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AFP Launches New AR SEN Ad; Senate Majority PAC Hits Cassidy in LA SEN; Brewer Won't Seek Third Term AFP Launches New AR SEN Ad; Senate Majority PAC Hits Cassidy in LA SEN...

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AFP Launches New AR SEN Ad; Senate Majority PAC Hits Cassidy in LA SEN; Brewer Won't Seek Third Term

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • In AK SEN, the Club for Growth PAC endorsed former Attorney General Dan Sullivan (R). (release)
  • In AR SEN, Americans for Prosperity launched a new TV ad linking Sen. Mark Pryor (D) "to cancelled insurance plans tied to Obamacare." The total cost of the ad buy is $700,000. (Politico)
  • In LA SEN, Senate Majority PAC (D) released a new TV ad tying Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) to the "Koch brothers' agenda." The ad will run for two weeks at a cost of $200,000. (Politico)
  • In NE SEN, the Legacy Foundation Action Fund, a 501(c)(4) nonprofit group, is airing a TV ad touting Midland University President Ben Sasse's (R) conservative credentials. The ad is backed by a $300,000 buy. (National Review)
  • In OK SEN, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) endorsed former state House Speaker T.W. Shannon (R). (release)
  • Rep. Cory Gardner's (R) former chief of staff Chris Hansen is stepping down as Rep. Shelley Moore Capito's (R) WV SEN campaign manager to run Gardner's CO SEN campaign. (KDVR-TV)
  • In AZ GOV, Gov. Jan Brewer (R) "announced Wednesday she will not seek another term in office, an effort that would have required a long-shot court challenge to the state's term limits." (Arizona Republic)
  • In MD GOV, Attorney General Doug Gansler (D) released a new radio ad, promising "to take on the tough fights" on health care, jobs and education. "The Gansler campaign said the ad is airing on African-American-oriented and other news stations in both the Washington and Baltimore media markets." (Washington Post)
  • In FL-13, DCCC chairman Steve Israel called former state CFO Alex Sink (D) "an 'extraordinary candidate' and said he wants her to run again." Israel: "The decision is hers to make. We're not going to approach her until she has time to kind of assess her options. But I believe that if Alex Sink decides to run, she will win November and we do will everything, and I mean everything, to support her." (Tampa Bay Times)
  • In IL-13, former judge Ann Callis (D) released her third TV ad, highlighting her commitment to protecting Medicare and Social Security. (release)
  • In MI-03, businessman Brian Ellis (R) released a TV ad attacking Rep. Justin Amash (R) for voting "to allow gender selection abortions to continue." Ellis's campaign is spending $75,000 to air the ad from March 10-23 "across West Michigan's four major television stations." (Grand Rapids Press)
  • In MI-11, Freedom's Defense Fund launched a new TV ad attacking businessman David Trott (R) for "evict[ing] Texana Hollis, a 101-year-old Detroit resident, from her home of 65 years" in 2011. (release)
  • Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) will unveil a new" PAC "on Thursday to help elect conservatives to Congress." (Politico)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In IA SEN, a new Quinnipiac University poll of RVs, conducted March 5-10, shows Rep. Bruce Braley (D) with a double-digit advantage over most of his potential Republican opponents in general election matchups. Braley leads businessman Mark Jacobs (R), 40-31%; state Sen. Joni Ernst (R), 42-29%; former U.S. Attorney Matt Whitaker (R), 42-30%; and radio talk show host Sam Clovis (R), 42-27%. (release)
  • In IA GOV, a new Quinnipiac University poll of RVs, conducted March 5-10, shows Gov. Terry Branstad (R) leading state Sen. Jack Hatch (D) 46-35% in a general election matchup. In the previous poll, conducted Dec. 10-15, Branstad led Hatch 49-33%. (release)
  • A Hickman Analytics, Inc. (D) poll of LA SEN LVs, conducted Feb. 17-20 for Consumer Energy Alliance, shows Cassidy leading Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) 46-42% in a general election matchup. (release)
  • A Hickman Analytics, Inc. (D) poll of NC SEN LVs, conducted Feb. 17-20 for Consumer Energy Alliance, shows Sen. Kay Hagan (D) leading state House Speaker Thom Tillis (R) 45-41% in a general election matchup. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• Four February battleground-state Senate polls from Democratic polling firm Hickman Analytics show Democratic senators in varying degrees of trouble, from dire to vulnerable. Several takeaways: 1) Landrieu is probably in deeper trouble than Pryor, whose favorable ratings are still respectable; 2) Hagan is still in decent shape, with credible favorability while early impressions of Tillis are negative; 3) Sen. Mark Udall (D) is well-liked but his support is very soft; it's clear why Gardner gave up his House seat to run. -- Josh Kraushaar

• Brewer's announcement that she won't seek reelection leaves behind an open race, and one that's expected to be competitive. Over a half dozen Republicans will duke it out for the GOP nomination through the August 26 primary, while the Democratic frontrunner Fred DuVal will benefit from a clear primary field. It's a GOP leaning state but the low name ID of all candidates involved and a growing Latino population should give Democrats a glimmer of hope for their prospects. -- Karyn Bruggeman

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "Charlie Crist Loves to Love You" (The Atlantic)
  • "Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell ... said he supports legislation passed by a Kentucky Senate committee Wednesday to change the state's election law to allow one candidate to run in multiple federal races on the same ballot. The law would potentially benefit" Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), "who is up for re-election to his Senate seat in 2016 but has his eye on a potential White House run." (Roll Call)
  • "I probably have supported George Bush more than I have Barack Obama. Am I going to switch parties because of that? No. I'm a Democrat, born a Democrat, am a Democrat and will die a Democrat." -- Rep. Nick Rahall (D), who also said that Obama has "probably not" been good for West Virginia (The Hill)
  • "Five new digital tools the Republicans used in the Florida special to boost their campaign" (Washington Examiner)
  • "On Wednesday, New Hampshire's House of Representatives voted overwhelmingly, 225 to 104, to repeal the death penalty. The fate of the bill in the state's Senate is less certain, but many give it a strong chance of passage." Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) "is prepared to sign it, a change from 2000, when a repeal bill last made it to the governor's desk, where it was vetoed. If New Hampshire abolishes the death penalty, it would become the 19th state to do so." (New York Times)
  • "I tried to run for president back at the end of the '90s and 2000 and no one was interested. And, I really was trying. Now, I'm not interested and everyone puts your name up. So I don't know what that says about life." -- Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R), saying he's not interested in running for president in 2016 (WBNS-TV)
  • "Reubin Askew, the former governor of Florida who served as U.S. trade representative under President Jimmy Carter before making an unsuccessful run for the White House during the 1980s, has died. He was 85." (Bloomberg News)
  • "Listen, I've stood here after losing some special elections. I've tried to put lipstick on a pig, and it's still a pig. You can bet they'll try to put lipstick on it today, but you all know what the facts are." -- House Speaker John Boehner, on the FL-13 Special (The Hill)
  • "Drunken Karaoke With Justin Amash and Thomas Massie" (National Journal)
  • "I do interviews with a gun." -- Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R), joking to Jimmy Kimmel in an appearance on his show ("Jimmy Kimmel Live")
  • Stop the presses: In CA-11, 1988 presidential nominee Michael Dukakis (D) endorsed state Sen. Mark DeSaulnier (D). (release)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

Jon Stewart Doesn't Believe that CIA Spying Is Really 'Beyond the Scope of Reason'

 

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • Today's weather, from the National Weather Service: Sunny and windy. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
  • The Senate is back at 9:30 a.m., while the House returns at 10 a.m.
  • Rep.-elect David Jolly (R-FL) will be sworn in. (U.S. Capitol, 2 p.m.)
  • President Obama delivers remarks and signs a Presidential Memorandum on modernizing overtime protections. (White House, 2:20 p.m.)
  • Vice President Biden delivers remarks at the American Ireland Fund's annual National Gala. (Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center, 8 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • James Monroe served as Secretary of State and Secretary of War before becoming president.
  • The winner is Mark Huddleston, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Which state capital is the only one in America not to have a McDonald's?" The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"[T]he only note that I make is, make certain that Kansans continue to know me, see me, understand me, that we have conversations, so that they can see for themselves that I haven't gone to Washington, D.C., and become part of some establishment leadership group." -- Sen. Jerry Moran (R-KS), on his 2016 reelection battle (Washington Examiner)

...CHASER

"Sen. Jerry Moran Elected to Serve as Chairman of NRSC" (release, Nov. 14, 2012)

Adam Wollner, Editor

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