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Palmer, Walker Win House GOP Runoffs; DCCC Outraised NRCC in June; Poll Shows Braley, Ernst Tied Palmer, Walker Win House GOP Runoffs; DCCC Outraised NRCC in June; Pol...

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Palmer, Walker Win House GOP Runoffs; DCCC Outraised NRCC in June; Poll Shows Braley, Ernst Tied

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • Results from last night's House GOP runoff elections: In AL-06, Alabama Policy Institute co-founder Gary Palmer (R) defeated state Rep. Paul DeMarco (R) 64-36% with 100% of precincts reporting. (AP) In NC-06, Baptist pastor Mark Walker (R) clinched victory over Rockingham County District Attorney Phil Berger Jr. (R) 60-40% with 100% of precincts reporting. (AP) Both Palmer and Walker will be heavy favorites in November.
  • The DCCC raised $10.9 million in June and had $50.9 million cash on hand, while the NRCC raised $9.6 million and had $42.5 million cash on hand. (AP)
  • In GA SEN, Rep. Jack Kingston (R) portrays businessman David Perdue (R) as a mannequin in a new TV ad, saying he's "just not the real thing." Perdue also released a new TV ad attacking Kingston for "22 years of liberal spending." (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • In AK SEN, former Attorney General Dan Sullivan (R) "raised almost $1.2 million" in the second quarter. (release) Sen. Mark Begich (D) released a new TV ad touting his efforts to keep fighter jets at a local Air Force base. (release)
  • In HI SEN, Sen. Brian Schatz (D) and Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D) "waded through Social Security, Medicare and other issues important to seniors on Tuesday night in a mostly tame Democratic primary debate that had a few barbed edges." (Honolulu Star-Advertsier)
  • In KY SEN, Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) "raised over $4 million in the second quarter" and had $6.2 million cash on hand, while Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell raised $3.1 million and had $9.8 million cash on hand. (releases)
  • Also in KY SEN, the Kentucky Opportunity Coalition is up with a TV ad praising McConnell's record on coal. (release) NARAL Pro-Choice America also released a TV ad charging that McConnell "will never do the right thing for Kentucky women." (release)
  • In LA SEN, Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) raised $2.1 million in the second quarter and had $6.2 million cash on hand, while Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) raised $1.6 million and had $5.8 million cash on hand. (releases)
  • In MI SEN, former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land (R) released a new TV ad saying it's time "to put Michigan first again." (release)
  • In VA SEN, Sen. Mark Warner (D) raised $2.7 million in the second quarter and had $8.1 million cash on hand, while former RNC chairman Ed Gillespie (R) raised $1.9 million and had $3.1 million cash on hand. (Washington Post)
  • House fundraising roundup (second-quarter figures unless otherwise noted): In CA-07, Rep. Ami Bera (D) raised $440,000 from May 15-June 30 and had nearly $2 million cash on hand, while former Rep. Doug Ose (R) raised $333,000, including a $100,000 personal loan, and had $204,000 cash on hand. (Hotline reporting) In CA-17, former Obama administration official Ro Khanna (D) raised "nearly $340,000." (release) In CO-06, Rep. Mike Coffman (R) raised $742,000 and had "nearly $2.3 million cash on hand." (KDVR-TV) In FL-26, Rep. Joe Garcia (D) raised $456,000 and had $1.9 million cash on hand. (Hotline reporting) In MN-07, Rep. Collin Peterson (D) raied $268,000 and had $717,000 cash on hand, while state Sen. Torrey Westrom (R) raised $231,000 and had $328,000 cash on hand. (Minneaplos Star Tribune) In MN-08, businessman Stewart Mills (R) raised $338,000, while Rep. Rick Nolan (D) raised "almost $284,000" and has $148,000 more cash on hand than Mills. (Minneaplos Star Tribune) In NH-01, Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) raised $219,000 and had $612,000 cash on hand, while University of New Hampshire professor Dan Innis (R) raised $138,000, including a $50,000 personal loan, and had $119,000 cash on hand. (Hotline reporting) In NJ-03, former Randolph Township Mayor Tom MacArthur (R) raised $103,000 and loaned his campaign another $1 million, leaving him with $1.1 million cash on hand, while attorney Aimee Belgard (D) raised $351,000 and had $616,000 cash on hand. (Burlington County Times)
  • Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) endorsed surgeon Bob Johnson (R) in GA-01 and former state Sen. Barry Loudermilk (R) in GA-11. (releases)
  • In KS-04, "Americans for Prosperity says it's spending nearly $410,000 for radio and television ads" supporting Rep. Mike Pompeo (R) that began Tuesday "and run until the day before the Aug. 5th Republican primary." (AP)
  • In MI-03, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) endorsed Rep. Justin Amash (R) in a radio ad. (Grand Rapids Press)
  • In NV-03, Vice President Biden will headline a rally for former Democratic National Committeewoman Erin Bilbray (D) next week. (Las Vegas Review-Journal)
  • The U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsed Chester County Commissioner Ryan Costello (R) in PA-06 (Daily Local News) and former Maryland Republican Party chairman Alex Mooney (R) in WV-02 (Roll Call)
  • The DGA raised $27 million in the first half of 2014, marking the group's best ever six-month haul. (release)
  • In AR GOV, former Rep. Mike Ross (D) raised more than $296,000 in June and had "more than $1.2 million" cash on hand, while former Rep. Asa Hutchinson (R) raised $242,000 and had "more than $1 million" cash on hand. (AP)
  • In IL GOV, businessman Bruce Rauner (R) raised $8 million in the second quarter and had $5.9 million cash on hand, while Gov. Pat Quinn (D) raised $3.7 million and had $11,6 million cash on hand. (Chicago Sun-Times)
  • In IA GOV, Gov. Terry Branstad (R) raised "more than $700,000 in the May 28-to-July 14 reporting period" and had "more than $4 million" cash on hand. (Des Moines Register)
  • In KS GOV, state House Minority Leader Paul Davis (D) "sought Tuesday to give his campaign ... a bipartisan boost by announcing endorsements from more than 100 moderate Republicans who've split with" Gov. Sam Brownback (R) "over education and tax policy." (AP)
  • In OH GOV, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald (D) released his first TV ad of the race, pledging to support the middle class. (release)
  • In PA GOV, Campaign for a Fresh Start released a new TV ad attacking Gov. Tom Corbett's (R) record on education and job creation. (release) Corbett also launched a new TV ad attacking Wolf over taxes. (Philadelphia Inquirer)
  • In SC GOV, the DGA launched a new TV ad accusing Gov. Nikki Haley (R) of "protecting her career instead of our children." (release)
  • In TX GOV, Attorney General Greg Abbott (R) raised raised $11.1 million from Feb. 23-June 30 and had $35.6 million cash on hand. (release) State Sen. Wendy Davis (D) raised $11.2 million over the same period and had $13 million cash on hand. (Austin American-Statesman)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In IA SEN, a new NBC News/Marist poll of RVs, conducted July 7-13, shows Rep. Bruce Braley (D) and state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) tied at 43%. (release)
  • In NH SEN, the NBC/Marist poll finds Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) ahead of Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R) 50-42%. (release)
  • In IA GOV, the NBC/Marist poll shows Branstad leading state Sen. Jack Hatch (D) 53-38%. (release)
  • In CO GOV, a new Quinnipiac University poll of RVs, conducted July 10-14, shows former Rep. Bob Beauprez (R) edging Gov. John Hickenlooper(D) 44-43%. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• The Tea Party Patriots' late endorsements of Milton Wolf in Kansas and Joe Carr in Tennessee aren't likely to mean these guys will get financial support from the group, which as of last week was still active in Mississippi. That race has simply drained the resources from many outside groups who would like to have been more active in these other races. Campaigns still like to see name-only endorsements, though, if only to keep incumbents like Sen. Lamar Alexander from claiming broader intra-party appeal. -- Andrea Drusch

• After all the prolific fundraisers have already announced their quarterly figures, yesterday's FEC deadline was a good time to keep an eye out for the self-funders who are competitive but don't have much grassroots support. Yesterday's reports offered two good examples: In NJ-03, Tom MacArthur has given his campaign $3 million so far this cycle, and has only received $53,000 in individual donations since entering the race. Even after a tough primary in the expensive Philadelphia media market, he has more than $1 million cash on hand. And in MI-04, Paul Mitchell raised less than $11,000 in the last quarter, but still managed to spend heavily after loaning his campaign $1.9 million in personal funds. -- Jack Fitzpatrick

• The DGA reported $27 million raised in the first half of the year, the organization's best six-month haul in its history. But the Democrats are still getting walloped. The numbers pale in comparison to the RGA's: $26.6 million in the second quarter alone and a mammoth $70.3 million on hand. As the New York Times noted, Republican governors' "unexpectedly strong position" has a lot to do with far superior fundraising. If any GOP governor loses in 2014 it won't be for a lack of resources. -- Karyn Bruggeman

• Today's example of the importance of incumbency: Former Rep. Tiahrt may have gotten a 100% vote score from Americans for Prosperity in 2010, his final year in Congress, but AFP is still supporting incumbent Pompeo, who has delivered for the group since then, in the KS-04 primary. -- Scott Bland

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Florida legislative leaders have ended their silence on the rejected congressional map and announced Tuesday they will not appeal the circuit court ruling but agree to redraw the map deemed unconstitutional because of two invalid districts -- but they want to wait until next year." (Tampa Bay Times)
  • "In the culmination of the most sweeping political scandal in Utah history," former Attorneys General John Swallow (R) and Mark Shurtleff (R) "were arrested early Tuesday and charged with a combined 23 counts that could total 30 years each in prison." (Salt Lake Tribune)
  • "An enthusiastic band of activists has launched a campaign to slow the momentum of" former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) and convince Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) "that she should run for president in 2016." Warren press secretary Lacey Rose, on the "Ready for Warren" campaign: "No, Senator Warren does not support this effort." (Huffington Post)
  • "I think I speak for everybody when I say, no one cares. They just want to know if you're running for president." -- "Daily Show" host Jon Stewart, to Clinton in reference to her memoir during an interview (Los Angeles Times)
  • Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) "is headlining a fundraiser for Ready for Hillary ... Aug. 5 in Richmond alongside a number of close associates and other prominent Virginia Democrats." (Washington Post)
  • "Why Is Harry Reid Raising Money for a House Candidate in a Safe Seat?" (National Journal)
  • "Republicans in Iowa echoed some of the themes" New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) "is eager to stress — that he is a blunt and charismatic teller of unpopular truths. Most strikingly, few of them have paid much attention to the simmering controversy over the lane closings, or consider the episode to be a major liability for ... Christie. Many of them described it, dismissively, as an unhealthy obsession of East Coast Democrats." (New York Times)
  • House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said "Tuesday that her goal is to win 25 seats this November -- a bold statement given that historical trends suggest that the party of a sitting president usually loses seats in the sixth year of his term." (Washington Post)
  • "After his strong criticism of the Obama administration's plans to return thousands of young undocumented migrants back to Central America," Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) "asked a top White House official that the children not be sent to a site that was under consideration in his home state." (CNN)
  • A new radio ad from Begich "spotlights his relationship with" Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), "saying the two vote together as much as 80 percent of the time. But Murkowski is pushing back, saying that in spite of their cooperation on key Alaska issues, she and Begich are not as close as the ad would lead listeners to believe." (Alaska Dispatch News)
  • Former New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin (D) "filed a notice that he plans to appeal his bribery conviction. The new filing comes after Nagin ... was sentenced last week to 10 years in prison for 20 counts of fraud, money laundering and tax evasion, a lighter sentence than federal prosecutors were seeking." (New Orleans Times-Picayune)
  • Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle (D) "declared Tuesday that she won’t run for mayor, leaving union and community groups angry over Chicago's violent crime, school closings and teetering finances searching for a credible candidate to take on" Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D) "next year." (Chicago Tribune)
  • AZ-01 candidate/state Rep. Adam Kwasman (R) "raced up to Phoenix Tuesday morning from the protest in Oracle over the expected arrival of dozens of migrant children at a shelter. He had tweeted from the scene, 'Bus coming in. This is not compassion. This is the abrogation of the rule of law.' He included a photo of the back of a yellow school bus. But there was a problem with Kwasman's story. ... Those weren't the migrant children in the school bus. Those were children from the Marana school district ... heading to the YMCA's Triangle Y Camp." (Arizona Republic)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

Why Aren't Immigrant Children Just Filling Out The Proper Forms?

 

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • The Senate returns at 9:30 a.m., while the House is back at 10 a.m.
  • Biden delivers remarks at Generation Progress' 2014 Make Progress National Summit. (JW Marriott, 12:45 p.m.)
  • President Obama and Biden meet with members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus to discuss immigration. (Eisenhower Executive Office Building, 3:50 p.m.)
  • Obama and Biden then meet with House Democrats. (White House, 5:10 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Sen. Blair Lee (D-MD) was the first senator elected after ratification of the 17th Amendment.
  • The winner is Sam Kaplan, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Name two Chief Justices of the United States who previously served as Associate Justices of the Supreme Court." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

Obama Drives for the First Time in Years, Sort of (NBC News)

...CHASER

"Watch out for bridges and hop-ons; you're gonna get some hop-ons." -- "Michael Bluth" ("Arrested Development")

Adam Wollner, Editor

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