Three new polls of the Democratic New York City mayoral primary show Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) with a commanding lead. The trio of polls indicate that de Blasio has a chance of winning the 40% necessary to avoid a runoff, while former Comptroller Bill Thompson (D) and City Council Speaker Christine Quinn (D) are in a battle for second place.
A Quinnipiac University poll (Sept. 6-8, 782 LVs; +/- 3.5%) shows de Blasio leading Thompson, 39-25%. Quinn finishes third with 18%, while former Rep. Anthony Weiner (D) receives 6%. Comptroller John Liu (D) garners 4%, and former Councilman Sal Albanese (D) receives 1%. (release)
In a new WNBC-TV/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll (Sept. 3-6; 556 LVs; +/- 4.2%), de Blasio leads with 36%, while Thompson and Quinn are tied with 20% apiece. Weiner receives 7%0, and Liu garners 5%. None of the other candidates tested receive more than 1%. (release)
In a Public Policy Polling poll (D) (IVR) (Sept. 7-8; 683 LVs; +/- 3.8%), de Blasio receives 38%, followed by Thompson at 19% and Quinn at 13%. Weiner receives 9%, while Liu finishes at 5%. None of the other candidates tested receive more than 3 percent. (release)
De Blasio has a solid shot at winning the primary outright on Tuesday. If he fails to reach 40 percent, Thompson appears more likely than Quinn to finish second and advance to the runoff. Polling shows that de Blasio would begin the runoff campaign with a large lead over either Democrat, although Thompson may have a better chance of cutting into his advantage given Quinn’s high negatives.
BLOOMBERG BASHES BILL: During an interview with New York Magazine, Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) interrupted a question about de Blasio that classified his bid as a “class-warfare campaign.” Bloomberg said: “Class-warfare and racist. … Well, no, no, I mean he’s making an appeal using his family to gain support. I think it’s pretty obvious to anyone watching what he’s been doing. I do not think he himself is racist. It’s comparable to me pointing out I’m Jewish in attracting the Jewish vote. You tailor messages to your audiences and address issues you think your audience cares about.”
Capital New York’s Paybarah writes: “Bloomberg is famously unpredictable in interviews. But though his aides got the quote amended in the online version of the story, it hasn’t done much to lessen the political impact of the comment. For de Blasio, who is leading in the latest public opinion polls, the rhetoric from Bloomberg is a gift, giving him one more talking point as he seeks to drive up his support among Democratic voters by highlighting his connections, through his family, to the outer boroughs, public schools and the African-American community.”
“Wherever Mr. de Blasio went on Sunday, he tried to capitalize on the mayor’s comments.” (New York Times)
FINAL GOP DEBATE: Former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R) and billionaire John Catsimatidis (R) “made their final pitch to Republican voters on Sunday, clashing at a debate on WNBC-TV in which Mr. Lhota sought to leave the impression Mr. Catsimatidis was not a serious candidate, and Mr. Catsimatidis argued that Mr. Lhota was a meanspirited technocrat who lacked big ideas.”
Catsimatidis said he had a “love factor with the minorities. … They all give me hugs.”
Lhota said: “I’m not the anti-kitten candidate. We have thousands of cats — literally thousands of cats — that are in the subway system every single day, day and night, scurrying across the tracks, and they don’t get killed.” (New York Times)
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Foreign Policy takes a look at the future of mining the estimated "100,000 near-Earth objects—including asteroids and comets—in the neighborhood of our planet. Some of these NEOs, as they’re called, are small. Others are substantial and potentially packed full of water and various important minerals, such as nickel, cobalt, and iron. One day, advocates believe, those objects will be tapped by variations on the equipment used in the coal mines of Kentucky or in the diamond mines of Africa. And for immense gain: According to industry experts, the contents of a single asteroid could be worth trillions of dollars." But the technology to get us there is only the first step. Experts say "a multinational body might emerge" to manage rights to NEOs, as well as a body of law, including an international court.
Not to be outdone by Jeffrey Goldberg's recent piece in The Atlantic about President Obama's foreign policy, the New York Times Magazine checks in with a longread on the president's economic legacy. In it, Obama is cognizant that the economic reality--73 straight months of growth--isn't matched by public perceptions. Some of that, he says, is due to a constant drumbeat from the right that "that denies any progress." But he also accepts some blame himself. “I mean, the truth of the matter is that if we had been able to more effectively communicate all the steps we had taken to the swing voter,” he said, “then we might have maintained a majority in the House or the Senate.”
Ronald Reagan's children and political allies took to the media and Twitter this week to chide funnyman Will Ferrell for his plans to play a dementia-addled Reagan in his second term in a new comedy entitled Reagan. In an open letter, Reagan's daughter Patti Davis tells Ferrell, who's also a producer on the movie, “Perhaps for your comedy you would like to visit some dementia facilities. I have—I didn’t find anything comedic there, and my hope would be that if you’re a decent human being, you wouldn’t either.” Michael Reagan, the president's son, tweeted, "What an Outrag....Alzheimers is not joke...It kills..You should be ashamed all of you." And former Rep. Joe Walsh called it an example of "Hollywood taking a shot at conservatives again."
In a sign that she’s ready to put a longer-than-expected primary battle behind her, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) is no longer going on the air in upcoming primary states. “Team Clinton hasn’t spent a single cent in … California, Indiana, Kentucky, Oregon and West Virginia, while” Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-VT) “campaign has spent a little more than $1 million in those same states.” Meanwhile, Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Sanders’ "lone backer in the Senate, said the candidate should end his presidential campaign if he’s losing to Hillary Clinton after the primary season concludes in June, breaking sharply with the candidate who is vowing to take his insurgent bid to the party convention in Philadelphia.”
The team behind the bestselling "Clinton Cash"—author Peter Schweizer and Breitbart's Stephen Bannon—is turning the book into a movie that will have its U.S. premiere just before the Democratic National Convention this summer. The film will get its global debut "next month in Cannes, France, during the Cannes Film Festival. (The movie is not a part of the festival, but will be shown at a screening arranged for distributors)." Bloomberg has a trailer up, pointing out that it's "less Ken Burns than Jerry Bruckheimer, featuring blood-drenched money, radical madrassas, and ominous footage of the Clintons."