Poll: Which State’s Senate Campaign Needs More Attention?

Democratic Political Insiders say the focus should be on Michelle Nunn’s Georgia race.

Points of Light Foundation CEO Michelle Nunn makes brief remarks during the presentation of the 5,000th "Points of Light" Foundation award with President Barack Obama in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC on July 15, 2013. 
National Journal
Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
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Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
July 18, 2014, 1 a.m.

Q: Head­ing in­to the gen­er­al elec­tion, which state’s Sen­ate cam­paign should be get­ting more at­ten­tion?

DEMO­CRATS (85 VOTES)

Michelle Nunn (UPI/Pat Ben­ic)Geor­gia: 40%Iowa: 22%Michigan: 13%Min­nesota: 5%Mis­sis­sippi: 4%Montana: 2%South Dakota: 7%West Vir­gin­ia: 4%Oth­er: 3%

Geor­gia

“Have Geor­gia’s demo­graph­ics changed enough in an off-year elec­tion to provide a vic­tory for Michelle Nunn?”

“After GOP run­off, Geor­gia needs much more me­dia at­ten­tion. Could be a very dy­nam­ic race in a trans­ition­al state.”

“Des­pite the head­winds, Michelle Nunn has a real shot, and if she’s elec­ted, she will cata­pult to the head of the class. Mod­er­ate, South­ern, fe­male? She’s a win­ner.”

Iowa

“Will [Joni] Ernst pop­ular­ize [Sarah] Pal­in’s brash, ballsy style and win? Could be the be­gin­ning of a new phase of  tea-party in­flu­ence if it pro­duces a win­ning strategy.”

“If Dems lose Iowa, they could be in real trouble.”

Michigan

“This is Carl Lev­in’s seat, for cripe’s sake!”

Min­nesota

“The be­lief that [Al] Franken is sol­id is not to be be­lieved.”

Oth­er

“New Hamp­shire is very com­pet­it­ive with Scott Brown in the race. Every state is en­titled to two sen­at­ors, but can­did­ate Scott Brown thinks he is en­titled to two states.”

Q: Head­ing in­to the gen­er­al elec­tion, which state’s Sen­ate cam­paign should be get­ting more at­ten­tion?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (90 VOTES)

Geor­gia: 9%Iowa: 33%Michigan: 22%Min­nesota: 10%Mis­sis­sippi: 1%Montana: 5%South Dakota: 2%West Vir­gin­ia: 3%Oth­er: 15%

Iowa 

“[Bruce] Bra­ley is not nearly as strong as the Wash­ing­ton chat­ter­ing class would want to be true. He still is the fa­vor­ite, but he is far from def­in­ite.”

“A flip here would all but se­cure the GOP ma­jor­ity, but this [is] likely to seesaw through to Novem­ber.”

Geor­gia

“Michelle Nunn’s name and con­tacts will make this a closer race than many think.”

Michigan

“That’s the one most in play for a change in the most un­likely of places.”

“Most Demo­crats could beat [Terri Lynn] Land, but then there’s [Gary] Peters.”

Montana

“Un­der­per­form­ance by Demo­crat­ic can­did­ate makes Montana a prime GOP pickup op­por­tun­ity.”

Oth­er

“Ore­gon. The po­ten­tial to be a very ex­cit­ing race.”

“Col­or­ado. Cory [Gard­ner] is look­ing like the in­cum­bent.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

Q: Heading into the general election, which state's Senate campaign should be getting more attention?

DEMO­CRATS (85 VOTES)

Michelle Nunn (UPI/Pat Ben­ic)Geor­gia: 40%Iowa: 22%Michigan: 13%Min­nesota: 5%Mis­sis­sippi: 4%Montana: 2%South Dakota: 7%West Vir­gin­ia: 4%Oth­er: 3%

Geor­gia

“Have Geor­gia’s demo­graph­ics changed enough in an off-year elec­tion to provide a vic­tory for Michelle Nunn?”

“After GOP run­off, Geor­gia needs much more me­dia at­ten­tion. Could be a very dy­nam­ic race in a trans­ition­al state.”

“Des­pite the head­winds, Michelle Nunn has a real shot, and if she’s elec­ted, she will cata­pult to the head of the class. Mod­er­ate, South­ern, fe­male? She’s a win­ner.”

Iowa

“Will [Joni] Ernst pop­ular­ize [Sarah] Pal­in’s brash, ballsy style and win? Could be the be­gin­ning of a new phase of  tea-party in­flu­ence if it pro­duces a win­ning strategy.”

“If Dems lose Iowa, they could be in real trouble.”

Michigan

“This is Carl Lev­in’s seat, for cripe’s sake!”

Min­nesota

“The be­lief that [Al] Franken is sol­id is not to be be­lieved.”

Oth­er

“New Hamp­shire is very com­pet­it­ive with Scott Brown in the race. Every state is en­titled to two sen­at­ors, but can­did­ate Scott Brown thinks he is en­titled to two states.”

Q: Heading into the general election, which state's Senate campaign should be getting more attention?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (90 VOTES)

Geor­gia: 9%Iowa: 33%Michigan: 22%Min­nesota: 10%Mis­sis­sippi: 1%Montana: 5%South Dakota: 2%West Vir­gin­ia: 3%Oth­er: 15%

Iowa 

“[Bruce] Bra­ley is not nearly as strong as the Wash­ing­ton chat­ter­ing class would want to be true. He still is the fa­vor­ite, but he is far from def­in­ite.”

“A flip here would all but se­cure the GOP ma­jor­ity, but this [is] likely to seesaw through to Novem­ber.”

Geor­gia

“Michelle Nunn’s name and con­tacts will make this a closer race than many think.”

Michigan

“That’s the one most in play for a change in the most un­likely of places.”

“Most Demo­crats could beat [Terri Lynn] Land, but then there’s [Gary] Peters.”

Montana

“Un­der­per­form­ance by Demo­crat­ic can­did­ate makes Montana a prime GOP pickup op­por­tun­ity.”

Oth­er

“Ore­gon. The po­ten­tial to be a very ex­cit­ing race.”

“Col­or­ado. Cory [Gard­ner] is look­ing like the in­cum­bent.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud. 

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