Senate Democrats are dealing with an unforgivingly tilted map, but favorable atmospherics and a sizable enthusiasm gap are on display in fourth-quarter fundraising numbers available ahead of Wednesday’s fourth-quarter filing deadline.
Sen. Dean Heller of Nevada, the most vulnerable Republican incumbent, was outraised 2-to-1 by Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen—though he had twice as much in cash on hand as the freshman congresswoman by the end of the year. Meanwhile, Democrats’ most vulnerable incumbent, Sen. Claire McCaskill of Missouri, outpaced Republican Attorney General Josh Hawley by 3-to-1 and held a nearly $8 million cash edge.
Along with McCaskill, Sens. Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, Sherrod Brown of Ohio, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, and Bill Nelson of Florida all raised at least $2.4 million, as did Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas, who outraised Republican Sen. Ted Cruz by half a million. Those Democratic incumbents and others all started the election year with at least $7 million on hand, some of them with far more than that.
And Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, vying for the Democrats’ second-best pickup opportunity in Arizona, entered the election year with $5.1 million, nearly three times as much as her likely Republican opponent, Rep. Martha McSally, who formally entered the race this month.
— Kyle Trygstad