Political Insiders Poll

Poll: Who Are the Top 5 Contenders for the 2016 GOP Nomination?

Peter Bell, Alex Roarty and Michael Catalini
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Peter Bell Alex Roarty and Michael Catalini
Nov. 7, 2013, 4 p.m.

Who are the top five con­tenders for the Re­pub­lic­an pres­id­en­tial nom­in­a­tion in 2016?

DEMO­CRATS (85 VOTES)

Rank, Can­did­ate, In­dex Score*
1. Chris Christie, 75
2. Rand Paul, 45
3. Ted Cruz, 38
4. Marco Ru­bio, 38
5. Paul Ry­an, 33
6. Scott Walk­er, 23
7. John Kasich, 19
8. Rick San­tor­um, 9
9. Bobby Jin­dal, 8
10. Mike Pence, 3

*Meth­od­o­logy: In tal­ly­ing the rank­ings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote was worth 4 points, and so on. The In­siders in­dex re­flects the per­cent­age of points that each con­tender re­ceived out of the max­im­um pos­sible. For ex­ample, Re­pub­lic­an par­ti­cipants gave Gov. Chris Christie an in­dex rat­ing of 82, mean­ing he re­ceived 82 per­cent of the pos­sible 445 points, the num­ber he would have if all 89 Re­pub­lic­an par­ti­cipants in the poll this week had ranked him first. In­siders were asked to rank the 10 can­did­ates lis­ted.

Chris Christie

“Chris Christie is go­ing to be the fla­vor of the month/year after his big reelec­tion vic­tory and will be tough to dis­mantle for a while.”

“With his big win this week, Christie showed the Re­pub­lic­ans how they can win. Wheth­er they will learn from this is an­oth­er ques­tion.”

“Will the de­sire to win trump the de­sire to punch Amer­ica in the face? Only the GOP primary voters know.”

“The me­dia loves Chris Christie, which is a good pre­dict­or that GOP primary voters will hate him.”

Rand Paul

“The GOP simply can’t res­ist its right wing.”

Paul Ry­an

“Sur­prise pick of Paul Ry­an be­cause it really helps to have na­tion­al-cam­paign vet­ting and ex­per­i­ence.”

Oth­er

“Jeb Bush will see 2016 as the open race he needs to make a run.”

Who are the top five con­tenders for the Re­pub­lic­an pres­id­en­tial nom­in­a­tion in 2016?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (89 VOTES)

Rank, Can­did­ate, In­dex Score*
1. Chris Christie, 82
2. Marco Ru­bio, 44
3. Rand Paul, 40
4. Scott Walk­er, 35
5. Paul Ry­an, 32
6. Ted Cruz, 18
7. John Kasich, 13
8. Bobby Jin­dal, 9
9. Mike Pence, 8
10. Rick San­tor­um, 4

*Meth­od­o­logy: In tal­ly­ing the rank­ings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote was worth 4 points, and so on. The In­siders in­dex re­flects the per­cent­age of points that each con­tender re­ceived out of the max­im­um pos­sible. For ex­ample, Re­pub­lic­an par­ti­cipants gave Gov. Chris Christie an in­dex rat­ing of 82, mean­ing he re­ceived 82 per­cent of the pos­sible 445 points, the num­ber he would have if all 89 Re­pub­lic­an par­ti­cipants in the poll this week had ranked him first. In­siders were asked to rank the 10 can­did­ates lis­ted.

Chris Christie

“Christie has pur­ity-wing de­tract­ors but enough cros­sov­er ap­peal to start in lead­ing po­s­i­tion.”

“Christie showed that Re­pub­lic­ans can win over Demo­crats, minor­it­ies, and wo­men. Now he should take on Obama­care to help ce­ment his Re­pub­lic­an cre­den­tials.”

“Nobody from D.C. need ap­ply! Christie starts as a heavy fa­vor­ite (no pun in­ten­ded), but that is a dan­ger­ous spot for the long run.”

“If Cruz gets trac­tion on right, mod­er­ates may have to co­alesce quickly be­hind some­body, prob­ably Christie.”

Scott Walk­er

“The tor­toise will win this prize.”

Ted Cruz

“Wash­ing­ton may hate Cruz, but that will make much of the party love him all the more.”

Oth­er

“Jeb is the front-run­ner if he gets in. Con­ser­vat­ive gov­ern­ing re­cord, able to at­tract new faces to a party that’s way too white, and the best fun­drais­ing net­work in the party.”

… … … …

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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