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Obama: Russian Weapons Plan a 'Potentially Positive Development'; NYC Dems, GOPers Head to the Polls Obama: Russian Weapons Plan a 'Potentially Positive Development'; NYC ...

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WAKE UP CALL

Obama: Russian Weapons Plan a 'Potentially Positive Development'; NYC Dems, GOPers Head to the Polls

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • Pres. Obama on Monday "called Russia's proposal for Syria to give up its chemical weapons a 'potentially positive development' that could resolve his concerns" over Syrian Pres. Bashar al-Assad's "use of the weapons stockpile" (CBS News).
  • Polls are open in the NYC mayoral primary until 9 p.m. (Hotline reporting). In the Dem primary, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, "an also-ran just weeks ago, is close to winning the nomination outright Tuesday night," while '09 nominee Bill Thompson and City Council Speaker Christine Quinn "are battling for enough votes to force a runoff" (New York Daily News).
  • "A final, frantic effort is underway to get voters to the polls Tuesday" in two CO state Senate districts where Dem lawmakers "face ouster for stricter gun laws passed" earlier this year (Denver Post). Monday "marked the first day" in early voting that Dems outnumbered GOPers in state Senate Pres. John Morse's (D) district (KDVR-TV).
  • "All 12 candidates for mayor of Boston faced off Monday night in the only televised forum before the primary, and there were definitely fireworks" (New England Cable News).
  • NJ Gov. Chris Christie (R) will launch a $1.5M ad campaign consisting of broadcast TV in NYC and Philly, statewide cable and radio spots (Politico).
  • The NEA "is going up with a series of ads" in VA GOV "aimed at boosting" ex-DNC Chair Terry McAuliffe (D) (The Hill).
  • Sen. Michael Enzi (R-WY) "will vote against military intervention in Syria, he announced Monday evening" (The Hill).
  • Rep. Joe Garcia (D-FL) ex-CoS Jeffrey Garcia "is under FBI investigation for his ties to a phony" tea party candidate's "secretly funded mail campaign" (Miami Herald).
  • Ex-Rep. Bill Hughes son Bill Hughes Jr. (D) "is looking closely" at running against Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R-NJ) in NJ-02 and "has been contacted by the DCCC" (The Hill).

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • According to a new McClatchy-Marist poll of nat'l RVs, conducted 9/7-8, 32% favor "limited U.S. air strikes on military targets in Syria in response to the Syrian government's use of chemical weapons," while 58% oppose U.S. air strikes (release).
  • According to a new AP/GfK poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/6-8, 26% think "Congress should vote in favor of a military strike ... in Syria in response to a chemical weapons attack there," while 61% think Congress should vote against a strike (release).
  • According to a new CBS News/New York Times poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/6-8, 30% favor the U.S. "launching military air strikes against Syrian military targets ... [i]n response to the Syrian government's use of chemical weapons," while 61% oppose launching air strikes (release).
  • According to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/5-8 by Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R), 33% think their member of Congress should "vote to approve the use of military action against Syria ... in response to their use of chemical weapons," while 58% think their member should not approve of military action (release).
  • According to a new United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/5-8, 37% "would prefer" that their member of Congeess vote to approve Obama's request "for authorization to conduct a limited military strike on the Syrian government to punish it for using chemical weapons," while 52% would prefer that their member deny the request (release).
  • According to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/4-8, 30% support the U.S. "launching missile strikes against the Syrian government" given the U.S. determination "that the Syrian government has used chemical weapons in the civil war there," while 64% oppose military strikes. In the previous poll, conducted 8/28-9/1, 36% supported missile strikes, and 59% opposed them (release).
  • According to a new Pew Research Center/USA Today poll of nat'l adults, conducted 9/4-8, 28% would favor "the U.S. conducting military airstrikes against Syria in response to reports that the Syrian government used chemical weapons," while 63% would oppose the U.S. conducting those strikes. In the previous poll, conducted 8/29-9/1, 29% favored the airstrikes, and 48% opposed them (release).

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• He's leaving office after 12 years, but Tuesday's NYC mayoral election is all about Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I): de Blasio enters the primary as an overwhelming favorite after framing his candidacy as a rejection of the independent mayor's policies, while Quinn, once the clear frontrunner in the race, has fallen to third place in the polls largely because of her association with Bloomberg and his controversial third term.

• You might want to take a nap this afternoon, because it's going to be a long night in the Big Apple. In both '97 and '05, Election Night ended without knowing whether a runoff had been forced (final counts in both years showed Ruth Messinger and Freddy Ferrer a hair over the 40% mark, respectively). And NYC is using the old lever machines, so expect the count to come in slowly.

• Just two months ago, Rep. Joe Garcia (D-FL) brushed off questions about the scandals plaguing his campaign, telling reporters that he, and voters, had moved on. But revelations that his former chief of staff is under investigation by the FBI for promoting a spoiler candidate in Garcia's 2010 race may sound all too familiar to the district's voters. Garcia has denied any involvement, but given the district's recent history and that seven Miami-Dade politicians are currently under state and federal investigation (h/t Miami Herald), voters there may be turned off by even the hint of further impropriety.

HAIR OF THE DOG

    Update: "Stubbs, the honorary feline mayor of an Alaska town, has recovered enough from severe injuries sustained in a dog mauling to be released from the animal hospital" (AP).

     

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Saying he believes the votes are there to pass a bill to legalize gay marriage," HI Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D) "is calling the Legislature into a special session next month" (Honolulu Star-Advertiser).
  • Rep. Mark Sanford (R-SC), "whose extramarital dalliance abroad" as SC gov. "led to scandal, took his mistress-turned-fiancée, María Belén Chapur, to Israel" last month, "on a trip paid for by American Israel Education Foundation, congressional records show" (National Journal).
  • "Nobody watches the show! Who do you think's online?" -- Ex-Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-NY), asked if he'll continue a contentious interview with MSNBC's Lawrence O'Donnell on their website (MSNBC).
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) "plans to release a new book" following the '14 midterms, "according to his publisher" (The Hill).
  • FL Gov. Rick Scott (R) "confirmed Monday that he agreed with" AG Pam Bondi's (R) "request to delay the upcoming execution of a murderer because it conflicted with her campaign kickoff in Tampa on Tuesday evening," but Scott "told reporters he did it as a courtesy and did not know the reason why" (Miami Herald).

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • James Buchanan was the most recent of 6 ex-sec/States to become POTUS.
  • The winner is Tom Davis, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Who was the last Congressman to represent two different states in the U.S. House?"" The 2nd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"I've known Cooch and Cooch is not a crook. If he was, he wouldn't be broke. A moron can figure that one out" -- VA Dem strategist Dave "Mudcat" Saunders, who is pulling for VA AG Ken Cuccinelli (R) in VA GOV (Washington Post).

...CHASER

"This guy is nothing like a Mudcat. It's a very redneck nickname. And this guy isn't any kind of redneck" -- Saunders, on Matthew "Mudcat" Arnold, campaign mgr. for MD GOV semi-candidate Doug Gansler (D), who borrowed his nickname from Saunders (Roanoke Times).

Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief

Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

 

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