RACE FOR THE HOUSE | TX-23 | TX-32

Dems Take Double-Digit Leads in 3 More Generic Ballots

George W. Bush will fundraise for Will Hurd and Pete Sessions.

Sept. 12, 2018, 10:04 a.m.

Democrats took double-digit leads on three generic ballots released Wednesday. In a Quinnipiac survey (Sept. 6-9; 1,038 RVs; +/-3.7%), Republicans trailed by 14 points, 52-38 percent, and Democrats notched a 15-point lead among independents. (release)

In an NPR/Marist poll (Sept. 5-9; 777 RVs; +/-4%), Democrats had a 12-point advantage, 50-38 percent. (release)

And in a Politico/Morning Consult’s poll (Sept. 6-9; 1,988 RVs; +/-2%), Democrats led by 10 points, 45-35 percent. President Trump’s approval was underwater at 41/56 and his approval among independent voters was underwater at 37/57. (Politico)

ON THE TRAIL. "Former President George W. Bush is hitting the fundraising circuit for a handful of Republican House" candidates. "Bush’s tour will begin Wednesday morning, when he holds a closed-door event in Fort Worth, Texas, for" Rep. Will Hurd (R). On Sept. 20, "Bush will hold a Dallas fundraiser for" Rep. Pete Sessions (R-TX 32). "Sessions has said that he’s eager to campaign with Bush, who has a personal interest in the contest: He is a resident of the district, and it’s where his presidential library is located." (Politico)

YOUNG GUNS. The NRCC added two more Young Guns: Air Force veteran Wendy Rogers in AZ-01 and former Navy Medical Officer Steve Ferrara in AZ-09. (release)

NEWCOMERS. "As the party tries to recapture the House this year by winning 23 more seats, they're counting on an unusual crop of candidates: people who have never done anything like this before. People who've never run for school board or city council, much less a high-stakes race like Congress in a year when Democrats are desperate to win more leverage against President Donald Trump. Of the more than 50 candidates running in GOP-held districts given the best chance for flipping, almost two-thirds are seeking office for the first time. That's a significant increase over 2016, when less than half of those running in targeted districts were first-timers." (AP)

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AVOIDS SHUTDOWN WITH A FEW HOURS TO SPARE
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"President Trump signed a sweeping spending bill Friday afternoon, averting another partial government shutdown. The action came after Trump had declared a national emergency in a move designed to circumvent Congress and build additional barriers at the southern border, where he said the United States faces 'an invasion of our country.'"

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REDIRECTS $8 BILLION
Trump Declares National Emergency
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"President Donald Trump on Friday declared a state of emergency on the southern border and immediately direct $8 billion to construct or repair as many as 234 miles of a border barrier. The move — which is sure to invite vigorous legal challenges from activists and government officials — comes after Trump failed to get the $5.7 billion he was seeking from lawmakers. Instead, Trump agreed to sign a deal that included just $1.375 for border security."

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COULD SOW DIVISION AMONG REPUBLICANS
House Will Condemn Emergency Declaration
6 days ago
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"House Democrats are gearing up to pass a joint resolution disapproving of President Trump’s emergency declaration to build his U.S.-Mexico border wall, a move that will force Senate Republicans to vote on a contentious issue that divides their party. House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) said Thursday evening in an interview with The Washington Post that the House would take up the resolution in the coming days or weeks. The measure is expected to easily clear the Democratic-led House, and because it would be privileged, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) would be forced to put the resolution to a vote that he could lose."

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MILITARY CONSTRUCTION, DRUG FORFEITURE FUND
Where Will the Emergency Money Come From?
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"ABC News has learned the president plans to announce on Friday his intention to spend about $8 billion on the border wall with a mix of spending from Congressional appropriations approved Thursday night, executive action and an emergency declaration. A senior White House official familiar with the plan told ABC News that $1.375 billion would come from the spending bill Congress passed Thursday; $600 million would come from the Treasury Department's drug forfeiture fund; $2.5 billion would come from the Pentagon's drug interdiction program; and through an emergency declaration: $3.5 billion from the Pentagon's military construction budget."

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TRUMP SAYS HE WILL SIGN
House Passes Funding Deal
1 weeks ago
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"The House passed a massive border and budget bill that would avert a shutdown and keep the government funded through the end of September. The Senate passed the measure earlier Thursday. The bill provides $1.375 billion for fences, far short of the $5.7 billion President Trump had demanded to fund steel walls. But the president says he will sign the legislation, and instead seek to fund his border wall by declaring a national emergency."

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