Poll: Will Efforts to Raise the Minimum Wage Help the Democrats?

Michael Catalini, Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms Peter Bell
Feb. 27, 2014, 4 p.m.

On bal­ance, will the min­im­um-wage meas­ures in Con­gress and on vari­ous state bal­lots help Demo­crats at the polls in Novem­ber?

DEMO­CRATS (98 VOTES)

Yes: 95%
No: 5%

Yes

“Min­im­um wage is a real sig­nal to voters whose side you are on. Don’t un­der­es­tim­ate its po­ten­tial.”

“My ad­vice to Demo­crat­ic can­did­ates on the min­im­um wage is, don’t leave home without it. If House Re­pub­lic­ans kill the min­im­um-wage law, it will be­come ‘the GOP be­low-min­im­um-wage eco­nomy.’ “

“Min­im­um wage is a great off-year elec­tion-turnout vehicle and polls well across party lines.”

“It’s a re­mind­er that Re­pub­lic­ans are con­tent to let folks work a full day but still live in poverty.”

“Mar­gin­al, but will the un­em­ployed and low-in­come wage earners come out and vote?”

“Clas­sic polit­ic­al map writ­ing. You’re either in­side the line sup­port­ing the middle class (Dems), or you are not (GOP).”

“A telling ex­ample of who fights for Amer­ica’s work­ing fam­il­ies.”

“It’s about the eco­nomy, stu­pid.”

No

“Low-in­form­a­tion, low-par­ti­cip­a­tion voters for whom this is­sue mat­ters do not show up in midterms.”

On bal­ance, will the min­im­um-wage meas­ures in Con­gress and on vari­ous state bal­lots help Demo­crats at the polls in Novem­ber?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (98 VOTES)

Yes: 46%
No: 54%

Yes

“Like daf­fodils in spring­time, Demo­crats raise the min­im­um-wage is­sue whenev­er they are in trouble. And they’re in trouble.”

“It is def­in­itely a good is­sue for the Demo­crat­ic base.”

“They’ll help D’s be­cause Re­pub­lic­ans have no idea how to talk about this is­sue.”

“The ar­gu­ment against is too com­plex for sound bites.”

“It will help in par­tic­u­lar if Re­pub­lic­ans come off as mean-spir­ited about it.”

“They’ve con­vinced me: A high­er min­im­um wage is a con­sequence-free way to make every­one wealth­i­er. So, why do they pro­pose a paltry $10.10 an hour?”

“Only at the state level. It’ll help their turnout. Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t pas­sion­ate enough on the is­sue to turn out people just to vote against it.”

“It’s stu­pid policy but smart polit­ics.”

No

“Not a vot­ing is­sue for many sup­port­ers. They just like to feel good about them­selves.”

“Thanks to CBO, the White House is los­ing the PR war on the min­im­um wage. The small busi­nesses forced to eat Obama­care and the min­im­um wage will be far more vo­cal in Novem­ber.”

“I just don’t see this is­sue bub­bling up in­to some wedge item. Seems Dems are des­per­ate, so they’re dredging up clas­sic lib­er­al policies. I thought they were bet­ter than that.”

“Very few people make it, and many of them are too young to vote.”

“Demo­crats get points for try­ing to change the sub­ject, but the min­im­um wage is more of a niche play than it used to be — and voters who are de­cid­ing on that is­sue aren’t go­ing to vote Re­pub­lic­an any­way.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

On balance, will the minimum-wage measures in Congress and on various state ballots help Democrats at the polls in November?

DEMO­CRATS (98 VOTES)

Yes: 95%
No: 5%

Yes

“Min­im­um wage is a real sig­nal to voters whose side you are on. Don’t un­der­es­tim­ate its po­ten­tial.”

“My ad­vice to Demo­crat­ic can­did­ates on the min­im­um wage is, don’t leave home without it. If House Re­pub­lic­ans kill the min­im­um-wage law, it will be­come ‘the GOP be­low-min­im­um-wage eco­nomy.’ “

“Min­im­um wage is a great off-year elec­tion-turnout vehicle and polls well across party lines.”

“It’s a re­mind­er that Re­pub­lic­ans are con­tent to let folks work a full day but still live in poverty.”

“Mar­gin­al, but will the un­em­ployed and low-in­come wage earners come out and vote?”

“Clas­sic polit­ic­al map writ­ing. You’re either in­side the line sup­port­ing the middle class (Dems), or you are not (GOP).”

“A telling ex­ample of who fights for Amer­ica’s work­ing fam­il­ies.”

“It’s about the eco­nomy, stu­pid.”

No

“Low-in­form­a­tion, low-par­ti­cip­a­tion voters for whom this is­sue mat­ters do not show up in midterms.”

On balance, will the minimum-wage measures in Congress and on various state ballots help Democrats at the polls in November?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (98 VOTES)

Yes: 46%
No: 54%

Yes

“Like daf­fodils in spring­time, Demo­crats raise the min­im­um-wage is­sue whenev­er they are in trouble. And they’re in trouble.”

“It is def­in­itely a good is­sue for the Demo­crat­ic base.”

“They’ll help D’s be­cause Re­pub­lic­ans have no idea how to talk about this is­sue.”

“The ar­gu­ment against is too com­plex for sound bites.”

“It will help in par­tic­u­lar if Re­pub­lic­ans come off as mean-spir­ited about it.”

“They’ve con­vinced me: A high­er min­im­um wage is a con­sequence-free way to make every­one wealth­i­er. So, why do they pro­pose a paltry $10.10 an hour?”

“Only at the state level. It’ll help their turnout. Re­pub­lic­ans aren’t pas­sion­ate enough on the is­sue to turn out people just to vote against it.”

“It’s stu­pid policy but smart polit­ics.”

No

“Not a vot­ing is­sue for many sup­port­ers. They just like to feel good about them­selves.”

“Thanks to CBO, the White House is los­ing the PR war on the min­im­um wage. The small busi­nesses forced to eat Obama­care and the min­im­um wage will be far more vo­cal in Novem­ber.”

“I just don’t see this is­sue bub­bling up in­to some wedge item. Seems Dems are des­per­ate, so they’re dredging up clas­sic lib­er­al policies. I thought they were bet­ter than that.”

“Very few people make it, and many of them are too young to vote.”

“Demo­crats get points for try­ing to change the sub­ject, but the min­im­um wage is more of a niche play than it used to be — and voters who are de­cid­ing on that is­sue aren’t go­ing to vote Re­pub­lic­an any­way.”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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