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Hotline's Wake-Up Call! / WAKE-UP CALL

Obama, Boehner Back-and-Forth Over Shutdown, Debt Limit; Court Appears Split on Contribution Case

October 9, 2013

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • "Concern deepened in financial markets Tuesday about the potential for a U.S. default" as President Obama and House Speaker John Boehner "clashed publicly without breaking an impasse over how to reopen the government and pay the nation's bills." (Washington Post)
  • During oral arguments at the Supreme Court Tuesday in McCutcheon v. FEC, the federal aggregate contribution-limit case, "anything like a consensus that could attract five votes eluded both sides." Chief Justice John Roberts, "who may well hold a decisive vote in this case, wondered aloud whether there was any way to deal with the problem of rich people writing very large checks that would not also inhibit wider participation in the money side of politics." (SCOTUSBlog.com)
  • Obama will nominate Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen to be the new Fed chair, "which would put the world's most powerful central bank in the hands of a key architect of its unprecedented stimulus program and the first female leader in its 100-year history." (Bloomberg News)
  • A new Quinnipiac University poll of NJ SEN Special LVs, conducted Oct. 5-7, shows Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D) leading former Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan (R), 53-41%. In the previous poll, conducted Sept. 19-22, Booker also led Lonegan, 53-41%. (release)
  • In a televised NJ GOV debate Tuesday night, Gov. Chris Christie (R) characterized state Sen. Barbara Buono (D) "as a supporter of high taxes and spending, while Buono accused Christie of being insensitive to the poor and middle class." (WCBS-TV)
  • In VA GOV, Virginia Beach Mayor Will Sessoms (R) "is appearing in a second campaign ad" for former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe (D), "one of several new television spots" McAuliffe "released this week featuring Hampton Roads citizens touting him as the pro-business candidate." (Norfolk Virginian-Pilot)
  • In GA SEN, philanthropist Michelle Nunn (D) raised $1.7 million in the third quarter. (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • In KS SEN, radiologist Milton Wolf (R) "announced Tuesday evening that he" will challenge Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS). (Kansas City Star)
  • In ME SEN, former ACLU state director Shenna Bellows (D), "a well-respected political player in Augusta for years, will challenge" Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME). (Kennebec Journal)
  • Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) raised $1.8 million in the third quarter and has $6.9 million cash on hand, campaign manager Brendan Steinhauser said. (AP)
  • "A former state IT specialist who is a key player behind the ethics questions swirling around" Georgia Gov. Nathan Deal's (R) office "said in an interview that he altered and removed dozens of documents in the governor's case file as an investigation into his potential campaign problems was pending," comments which "raise new concerns about the independence of the ethics agency charged with holding elected officials accountable in its review of five complaints accusing Deal of misusing campaign funds in his 2010 election." (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • Americans United for Change (D) is launching TV ads in 10 House districts to pressure Reps. Lou Barletta (R-PA), Andy Barr (R-KY), Dan Benishek (R-MI), Rodney Davis (R-IL), Jeff Denham (R-CA), Sean Duffy (R-WI), Richard Hanna (R-NY), Bill Johnson (R-OH), Tom Latham (R-IA) and Tim Walberg (R-MI) to support a House vote on a "clean CR" that would end the government shutdown. (release)
  • In CA-17, former Obama administration official Ro Khanna (D) raised over $504,000 in the third quarter, including from some major Obama fundraisers like Andy Spahn and Sandi Thompson. Rep. Mike Honda's (D) campaign announced Tuesday they had raised more than $385,000 in the fourth quarter. (Hotline reporting)
  • In CA-25, Rep. Buck McKeon (R) raised $209,000 in the third quarter and has $624,000 cash on hand. (Hotline reporting)
  • In ID-02, Rep. Mike Simpson (R) raised "over" $437,000 in the third quarter and has "over" $600,000 cash on hand. Attorney Bryan Smith (R) "countered with" a $275,000 third-quarter haul and has "over" $300,000 cash on hand. (Idaho Statesman)
  • In MI-07, Rep. Collin Peterson (D), who is being "publicly pushed" to retire by Republicans, "raised about $83,000 in the third quarter." Peterson's campaign said Tuesday he "is still considering his plans for 2014." (Roll Call)
  • In NH-01, outgoing University of New Hampshire business school Dean Dan Innis (R) announced he would run, setting up "a Republican primary between him" and former Rep. Frank Guinta (R). (New Hampshire Union Leader)
  • Houston Mayor Annise Parker (D) "defended her initiatives and deflected a bevy of criticisms from her challengers on the state of the city's roads, finances and public transportation on Tuesday night in the first and only televised debate of this year's mayoral contest." (Houston Chronicle)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

• The shutdown fight is moving to the airwaves, and the earliest examples of SEN candidate ads on the subject strike an interesting contrast in two red states. While Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR) used the shutdown to go after Rep. Tom Cotton (R) for "play[ing] Washington politics" -- in response to Cotton's Obamacare-themed TV ad against Pryor -- Sen. Mark Begich (D-AK) used the shutdown as an opportunity to defend Obamacare while criticizing "knuckleheads" for shutting down the government over it.

We'll bet the over on Booker's 12-point margin in the new Quinnipiac poll. Turnout is notoriously unpredictable in special elections, but if Booker's operation can improve upon the 11% African-American share of the electorate the Q poll portrays -- it was 18% in 2012 and 14% in 2009, exit polls show -- he should pad his lead a little in next week's vote.

• Two takeaways from the otherwise sleepy Christie-Buono debate: 1) Christie didn't hide his presidential ambitions at all, saying he could "chew gum and walk" at the same time. 2) He showed off his "nice" side when asked to give a positive compliment towards Buono. The exchange showed that, despite his blunt persona, he has the ability to soften things up when necessary.

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • DCCC Chairman Steve Israel (D-NY) told Democratic colleagues at a closed-door meeting on Tuesday "that GOP shutdown shenanigans were giving Dems a big recruiting boost, by prompting reluctant Dem candidates to express renewed interest in running in very tough GOP-held districts." (Washington Post)
  • Obama "met Tuesday with a small group of conservative reporters, columnists and commentators at the White House for an off-the-record discussion." (Huffington Post)
  • "For the first time since the Korean War, the United States will have two consecutive years of reduced nominal spending." -- House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, in an op-ed (Washington Post)
  • "If we miss this moment, the debt will spiral out of control." -- House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI), in an op-ed (Wall Street Journal)
  • The Capitol Police on Tuesday arrested Reps. Joseph Crowley (D-NY), Keith Ellison (D-MN), Al Green (D-TX), Raúl Grijalva (D-AZ), Luis Gutiérrez (D-IL), John Lewis (D-GA), Charles Rangel (D-NY) and Jan Schakowsky (D-IL) when they refused to leave Garfield Circle during a protest over U.S. immigration laws. (National Journal Daily)
  • Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder (R) will be deposed Wednesday in a lawsuit over the state's emergency takeover of Detroit. "Bankruptcy experts say they know of no other case in which a state governor has testified in a Chapter 9 bankruptcy and it's not even the norm for city mayors to be deposed." (Detroit Free Press)
  • "Christie, a voter, and gay marriage" (Philadelphia Inquirer)
  • "If GOP takes Senate in '14, does he reconsider? He will not want to be sitting in his ... cabin watching Bryce Harper highlights on ESPN." -- Nevada politics guru Jon Ralston, on Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's stated plans to run for reelection in 2016 (Los Angeles Times)
  • "Telephone polling has faced a rough road in the past 15 years or so as Americans have begun cutting their cords and screening their calls. And online research has not proven itself a perfect fix yet." -- Associated Press polling director Jennifer Agiesta, announcing that the Associated Press-GfK poll is moving from telephone interviews to online interviews (AP)
  • "Waterboarding Is A Big Joke At Cheney Roast" (Buzzfeed)
  • "Absolutely, they're on display in my den right now. I showed them to my college classmate from Howard University law school recently. He said 'Wow, is that real gold?'" -- Former Sen. Roland Burris (D-IL), on the two "Golden Gavels" he received for presiding over the Senate for more than 100 hours in a given year (McClatchy)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Cloudy. A 40% chance of rain this afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
  • The House returns at 10 a.m., and the Senate is back at 10:30.
  • Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) and Reps. Justin Amash (R-MI) and Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI) participate in a discussion at the Cato Institute: "NSA Surveillance, What We Know; What to Do About It." (10 a.m.)
  • Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli's (R) VA GOV campaign is planning an announcement "releasing important information concerning ... McAuliffe's agenda" in Newport News. (1 p.m.)
  • It's winner-take-all when the Cardinals host the Pirates in Game 5 of the NLDS. (TBS, 8 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!
  • SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

    • California Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie (D), Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn (D), Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear (D), Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon (D) and North Dakota Gov. Jack Dalrymple (R) have all mounted unsuccessful SEN bids.
    • The winner is Sam Kaplan, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Name the only man who was both the father and the son of a president of the United States." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

    NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

    SHOT...

    "'...he's very conservative.' -Senator Pat Roberts" -- The epigraph of an email press release announcing Wolf's primary challenge of Roberts, sent to reporters late Tuesday.

    ...CHASER

    "He's very good!"

    Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief

    Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

    CORRECTION: Tuesday's Wake-Up Call! incorrectly identified the congressional seat former West Virginia Democratic Party chairman Nick Casey (D) is seeking. Casey is running in WV-02, which is being vacated by Rep. Shelley Moore Capito (R), not in WV-03, which is held by Rep. Nick Rahall (D).

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