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Runoff Likely in MS: Hotline's Wake-Up Call! - Brought to you by the Barbara Lee Family Foundation Runoff Likely in MS: Hotline's Wake-Up Call! - Brought to you by the B...

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Runoff Likely in MS: Hotline's Wake-Up Call! - Brought to you by the Barbara Lee Family Foundation

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

JUNE 3 PRIMARY RESULTS

  • In MS SEN, neither Sen. Thad Cochran (R) "nor his tea-party backed ... primary challenger," state Sen. Chris McDaniel (R), "appeared able to secure the majority they needed to win their party's nomination ... Tuesday night. That triggers a June 24 runoff, extending their nasty campaign — and the accompanying expensive barrage of television advertising." (Hotline reporting)
  • Results, with 99.5% of precincts reporting: McDaniel 49.6%, Cochran 48.9%, former realtor Thomas Carey (R) 1.6%. (AP)
  • In IA SEN, state Sen. Joni Ernst (R), "who highlighted her ability to shoot guns and castrate hogs to overcome disinterest in a sleepy primary election, dominated the field to become the first female GOP U.S. Senate nominee in Iowa history." She will face Rep. Bruce Braley (D) in the general election. (Des Moines Register)
  • Results, with 99% of precincts reporting: Ernst 56%, radio talk show host Sam Clovis (R) 18%, businessman Mark Jacobs (R) 17%, former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker (R) 8%. (AP)
  • In CA GOV, Gov. Jerry Brown (D) "romped to victory in Tuesday's ... primary and in November will face" former Treasury Department official Neel Kashkari (R), "who emerged from a fractious intra-party battle to win a chance to take on the incumbent." (Los Angeles Times)
  • Results, with 100% of precincts reporting: Brown 54%, Kashkari 19%, state Assemblyman Tim Donnelly (R) 15%. (AP)
  • In AL-06, state Rep. Paul DeMarco (R) and Alabama Policy Institute co-founder Gary Palmer (R) advanced to a July 15 runoff after finishing with 33% and 20% of the vote respectively with 100% of precincts reporting in the GOP primary. (AP)
  • In CA-07, Rep. Ami Bera (D) will face former Rep. Doug Ose (R) in the general election. With 100% of precincts reporting, Bera took 47% in the primary, compared to 27% for Ose and 17% for former congressional aide Igor Birman (R). (AP)
  • In CA-31, retired Navy officer Paul Chabot (R) clinched a spot in the general election, but his opponent has yet to be determined. With 100% of precincts reporting, Redlands Mayor Pete Aguilar (D) is in second place with former congressional aide Lesli Gooch (R) and attorney Eloise Gomez Reyes (D) each just a few hundred voted behind. (AP)
  • In CA-33, the race is still too close to call. With 100% of precincts reporting, Los Angeles County Deputy District Attorney Elan Carr (R) is in first place with 21%, while state Sen. Ted Lieu (D) is in second with 19% and former Los Angeles City Controller Wendy Greuel (D) is in third with 17%. (AP)
  • In IA-01, state Rep. Pat Murphy (D) won the Democratic primary with 37% of the vote with 100% of precincts reporting, and will face businessman Rod Blum (R) in November. (AP)
  • In IA-03, the "Republican nomination ... will be decided by a convention after none of the six candidates reached the 35 percent threshold required to make the general election ballot." (AP)
  • In MS-04, the five-candidate GOP primary is still too close to call, but Rep. Steven Palazzo (R) leads former Democratic Rep. Gene Taylor (R) 51-43% with 100% of precincts reporting. (AP)
  • In MT-AL, former state Sen. Ryan Zinke (R) won the GOP primary, taking 33% of the vote with 94% of precincts reporting. (AP)
  • In NJ-03, former Randolph Township Mayor Tom MacArthur (R) defeated 2013 SEN nominee Steve Lonegan (R) 60-40% in the GOP primary with 99% of precincts reporting. MacArthur will take on attorney Aimee Belgard (D) in November. (AP)
  • In NJ-12, state Assemblywoman Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) won the Democratic primary, earning 43% of the vote with 99% of precincts reporting, and will be the heavy favorite to win the general election. (AP)
  • In SD SEN, former Gov. Mike Rounds (R) won the GOP primary with 56% of the vote with 100% of precincts reporting, earning the right to face former Senate aide Rick Weiland (D) in the general election. (AP)
  • In NM GOV, Attorney General Gary King (D) will face Gov. Susana Martinez (R) in the fall after winning the Democratic primary with 34% of the vote with 93% of precincts reporting. (AP)

WHAT'S NEWS

  • Former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords's (D-AZ) "gun control super PAC, Americans for Responsible Solutions, announced Tuesday that it will jump into seven Senate and four House races this year." On the Senate side, the group will support Sens. Mark Udall (D-CO), Mary Landrieu (D-LA), Susan Collins (R-ME), Al Franken (D-MN), Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), and Kay Hagan (D-NC), and Braley in IA SEN. On the House side, ARS will back Reps. Ron Barber (D-AZ), Carol Shea-Porter (D-NH), Ann McLane Kuster (D-NH), and Mike Fitzpatrick (R-PA). (Wall Street Journal)
  • In GA SEN, Rep. Phil Gingrey (R) "is set to endorse" Rep. Jack Kingston (R). (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • In MI SEN, the DSCC "reserved almost $1.2 million for ads set to run during the last five weeks before Election Day in the Flint and Grand Rapids markets." (Washington Post)
  • In the OK SEN Special, Rep. James Lankford (R) released a new TV ad highlighting his efforts to fight President Obama in the House. (Hotline reporting)
  • In FL-26, the LIBRE Initiative launched a new Spanish-language TV and online ad attacking Rep. Joe Garcia (D) for voting to increase the debt. (release)
  • In ME-02, Women Vote!, EMILY's List's super PAC arm, released a new TV ad state praising Sen. Emily Cain (D) as "a fighter for Maine." (Politico)
  • In WV-03, the American Energy Alliance launched a new TV ad attacking Rep. Nick Rahall (D) over the Obama administration's proposed EPA regulations. The total TV and online ad buy is for $140,000, and the spot will run for three weeks. (Hotline reporting)
  • In AZ GOV, state Treasurer Doug Ducey (R) released a new TV ad touting his plan on immigration, taxes and education. (Arizona Daily Star)
  • In CO GOV, Secretary of State Scott Gessler (R) is out with a new TV ad highlighting that he previously defeated a Democratic incumbent. (Denver Post)
  • In GA GOV, state Sen. Jason Carter (D) released two 60-second TV ads, his first spots of the campaign. Both are biographical in nature and highlight his "education-first budget." (release)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In PA GOV, a new Quinnipiac University poll of RVs, conducted May 29-June 2, shows businessman Tom Wolf (D) leading Gov. Tom Corbett (R) 53-33%. (release)
  • In RI GOV, a new WPRI-TV/Providence Journal poll of RVs, conducted May 27-May 30, shows Providence Mayor Angel Taveras (D) leading the Democratic primary with 33%, while state Treasurer Gina Raimondo (D) is at 29% and former Department of Education official Clay Pell (D) is at 12%. (WPRI-TV)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• Outside groups are about to take on an even larger role in the Mississippi Senate primary, as both Thad Cochran and Chris McDaniel are basically broke to defend themselves in the next three weeks. Pre-primary filings showed Cochran with about $680,000 and McDaniel with less than $250,000 left in the bank, money that's probably long gone since then. -- Andrea Drusch

• The primary was ultimately very close, but Cochran did finish behind McDaniel, and examples of incumbents going on to win runoffs after finishing second in the initial primary are few and far between. That, plus the spate of recent articles questioning whether Cochran is still up to the job of being a senator, don't bode well for the runoff. -- Scott Bland

• Democrats are praying to avoid a repeat of their 2012 disaster in CA-31; Pete Aguilar is holding on to a 390-vote lead over Lesli Gooch and is just barely on track to head to the general election against Paul Chabot (R), whom he would be favored to beat. The primary results raise serious questions, like how Democrats almost failed to get a candidate into the general election in a liberal district in two consecutive cycles. But the bigger mystery is what Democrats should have done to stop it from happening. Should the DCCC have spent more backing Aguilar instead of sending mail ads against Gooch? How much would it have helped Aguilar if more groups joined EMILY's List and the League of Conservation Voters in opposing former Rep. Joe Baca, who helped splinter the Democratic vote? If Democrats can't figure out how to concentrate enough support behind a single candidate, California's top-two primary system is going to continue giving them trouble. -- Jack Fitzpatrick 

• Turnout was way down in California's primaries yesterday, which didn't seem to rouse much interest from the public. In the country's most populous state just 3.1 million people cast ballots in the gubernatorial primary, down from 5.6 million four years ago. That represents 18% of all California registered voters, and just 13% of all eligible voters, and it may help explain how the comparatively small, low-cost endeavors put forth by Kashkari's allies at the eleventh hour, like mailers and phone calls, made a big difference. -- Karyn Bruggeman

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

    "The No. 1 thing Seattle police officers noticed Sunday at the East Precinct station was a fire in the alley. The next thing was No. 2." (AP)

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Meet the Mississippi Man Who Just Cost Republican Donors Millions" (Hotline reporting)
  • AR SEN candidate/Rep. Tom Cotton (R), an Iraq War veteran, "harshly criticized the Obama administration for its handling of the Bowe Bergdahl prisoner swap, ... calling it a 'grievous error' from the president that puts American troops at risk." (National Journal)
  • The FEC "will drop its investigation of" former Rep. Rob Andrews (D-NJ) "over allegations that he improperly used tens of thousands of dollars in campaign donations to pay for a family trip to Scotland and a party at his home, as well as to support his daughter’s acting career." (Politico)
  • "Months after being accused of slashing dozens of car tires," 2012 NM-01 candidate Gary Smith (R) "has been sentenced to prison for aggravated stalking and misdemeanor stalking." (Sante Fe Reporter)
  • "A group of high-wattage technology entrepreneurs and investors ... provided matching funds that doubled the $1.1 million raised online in two weeks last month by the Mayday PAC," a super PAC "aimed at curtailing the influence of big money in politics." (Washington Post)
  • "Ten months after taking the job," former Rep. Rodney Alexander (R-LA) "is stepping away from his position as Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs to become a state and federal government lobbyist." (New Orleans Times-Picayune)
  • "Grace Garcia, the executive director of the Democratic women-in-politics group Annie's List, was killed in a fatal car accident in Waxahachie (Texas) on Monday. ... Garcia came to work for Annie's List after serving" then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) "as a senior adviser in the Office of the Chief of Protocol." (Texas Tribune)
  • "State elections officials said ... that a preliminary review of the paperwork shows that a constitutional amendment on legislative term limits backed by" IL GOV nominee/businessman Bruce Rauner (R) "should have enough signatures to be eligible for the Nov. 4 ballot." (Chicago Tribune)
  • "Zero precincts reporting from Covington County. An election commissioner just told me she's home in bed & can't give us numbers. #MSSen" -- AP Mississippi political reporter Emily Wagster Pettus, in a tweet at 11:47 p.m. ET
  • "It made for a couple of surreal scenes: cops searching the homes of Utah's two former top law-enforcement officers. Federal and state agents served warrants Monday on the Sandy houses of" former Attorney General John Swallow (R) "and his predecessor," Mark Shurtleff (R). (Salt Lake Tribune)
  • "After closing the door to his suite" at a Zurich hotel in December 2010, former President Bill Clinton "reached for an ornament on a table and threw it at a wall mirror in a fit of rage, shattering the glass." Clinton, "who had spent two years travelling the world glad-handing members of ... FIFA, could not believe America's bid to host the 2022 World Cup had been beaten by, of all places, Qatar." (Sydney Morning Herald)
  • "Would you switch from Cubs to Cardinals? Gov. Branstad did" (Des Moines Register)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

What 'Obamacare for the Air' Means for the Environment

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • The Senate returns at 9:30 a.m.
  • Labor Secretary Thomas Perez delivers keynote remarks at an Economic Policy Institute event. (EPI, 9:30 a.m.)
  • First Lady Michelle Obama, Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan and acting Veterans Affairs Secretary Sloan Gibson deliver remarks at an event to announce a challenge to end veteran homelessness. (White House, 1:30 p.m.)
  • Vice President Biden delivers remarks about workforce development at a Third Way event. (Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade, 3 p.m.) Center
  • The Nationals take on the Phillies. (Nationals Park, 7:05 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Former Rep. Norm Sisisky (D-VA) was the was the first Jewish House member from Virginia. He died in the midst of his 10th term in 2001.
  • The winner is Chris Snider, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "With the passing of Harry Byrd, Jr. on July 30, 2013, this man became the oldest living former U.S. senator." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"Secretary of State John Kerry maintains he was not napping, just taking a 'really long blink' while listening to the press conference of President Obama and the Polish President Bronislaw Komorowski Tuesday." (The Hill)

...CHASER

"So what's my secret? I don't know. Mostly good genes I guess. And plenty of sleep. 14 hours a night. Every night, no ifs, ands or buts. Also keeping a moderate work schedule and taking frequent catnaps." -- Will Ferrell as President George W. Bush on Saturday Night Live

 

Adam Wollner, Editor

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