more likely than Quinn to finish second and advance to the runoff. Polling shows that de Blasio would begin the runoff campaign with a large lead over either Democrat, although Thompson may have a better chance of cutting into his advantage given Quinn’s high negatives.
BLOOMBERG BASHES BILL: During an interview with New York Magazine, Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) interrupted a question about de Blasio that classified his bid as a “class-warfare campaign.” Bloomberg said: “Class-warfare and racist. … Well, no, no, I mean he’s making an appeal using his family to gain support. I think it’s pretty obvious to anyone watching what he’s been doing. I do not think he himself is racist. It’s comparable to me pointing out I’m Jewish in attracting the Jewish vote. You tailor messages to your audiences and address issues you think your audience cares about.”
Capital New York’s Paybarah writes: “Bloomberg is famously unpredictable in interviews. But though his aides got the quote amended in the online version of the story, it hasn’t done much to lessen the political impact of the comment. For de Blasio, who is leading in the latest public opinion polls, the rhetoric from Bloomberg is a gift, giving him one more talking point as he seeks to drive up his support among Democratic voters by highlighting his connections, through his family, to the outer boroughs, public schools and the African-American community.”
“Wherever Mr. de Blasio went on Sunday, he tried to capitalize on the mayor’s comments.” (New York Times)
FINAL GOP DEBATE: Former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R) and billionaire John Catsimatidis (R) “made their final pitch to Republican voters on Sunday, clashing at a debate on WNBC-TV in which Mr. Lhota sought to leave the impression Mr. Catsimatidis was not a serious candidate, and Mr. Catsimatidis argued that Mr. Lhota was a meanspirited technocrat who lacked big ideas.”
Catsimatidis said he had a “love factor with the minorities. … They all give me hugs.”
Lhota said: “I’m not the anti-kitten candidate. We have thousands of cats — literally thousands of cats — that are in the subway system every single day, day and night, scurrying across the tracks, and they don’t get killed.” (New York Times)
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The national polls, once again, tell very different stories: Clinton leads by just one point in the IBD, Rasmussen, and LA Times tracking polls, while she shows a commanding 12 point lead in the ABC news poll and a smaller but sizable five point lead in the CNN poll. The Republican Remington Research Group released a slew of polls showing Trump up in Ohio, Nevada, and North Carolina, a tie in Florida, and Clinton leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Virginia. However, an independent Siena poll shows Clinton up 7 in North Carolina, while a Monmouth poll shows Trump up one in Arizona
If you need a marker for how confident Hillary Clinton is at this point of the race, here's one: CNN's Jeff Zeleny reports "she's been talking to Republican senators, old allies and new, saying that she is willing to work with them and govern."
Sources tell CNN that longtime Democratic operative Ron Klain, who has been Vice President Biden's chief of staff, is "high on the list of prospects" to be chief of staff in a Clinton White House. "John Podesta, the campaign chairman, has signaled his interest in joining the Cabinet, perhaps as Energy secretary."