"In a vicious and narrow Congressional race where the candidates concur on little else," Rep. Steve Chabot (R) and Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval (D) "agree on one thing: the road to Washington goes through Warren County." President Trump "came to the county Friday to energize the Republican base ahead of November’s midterm elections, which the president has characterized as a referendum on his first two years in office." Trump similarly made a last-minute visit to Delaware County to boost Rep. Troy Balderson (R) in his special election, which he narrowly won.
Several election analysts said that the district, which includes all of Warren County and much of Cincinnati, is ripe to flip for Democrats in a blue wave surge. However, they noted that "the flip would have to include sizable support in Warren County, which is traditionally a Republican stronghold. ... Pureval believes that, if he can win the district, it will be a sign of how the remainder of the nation will go. Chabot won the district in 2016 by 18.4 percentage points, and his advantage in Warren County alone was a whopping 47.32 percentage points."
Pureval: "It absolutely is fair to look at this race as a bellwether. If in southwestern Ohio, in a district that was drawn to elect a Republican, that Chabot won about two years ago by 20 points and President Trump won by 6 points, if that district goes Democratic, then yeah, I think that’s a bellwether for the rest of the country." (Dayton Daily News)
JOHN LEWIS. Rep. John Lewis (D-GA 05) "came to a church in Avondale to rally voters" for Pureval on Sunday, alongside Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY 08). Lewis emphasized that he felt Trump has taken the country backward. (Cincinnati Enquirer)