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WAKE-UP CALL

Obama, House, Senate Moving Closer to a Deal; More Senate Candidates Post Fundraising Totals

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • "President Obama and House Republicans failed to reach agreement on a six-week extension of the nation's borrowing authority during a meeting Thursday at the White House, but the two sides kept talking, and the offer from politically besieged Republicans was seen as an initial step toward ending the budget standoff. ... People familiar with the meeting said that ... Obama pressed Republicans to reopen the government, and that Republicans raised the possibility that financing could be restored by early next week if terms for broad budget negotiations could be reached." (New York Times)
  • "In the Senate, top Republicans began crafting a proposal that would reopen the government and raise the federal debt limit for as long as three months -- an approach closer to the terms Obama has set to end the standoff." (Washington Post)
  • In VA GOV, former Gov. Doug Wilder (D) has endorsed former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe (D), "after declining to back" 2009 nominee Creigh Deeds (D) four years ago. (Richmond Times-Dispatch)
  • A new WNBC-TV/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll of New York City mayoral LVs, conducted Oct. 6-8, shows Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) leading former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R), 67-23%. In the previous poll, conducted Sept. 15-16, de Blasio led Lhota, 65-22%. (release)
  • A new University of Massachusetts Lowell poll of Boston mayoral LVs, conducted Oct. 2-7, shows city Councilor John Connelly leading state Rep. Martin Walsh (D), 45-37%. (release)
  • In GA SEN, businessman David Perdue (R) raised $810,000 in the third quarter and donated or loaned "$1 million of his own money." Perdue has $1.34 million cash on hand. (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • In IA SEN, state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) raised $252,000 in the third quarter, her first as a candidate. (Des Moines Register)
  • In MI SEN, Rep. Gary Peters (D) raised around $1.03 million in the third quarter and has "nearly" $2.5 million cash on hand. (Hotline reporting)
  • In MN SEN, businessman Mike McFadden (R) raised $700,000 in the third quarter and has $1.2 million cash on hand. (AP)
  • In OR SEN, state Rep. Jason Conger (R) "appears to be running" against Sen. Jeff Merkley (D), and he "has scheduled appearances next Tuesday ... to disclose his plans." (Portland Oregonian)
  • In WV SEN, Rep. Shelley Moore Capito (R) raised "roughly $777,500" in the third quarter and has more than $3.2 million on hand ... campaign manager Chris Hansen said." (Charleston Daily Mail)
  • In FL-13, two Republican state senators said Thursday they would not run to replace retiring Rep. Bill Young (R). (Tampa Bay Times)
  • In MN-08, businessman Stewart Mills (R) announced Thursday he will run against Rep. Rick Nolan (D). (KDAL-AM)
  • In NV-03, consultant Erin Bilbray (D) raised "approximately $253,000" in the third quarter, her campaign said, without releasing her cash-on-hand total. (Hotline reporting)
  • A new Critical Insights poll of ME GOV LVs, conducted Sept. 27-30, shows Rep. Michael Michaud (D) leading Gov. Paul LePage (R), 33-30%, with 2010 candidate Eliot Cutler (I) at 24%. (release)
  • In SC GOV, Gov. Nikki Haley (R) raised "more than $950,000" in the third quarter and has $3.2 million cash on hand. State Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D) raised $565,500 and has $1 million on hand. (Columbia State)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • According to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll of national RVs, conducted Oct. 7-9 by Hart Research Associates (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R), 47% of voters prefer Democrats to control Congress after the 2014 elections, while 39% prefer a GOP-controlled Congress. In the previous poll, conducted Sept. 5-8, 46% preferred a Democratic-controlled Congress, and 43% preferred a GOP-controlled Congress. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• The government shutdown has been damaging to an already-wounded Republican party. But the biggest short-term cost is that, according to the new NBC/WSJ poll, more voters support Obamacare despite the disastrous rollout of the health care exchange website. Indeed, there's anecdotal evidence that some voters blamed the website's problems on the shutdown, depriving the GOP of a golden opportunity to mobilize opposition to the law.

• When the Boone County GOP threatened to endorse his tea-party rival, Mitch McConnell reacted quickly, sending his campaign manager all the way to Burlington to put a stop to the effort. The county is a hotbed for tea party activists and supported Rand Paul by 36 points in 2010, even though his primary opponent lived there. Thanks in part to Jesse Benton's efforts, the county party ultimately decided not to endorse. But the episode illustrates just how aggressively McConnell's camp is responding to every single threat to his reelection -- remember all the oppo they released on Ashley Judd early this year? McConnell is heading into the toughest reelection fight of his career, and his team seems to be acknowledging that they have little room for error.

• The three-way race in Maine is keeping LePage's chances of winning reelection alive. In the new Critical Insights poll, LePage's approval rating is dangerously low, with 39% approving of his job performance and 53% disapproving. But in a three way match-up with Michaud and Cutler, LePage only trails Michaud by 3 points. Other surveys have shown that Michaud would be a heavy favorite in a one-on-one race against LePage, and Democrats are likely to point to the Critical Insights poll as the latest data point suggesting Cutler's presence in the race could hand LePage a second term. But don't expect Cutler to drop out: He's only 9 points behind Michaud in the new poll, and he lost to LePage by just 2 points in 2010.

• The numbers will always look daunting for Wendy Davis in Texas, but events do occasionally intrude on campaigns, and 2010 Perry challenger Debra Medina (R) mulling an independent bid could be one of them. No one knows how much support she could draw in a general, but Medina did show that she has some fans in 2010. Of course, this may just be a play for more GOP money for her comptroller campaign, whose struggles she said might propel her to seek higher office as an indie.

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Ohio Clock Furloughed" (Roll Call)
  • A N.J. state Superior Court judge Thursday "refused to delay the Oct. 21 start date she set to begin same-sex marriages in New Jersey, rejecting" Gov. Chris Christie's (R) administration's "contention that no gay weddings should be peformed while the case is still being fought in the courts." (Newark Star-Leger)
  • "The Quashing of a Case Against a Christie Ally" (New York Times)
  • Federal authorities have been investigating Rep. Chaka Fattah's (D-PA) finances since 2007, Fattah and his attorney said, including a recent subpeona for "Fattah's tax records." (WTXF-TV)
  • U.S. District Court Judge Nancy Edmunds sentenced former Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick (D) on Thursday "to 28 years in prison and castigated him for living 'larger than life' on millions of dollars he stole after creating a 'corrosive pay-to-play' system in City Hall." (Detroit News)
  • "Sources: Cash-Strapped FreedomWorks In State Of Financial Disarray" (Buzzfeed)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Showers. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
  • The House returns at 9 a.m., while the Senate is back at 10:30.
  • The 2013 Values Voters Summit kicks off, featuring Sens. Mike Lee (R-UT), Ted Cruz (R-TX), Rand Paul (R-KY), Marco Rubio (R-FL), Tim Scott (R-SC) and Reps. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) and Paul Ryan (R-WI). (Omni Shoreham Hotel, 8:40 a.m.)
  • The Dodgers and Cardinals square off in Game 1 of the NLCS. (TBS, 8:30 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Phil Dawson and Matt Stover attended Lake Highlands H.S. in Lake Highlands, Texas.
  • The winner is Scott Kuschmider, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Dawson got his team’s first rushing touchdown of the season in 1999, by scoring on a fake field-goal try. Who is the only other NFL kicker since then to score his team's first rushing TD of the season, and for which team?" The 1st correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"I want the city to heal. I want the city to prosper. I want the city to be great in the end. I want the city to have the same feeling it did in 2006, when the Super Bowl was here. ... Everybody felt like this was their town." -- Kilpatrick, addressing the judge before sentencing (Detroit Free Press)

 

...CHASER

"Next time, just tell me to sit down, shut up and do your thing!" -- Kilpatrick, in a lurid text message to mistress Christine Beatty (AP)

Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief

Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

CORRECTION: A previous version of this post misstated the time the Senate will convene on Friday. The Senate meets starting at 10:30 a.m.

 

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