It’s still unclear how former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson’s (L) third-party bid will affect the match up between real estate mogul Donald Trump (R) and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D).
“Polling is not definitive on the subject, but for Johnson, the bigger test is pulling support from anyone at all. One survey this week from Fox News gave him 12 percent of the vote in a three-way race with Clinton and Trump — a decent showing for a candidate that most voters don’t know, or don’t know is a former governor, or don’t know is a presidential candidate. The key for Johnson is to continue to be included in national polls at all — and to move that number up to 15 percent, so he qualifies for the fall debates.” (Washington Post)
WHITE VOTE REMIX. “Party leaders’ assumption at the beginning of the campaign was that Republicans needed to dramatically improve their performance with Hispanic voters to win, and that there wasn’t much room for growth with white voters. In reality, in many of the battleground states that President Obama targeted, Romney underachieved with whites. If you want to understand how Trump is (still) running competitively against Clinton despite alienating nearly every nonwhite group in the country,” analysis of data from the Democratic firm Catalist by Nate Cohn of the New York Times, “helps explain it.” (National Journal)