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Cochran Defeats McDaniel; Rangel Declares Victory; Lankford Wins OK SEN GOP Nomination Outright Cochran Defeats McDaniel; Rangel Declares Victory; Lankford Wins OK SE...

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Hotline's Wake-Up Call!

Cochran Defeats McDaniel; Rangel Declares Victory; Lankford Wins OK SEN GOP Nomination Outright

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • "In a remarkable comeback for a candidate many Republicans had begun to write-off," Sen. Thad Cochran (R) "won a surprise victory Tuesday in" the MS SEN GOP runoff election, "dealing a stinging blow to tea party groups who considered the six-term lawmaker their best opportunity to knock off a Republican incumbent in 2014." State Sen. Chris McDaniel (R) "offered nothing in way of support for Cochran during his speech and instead noted what he said were 'dozens' of irregularities at the polls." (Hotline reporting)
  • Results, with 99.9% of precincts reporting: Cochran 51%; McDaniel 49%. (AP)
  • In NY-13, Rep. Charlie Rangel (D) "was eager to declare victory in what could be his last primary contest, but the" AP still has not called the race. State Sen. Adriano Espaillat (D) has not conceded. (Hotline reporting) With 100% of precincts reporting, Rangel leads Espaillat 47-44%. (AP)
  • In the OK SEN Special, Rep. James Lankford (R) "easily claimed the Republican nomination Tuesday for the ... seat being vacated by" Sen. Tom Coburn (R), "overcoming a flood of outside money and capitalizing on a late intervention by Coburn on his behalf." (Oklahoman)
  • Results, with 100% of precincts reporting: Lankford 57%; former state House Speaker T.W. Shannon (R) 34%. (AP)
  • In CO GOV, "[f]aced with the choice of a far-right candidate or a more moderate mainstream pick, Colorado Republicans chose the latter Tuesday, selecting" former Rep. Bob Beauprez (R) as the party's ... nominee." (Denver Post)
  • Results, with 99% of precincts reporting: Beauprez 30%; former Rep. Tom Tancredo (R) 27%; Secretary of State Scott Gessler (R) 23%; former state Senate Minority Leader Mike Kopp (R) 20%. (AP)
  • In MD GOV, Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown (D) "claimed victory in the Democratic" primary "Tuesday after early returns suggested a landslide win." (Baltimore Sun)
  • Results, 100% of precincts reporting: Brown 51%; Attorney General Doug Gansler (D) 24%; state Del. Heather Mizeur (D) 22%. (AP)
  • In NY-01, state Sen. Lee Zeldin (R) defeated 2010 candidate George Demos (R) 62-38%, with 100% of precincts reporting to win the GOP primary. He will face Rep. Tim Bishop (D) in November. (AP)
  • In NY-21, former Bush administration aide Elise Stefanik (R) won the GOP nomination, beating 2012 nominee Matt Doheny 61-39% with 100% of precincts reporting. She will take on documentary filmmaker Aaron Wolf (D) in the fall. (AP)
  • In NY-22, Rep. Richard Hanna (R) beat back a primary challenge from state Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney (R) 53-47% with 100% of precincts reporting. (AP)
  • In CO-05, Rep. Doug Lamborn (R) survived a primary challenge from retired Air Force Gen. Bentley Rayburn (R) 53-47% with 100% of precincts reporting. (AP)
  • In the FL-19 Special, businessman Curt Clawson (R) won with 67% of the vote, earning the right to replace Rep. Trey Radel (R), who resigned in January. (AP)

  • In AR SEN, American Crossroads (R) launched a new TV ad attacking Sen. Mark Pryor (D) as a "rubber stamp" for President Obama. The spot is backed by $440,000. (Hotline reporting)
  • In CO SEN, Generation Opportunity released two new TV ads going after Sen. Mark Udall (D) for supporting policies that hurt young people. The TV and online ad buy is for $900,000. (release)
  • In HI SEN, Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D) is out with a TV ad focusing on her efforts to help seniors and veterans. (Hotline reporting)
  • In NH SEN, Mitt Romney will officially endorse and headline a rally for former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R) in Stratham, N.H., on July 2. (release) Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) is out with two new TV ads touting her mortgage reform efforts. (release)
  • In NC SEN, the Susan B. Anthony List released a new ad attacking Sen. Kay Hagan (D) as "too extreme" on abortion. The buy is for $100,000. (release)
  • In AL-06, state Rep. Paul DeMarco (R) released a new TV ad attacking Alabama Policy Institute co-founder Gary Palmer (R) on taxes. (AL.com)
  • In MI-04, Rep. Dave Camp (R) endorsed state Sen. John Moolenaar (R) as his successor. (Saginaw News)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In CA GOV, a new Field Poll of LVs, conducted June 5-22, shows Gov. Jerry Brown (D) leading former Treasury Department official Neel Kashkari (R) 52-32%. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

• Cochran's runoff victory will go down in history as one of the great political comeback stories, highlighting something every campaign (or sports team, or business) should remember: Those who best know and exploit the rules of the game, like the Obama campaign in the 2008 primaries, often go on to win it. Team Cochran's outreach to African-Americans who were eligible to vote because of Mississippi's open primary is the latest example. -- Scott Bland

• The fight of Cochran's career got the most attention last night, and Rangel's second consecutive challenge from Espaillat vacuumed up most of the attention to the House. But Lamborn and Hanna's slim survivals were arguably the most telling results in Tuesday's primaries. There have now been at least 14 members, mostly Republicans, who won renomination with less than 60% of the vote this year, a figure that keeps going up over the past three election cycles. Yes, incumbents are still winning almost all of their races, but more and more are getting pulled into dogfights. -- Scott Bland

• Among the conservative primary challengers trying to capitalize off of David Brat's victory, perhaps none have been more aggressive than Tennessee state Rep. Joe Carr. But even with an August primary against a relatively moderate incumbent, the conservative groups he's been courting for months now just don't seem to be biting. His latest rebuff from a local tea party rally featuring Sarah Palin is a good indication these groups don’t think they can touch the popular incumbent, Sen. Lamar Alexander. -- Andrea Drusch

• Colorado Republicans may have tough fights on their hands this year, but the results of Tuesday's gubernatorial primary represent a stunning turnaround from 2010 and a major win for the mainstream GOP. Beauprez won't be a panacea in the general election, but establishment efforts to bring the 2006 nominee back into the fold are a major improvement from the party's near-collapse four years ago, when Dan Maes won a last minute primary victory after the GOP’s chosen candidate, Scott McInnis, backed out over plagiarism charges. -- Karyn Bruggeman

• For all the talk about big-name endorsements, Rangel's apparent but still unofficial reelection seems to be about turnout, unsurprisingly. Yes, Rangel missed out on endorsements from President Obama and Mayor Bill de Blasio. But the X factor early on was how many of Rangel's usually reliable supporters would head to the polls in a June primary. Now, it's down to how many absentee and provisional ballots will come in for either side. -- Jack Fitzpatrick

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Cochran's Secret Weapon: Democratic Voters" (National Journal)
  • "We're not done fighting. We have to be absolutely certain that the Republican primary was won by Republican voters." -- McDaniel, in his speech after the race was called for Cochran (Hattiesburg American)
  • "The reality is my opponent had a good night, and Karl Rove had a good night." -- Doheny, in his concession speech (NCPR News)
  • Incoming House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy contributed $1.5 million to the NRCC, while Reps. Paul Ryan (R-WI), Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-WA) and Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) each gave $1 million. (Washington Post)
  • House Speaker John Boehner "told Republicans Tuesday he could have an announcement within days on whether the House will file a lawsuit against ... Obama, challenging the executive actions that have become the keystone of the administration." (Roll Call)
  • Priorities USA "will make donations of $250,000 apiece to" Senate Majority PAC and House Majority PAC. (Politico)
  • Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) "will be replaced as chairman of the Republican Study Committee by" Rep. Rob Woodall (R-GA), "who will serve as caretaker of the group for several months until regularly-scheduled elections are held in November." (National Journal)
  • "White House officials and Treasury Secretary Jack Lew will meet with billionaire environmental activist Tom Steyer on Wednesday to discuss climate change." (Reuters)
  • The Massachusetts Supreme Court "decided Tuesday that a casino repeal measure can appear on the November ballot, touching off a ferocious referendum campaign over one of the most charged issues in a generation and jeopardizing the future of the billion-dollar industry in" the state. (Boston Globe)
  • "Scott Brown Trades In The Truck In New Hampshire" (BuzzFeed)
  • Adam Kuhn, "the chief of staff to" Rep. Steve Stivers (R-OH) "has resigned after a former porn actress posted an explicit photo of the aide online." (Politico)
  • "Watch Congressional Leaders Awkwardly Hold Hands" (National Journal)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

A 2016 Poor-Off Pits Joe Biden Against Hillary Clinton

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • The Senate returns at 9:30 a.m., while the House is back at 10 a.m.
  • EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy testifies at a House Oversight and Government Reform Committee hearing. (Rayburn House Office Building, 9:30 a.m.)
  • Rep. John Lewis (D-GA) participates in a discussion on the Freedom Riders and the civil rights movement. (Newseum, 11:45 a.m.)
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) delivers remarks on the economy at an event co-sponsored by the YG Netowrk and Hillsdale College. (Allan P. Kirby Center, 1 p.m.)
  • Obama hosts an event to honor 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Champion Jimmie Johnson. (White House, 2:45 p.m.)
  • CQ Roll Call hosts the 53nd annual Congressional Baseball Game. (Nationals Park, 5:30 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • John Bell of Tennessee was the first Speaker of the House not born in the original 13 colonies.
  • The winner is Charles Cogar, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Two hundred years ago this summer, President Madison issued a few orders to troops at the Battle of Bladensburg. When was the only other time a sitting U.S. president directly commanded troops in the field?" The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"I'm going to do everything I can for you, buddy..."

...CHASER

"... Even if that means I don't come around." -- Tancredo to Beauprez, following the CO GOV GOP primary (Denver Post)

Adam Wollner, Editor

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