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Border-Security Amendment Clears Hurdle; MA Voters Head to Polls; Kasich's Improving Poll Numbers Border-Security Amendment Clears Hurdle; MA Voters Head to Polls; Kasi...

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Hotline's Wake-Up Call! / WAKE UP CALL

Border-Security Amendment Clears Hurdle; MA Voters Head to Polls; Kasich's Improving Poll Numbers

June 25, 2013

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • The Senate approved the Corker-Hoeven border-security amendment "as part of a measure that would provide a path to citizenship" to 11M immigrants in the U.S. illegally on Monday, 67-27, a bipartisan vote that "suggested that advocates of the overhaul had the votes needed to clear remaining hurdles and pass the legislation ... perhaps before lawmakers leave town" for the July 4th recess (New York Times).
  • In a speech at Georgetown Univ. on Tuesday, Pres. Obama will outline a timeline for the EPA to move forward regulating carbon emissions from new and existing power plants, which account for almost 40% of the country's heat-trapping emissions, the last, least-popular, and messiest tool he's got left to combat global warming (National Journal).
  • The SCOTUS, "in an anticlimax, sidestepped a sweeping ruling on affirmative action Monday, directing lower courts to re-examine whether a race-conscious admissions program" at the Univ. of TX at Austin "should survive constitutional scrutiny" (Wall Street Journal). The court said that it will be issuing more decisions on Tuesday at 10 a.m. (NPR).
  • MA SEN Special: Polls are open until 8 p.m. (Hotline reporting). "Trailing in the polls and facing a forecast of dismal voter turnout," ex-Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez (R) "made one final push for support at a rally Monday" in Quincy with ex-Sen. Scott Brown (R) (Boston Globe). A new Suffolk Univ. poll of LVs, conducted 6/19-22, shows Rep. Edward Markey (D) leading Gomez, 52-42%. In the previous poll, conducted 6/6-9, Markey led Gomez, 48-41% (release).
  • KY SEN: Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, a "super PAC boosting" Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell's (R) reelection bid, "will launch a new round of TV ads Tuesday assailing" Sec/State Alison Lundergan Grimes (D), "who hasn't yet announced" that she will run (Politico).
  • FL GOV: Gov. Rick Scott's (R) fundraising cmte, "Let's Get to Work," raised almost $700K during Scott's European trade mission this month, and has now taken in "more than" $6.6M "since the start of the year" (News Service of Florida).
  • OH GOV: A new Quinnipiac Univ. poll of RVs, conducted 6/18-23, shows Gov. John Kasich (R) leading Cuyahoga Co. Exec. Ed FitzGerald (D), 47-33%. In the previous poll, conducted 4/10-15, Kasich led FitzGerald, 46-37% (release).

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

• On Election Day '12, we said two pollsters had a lot riding on the outcomes. Dem Mark Mellman hit his, um, marks, on NV SEN and ND SEN. GOPer John McLaughlin missed races like IN SEN, NY 01 and VA SEN. McLaughlin is an outlier again: He sees Gomez trailing by just 3. If tonight's results are close, give the man a medal. If Markey pulls away, well, take note.

• Looks like Mitt Romney's loss is John Kasich's gain: Kasich was sometimes off-message during WH '12, when Romney was in the swing state pushing the idea that the economic recovery had stalled. Kasich's approval numbers are better than ever in a new Quinnipiac poll, and among voters who think the state's economy is improving, 91% credit Kasich at least partially for the upswing and 52% of voters surveyed approve of his handling of the economy.

• TX Gov. Rick Perry's potential retirement is the big news in state government, but other changes are also afoot. When LG David Dewhurst went from prohibitive SEN favorite to crash-and-burn GOP primary loser in 2012, he at least got to keep his day job. But after-effects of his brutal primary with Ted Cruz appear to be lingering, and Dewhurst already has a 2014 reelection dogfight on his hands as TX GOPers eagerly prepare for some long-awaited turnover atop the state's government.

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Federal regulators are poised to sue" ex-NJ Gov. Jon Corzine (D) "over the collapse of MF Global and the brokerage firm's misuse of customer money during its final days, a blowup that rattled Wall Street and cast a spotlight" on Corzine, who ran the firm until its bankruptcy in '11 (New York Times).
  • Star Scientific CEO Johnnie Williams "treated" VA first lady Maureen McDonnell "to a high-end shopping spree" in NYC in '11, which included "a suede jacket that cost at least" $10K, "two pairs of designer shoes, a Louis Vuitton leather handbag and a designer dress" (Richmond Times-Dispatch).
  • "This whole business is dependent on people needing haircuts" -- Markey, stating "the obvious about a Lawrence barbershop ... in his rush to praise the shops he was visiting" on Monday (Boston Globe).
  • Three Dems and three GOPers sent a letter to Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) "urging him not to veto a provision in the state budget naming the kringle," a "large, round, flat pastry with a hole in the middle made predominantly" in Racine Co., "as the official pastry" of the state (AP).
  • Ex-MA Gov. Mitt Romney (R) "has granted interviews to the authors" of two forthcoming WH '12 books (Politico).
  • NJ SEN candidate/Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D) "knows a lot about Jews, so much so that his remarkable philo-Semitism has raised eyebrows, not among anti-Semites but among some suspicious Semites" (Bloomberg View).
  • "Marijuana and hemp is like broccoli and cauliflower. They're in the same plant family but they're very different plants. They don't look that much alike and they don't taste the same. They're different plants. I am against marijuana. I am not for legalizing marijuana" -- KY Ag. Commis. James Comer (R), who is campaigning to legalize industrial hemp, and also "didn't rule out the possibility" he'd run for KY GOV '15 (WBKO-TV).
  • A Davenport, IA, "man who describes himself as a high school dropout who used to do illegal drugs and drink too much has a website declaring a bid" for IA SEN (Des Moines Register).
  • Austrailian PM Julia Gillard "has whipped up a storm after appearing in the Australian Women's Weekly knitting a toy kangaroo for the royal baby" (The Guardian).
  • "Can Democrats Win Back the Deep South?" (The Atlantic).

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Chief Wilson of the 1912 Pittsburgh Pirates hit 36 triples.
  • The winner is Andy Philipson, who did not submit a new question. Here's a bonus question: "According to a new Washington Post poll, a majority of DC-area adults -- and the vast majority of fans -- don't want the Redskins to change their name. But "Redskins" isn't the franchise's original moniker -- this name is, shared with a NL baseball team at the time." The 5th correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"Finally, on the border, there is no bill tougher on the border, there is no proposal tougher on the border than this one. We create a virtual human fence. There are enough border agents here to be on guard from San Diego, CA, to Brownsville, TX, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 365 days a year. They will only be 1,000 feet apart for every minute the clock ticks. No one -- no one -- will be able to cross the border with that number of people on the border. It is a virtual human fence" -- Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), on the border-security amendment (Congressional Record).

...CHASER

"Damn it! Well, then you find 'em, and you get 'em back in the dome! And to make sure nobody else gets out, I want roving death squads around the perimeter 24-7! I want 10,000 tough guys, and I want 10,000 soft guys to make the tough guys look tougher! And here's how I want 'em arranged: tough, tough, soft, tough, soft, soft, tough, tough, soft, soft, tough, soft" -- EPA admin. "Russ Cargill" ("The Simpsons Movie") (h/t Stewart Verdery)

Reid Wilson, Editor-in-Chief

Steven Shepard, Executive Editor

CORRECTION: Monday's Wake-Up Call! originally included incorrect field dates for a recent Minneapolis Star Tribune poll. The poll was conducted 6/11-13.

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