Republicans will cave, the White House will win, the government will re-open, and the debt ceiling will be raised. These things are going to happen, just before or soon after the government hits its borrowing limit ““ and at that point, President Obama faces a decision.
Do I leverage my victory into a budget deal, eliminating both a long-term national threat and the main source of partisan bickering?
Or do I rub salt into the GOP’s self-inflicted wounds in the distant hope of winning the House in 2014?
Govern or campaign? Unite or divide? Lead or lay into the GOP?
Obama’s choice may be revealed in the way he approaches immigration reform, which he curiously declared Tuesday to be his top priority after the fiscal crisis.
“Once that’s done, you know, the day after, I’m going to be pushing to say, call a vote on immigration reform,” Obama told the Los Angeles affiliate of Spanish-language television network Univision.
It’s an interesting choice, given the national debt is an existential national problem and the crux of the role-of-government debate that has tied Washington in knots for years. Does Obama really think immigration is a more serious problem? Or is it merely the best political issue for Democrats?
It is tempting to assume the worse, especially as Obama is modeling his immigration message on his fiscal-crisis talking points. Blaming House Speaker John Boehner for preventing immigration from coming up for a vote in the past, Obama said, “The only thing right now that’s holding it back is, again, Speaker Boehner not willing to call the bill on the floor of the House of Representatives.”
Make no mistake, Republicans are on the wrong side of the immigration debate, as measured by the 2012 election results and the nation’s shifting demography. The GOP also engineered the fiscal crisis, and Boehner is a tragically weak speaker.
But most voters would be disappointed if they learn that their president has abandoned governance and the hard work of dealing with a fractured GOP to engage in an all-or-nothing bid for the House. While the White House and Congress stumble to an agreement, the great unknown is Obama’s second act. Will he be more presidential than political? Or will raw politics define his presidency?
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Donald Trump's "transition team will meet next week with representatives of the tech industry, multiple sources confirmed, even as their candidate largely has been largely shunned by Silicon Valley. The meeting, scheduled for next Thursday at the offices of law and lobbying firm BakerHostetler, will include trade groups like the Information Technology Industry Council and the Internet Association that represent major Silicon Valley companies."
Today in bad news for Donald Trump:
- Newsweek found that a company he controlled did business with Cuba under Fidel Castro "despite strict American trade bans that made such undertakings illegal, according to interviews with former Trump executives, internal company records and court filings." In 1998, he spent at least $68,000 there, which was funneled through a consluting company "to make it appear legal."
- The Los Angeles Times reports that at a golf club he owns in California, Trump ordered that unattractive female staff be fired and replaced with prettier women.
In some of the first state-by-state surveys since Monday night's debate, Hillary Clinton has the edge in five battlegrounds, according to polls by Public Policy Polling. In four-way matchups, Clinton leads Donald Trump 46%-40% in Colorado, 45%-43% in Florida, 44%-42% in North Carolina, 45%-39% in Pennsylvania, and 46%-40% in Virginia. Gary Johnson doesn't top 7% in any state. Voters in all five states thought that Clinton decisively won the debate.