Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Does Your Party Benefit or Suffer if Congress Abandons Immigration Reform?

Peter Bell, Alex Roarty and Michael Catalini
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
Peter Bell Alex Roarty and Michael Catalini
Sept. 26, 2013, 4:05 p.m.

What will be the polit­ic­al im­pact on your party in the 2014 elec­tions if Con­gress fails to pass a com­pre­hens­ive im­mig­ra­tion re­form bill that in­cludes a path to cit­izen­ship?


Help: 57%
Hurt: 9%
No im­pact: 34%


“Con­gres­sion­al Re­pub­lic­ans con­tin­ue to do everything they can to risk their lock on con­trol of the House. If they block im­mig­ra­tion re­form, Latino turnout will go through the roof in 2014 and cost the GOP its ma­jor­ity in the House and its op­por­tun­ity to win the Sen­ate. GOP is bent on self-de­struc­tion; God bless their pointy little heads.”

“Not to be cyn­ic­al, but subtly point­ing out the in­her­ent ra­cism of the GOP sim­ul­tan­eously block­ing im­mig­ra­tion re­form for His­pan­ics while try­ing to take health care away from Afric­an-Amer­ic­ans will be dev­ast­at­ing.”

“The Re­pub­lic­an Con­gress is go­ing out of its way to show the Latino and Asi­an com­munit­ies that they are not their friends.”

“Any­thing and everything that helps gen­er­ate turnout is pos­it­ive.”

“The Re­pub­lic­ans will have a lot of ex­plain­ing to do to a grow­ing group of voters who don’t trust them any­way.”

“Should be a good base-mo­bil­iz­a­tion is­sue for Demo­crat where a strong Latino vote could swing some key Sen­ate and gubernat­ori­al races.”


“It will dampen but not des­troy Latino ar­dor.”

“I think it will hurt both parties. Re­pub­lic­ans will pay with His­pan­ic op­pos­i­tion. Demo­crats will pay with low His­pan­ic turnout.”

No im­pact

“This is­sue will come back to haunt Re­pub­lic­ans, but not un­til 2016.”

“The bar is so low for Con­gress right now that the ex­pect­a­tion is ‘Fail to pass.’ It won’t mat­ter.”

“Those who have an opin­ion on re­form are firmly in one court or an­oth­er.”

What will be the polit­ic­al im­pact on your party in the 2014 elec­tions if Con­gress fails to pass a com­pre­hens­ive im­mig­ra­tion re­form bill that in­cludes a path to cit­izen­ship?


Help: 10%
Hurt: 39%
No im­pact: 51%


“GOP will pick up seats in 2014 no mat­ter what. Six-year itch and ex­haus­tion of Obama en­sure a good midterm elec­tion.”

“For every Latino voter switch­ing to a Re­pub­lic­an for sup­port­ing am­nesty, there will be four Re­pub­lic­ans who stay home.


“It just con­tin­ues to dig the hole deep­er with His­pan­ics, and post­pones re­sur­rec­tion of the Re­pub­lic­an Party na­tion­ally.”

“Maybe not on many spe­cif­ic races, but the pres­id­ent will dem­agogue us to death on our party im­age.”

“At the end of the day, un­less and un­til Re­pub­lic­ans are able to garner a reas­on­able amount of sup­port from the fast­est-grow­ing seg­ment of the pop­u­la­tion, we are cut­ting our own throats.”

“We’re get­ting killed every day on Span­ish-lan­guage me­dia, and our guys don’t even know it.”

No im­pact

“The House needs to pass something, but re­con­cil­ing with the Sen­ate could do more harm than good for a midterm where mo­tiv­at­ing the base is crit­ic­al.”

“This is a 2016 is­sue.”

“Bad eco­nomy, ef­fect on Obama­care will keep voters dis­trac­ted from im­mig­ra­tion.”

“Each party gets it as an is­sue, but as long as the eco­nomy stinks, it doesn’t hold much sway.”

“Prob­ably a wash in 2014, which will mask ter­rible im­pacts in 2016 and bey­ond.”

… … … … … . .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

What We're Following See More »
FBI To Investigate New Clinton Emails
29 minutes ago
TO AIR OCT. 31 & NOV. 1
Stein, Johnson to Participate in PBS Candidate Forum
51 minutes ago

It was announced on Friday that Gary Johnson and Jill Stein will participate in a candidate's forum, to be filmed live on Oct. 31 and air in two parts. The forum will air on PBS's Tavis Smiley. Additionally, there will be a 30 minute discussion available exclusively online with questions selected from social media.

Obama: Michelle Will Never Run for Office
2 hours ago
North Dakota Pipeline Protests Turn Violent
3 hours ago

The protest over the construction of the Dakota Access Pipeline turned violent overnight as the police and National Guard sought to remove the protesters, surrounding them with assault vehicles and officers in riot gear. The law enforcement officers used pepper spray and fired bean bags for more than six hours. In response, the protesters "lit debris on fire and threw Molotov cocktails in retreat." One woman pulled out a gun and fired at officers, narrowly missing before being arrested. The protesters claim the pipeline would be constructed on land belonging to the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe.

House Leadership Elections Slated for Nov. 15
4 hours ago

The House has scheduled leadership votes for Nov. 15, the day after members return from their election recess. "Since mid-September, members of the House Freedom Caucus have weighed whether they should ask leadership to push back the elections so they can see how House Speaker Paul Ryan performs at the end of the year," but leaders don't seem inclined to grant their request.


Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.