BATTLE FOR THE SENATE | UT-sen | NJ-sen | MN-sen | TX-sen | TN-sen | MI-sen | WI-sen | PA-sen | OH-sen | WV-sen | NV-sen | ND-sen | MO-sen | IN-sen

At Least 4 Senators Lose Reelection

Republicans are poised to grow their majority in the upper chamber.

Nov. 7, 2018, 9:57 a.m.

“Three Democratic senators and one Republican senator lost reelection Tuesday, padding the GOP majority and giving Majority Leader Mitch McConnell more leverage to confirm President Trump’s nominees over the next two years.”

Sens. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND), Joe Donnelly (D-IN), and Claire McCaskill (D-MO) “all fell to GOP challengers who capitalized on the conservative lean of states Trump carried in 2016, while” Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) “lost in the one state Republicans had to defend that Hillary Clinton won. … Combined with Republicans’ successful defense of seats in Tennessee and Texas, the GOP locked Democrats out of the majority until at least 2020."

"Democrats stanched further losses by reelecting senators in the Northeast and upper Midwest, including in states like West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin, which Trump carried by varying margins.” (National Journal)

“Across the country Democrats … outraised their Republican opponents and built field operations that they hoped would weather a brutal Senate map that tilted heavily in Republicans’ favor. But this time, it wasn’t enough. … Trump’s popularity and swaggering campaign presence was simply too much for even the best-run campaigns. Republicans avoided the kind of devastating gaffes that boosted McCaskill and … Donnelly in 2012, and unlike that year, there was no presidential campaign to boost Democratic turnout. … Republicans said the decision not to compete in pricey Midwestern states boosted their odds elsewhere.”

One nugget: Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer this summer “wanted the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee to blanket Missouri’s airwaves with TV commercials.” But Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) persuaded him instead “to pump more than $6.5 million into the Missouri Democratic Party to give her turnout operation a dramatic boost.” (Politico)

“The decision by nearly all red-state Democratic senators to oppose Justice Brett Kavanaugh helped transform close contests into GOP blowouts.” (National Journal)

Here are results as of Wednesday morning of all of the competitive or open races called by the Associated Press:

IN SEN: Sen.-elect Mike Braun (R) 53 percent, Sen. Joe Donnelly (D) 43 percent. (AP)
MN SEN: Sen. Tina Smith (D) 53 percent, state Sen. Karin Housley (R) 42 percent. (AP)
MO SEN: Sen.-elect Josh Hawley (R) 52 percent, Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) 46 percent. (AP)
NV SEN: Sen.-elect Jacky Rosen (D) 50 percent, Sen. Dean Heller (R) 46 percent. (AP)
NJ SEN: Sen. Bob Menendez (D) 53 percent, pharmaceutical executive Bob Hugin (R) 44 percent. (AP)
ND SEN: Sen.-elect Kevin Cramer (R) 55 percent, Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) 45 percent. (AP)
TN SEN: Sen.-elect Marsha Blackburn (R) 55 percent, former Gov. Phil Bredesen (D) 44 percent. (AP)
TX SEN: Sen. Ted Cruz (R) 51 percent, Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) 48 percent. (AP)
UT SEN: Se.-elect Mitt Romney (R) 62 percent, Salt Lake City Councilwoman Jenny Wilson (D) 32 percent. (AP)
WV SEN: Sen. Joe Manchin (D) 50 percent, state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (R) 46 percent. (AP)

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