The Scan - July 10, 2013

Gina McCarthy, President Obama's pick to head EPA, moved one step closer to her confirmation vote on Tuesday, and Rep. John Shimkus, R-Ill., will be out of commission all week after recently undergoing nonsurgical heart procedures.
National Journal
Add to Briefcase
See more stories about...
July 9, 2013, 3:42 p.m.

Con­sult­ant Score­card tracks all new hires and cli­ent changes in the con­sult­ant world. All in­form­a­tion is then stored in our Con­sult­ant Data­base, which was re­cently up­dated for the ‘10 cycle.

Feel­ing left out? Just e-mail us any up­dates, ad­di­tions, or cor­rec­tions, and we’ll be happy to in­clude them.

GEN­ER­AL ———-DEMS———- ———-GOP­ERS———- No In­form­a­tion Avail­able Star­board Comm. Scott, Tim (SC-01) ME­DIA ———-DEMS———- ———-GOP­ERS———- AK­PD Me­dia Craft DC Dillon, Andy (MI GOV) Bridge­wa­ter, Tim (UT SEN) Un­tamed Cinema Ladd Ellinger Grayson, Alan (FL-08) Barber, Rick (AL-02) On Mes­sage, Inc. John­son, Ron (WI SEN) Red Sea, LLC Scott, Tim (SC-01) SR­CP Me­dia Ma­honey, Sean (NH-01) Stevens and Schriefer Group Fal­l­in, Mary (OK GOV) POLLING ———-DEMS———- ———-GOP­ERS———- No In­form­a­tion Avail­able Bass­wood Re­search Scott, Tim (SC-01)

Con­sult­ant Note­book

Wash­ing­ton Post’s Horow­itz pro­files IVR poll­ster/Rasmussen Re­ports founder Scott Rasmussen: “Rasmussen has be­come a driv­ing force in Amer­ic­an polit­ics. As cash-strapped news­pa­pers and tele­vi­sion net­works struggle to meet the grow­ing de­mand for polls, Rasmussen, 54, is sup­ply­ing reams of cheap, auto­mated sur­veys that will meas­ure — and maybe move — opin­ion, es­pe­cially as primary sea­son gives way to the … midterm elec­tions.” Rasmussen “is an ar­tic­u­late and fre­quent guest on Fox News and oth­er out­lets, where his nom­in­ally non­par­tis­an data is of­ten cited to sup­port” GOP “talk­ing points.” Last Oct., he hired his own comm. dir. “to handle the daily de­luge of press calls.” Rasmussen “has a mini-TV stu­dio in his of­fice.”

Rasmussen “said he is simply a ‘score­keep­er,’ but his spike in clout has sharpened skep­ti­cism about how he tracks the dip” in Dem for­tunes. “Frus­trated lib­er­als sus­pect sor­cery.” DailyKos.com founder Markos Moulit­sas “has ac­cused the poll­ster of ‘set­ting the nar­rat­ive that Demo­crats are doomed’” with “num­bers that fuel hours” of GOP-boost­ing on talk ra­dio and cable.

“The old guard of the polling in­dustry charges that Rasmussen merely makes edu­cated guesses, like a mar­ket-savvy con­test­ant on a polit­ic­al ‘The Price Is Right,’ and con­siders him a threat to the stand­ards of an in­dustry already fa­cing ex­ist­en­tial chal­lenges. Those tra­di­tion­al peers fear Rasmussen’s rise sig­nals the fall of the in-depth prob­ing that politi­cians, poli­cy­makers and re­port­ers have turned to for more than half a cen­tury.” Rasmussen: “That has nev­er been our niche.”

Rasmussen’s “ex­pan­sion has made some of the old guard queasy.” Na­tion­al Journ­al’s/Poll­ster.com’s Blu­menth­al “put Rasmussen in the cat­egory of poll­sters whose aim, first and fore­most, is ‘to get their res­ults talked about on cable news.’ Blu­menth­al: “The firm man­ages to vi­ol­ate nearly everything I was taught what a good sur­vey should do.”

Fiv­eThirtyEight.com’s Nate Sil­ver “faults Rasmussen for polling only likely voters, which re­duces the pool to ‘polit­ic­al junkies.’” Pew Re­search Cen­ter dir. of sur­vey re­search/Amer­ic­an Assn for Pub­lic Opin­ion Re­search VP Scott Keeter: “It paints a pic­ture of an elect­or­ate that is po­ten­tially mad­der than it really is. And po­ten­tially more con­ser­vat­ive than it really is.”

Rasmussen “said he didn’t take the cri­ti­cism per­son­ally, but he grew vis­ibly an­noyed when asked why he didn’t make his data — es­pe­cially the per­cent­age of people who re­spon­ded to his firm’s calls — more trans­par­ent.” Rasmussen: “If I really be­lieved for a mo­ment that if we played by the rules of AA­POR or some­body else they would em­brace us as part of the club, we would prob­ably do that. But, num­ber one, we don’t care about be­ing part of the club.”

That ir­rit­a­tion “ex­ten­ded to­ward tra­di­tion­al news out­lets” — in­clud­ing the Wash­ing­ton Post — “that have re­fused to cite his polls.” Rasmussen “ad­ded that he thinks Amer­ic­ans really are in­ter­ested only in horse-race polling.” Rasmussen: “That’s a real­ity you should deal with” (6/17).

Mean­while, Moulit­sas tweeted 6/16 that he hoped to have a new poll­ster for his site in place by 7/1 (Hot­line Twit­ter-watch, 6/16).

What We're Following See More »
CITES CONFLICT OF INTEREST
Lieberman Withdraws from Consideration for FBI Job
4 days ago
THE LATEST
MINIMUM 2 PERCENT GDP
Trump Tells NATO Countries To Pay Up
4 days ago
BREAKING
MANAFORT AND FLYNN
Russians Discussed Influencing Trump Through Aides
4 days ago
THE DETAILS

"American spies collected information last summer revealing that senior Russian intelligence and political officials were discussing how to exert influence over Donald J. Trump through his advisers." The conversations centered around Paul Manafort, who was campaign chairman at the time, and Michael Flynn, former national security adviser and then a close campaign surrogate. Both men have been tied heavily with Russia and Flynn is currently at the center of the FBI investigation into possible collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia.

Source:
BUT WHITE HOUSE MAY USE AGAINST HIM ANYWAY
Ethics Cops Clear Mueller to Work on Trump Case
6 days ago
THE LATEST

"Former FBI Director Robert Mueller has been cleared by U.S. Department of Justice ethics experts to oversee an investigation into possible collusion between then-candidate Donald Trump's 2016 election campaign and Russia." Some had speculated that the White House would use "an ethics rule limiting government attorneys from investigating people their former law firm represented" to trip up Mueller's appointment. Jared Kushner is a client of Mueller's firm, WilmerHale. "Although Mueller has now been cleared by the Justice Department, the White House may still use his former law firm's connection to Manafort and Kushner to undermine the findings of his investigation, according to two sources close to the White House."

Source:
BUSINESSES CAN’T PLEAD FIFTH
Senate Intel to Subpoena Two of Flynn’s Businesses
6 days ago
THE LATEST

Senate Intelligence Committee chairman Richard Burr (R-NC) and ranking member Mark Warner (D-VA) will subpoena two businesses owned by former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. Burr said, "We would like to hear from General Flynn. We'd like to see his documents. We'd like him to tell his story because he publicly said he had a story to tell."

×
×

Welcome to National Journal!

You are currently accessing National Journal from IP access. Please login to access this feature. If you have any questions, please contact your Dedicated Advisor.

Login