SPOTLIGHT

Field of Dreams

Guy Cecil of the Democratic Senetorial Campaign Committee. 
National Journal
Scott Bland
See more stories about...
Scott Bland
Feb. 6, 2014, 6:50 a.m.

The New York Times has the big Sen­ate story Thursday on Demo­crats’ plan to make the midterm elect­or­ate more friendly. It’s also an­oth­er sig­nal to al­lies about why the party needs help on TV.

— The DSCC will run a $60 mil­lion field op­er­a­tion, us­ing a staff of thou­sands to find, re­gister, and turn out eli­gible but ir­reg­u­lar voters in 10 states. If this was easy, it wouldn’t be in­ter­est­ing, but it might be the best path for­ward for Dems. The voters are out there: It took over 2 mil­lion voters to win North Car­o­lina in the 2008 and 2012 elec­tions, but Sen. Richard Burr (R) won in a re­l­at­ive land­slide with few­er than 1.5 mil­lion votes in 2010.

— The “Rising Amer­ic­an Elect­or­ate” on which Demo­crats rely so heav­ily (minor­it­ies, young people and un­mar­ried wo­men) turns out in droves in pres­id­en­tial years and grows each time, but it lags 10 years be­hind in midterms: RAE turnout in the 2010 midterms ba­sic­ally matched its 2000 pres­id­en­tial turnout. This turnout pro­ject is Demo­crats’ at­tempt to build a time ma­chine for the midterms.

— Don’t miss an im­port­ant sub­text in the NYT, where Sen­ate Dem strategists again not-so-subtly call for help in the TV war. AFP has already spent $27 mil­lion, most of it against Demo­crat­ic sen­at­ors, and the me­dia has been full of ap­peals for big Demo­crat­ic donors to step up. DSCC dir­ect­or Guy Cecil say­ing he’s “not will­ing to sac­ri­fice the turnout op­er­a­tion” looks like an­oth­er nudge for help on the air­waves.

The early TV battle right now is catch­ing eyes now, but field pro­grams will play a crit­ic­al role later. Demo­crats will hope they have money be­hind both.

What We're Following See More »
WILL APPEAR TOGETHER TOMORROW
As Expected, Clinton Goes with Kaine
1 days ago
THE LATEST
SO MUCH FOR THE RATINGS BUMP
Convention Ratings Same as 2012
1 days ago
THE LATEST
8,000 DOCUMENTS
Wikileaks Releases Trove of DNC Docs
1 days ago
THE DETAILS

"Wikileaks published more than 8,000 documents purportedly taken from the Democratic National Committee Friday, just days before the start of the party's convention in Philadelphia. The documents included briefings on off-the-record fundraisers and candid photographs."

Source:
YES, WE KAINE?
Clinton Announcing VP Pick Today
1 days ago
THE LATEST

Hillary Clinton "is widely expected to announce her choice" of vice president "in an email to supporters while on a campaign swing in Florida on Friday afternoon." The consensus: it'll be Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, although Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey and Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack are also said to be in the running.

Source:
EARLY BUMP FOR TRUMP?
New Round of Polls Show a Tight Race
1 days ago
THE LATEST
  • A Rasmussen Reports poll shows Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton, 43%-42%, the fourth week in a row he's led the poll (one of the few poll in which he's led consistently of late).
  • A Reuters/Ipsos survey shows Clinton leading 40%-36%. In a four-way race, she maintains her four-point lead, 39%-35%, with Gary Johnson and Jill Stein pulling 7% and 3%, respectively.
  • And the LA Times/USC daily tracking poll shows a dead heat, with Trump ahead by about half a percentage point.
×