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Hotline's Wake-Up Call! / WAKE-UP CALL

Voters Head to Polls in Va., N.J., N.Y.C., Ala. House Runoff; New TV Ads in Ky., N.C. Senate Races

November 5, 2013

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

ELECTION DAY 2013

  • VA GOV (Polls close at 7 p.m. ET): Former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe (D) and Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R) "crisscrossed the commonwealth Monday, their ticket mates and key surrogates in tow, to energize voters in an acrimonious race that has drawn the eyes of the nation." (Norfolk Virginian-Pilot)
  • NJ GOV (8 p.m.): Polls "predicting a commanding win" for Gov. Chris Christie (R) over state Sen. Barbara Buono (D) have Republicans "hopeful that they could capitalize on Christie's popularity by swinging Democratic voters" in state legislative races. (Philadelphia Inquirer)
  • New York City mayor (9 p.m.): "Unlike the breakneck final day of mayoral races past," Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) "had just three campaign events" on Monday, "the final at 3 p.m., reflecting confidence in polls that show him with an overwhelming lead" over former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R). (New York Daily News)
  • AL-01 GOP primary runoff (7 p.m. CT/8 p.m. ET): Tuesday's "faceoff between" 2012 candidate Dean Young (R) and 2010 GOV candidate Bradley Byrne (R) "is a living reflection of the Republican Party's internal divide." (AL.com)
  • Atlanta mayor (7 p.m.): Mayor Kasim Reed (D) "is considered a favorite to secure a second, four-year term." (AP)
  • Boston mayor (8 p.m.): City Councilor John Connolly on Monday "sharpened his argument that" state Rep. Marty Walsh (D) "will struggle to be an independent broker after receiving so much financial and field support from labor unions. Walsh, who has opened an edge in the polls, avoided directly confronting his rival, promising instead to be attentive to the needs of residents throughout the city." (Boston Globe)
  • Charlotte mayor (7:30 p.m.): The race between Mayor Pro Tem Patrick Cannon (D) and former city Councilor Edwin Peacock (R) "grew testy in the closing days of the campaign, with the candidates battling over the city's financial support of the Carolina Panthers in their stadium renovations." (Charlotte Observer)
  • Cincinnati mayor (7:30 p.m.): Term-limited Mayor Mark Mallory (D) has endorsed Vice Mayor Roxanne Qualls (D) as his successor, while former city Councilor John Cranley (D) is supported by former Mayor Charlie Luken (D). (Cincinnati Enquirer)
  • Cleveland mayor (7:30 p.m.): Mayor Frank Jackson (D) "is seeking a third term," facing off against businessman Ken Lanci (D), who "is counting on the city police union's endorsement and concerns about crime and jobs" and "has put more than $400,000 into his campaign." (AP)
  • Detroit mayor (8 p.m.): Wayne County Sheriff Benny Napoleon (D) and former Detroit Medical Center CEO Mike Duggan (D) on Monday "spent the final hours before the big day pressing flesh and continuing their message -- each promising to raise a city that has filed for Chapter 9 bankruptcy up from the ashes." (Detroit Free Press)
  • Houston mayor (7 p.m. CT/8 p.m. ET): Mayor Annise Parker (D) "is seeking a final two-year term against" former City Attorney Ben Hall (D), "who largely has self-funded his campaign. ... The question is whether Parker will fail to top 50 percent of the vote and be pulled into a runoff, a fate she only barely avoided two years ago against five underfunded foes." (Houston Chronicle)
  • Miami mayor (7 p.m.): Mayor Tomás Regalado (R) "is facing three relative unknowns as he vies for a second and final term." (Miami Herald)
  • Minneapolis mayor (8 p.m. CT/9 p.m. ET): "Voters in Minneapolis on Tuesday confronted a ballot containing 35 candidates for mayor and a potentially confusing process of choosing first, second and third choices in the race." The city's "unusually low $20 filing fee ... prompted the flood of wannabe successors," who include "an Occupy Wall Street activist named Captain Jack Sparrow," "frequent candidates Bob Carney and Ole Savior" and "representatives of such unique political parties as Legacy-Next Generation, Local Energy/Food, and Pirate Party (oddly enough, not Captain Jack Sparrow)." (AP)
  • Pittsburgh mayor (8 p.m.): City Councilor Bill Peduto (D) "is a heavy favorite" against security consultant Josh Wander (R), who "sold his Squirrel Hill home and has been working in Israel." (Pittsburgh Tribune-Review)
  • Seattle mayor (8 p.m. PT/11 p.m. ET): Mayor Mike McGinn (D) "spent his final afternoon of campaigning in south Seattle," while state Sen. Ed Murray (D), leading in the polls, "used the day to embrace what he called his 'team of rivals,' including some who ran against him in the primary but have now endorsed him -- all to show that he is able to work with a broad range of people." (New York Times)

WHAT'S NEWS

  • The Senate advanced the Employment Non-Discrimination Act on Monday, 61-30, boosted by the support of 7 Republicans. A final vote could come as early as Wednesday. (National Journal Daily)
  • In KY SEN, the outside group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, "which was set up to support" Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell's (R) reelection, "is going on the air this week" with a $340,000 ad buy tying Secretary of State Allison Lundergan Grimes (D) to President Obama's "controversial promise ... to let Americans keep their private health insurance plans." (Politico)
  • In NH SEN, after deciding not to run for the Senate, former Rep. Charles Bass (R) called former Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) to encourage him to run instead. Bass: "He didn't make any commitment one way or another. I told him this was not going to be a challenge I was taking on, and urged him to give the opportunity serious consideration." (Hotline reporting)
  • In NC SEN, Senate Majority PAC launched a new TV ad that they said "debunks ... the false attacks" levied against Sen. Kay Hagan (D) by Americans for Prosperity. (release)
  • In his long-awaited FL GOV announcement on Monday, former GOP Gov. Charlie Crist (D) "took aim" at Gov. Rick Scott (R), marking "the start of what is likely to be the most negative and lavishly funded campaign Florida has ever seen." (Tampa Bay Times)
  • "Stressing education, tax reform and, especially, jobs and economic development," Cranston Mayor Allan Fung (R) unveiled his RI GOV campaign on Monday "before a crowd of more than 150 supporters." (Providence Journal)
  • At a gathering of Protestant pastors in Columbia, S.C., on Monday, at which "attendees laid their hands upon Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and asked God to grant him the strength to continue to be 'as bold as a lion' and 'fearless before all men,'" Cruz "devoted the bulk of his remarks to the economy and how Republicans should hammer home the themes of growth and opportunity to counter Democrats." (U.S. News & World Report)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

• In Virginia, pay close attention to the state's swing suburban counties: Prince William, Loudoun (NoVa), Henrico and Chesterfield (Richmond), and Virginia Beach City/Chesapeake City (Tidewater). Bob McDonnell won all of these counties by double-digit margins; Ken Cuccinelli could lose all of them, except Chesterfield (where Cuccinelli's margins will be a telling bellwether).

• A pro-Mitch McConnell super PAC's new TV ad is a microcosm of what we'll see on the air next year. The new spot is the first televised ad in the country to tie a Democrat to Obama's promise that Americans would be able to keep their insurance plans under the Affordable Care Act. But it also seeks to refute an Alison Lundergan Grimes web ad that blamed McConnell for the government shutdown and hurting the state's economy. Kentucky, likely the most expensive race in the country, is heating up already and could serve as an early testing ground for both parties' messages ahead of 2014.

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL), "in his first speech from the Senate floor since suffering a major stroke in January 2012, urged his colleagues Monday to support" ENDA. Kirk "asked permission from the presiding officer to deliver his remarks while seated, and addressed the Senate for about a minute." (Chicago Tribune)
  • Rep. Joaquín Castro (D-TX) "wed his expectant fiancee, Anna Flores, Saturday during a private ceremony attended only by family." (Roll Call)
  • Former Rep. William Coyne (D-PA), "who championed struggling U.S. cities and the poor during his 22 years" in the House, "died Nov. 3 at a hospital in Pittsburgh. He was 77." (Washington Post)
  • "Superfast rock-paper-scissors robot 'wins' every time" (BBC News)
  • "A Traitor to His Class? Such Good Fun." (New York Times)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

Premium Obamacare

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph, becoming south around 5 mph this afternoon.
  • The Senate is back at 10 a.m.
  • National Review's 2014 Election Preview, featuring Robert Costa, Ryan Lizza, Kellyanne Conway, Joshua Green and John Fund. (101 Constitution Ave. NW, noon)
  • McAuliffe and Democrats hold their election-night shindig at the Sheraton Premiere at Tysons Corner, while Cuccinelli parties at the Richmond Marriott.
  • The Caps host the Islanders. (Verizon Center, 7 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • John Calhoun and Spiro Agnew resigned as vice president.
  • The winner is Daniel Magleby, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "The last two secretaries of State left the Senate to serve in the executive branch. Who was the first person to serve in the Senate prior to being confirmed as secretary of State?" The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

HOTLINE'S ELECTION CHALLENGE

  • We have a prize set aside for the Wake-Up Call! reader who most closely predicts the results of the three big races on Tuesday. To enter, send your name and predictions in Virginia, New Jersey and New York City by 5 p.m. Tuesday. You should give us the winning candidate and his/her vote share. For example: McAuliffe 48%, Christie 63%, de Blasio 66%. Predictions not made to the nearest whole percentage point will be rounded to the nearest whole percentage point.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"I don't think I have had access like this since 2000, with [then-Presidential candidate John McCain's] Straight Talk Express." -- CNN's Jake Tapper, who "will be embedded ... with Christie for Election Day" (Capital New York)

...CHASER

"The two press buses in South Carolina are known as Bulls--- 1 and Bulls--- 2, names conceived as usual by the extremely cool and laid-back NBC News cameraman Jim C. and -- to their credit -- immediately seized on and used with great glee at every opportunity by McCain's younger Press Liaisons, who are themselves so cool and unpretentious it's tempting to suspect that they are professionally cool and unpretentious." -- David Foster Wallace, on the WH '00 trail (Rolling Stone)

Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief

Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

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