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AFP Hits Shaheen, Kuster in N.H.; Poll Shows Tight CO SEN Race; SCF Goes on Air Against Roberts AFP Hits Shaheen, Kuster in N.H.; Poll Shows Tight CO SEN Race; SCF Go...

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AFP Hits Shaheen, Kuster in N.H.; Poll Shows Tight CO SEN Race; SCF Goes on Air Against Roberts

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • Americans for Prosperity - New Hampshire launched new TV ads attacking Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) and Rep. Ann Kuster (D-NH) for supporting Obamacare. The ads are backed by a total of $1.3 million and will run through the first week of August. (Hotline reporting)
  • In KS SEN, Senate Conservatives Action, the super PAC arm of Senate Conservatives Fund, released new TV and radio ads casting Sen. Pat Roberts (R) as "liberal in Washington" and "rarely in Kansas." (release)
  • In IA SEN, state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) raised $1.8 million in the second quarter and had over $1 million cash on hand, while Rep. Bruce Braley (D) raised $1.7 million and had $2.7 million cash on hand. (releases)
  • In AR SEN, the Democratic Party of Arkansas released a new TV ad hitting Rep. Tom Cotton (R) for attending a private conference hosted by the Koch brothers' political network. (release)
  • In CO SEN, Sen. Mark Udall (D) "moved quickly Wednesday in coming out in opposition to two ballot initiatives that would restrict oil and gas drilling after a legislative compromise aimed at averting the fight over the measures fell apart." (KDVR-TV)
  • In GA SEN, Rep. Jack Kingston (R) was asked about the prospect of impeaching President Obama on a local radio talk show. He responded: "I don't know what rises to that level yet, but I know that there's a mounting frustration that a lot of people are getting to and I think Congress is going to start looking at it very seriously." Asked if House Speaker John Boehner's lawsuit could be the first step towards impeachment, Kingston said: "You know, it could go in that direction if there was a big discussion. I mean, I think it's possible, it keeps getting worse and worse. It could go in that direction." (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • In OR SEN, pediatric neurosurgeon Monica Wehby (R) raised " more than $955,000" in the second quarter and had $647,000 cash on hand, along with $122,000 in debt. (Roll Call)
  • In IL-13, the League of Conservation Voters Action Fund endorsed former judge Ann Callis (D). (release)
  • In NY-19, Rep. Chris Gibson (R) raised $819,000 in the second quarter and had $1.9 million cash on hand, while venture capitalist Sean Eldridge (D) raised "more than $770,000" and had $2.1 million cash on hand. (Albany Times-Union)
  • RGA executive director Phil Cox "said the group plans to spend $100 million in the last 100 days before the election." (National Journal)
  • In AR GOV, former Rep. Asa Hutchinson (R) released a new TV ad pledging to fight for farmers. (release)
  • In AZ GOV, former Gov. Jane Hull (R) endorsed state Treasurer Doug Ducey (R). (release)
  • In CT GOV, 2010 candidate Tom Foley (R) released a new TV ad attacking Gov. Dan Malloy (D) and state Senate Minority Leader John McKinney (R) as "career politicians" and "insiders." (release)
  • In IL GOV, Illinois Freedom PAC launched a new TV ad criticizing businessman Bruce Rauner (R) over Social Security and Medicare taxes. (Chicago Tribune)
  • In IA GOV, Gov. Terry Branstad (R) is up with a new TV ad touting his record on the economy. (release)
  • In RI GOV, Providence Mayor Angel Taveras (D) released a new TV ad "that casts him as the 'Main Street' candidate running against powerful Wall Street interests." (Providence Journal)
  • In WI GOV, Gov. Scott Walker (R) released a new TV ad accusing former Trek executive Mary Burke (D) of sending jobs overseas. (release)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • In CO SEN, a new Quinnipiac University poll of RVs, conducted July 10-14, shows Rep. Cory Gardner (R) leading Udall 44-42%. In a mid-April poll, Udall led 45-44%. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

 

• Republicans still worry about what NY-19 Dem Eldridge will be able to do with his personal fortune in the fall, but another mammoth fundraising quarter from Gibson -- $820,000 raised, a personal best by some margin in three election cycles -- means he's keeping pace so far in the cash race, a notable feat in the sea of financial reports out there right now. -- Scott Bland

• "It all comes down to turnout." It's a common refrain as campaigns near Election Day, but it also applies to poll results, too. As we digest results from divergent Marist and Quinnipiac polls in Colorado this week, take note of some potentially consequential demographic differences between the surveys, including this one: Marist's Colorado sample includes more whites with college degrees than without (39% to 37%), while Quinnipiac's has fewer whites with college degrees (35% with, 43% without). Considering how polarized those groups' votes have become, especially among women, those differences can have big results -- both in polls and on Election Day. -- Scott Bland

• If it seems like Democrats have the financial upper hand after Tuesday's FEC reports, it's because many of them do. A Roll Call analysis found that in the 59 most competitive House races, Democrats had, on average, $955,000 cash on hand and Republicans had $667,000. Much of that discrepancy probably comes from Democratic incumbents who are vulnerable, but have had time to stockpile funds. Two of the more dramatic examples: Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has nearly $1 million more than her closest competitor, and Rep. John Barrow has a $1.6 million cash advantage over his challenger. -- Jack Fitzpatrick

• Given the late primary dates in many northeastern states, not a whole of attention has yet been paid to the Connecticut governor's race. But expect that to change in the near future. Gov. Dan Malloy and his likely Republican opponent Tom Foley have each gone on the air with their first TV ads in the past week or so, and are starting to take swipes at each other. At a press conference on Wednesday, RGA executive director Phil Cox noted that Foley only lost by 6,400 votes in 2010, and they have every intention of helping Foley win the second time around. -- Karyn Bruggeman

HAIR OF THE DOG

    "A man who used a can of spray paint and a lighter as a makeshift blowtorch to kill a spider in his laundry room started a blaze that caused $60,000 worth of damage." (AP)

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "A federal judge in Orange County ruled Wednesday that California's death penalty violates the U.S. Constitution's ban on cruel and unusual punishment." (Los Angeles Times)
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) "will be the keynote speaker at" Rep. Jeff Duncan's (R-SC) "Faith & Freedom BBQ fundraiser on Aug. 25." The trip will mark Rubio's first visit to South Carolina since 2012. (Columbia State)
  • "In a sign that he's aggressively reaching out to Millennials and Silicon Valley," Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) "will be the keynote speaker at a gathering of 'conservatarian' tech insiders this weekend in San Francisco." (San Francisco Chronicle)
  • Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D) "on Wednesday said he wanted to find a way for" his state "to help alleviate the crisis of children seeking to cross the U.S.-Mexico border, avoiding the type of feud with the White House into which other governors have been drawn, and invoking powerful imagery as his motivation." Patrick: "My inclination is to remember what happened when a shipful of Jewish children tried to come to the United States in 1939 and the United States turned them away, and many of them went to their deaths in Nazi concentration camp." (Boston Globe)
  • "I got mad. I walked out of a 60-minute interview in about 10 minutes. There's a rumor going around that I lost my temper. I can confirm for you today that that is true." -- GA SEN candidate/businessman David Perdue (R), on his meeting with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce (Atlanta Journal-Constitution)
  • "For the third time this year," MI GOV candidate/former Rep. Mark Schauer (D) "is accusing Republicans of attempting to spy on his campaign. But this time, the suspected political subterfuge involves a high-tech hidden camera and a video memory disk that fell into the hands of Democrats. And Republicans are defending their campaign snooping." (Detroit News)
  • California Gov. Jerry Brown (D) "has a little-known Republican challenger campaigning against him across California, taunting him on issues from taxes to transit. But his most formidable Republican adversary is turning out to be a fellow Californian who wields his power from an office 2,700 miles away:" Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), "the incoming House majority leader." (New York Times)
  • "Billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer is falling far short on his pledge to raise $50 million in outside money to make climate change a midterm-election weapon against the GOP. His super PAC, NextGen Climate Action, has raised just $1.2 million from other donors toward that goal." (Politico)
  • Rep. Vance McAllister's (R-LA) "campaign has refunded contributions from the former staffer he was caught kissing on a leaked surveillance tape and the woman's husband." (New Orleans Times-Picayune)
  • "Christie calls 'bull' on allegation that his persona inspired bridge scandal" (Newark Star-Ledger)
  • After being approached by a reporter at a restaurant, NH SEN candidate/former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R) "stood up, walked to the back of the diner, and took shelter in the bathroom. A campaign aide ... looked bewildered. He lingered beside me for a few moments, before politely excusing himself – 'Nice to meet you' – and joining his boss in the bathroom." (The Guardian)
  • Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) "joined string band Old Crow Medicine Show on stage at Red Rocks Amphitheatre on Wednesday night to play banjo and sing the track 'CC Rider.' On the song's second verse, Hickenlooper even takes the microphone himself to sing, 'You were standin' in the kitchen in that morning gown.'" (Reverb)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

'Three' Benefits of Rick Perry's New Look ... Oops

 

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • The House returns at 9 a.m., while the Senate is back at 9:30 a.m.
  • Obama visits the I-495 bridge in Delaware to discuss investing in transportation. (2:10 p.m.)
  • Vice President Biden delivers remarks at the Netroots Nation Conference in Detroit. (3:30 p.m.)
  • Obama travels to New York for a DNC event at 5:45 p.m. and a House Majority PAC (D) event at 7:30 p.m.
  • Secretary of State John Kerry Delivers remarks on diplomacy and security challenges in a changing global landscape. (Sixth & I Historic Synagogue, 7 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Edward D, White, Charles Evans Hughes, Harlan F. Stone and William H. Rehnquist were all Chief Justices of the United States who previously served as Associate Justices of the Supreme Court.
  • The winner is Stephen Holland, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "Only one incumbent president has lost the New Hampshire primary. Who was the president and in what year did it happen?" The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) "says Americans should 'beware' of those who have already made an early decision to run for president." (NBC News)

...CHASER

"Chris Christie embarks on multi-city Iowa tour" (Newark Star-Ledger)

Adam Wollner, Editor

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