RACE FOR THE HOUSE

Dems Lead by 5, 12 Points in New Generic Ballots

Groups from both parties are running ads blaming each other for the shutdown.

Jan. 22, 2018, 11:14 a.m.

A new CNN poll (Jan. 14-18; 913 RVs; +/-3.8%), “conducted by SSRS finds the Democratic advantage on a generic congressional ballot has tightened to a narrow 5 points among registered voters,” with Democrats leading 49 percent to 44 percent, “but those voters who say they are most enthusiastic about turning out to vote this fall favor Democrats by a wide 15-point margin.” Democrats’ got 49 percent of the vote compared to Republicans 44 percent. That “margin among registered voters is almost identical to Democrats’ standing in January of 2006.” Republicans took a 3-point advantage among Independents, winning 45 percent compared to Democrats’ 42 percent. (CNN)

In the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 15-18; 846 RVs; +/- 3.5%), Democrats maintain “a 12-point lead among registered voters while improving to a wide 14-point advantage among likely voters in congressional preference. Democrats typically lose support in the shift to likely voters, given lower turnout among their stalwart groups. That’s not the case now: Among those most likely to vote, 54 percent support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, compared to 40 percent for the Republican. … In another key group, 51 percent of political independents support the Democratic candidate, compared to 37 percent for the Republican—a wide and important gap.” The survey was conducted by Langer Research Associates. (ABC News)

Meanwhile, an internal House GOP poll showed Democrats with a 4-point lead, winning 45 percent to 41 percent with 14 percent undecided. (Politico)

SHUTDOWN POLITICS. The DCCC launched a Facebook campaign blaming House Republicans for the government shutdown. It will target 50 districts, including the southern Wisconsin district held by Speaker Paul Ryan. (release)

“On Saturday morning, American Action Network, a pro-House GOP outside group, began airing commercials blaming the shutdown on House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi.” (Politico)

What We're Following See More »
BARR PLANS TO SEND CONGRESS A SUMMARY
Mueller Report Almost Done
5 hours ago
THE DETAILS

“Attorney General Bill Barr is preparing to announce as early as next week the completion of Robert Mueller's Russia investigation, with plans for Barr to submit to Congress soon after a summary of Mueller's confidential report. ... The preparations are the clearest indication yet that Mueller is nearly done with his almost two-year investigation. The precise timing of the announcement is subject to change. The scope and contours of what Barr will send to Congress remain unclear.”

IN UNANIMOUS DECISION
SCOTUS Limits State and Local Governments' Ability to Levy Fines
7 hours ago
THE DETAILS

"The U.S. Supreme Court curbed the power of cities and states to levy fines and seize property, siding with a man trying to keep his Land Rover after he pleaded guilty to selling drugs. The unanimous ruling marks the first time the court has said that states and cities are bound by the Constitution’s ban on excessive fines, part of the Eighth Amendment."

Source:
AFTER U.S. WITHDRAWS FROM INF TREATY
Putin Threatens Arms Race
8 hours ago
THE LATEST

"Moscow will match any U.S. move to deploy new nuclear missiles closer to Russia by stationing its own missiles closer to the United States or by deploying faster missiles or both, President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday. Putin said Russia was not seeking confrontation and would not take the first step to deploy missiles in response to Washington’s decision this month to quit a landmark Cold War-era arms control treaty."

Source:
MAY 26-28
Trump to Visit Japan
8 hours ago
THE LATEST
AVOIDS SHUTDOWN WITH A FEW HOURS TO SPARE
Trump Signs Border Deal
5 days ago
THE LATEST

"President Trump signed a sweeping spending bill Friday afternoon, averting another partial government shutdown. The action came after Trump had declared a national emergency in a move designed to circumvent Congress and build additional barriers at the southern border, where he said the United States faces 'an invasion of our country.'"

Source:
×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login