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McAuliffe Wins in Va.; Christie Cruises; Chamber-Backed Byrne Wins GOP Nod in Ala. House Special McAuliffe Wins in Va.; Christie Cruises; Chamber-Backed Byrne Wins GOP...

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Hotline's Wake-Up Call! / WAKE-UP CALL

McAuliffe Wins in Va.; Christie Cruises; Chamber-Backed Byrne Wins GOP Nod in Ala. House Special

November 6, 2013

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

ELECTION DAY 2013

  • VA GOV: Former DNC Chairman Terry McAuliffe (D) defeated Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R), 48-45%, with Robert Sarvis (L) at 7%. (AP results, 99% reporting) McAuliffe's victory bucked "a trend of Virginia voters since 1976 electing a governor of the opposite political party the year after a president's election." (Richmond Times-Dispatch)
  • NJ GOV: Gov. Chris Christie (R) defeated state Sen. Barbara Buono (D), 60-38%. (AP results, 99% reporting) Christie assembled a broad coalition, winning 21% of African-Americans and 51% of Hispanics, exit polls showed. (Hotline reporting)
  • New York City mayor: Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) defeated former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R), 73-24%. (AP results, 99% reporting) "New Yorkers handed ... de Blasio a landslide mandate in his bid to take the city in a sharply different direction after 20 years of Republican mayors." (New York Post)
  • AL-01 GOP primary runoff: 2010 GOV candidate Bradley Byrne (R) defeated 2012 candidate Dean Young (R), 52-48%. (AP results, 100% reporting) "Young -- and to some extent the national media -- cast the race as a battle for the soul of the Republican Party between an uncompromising conservative and an ally of the GOP establishment," but Byrne "pushed back hard against that narrative, arguing that he and Young differed little on the issues." (Mobile Press-Register)
  • VA AG: State Sen. Mark Obenshain (R) leads state Sen. Mark Herring (D), 50-50%, by a total of 53 votes, with 2 precincts yet to be counted. (AP results, 99% reporting) "State election law provides for the trailing candidate to request a recount if the margin is less than" 1% "of the total vote." (Washington Post)
  • Atlanta mayor: Mayor Kasim Reed (D) "was elected to a second term Tuesday, defeating three little-known challengers as he continues to raise his profile overseeing a key city in the South." (AP)
  • Boston mayor: State Rep. Martin Walsh defeated city Councilor John Connolly, 52-48%. (AP results, 100% reporting) Walsh's victory was "fueled by unprecedented spending by organized labor." (Boston Globe)
  • Charlotte mayor: "Riding solid support in east, west and north Charlotte," Mayor Pro-Tem Patrick Cannon (D) defeated former city Councilor Edwin Peacock (R), 53-46%. "Cannon's victory, combined with his party's incoming 9-2 city council majority, underscores how Democratic Charlotte has become." (Charlotte Observer)
  • Cincinnati mayor: Former city Councilor John Cranley (D), "who focused his campaign" on a $133 million streetcar project "he sees as wasteful and promises to stop," defeated Vice Mayor Roxanne Qualls (D), 58-42%. (Cincinnati Enquirer)
  • Cleveland mayor: Mayor Frank Jackson (D) defeated businessman Ken Lanci (D), garnering 67% of the vote "with all but a handful of precincts reporting -- not enough to make a difference for Lanci." (Cleveland Plain Dealer)
  • Detroit mayor: Former Detroit Medical Center CEO Mike Duggan defeated Wayne County Sheriff Benny Napoleon, 55-45%, to become the first white mayor of the 82%-black city in 40 years. (Detroit Free Press)
  • Houston mayor: Mayor Annise Parker (D) bested former City Attorney Ben Hall "and seven other challengers Tuesday, easily avoiding a runoff and shifting her focus to a third and final two-year term as Houston's 61st mayor." (Houston Chronicle)
  • Miami mayor: Mayor Tomás Regalado (R) "easily secured a second term, brushing aside three relatively unknown challengers." (Miami Herald)
  • Minneapolis mayor: "Defying predictions of a tight ... race," city Councilor Betsy Hodges (D) "posted a lead so commanding on Tuesday night that her closest opponent," former Hennepin County Commissioner Mark Andrew (D), "informally conceded less than two hours after polls closed," though final results of the ranked-choice election "won't be known until Wednesday." The vote is "a blow to the DFL establishment and municipal employee unions, which overwhelmingly supported Andrew's campaign." (Minneapolis Star Tribune)
  • Pittsburgh mayor: City Councilor Bill Peduto (D) "brushed aside token opposition to become Pittsburgh's chief executive, officially capturing the mayoral post he first sought nearly a decade ago." (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette)
  • Seattle mayor: State Sen. Ed Murray's (D) "promise of a more collaborative leadership style carried him to victory Tuesday night," as "voters signaled they were fed up with four years" of Mayor Mike McGinn's (D) "political brawls." (Seattle Times)

WHAT'S NEWS

  • Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid "said Tuesday he plans to have two more test votes on nominations to the District of Columbia Circuit Court of Appeals by the end of the week." If Republicans filibuster those nominees, Reid "has said he may revive his own threat to end the minority's ability to filibuster nominations through the so-called nuclear option." (Roll Call)
  • The NRSC "may take a heavier hand in contested primaries in 2014 to push its preferred candidates across the finish line," executive director Rob Collins said Tuesday. (Politico)
  • Former Montana Lt. Gov. John Bohlinger (D) "announced Tuesday night that he's running" for MT SEN, "becoming the third Democrat to get in the race." Bohlinger's announcement "comes on the eve of the expected announcement" of Rep. Steve Daines (R) that he will run for the seat as well. (Billings Gazette)
  • Former FEMA Director James Lee Witt (D) "announced he was running" for AR-04 on Tuesday, "giving Democrats a high-profile candidate as they to rebound from Republican gains in the state." (AP)
  • In CA GOV, Assemb. Tim Donnelly (R), "who has been an outspoken opponent of illegal immigration and efforts to pass new gun laws, entered the fray for 2014 with an announcement in Baldwin Park on Tuesday." (Los Angeles Times)
  • Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R) "officially launched" his reelection campaign Tuesday "in front of about 200 supporters at the Buker Community Center" in Augusta. (Portland Press Herald)
  • "After months of saying he would run for a second term and fundraising for the effort," Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett (R) on Wednesday "is kicking off a multi-day, cross-state event tour to raise his profile with a year to go until election day." (AP)
  • Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), "who in recent weeks has had to explain a series of plagiarism charges, said in an interview Tuesday that he was being held to an unfair standard, but that there would be an office 'restructuring' to prevent future occurrences." (New York Times)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

The marriage gap is much more significant than the gender gap. In Virginia, Cuccinelli comfortably won married women, 51-42%. But he got creamed by a 42-point margin among unmarried women. Married women actually supported Cuccinelli by a larger margin (51-42%) than married men did (50-44%).

• McAuliffe's win, however slight, was about messaging. Exit polling makes it clear that McAuliffe was much more successful -- thanks in part to his massive fundraising advantage -- at defining his opponent than Cuccinelli was. While the candidates were roughly tied among voters who said they "strongly favored" their candidate, thanks to an overwhelmingly negative race, 17% of voters said that they were voting a candidate largely because they disliked his opponent. Of those voters, half went for McAuliffe, and just a quarter voted for Cuccinelli. Libertarian Robert Sarvis, meanwhile, earned 23% of this protest vote.

• Don't count Byrne's narrow victory in AL-01 as a victory for the establishment. It's more of a relief. Outside establishment groups, including the Chamber of Commerce, poured in big money to elect an experienced politician over a fringe candidate without any organized tea party support. Indeed, the results from AL-01 continue to demonstrate the strength of the grassroots.

• Bohlinger's decision to run puts him at odds with the Montana and D.C. Democratic establishment, which have lined up behind current Lt. Gov. John Walsh (D). DSCC-preferred candidates have rarely been challenged lately, and none have lost recently. Bohlinger had reasonable name ID when he was poll-tested while considering a 2012 GOV run, but it may be a challenge for the ex-LG, running his own statewide bid for the first time, to raise money and make new connections given Walsh's heavyweight support.

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • Illinois state lawmakers "approved gay marriage Tuesday in a historic vote that saw supporters overcome cultural, racial and geographic divides and put Illinois in line with a growing number of states that have extended the right to wed to same-sex couples." (Chicago Tribune)
  • "There are a lot of questions people are going to be asking and that is, was leaving Cuccinelli alone in the first week of October a smart move?" -- Cuccinelli strategist Chris LaCivita, "who criticized the national Republican Party for giving up on its Virginia candidate too soon and paring back on funding over the past month" (Washington Post)
  • "While we may not always agree, we show up. We don't just show up in the places where we are comfortable we show up in the places we are uncomfortable." -- Christie (ABC News)
  • Christie said Tuesday that former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) "called him immediately when news broke that someone had leaked details about the 2012 vice presidential vetting process." (CNN)
  • Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) has been diagnosed with prostate cancer, his office announced on Tuesday. His office expects him to return to work as soon as next week. (National Journal)
  • "I've known 30-year-olds who were old men and 90-year-olds who were young and vigorous." -- Bohlinger, 77, on running for Senate (KAJ-TV)
  • Paul and the Washington Times "mutually agreed to end" Paul's weekly column, "which has appeared on each Friday in the newspaper since the summer." (Washington Times)
  • The D.C. Council "voted overwhelmingly Tuesday to call on" the Washington Redskins, who practice in Virginia and play their home games in Maryland, to change the team's name, "saying it is widely recognized as 'racist and derogatory.'" (Washington Post)
  • "We need to make California the sexiest place to do business. Because right now the only thing sexy to me in the state of California is my wife." -- Donnelly (San Francisco Chronicle)
  • The veteran Maryland state police lieutenant "who documented allegations that" Attorney General/MD GOV candidate Doug Gansler (D) "ordered troopers assigned to him to drive recklessly is himself being investigated concerning accusations that he worked as an armed security guard" in D.C. and Virginia "without proper licenses." (Washington Post)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

Affordable Horror Story

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
  • The Senate is back at 10:30 a.m.
  • HHS Secretary Kathleen Sebelius addresses the rollout of the federal health care exchange with the Senate Finance Committee. (SD-215, 10 a.m.)
  • John Wall and the Wizards travel to Philadelphia to take on the 76ers. (Comcast SportsNet, 7 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • The first secretary of State to serve in the Senate prior to joining the executive branch was James Monroe.
  • The winner is Bill Pascoe, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "On the inside of the gatefold cover of Little Feat's 1977 "Waiting for Columbus" double live album, there's a photograph of a notice in the window of the box office prohibiting admission to anyone wearing certain clothing. What was the prohibited clothing?" The 1st correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.
  • Check back Thursday for the winner of our Hotline Election Contest!

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"Yes, I have smoked crack cocaine but ... am I an addict? No. Have I tried it? Probably in one of my drunken stupors, probably approximately about a year ago." -- Toronto Mayor Rob Ford (Toronto Globe and Mail)

...CHASER

"Don't look like no drug addict, do I?" -- Former D.C. Mayor-for-Life Marion Barry (D), playing tennis at 8 a.m. in a 1990 Los Angeles Times profile.

Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief

Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

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