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- In MS SEN, Sen. Thad Cochran (R) and state Sen. Chris McDaniel (R) "spent Monday making a final push in the race ... as counties across the state geared up to welcome voters back to the polls. Today's turnout for the pair's runoff election is expected to be at least as heavy as the June 3 primary that saw Cochran and McDaniel stage a neck-and-neck race that has been advanced as entrenched establishment versus tea party-tinged neo-conservative." Polls close at 8 p.m. (Hattiesburg American)
- In the OK SEN Special, former state House Speaker T.W. Shannon (R) and Rep. James Lankford (R) are vying for the GOP nomination in the race to replace outgoing Sen. Tom Coburn (R). If no candidate earns more than 50% of the vote, the race goes to an Aug. 26 runoff. Polls close at 8 p.m. (Tulsa World)
- In CO GOV, "Colorado Republicans are choosing among four candidates for a nominee to challenge" Gov. John Hickenlooper (D): former Reps. Bob Beauprez (R) and Tom Tancredo (R), former state Senate Minority Leader Mike Kopp (R), and Secretary of State Scott Gessler (R). Polls close at 9 p.m. (Denver Post)
- In MD GOV, voters "will head to the polls Tuesday to resolve one of the costliest primary fights in Maryland history." Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown (D), Attorney General Doug Gansler (D) and state Del. Heather Mizeur (D) "have spent more than $17.5 million since ... May 2013." Polls close at 8 p.m. (Baltimore Sun)
- There are also four House primaries in New York worth keeping an eye on tonight: In NY-01, state Sen. Lee Zeldin (R) takes on 2010 candidate George Demos (R); in NY-13, Rep. Charlie Rangel (D) hopes to stave off another primary challenge from state Sen. Adriano Espaillat (D); in NY-21, former Bush administration aide Elise Stefanik (R) and 2012 nominee Matt Doheny (R) battle for the GOP nomination; and in NY-22, Rep. Richard Hanna (R) is facing a primary challenge from state Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney (R). Polls close at 9 p.m. (Hotline reporting)
- In IA SEN, a coalition of environmental groups, including the League of Conservation Voters, Sierra Club and Environmental Defense Action Fund, launched a new TV ad tying state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) to former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) and the Koch brothers. The spot is part of a nearly $1 million campaign against Ernst. (release)
- In AR SEN, "a bill from" Sen. Mark Pryor (D) that "would lock in certain characteristics of the Medicare system ... is expected to be brought up for a vote Wednesday." (KATV-TV)
- In MN SEN, Sen. Al Franken (D) released a new TV ad highlighting his efforts to fight Wall Street banks. (release)
- In WV SEN, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) "will campaign for" Secretary of State Natalie Tennant (D) "in West Virginia ... on July 14." (AP)
- In CO GOV, Hickenlooper bought $469,600 more in TV ad time from Sept. 21 through Oct. 7. (Denver Post)
- In FL GOV, Let's Get to Work, Gov. Rick Scott's (R) political committee, released a new TV ad attacking former Gov. Charlie Crist's (D) record on education. (release)
- In IA GOV, the RGA is out with a new 15-second TV ad going after state Sen. Jack Hatch (D) for refusing to release all of his tax returns. (release)
- In MA GOV, former business executive Evan Falchuk (I) "on Monday announced plans to spend $360,000 on television and Spanish radio advertising." (Taunton Daily Gazette)
- In NM GOV, the RGA is launching a new Spanish-language TV ad attacking Attorney General Gary King (D). (release)
- In RI GOV, former Department of Education official Clay Pell (D) is out with new TV ad touting his jobs plan and his pledge not to accept contributions from PACs and state lobbyists. (Daily Kos)
Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day
• Warren might represent one of the bluest blue states in the Senate, but that's not stopping red-staters like Alison Lundergan Grimes and Tennant from inviting Warren to campaign with them. It seems like an odd fit. But also remember that half the country has never heard of the freshman from Massachusetts, she can raise money like almost no one else in the Senate right now, and she's been known to hit that same populist nerve that Grimes especially is looking for. -- Scott Bland
• Today's Republican primaries in New York will show the results of some large-scale experiments in outside spending. In NY-21, American Crossroads' spending has made Elise Stefanik the GOP favorite, but it could end up with egg on its face if Matt Doheny wins after the group tried to sink him. In NY-01, we'll see if outside groups' (including liberal Patriot Majority USA) spending against establishment GOPer Lee Zeldin causes havoc in the general election. New York has seen unusually high outside spending in these primaries; tonight we get to see what worked. --Jack Fitzpatrick
• If Bob Beauprez wins today's GOP gubernatorial primary in Colorado, it will notch another significant win for establishment types, but don't expect this race to suddenly become a cakewalk against Gov. John Hickenlooper. Beauprez still carries baggage from his 17-point loss to former Gov. Bill Ritter in 2006 and has largely been self-funding his primary bid, leaving him with ground to make up against Hickenlooper. If anything is telling of Beauprez's weak spots relative to Cory Gardner in the Senate race, it's that other candidates didn't clear the field for him ahead of today's primary. -- Karyn Bruggeman
HAIR OF THE DOG
FRESH BREWED BUZZ
- "A DeSoto County staffer for" Cochran's campaign "has been arrested and fired from the campaign for allegedly taking or destroying ... McDaniel campaign signs." (Jackson Clarion-Ledger)
- "Rangel rap urges voters to turn out for Harlem's 'Original Gangster'" (The Hill)
- "On Tuesday," House Speaker John Boehner "will announce at a closed-door meeting that he is transferring $1.5 million from his campaign war chests to the" NRCC, "bringing his total contribution to $17 million so far for the 2014 elections, more than any of his House colleagues. All told, Boehner has helped raise $88 million for Republicans for the 2014 campaign." (USA Today)
- "Investigations into the Christie administration and the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey have zeroed in on possible securities law violations stemming from a $1.8 billion road repair agreement in 2011, according to people briefed on the matter." (New York Times)
- Pennsylvania Attorney General Kathleen Kane's (D) "16-month investigation into" Gov. Tom Corbett's (R) "handling of the Jerry Sandusky child sex abuse investigation found no evidence to support the allegations of political influence and slow-walking she suggested as a candidate probably existed." (Harrisburg Patriot-News)
- Former KY SEN candidate Matt Bevin (R) "has remained politically active since losing to" Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in the May primary. ... That has led to speculation that Bevin is thinking about jumping into the 2015 gubernatorial contest. When asked about the race, a Bevin spokeswoman didn't disqualify his interest in running for" KY GOV. (WKMS-FM)
- "In a big win for environmentalists, the Supreme Court on Monday effectively endorsed the Obama administration's efforts to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from sources like power plants, even as it criticized what it called the administration's overreaching." (New York Times)
- "You know I'm not in the 'Ready for Hillary' camp, right? ... It's because of our differences when I endorsed Obama. The differences haven't healed, and I'm not in the suck-up camp." -- Former New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson (D) (Washington Post)
- "The existential crisis of the liberal millionaire" (Politico)
- First Lady Michelle Obama "said the U.S. is ready for a female president and that the country should elect one 'as soon as possible' on Monday." (Time)
- Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) "said Monday that he's a traditionalist, but if voters want gay marriage to be legal he won't step in their way." (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)
- "Charlie Crist has scrapped plans to go to Cuba this summer, citing time demands in his campaign for governor and delays in getting federal permission to visit the island nation." (Tampa Bay Times)
- "The South Dakota Republican Party state convention passed a resolution calling for the impeachment of" President Obama over the weekend. (Sioux Falls Argus Leader)
PLAY OF THE DAY!
- The House Republican and Democratic caucuses each hold closed meetings. (Capitol, 9 a.m.)
- The House and Senate both return at 10 a.m.
- Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel hosts an honor cordon to welcome Norway's Minister of Defense Ine Marie Erikson Soreide. (Pentagon, 2:30 p.m.)
- Obama hosts members of the 2013 President's Cup golf team. (White House, 6:30 p.m.)
- House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi receives the the Congressional Global Champion Award from the Elizabeth Glaser Pediatric AIDS Foundation. (Newseum, 6:30 p.m.)
- Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!
- There are, in fact, two states that officially joined the union on Valentine's Day: Arizona and Oregon.
- The winner is Brian Riley, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Name the first speaker of the House not born in the original 13 colonies." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.
NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS
- Outside Groups Pour Campaign Cash Into N.Y. Districts
- Democrats Face Unfair Fight in Midterms
- Meet the 'People Formerly Mad at Hillary Club'
- Republicans Are Screaming for Action on Global Warming, But Only From the Stands
- Is Obamacare Living Up to Its Preexisting-Conditions Promise?
"Chris Christie plays nine innings in charity game at Yankee Stadium" (Newark Star-Ledger)
"Chris Christie: 'I would love to be general manager of the Mets'" (Newark Star-Ledger)
Adam Wollner, Editor