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- With a wary eye toward potential turbulence from House Republicans, where conservative hard-liners have been pushing for concessions on the Affordable Care Act to restart government funding, Senate leaders are seeking to finalize a deal to raise the debt ceiling and end the government shutdown in a way that could receive strong bipartisan support in the upper chamber. (National Journal Daily)
- The Senate plan "would lift the debt limit through Feb. 7, pass a resolution to finance the government through Jan. 15 and conclude formal discussions on a long-term tax and spending plan no later than Dec. 13, according to one Senate aide briefed on the plan." (New York Times)
- House conservatives are "pushing ... leadership to reject the compromise" that could emerge from the Senate. "They're furious with Senate Republicans for working with Democrats to craft what one leading [t]ea [p]arty congressman calls a 'mushy piece of s--t.'" (National Review)
- A new Quinnipiac University poll of NJ SEN Special LVs, conducted Oct. 10-14, shows Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D) leading former Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan (R), 54-40%. In the previous poll, conducted Oct. 5-7, Booker led Lonegan, 53-41%. (release)
- A new Rutgers-Eagleton poll of NJ SEN Special LVs, conducted Oct. 7-13, shows Booker leading Lonegan, 58-36%. (release)
- In VA GOV, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D) "will formally endorse" former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe (D) "on Saturday in Falls Church." (Richmond Times-Dispatch)
- A new Christopher Newport University poll of VA GOV LVs, conducted Oct. 8-13, shows McAuliffe leading Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R), 46-39%, with Robert Sarvis (L) at 11%. In the previous poll, conducted Oct. 1-6, McAuliffe led Cuccinelli, 47-38%, with Sarvis at 8%. (release)
- In the MA-05 Special, the 10 candidates "vying to succeed" now-Sen. Edward Markey (D) in the House "made their closing appeals, before voters head to the polls Tuesday for the special primary election." (Boston Globe)
- In AK SEN, former state Natural Resources Commissioner Dan Sullivan (R) "will announce his campaign for U.S. Senate on Tuesday morning at the Dena'ina Center in downtown Anchorage." (Anchorage Daily News)
- In CO SEN, Sen. Mark Udall (D) "raised about $1.1 million in the third quarter" and has "about $4.1 million" cash on hand. (Denver Post)
- In GA SEN, former Secretary of State Karen Handel (R) raised $286,000 in the third quarter and has "about $310,000" cash on hand. Rep. Paul Broun (R) raised $280,000 and has $450,000 cash on hand. (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
- In IA SEN, former Grassley chief of staff David Young (R) raised $112,000 in the third quarter and has $124,000 cash on hand. (Des Moines Register)
- In KS SEN, Sen. Pat Roberts (R) raised $538,000 in the third quarter and has $1.83 million cash on hand. (release)
- In LA SEN, Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) "will announce Tuesday that she raised $1.35 million in the third quarter and has $5.8 million cash on hand. Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) "announced Monday that he raised just under $700,000" in the thrid quarter and has $3.4 million cash on hand. (Politico)
- In MT SEN, Rep. Steve Daines (R) "raised nearly $642,000" in the third quarter as he considers running for Senate and has $1.14 million cash on hand. (Missoulian)
- In AR-04, former FEMA director James Lee Witt (D) said "he's about '80 percent' decided to make a run" after entreaties from Vice President Biden, Bill Clinton and former Rep. Mike Ross (D). (Arkansas Times)
- In CA-31, Redlands Mayor Pete Aguilar (D) raised $200,000 in the third quarter and has $438,000 cash on hand. (release)
- In CO-06, Rep. Mike Coffman (R) raised "more than $500,000 in the third quarter" and has $1.2 million cash on hand. (Denver Post)
- In FL-02, Bob Graham daughter Gwen Graham (D) "raised more than $450,000" in the third quarter and has $665,000 cash on hand. (Tampa Bay Times)
- In IA-03, Rep. Tom Latham (R) raised $438,000 in the third quarter and has $892,000 cash on hand. Former state Sen. Staci Appel (D) raised "just under $239,000" and has $200,000 cash on hand. (Des Moines Register)
- In MT-AL, former Baucus state director John Lewis (D) announced Monday he will run for the seat. Lewis said he raised "about $189,000" in the third quarter and has $182,000 cash on hand. (Missoulian)
- In NY-19, investor Sean Eldridge (D) "raised $221,728 from individuals" in the third quarter and "also chipped in $215,000" of his own fortune. (Capital New York)
- In NY-24, Rep. Dan Maffei (D) raised "more than $278,000" in the third quarter and has $698,000 cash on hand. (Auburn Citizen)
- In WI-01, Amar Kaleka (D), whose father was murdered last year in a Sikh temple outside Milwaukee, "plans to challenge" Rep. Paul Ryan (R). (AP)
- In the Boston mayoral race, city Councilor John Connolly launched a new TV ad on Monday, citing his support for public schools. (release)
Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day
• Given the intense anti-Washington environment, it's surprising that Republicans recruited legislative insiders against three of the four most vulnerable Democratic senators. But in Alaska, Sullivan, a Marine Corps reservist and former state natural resources commissioner, would break the mold -- if he wins a contested GOP primary. His opponents are already characterizing him as an Alaska outsider who worked for the Bush administration in ... Washington.
• Two House incumbents' fundraising numbers stick out as third quarter reports roll in: Coffman and Patrick Murphy (D-FL). Both have topped a half-million raised in each quarter of 2013, a rare and notable feat for vulnerable members.
HAIR OF THE DOG
"Fluffy the alligator pampered by fish-farm owner" (Columbus Dispatch)
FRESH BREWED BUZZ
- "Ted Cruz, House Republicans Meet in Secret at Tortilla Coast" (Roll Call)
- "We should meet with Iran and see if they are serious, but we cannot put at risk the hard-earned leverage that took so long to assemble." -- Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), in an op-ed about the P5+1 talks opening this week in Geneva (USA Today)
- "The New American Center: Why our nation isn't as divided as we think" (NBC News)
- "I eat Italian and I drink Irish." -- Timothy Cardinal Dolan, archbishop of New York, at Monday's Columbus Day parade (New York Daily News)
- Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Patchy fog this morning. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
- The House and Senate return at 10 a.m.
- U-Va. professor Larry Sabato holds a press conference "to discuss a new finding related to the JFK assassination and to launch his new book, 'The Kennedy Half Century.'" (Newseum, 10 a.m.)
- The Red Sox and Tigers look to claim the upper hand in Game 3 of the ALCS. (WTTG-TV, 4 p.m.)
- In New York, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio (D) and former MTA chairman Joe Lhota (R) meet in the first of three debates. (WABC-TV, 7 p.m.)
- The second NJ GOV debate between Gov. Chris Christie (R) and state Sen. Barbara Buono (D) airs live. (NJTV, 8 p.m.)
- Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!
- Former Massachusetts Gov. John Volpe (R) was the first elected official to serve as grand marshal of the New York City Columbus Day parade.
- The winner is Dawson Hobbs, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Name the only quarterback to lead his team to the Super Bowl in every season that he started all regular- and post-season games. Also name the team(s) and year(s)." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.
NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS
- Fiscal Negotiations -- and the Shutdown -- Mean a Light Schedule for Congress
- Past Stalwarts of Congress Would Be Ashamed
- Obamacare May Be More Political Than You Think
- The Two Faces of California
- Discovering the Power -- and the Limits -- of the Pulpit
"I'd chalk Kenny up as a success. But I disagree with him mightily. I find most of Kenny's political positions outrageous and obnoxious." -- Gonzaga College H.S. teacher John Hoffman, "a liberal teacher with a beard so long the boys called him 'ZZ Hoffman,'" on Cuccinelli, his former student (Washington Post)
"What? Kenny? But he dies all the time!" -- "Cartman" ("South Park")
Josh Kraushaar, Editor-in-Chief
Steven Shepard, Executive Editor