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- In the FL-19 Special, voters "will effectively select a new representative in Congress, with the GOP primary in a seat left open amid the spectacular fall of" former Rep. Trey Radel (R). Businessman Curt Clawson (R) "was not well known at the outset but today stands atop the field. He self-funded his campaign, blanketing the airwaves with ads casting himself as an outsider. ... The establishment candidate is" state Sen. Lizbeth Benacquisto (R). Aviation consultant Michael Dreikorn (R) and former state Rep. Paige Kreegel (R) are also vying for the seat. Polls close at 7 p.m. ET. (Tampa Bay Times)
- In AK SEN, Lt. Gov Mead Treadwell (R) raised $299,000, including a $175,000 personal contribution, in the first quarter of 2014 and has 140,000 cash on hand. (Alaska Dispatch)
- In AR SEN, Rep. Tom Cotton (R) released a new TV ad pushing back on Sen. Mark Pryor's (D) comments that Cotton's military service gives him a "sense of entitlement." The spot features Cotton's drill sergeant. (release)
- In CO SEN, Sen. Mark Udall (D) "will air ads starting this week through May 6." (Colorado Independent)
- In GA SEN, philanthropist Michelle Nunn (D) launched a new second TV ad, saying members of Congress should not become lobbyists, receive paychecks unless they pass a budget or receive subsidies to pay for their own health care. (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
- In KY SEN, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell released a new statewide TV ad highlighting his conservative bona fides. (release)
- In MI SEN, former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land (R) launched her first TV ad of the race, pushing back against Democrats' "war on women" charges. "Congressman Gary Peters and his buddies want you to believe I'm waging a 'war on women.' Really? Think about that for a moment," Land says, before taking a drink from her coffee mug. "[A]s a woman, I might know a little bit more about women than Gary Peters." (Daily Caller)The buy is for "more than $300,000 on cable and broadcast TV for at least a week." (Detroit News)
- Also in MI SEN, the SEIU released a new TV ad attacking Land over health care and equal pay for women. (Daily Kos)
- In NE SEN, Club for Growth Action launched a new TV ad hitting former Treasurer Shane Osborn (R) for his "false attacks" on Midland University President Ben Sasse (R). The spot, which is "backed by a six-figure buy," also criticizes Osborne's record in office. (release)
- In SD SEN, state Sen. Larry Rhoden (R) released his first TV ad, in which he points to a cattle truck and says: "This is a load of bull, and so is Obamacare, and about everything else that's coming out of Washington." (Sioux Falls Argus Leader) Former Senate aide Rick Weiland (D) also released a new TV ad highlighting that he has visited all 311 towns in South Dakota. (Hotline reporting)
- In AZ-01, 2012 presidential nominee Mitt Romney (R) endorsed state House Speaker Andy Tobin (R). (Roll Call)
- In FL-13, Rev. Manuel Sykes (D) "said he plans to run." (Tampa Bay Times)
- In IA-01, the Human Rights Campaign endorsed state Rep. Pat Murphy (D) in the crowded Democratic primary. (Globe Gazette)
- In NY-01, state Sen. Lee Zeldin (R) released a new TV ad tying 2010 candidate George Demos (R) to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. (release)
- In PA-13, state Sen. Daylin Leach (D) launched his first TV ad of the race, highlighting his upbringing in foster care. The spot goes on to label Leach a "liberal lion" and a "fearless fighter." (Hotline reporting)
- In FL GOV, Let's Get to Work, Gov. Rick Scott's (R) political committee, released a new biographical, Spanish-language TV ad. "The $500,000 television and online buy will begin airing on Wednesday in the Miami, Orlando, Tampa, and Fort Myers markets." (release)
- In MD GOV, Attorney General Doug Gansler (D) "scrambled late Monday to clarify comments made during a candidates forum at which he downplayed the significance of" Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown's (D) "military service in Iraq." On Monday morning, Gansler "characterized Brown ... as 'somebody who has never managed anybody, never run anything.' ... Shortly afterward, Gansler’s comments drew a sharp rebuke from a national veterans group that has endorsed Brown. ... Hours later, Gansler issued a statement saying he has 'the utmost respect for [Brown's] military service and for veterans.'" (Washington Post)
- In NE GOV, Gov. Dave Heineman (R) "said he is watching the field of Republican candidates who want his job in 2015, and may publicly share his preference before the May 13 primary election." (Sioux City Journal)
- In SC GOV, Gov. Nikki Haley (R) is set to launch her first TV ads of the race, touting "the state's economic recovery during her first term. ... The spots debut Wednesday in major TV markets statewide." (Columbia State)
- In WI GOV, state Rep. Brett Hulsey (D) said "on Monday that he plans to run ... and will challenge" former Trek Executive Mary Burke (D) "in the Democratic primary." (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)
- In NY GOV, a new Siena College poll of RVs, conducted April April 12-17, shows Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) leading Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino (R), 58-28%. In the previous poll, conducted March 16-20, Cuomo led Astorino, 61-26%. (release)
Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day
• In WV-03, where Rep. Nick Rahall (D) is considered one of the House's most vulnerable incumbents, a new Democratic poll shows Rahall leading state Sen. Evan Jenkins (R) by 12 points. It's clearly good news for Rahall, but Democrats shouldn't get too excited. Just last month, a Republican poll showed Jenkins leading by 14 points. And Rahall's campaign tactics don't seem to indicate confidence: His claim that he sided with George W. Bush more than President Obama, for example, turned out to be false. All things considered, Rahall's lead in this poll is a silver lining to a bruising campaign. -- Jack Fitzpatrick
• Senate models this early in the cycle are overly reliant on unreliable polling, particularly in races where no challenger has been nominated (NC, IA, OR). The NYT model (and Nate Silver's, too) vastly overrates Democrats' chances in IA, NH and VA (where Warner has a 99+% chance of winning, per the Times), while underrating Dem chances in MI where the party has a history of late success thanks to unions and a large African-American population. -- Josh Kraushaar
• Democrat Doug Gansler's comment in the Maryland governor's race implying that Anthony Brown's military service doesn't qualify as a "real job" could be the last straw for his campaign, which has been gaffe prone from the beginning and has consistently trailed Brown in the polls. It certainly makes Bruce Braley and David Perdue's recent slip-ups seem tame in comparison. Whether it's farmers, high school grads, or veterans, pro tip: it's best not to say things that could alienate a big chunk of the electorate. -- Karyn Bruggeman
HAIR OF THE DOG
"Northampton (Mass.) firefighters rescue escaped Easter Bunny" (MassLive.com)
FRESH BREWED BUZZ
- "Why TV Airtime Reservations Are More Important Than Ever" (Roll Call)
- New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's (R) "reelection campaign has been billed for at least $314,000 on legal fees so far in representing itself in regards to the George Washington Bridge lane closure investigations, a total that exceeds the committee's campaign cash on hand." (Wall Street Journal)
- "Democrats Funnel Money Into State Races as Voter-ID Plays" (Bloomberg News)
- "President Obama announced Monday that he was naming W. Neil Eggleston, a veteran lawyer with extensive experience representing government officials in congressional and criminal investigations, as his next White House counsel." (New York Times)
- "Republicans are beating their Democratic opponents to the Spanish-language airwaves in 2014, seeking to make early and positive impressions on the growing Hispanic community." (Wall Street Journal)
- Former President Bill Clinton "will be the featured guest at a New York City fundraiser" on Wednesday for Americans for Responsible Solutions, former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords's (D-AZ) gun-control group." (Politico)
- "Just weeks after a key Supreme Court ruling on political fundraising, the cash marathon has begun to the Bay Area -- with a crowd of Democratic Senators hitting Silicon Valley to pick up campaign checks." (San Francisco Chronicle)
- The RNC is selling pairs of striped, muliti-colored socks with former President George H.W. Bush's signature on them. (release)
- "Congrats to @RunMeb and @ShalaneFlanagan for making America proud! All of today's runners showed the world the meaning of #BostonStrong. -bo" -- Obama, congratulating the top American male and female runners in Monday's Boston Marathon on Twitter
- "A 'mass exodus' is expected from the Cuomo administration after November's election. ... A former staffer who still has ties to the governor's staff said the rush to leave has been spurred by a 'miserable and micromanaged' work environment." (New York Post)
- "A number of the younger members, first-termers like Rand Paul, (Marco) Rubio and that extreme-right-wing guy -- Ted Cruz? All running for president now. I don't think they've got enough experience yet." -- Former Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS) (Wichita Eagle)
PLAY OF THE DAY!
- Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan delivers remarks on government-sponsored enterprise reform and the state of the housing market. (New York University, 3 p.m.)
- Obama meets with victims' families and first responders of the March 22 mudslide in Oso, Wash., before delivering remarks at 3:50 p.m.
- The Nationals host the Angels. (Nationals Park, 7:05 p.m.)
- Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz throws out the first pitch at the Boston Red Sox-New York Yankees game. (Fenway Park, 7:10 p.m.)
- NBA playoff action: the Wizards take on the Bulls. (TNT, 9:30 p.m.)
- Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!
- James Buchanan wrote the first presidential memoir in 1866.
- The winner is Sara Friedlander, and here's her Swizzle Challenge: "Name the two presidents with the first name "Thomas." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.
NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS
- Party Paranoia Could Destroy Hopes of Immigration Reform
- Anti-Obamacare Ad Lands at the Supreme Court
- How the Bush Family Went From Hated to Hipster
- House Republicans See Opportunity in Approps Bills
- What's Changed Since Hillary Clinton's 1969 Graduation Speech—And What Hasn't
"No, I've never been invited to sleepover at the White House. I've had dinner at the White House a number of times and I was waiting -- maybe he's going to tap me on the shoulder and ask me if I want to go upstairs and stay in the Lincoln bedroom, but he didn't." -- Christie, speaking to a group of students in New Jersey (Newark Star-Ledger)
"Tonight, I can't do it tonight, no. Improv class, I have improv class, hanging out with my improv buds." -- "Michael Scott"
"That sounds like a lot of fun." -- "Jim Halpert"
"It's the best. It's the best. I would not miss it for the world. But if something else came up, I would definitely not go." -- Michael
"Improv sounds great." -- Jim, in The Office
Adam Wollner, Editor