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Walsh Appears to Have Plagiarized Thesis; Obama Cuts Ad for Abercrombie; WI GOV Remains Dead Heat Walsh Appears to Have Plagiarized Thesis; Obama Cuts Ad for Abercrombi...

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Walsh Appears to Have Plagiarized Thesis; Obama Cuts Ad for Abercrombie; WI GOV Remains Dead Heat

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • In MT SEN, "one of the highest-profile credentials of" Sen. John Walsh's (D) "33-year military career appears to have been improperly attained. An examination of the final paper required for ... Walsh's master's degree from the United States Army War College indicates the senator appropriated at least a quarter of his thesis on American Middle East policy from other authors' works, with no attribution. ... Walsh completed the paper ... to earn his degree in 2007, when he was 46. ... [A]fter he was presented with multiple examples of identical passages from his paper and the Carnegie and Harvard essays, ... Walsh said he did not believe he had done anything wrong." (New York Times)
  • Walsh later told the AP that "his failure to attribute conclusions and verbatim passages lifted from other scholars' work in his thesis ... was an unintentional mistake caused in part by post-traumatic stress disorder. ... National Democrats said Wednesday they remained '100 percent behind Sen. Walsh' in his campaign against" Rep. Steve Daines (R). (AP)
  • In AK SEN, Alaska's Energy, America's Values, a super PAC supporting former Attorney General Dan Sullivan (R), is up with a new TV ad casting doubts about Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell (R) and 2010 nominee Joe Miller (R), while tying Sen. Mark Begich (D) to President Obama. (AmandaCoyne.com)
  • In AR SEN, Sen. Mark Pryor (D) released a new TV ad focusing on his efforts to help a military widow recieve benefits. (release)
  • In KY SEN, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is out with a new TV ad touting his efforts to save manufacturing jobs in the state. (release)
  • In LA SEN, Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) released a new TV ad accusing Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) of voting with Obama 97% of the time. (release)
  • In NC SEN, Crossroads GPS launched a new TV ad attacking Sen. Kay Hagan (D) over the national debt. (Hotline reporting)
  • In TN SEN, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) endorsed state Rep. Joe Carr (R). (release)
  • In IA-02, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) will attend a fundraiser for former Iowa Department of Public Health director Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) on Aug. 5. (Quad-City TImes)
  • In MI-03, Rep. Justin Amash (R) released a new TV ad in which the narrator says Amash has never missed a vote while in Congress. (Daily Kos)
  • In NH-01, former Rep. Frank Guinta (R) and University of New Hampshire professor Dan Innis (R) "sparred Wednesday over the federal Patriot Act, raising gas taxes and career politicians during the first broadcast debate of Republican candidates." (Nashua Telegraph)
  • In CT GOV, 2010 candidate Tom Foley (R) said "the right thing for" state Senate Minority Leader John McKinney (R) "to do is to drop out of the race and endorse me." (New London Day)
  • In HI GOV, Obama recorded a radio ad for Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D), "describing the governor as a partner who made 'gutsy decisions' to tackle a state budget crisis and invest in early childhood education." (Honolulu Star-Advertiser)
  • In IL GOV, businessman Bruce Rauner (R) released a new TV ad highlighting some of the unfavorable headlines Gov. Pat Quinn (D) has faced this year. "It's time to change direction," Rauner says. (release)
  • In NH GOV, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) "will appear at a Washington, D.C. area fundraiser for" businessman Walt Havenstein (R) on July 30. (NH Journal)
  • In NM GOV, Gov. Susana Martinez (R) released a new TV ad focusing on her efforts to improve education. (New Mexico Telegram)
  • In RI GOV, Providence Mayor Angel Taveras (D) "seeks ... to refute" state Treasurer Gina Raimondo's (D) "attempts to blame him for Rhode Island's high-unemployment rate" in his latest TV ad. (Providence Journal)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In WI GOV, a new Marquette University Law School poll of RVs, conducted July 17-20, shows Gov. Scott Walker (R) edging former Trek executive Mary Burke (D) 46-45%. Among LVs, Burke leads 47-46%. In a mid-May poll, Walker and Burke were tied at 45% among RVs, while Walker led 48-45% among LVs. (release)
  • In CA GOV, a new Public Policy Institute of California poll of LVs, conducted July 8-15, shows Gov. Jerry Brown (D) leading former Treasury Department official Neel Kashkari (R) 52-33%. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• For months now, all signs have been pointing to Dan Sullivan as the Republican challenger to Mark Begich, but these past two weeks have reminded us how difficult it is to speculate on Alaska. Pollsters inside the state claim the primary race is closer than it looks, and we're now seeing some evidence to back that up. Both sides have turned their fire on Mead Treadwell, including email blasts from the Begich campaign and a negative ad from a pro-Sullivan super PAC. -- Andrea Drusch

• Hillary Clinton has led hometown Republicans Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush in all six of Quinnipiac's Florida 2016 polls in the last year and a half, often by sizable margins. Over the same time period, Clinton has trailed Rand Paul in every Colorado matchup run by the same pollster -- perhaps the most interesting, unusual pattern in all the early 2016 coverage and polling. -- Scott Bland

• There's been a noticeable lack of internal polls released by Democrats in major races lately, and now that we see one, it shows Manan Trivedi trailing Ryan Costello by 5 points. Trivedi's campaign says it's "good news both in terms of what we have done and where we need to go in the next 100 days." But considering the uphill battle Democrats face this cycle, it can't be a good sign that after roughly two months with barely any Democratic internal polls, this one shows a Republican leading. -- Jack Fitzpatrick

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Around the country, in statehouses and mayor's suites, in city council chambers and local police agencies, the challenge of housing tens of thousands of unaccompanied Central American migrant children is forcing an emotional, uncomfortable and politically treacherous conversation on policymakers at every level. In the weeks and months since large numbers of migrant children began showing up in the Rio Grande Valley, federal officials have turned to states as far north as New England and many places in between in the search for places to keep the children while the government figures out whether to unite them with family members in the United States or deport them. But, even in places where the administration can usually count on support, it has frequently been met by resistance, suspicion or, in some cases, plain old puzzlement." (Washington Post)
  • MI GOV candidate/former Rep. Mark Schauer (D) "admitted Wednesday he voted Republican in Michigan's 2012 presidential primary, but declined to say who he voted for. ... The Michigan Republican Party is criticizing Schauer's cross-over vote because earlier this year he discouraged a group of Democratic supporters from participating in the" MI-11 "Republican primary." (Detroit News)
  • NY GOV candidate/Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino (R) "is planning on confronting" New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) "over comments he made earlier in the week about his campaign's viability." Christie and Astorino are in Aspen for RGA events. (ABC News)
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), "arguing that conservative social values boost prosperity, Wednesday laid out an extended case for opposing gay marriage in a speech that cited economic and historical arguments while avoiding talk of morals and religion." (Wall Street Journal)
  • "Is Tom Cotton too extreme? Too robotic? Or the next big thing in Arkansas politics?" (Arkansas Times)
  • "We must close loopholes that allow for individuals to be released from federal custody between hearings. Except for those deserving few who may demonstrate true cause for asylum or protection from sex trafficking, these children must be returned to their homes in Central America." -- Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), on the unaccompanied minors crossing the border, in an op-ed (Wall Street Journal)
  • Former Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS) "returned on Wednesday to the institution he once led, his posture more slumped, his legs less sturdy, but his wits still sharp. Surrounded by a bipartisan group of lawmakers, ... Dole ... implored the Senate to act swiftly to ratify a treaty that would provide greater protections for disabled people all over the world." (New York Times)
  • Baseball legend Hank Aaron sent an email pushing for a "money bomb" for GA SEN candidate/philanthropist Michelle Nunn (D). "The fundraising pitch ends with Aaron urging supporters to send in $7.55 within 24 hours." For those who aren't baseball fans: Aaron hit 755 home runs during his MLB career. (WXIA-TV)
  • "If this was a scam, I'd be in Southern Texas or Southern Florida or Southern California in January, not Iowa." -- National Draft Ben Carson for President campaign director Vernon Robinson, on his group's fundraising and spending patterns. (National Journal)
  • "It took about six months, but" Christie and former New Jersey Gov. Tom Kean (R) "are speaking again. ... [T]heir relationship turned icy in November, after Christie unsuccessfully attempted to oust Kean's son," state Sen. Tom Kean Jr. (R), "from his post as senate minority leader." Kean: "The governor and I are getting along just fine." (Newark Star-Ledger)
  • "No offense, 'Scandal''s a great show but it's not something we necessarily want to be living out day in and day out." -- Obama, at a fundraiser hosted by "Scandal" creator Shonda Rhimes (Los Angeles Times)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

How Cable News Covers Obamacare

 

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Vice President Biden delivers remarks at the National Urban League's Annual Conference in Cincinnati. (9:15 a.m.)
  • The Senate returns at 9:30 a.m., while the House is back at 10 a.m.
  • House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi holds a meeting with President of Guatemala Otto Perez Molina and President of Honduras Juan Orlando Hernandez. (Capitol, 10 a.m.)
  • House Democrats hold a meeting with officials from the Rio Grande Valley and the Brownsville, Texas office of Catholic Charities to discuss the surge in unaccompanied children crossing the border. (Capitol, 12 p.m.)
  • Obama attends a DNC event in Los Angeles. (12:50 p.m.)
  • Obama delivers remarks on job-driven skills training at the Los Angeles Trade-Technical College. (4:25 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • The three future presidents who dropped their given first name and chose to be called by their middle name: Stephen Grover Cleveland, Thomas Woodrow Wilson, and John Calvin Coolidge
  • The winner is Duncan S. Davie. Here's today's Swizzle Challenge: "Aside from those who died in office, which president served the least amount of time in the White House?" The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"Joe must go!" -- Chants from a crowd of Democrats at a rally for former Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray (D), who is challenging Rep. Joe Heck (R) in NV-03 (Las Vegas Sun)

...CHASER

"I want to make it clear: Not all Joes are cut from the same cloth." -- Biden, speaking at the same rally (Las Vegas Sun)

Adam Wollner, Editor

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