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ACA Enrollment Surpasses 7M; AEA Goes After Begich, Rahall on Coal; Gray Loses D.C. Mayoral Primary ACA Enrollment Surpasses 7M; AEA Goes After Begich, Rahall on Coal; Gr...

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Hotline's Wake-Up Call!

ACA Enrollment Surpasses 7M; AEA Goes After Begich, Rahall on Coal; Gray Loses D.C. Mayoral Primary

Wake-Up Call! is Hotline's daily morning briefing on campaigns and elections. Click here to subscribe.

WHAT'S NEWS

  • "President Obama declared victory Tuesday in the government's aggressive push to enroll seven million people in private health insurance plans under the Affordable Care Act... The milestone may be more significant politically than for what it says about the law's potential impact on the American health system, which remains unclear. But officials said it was unlikely to have much of an impact on public perception of the law, and the announcement did little to deflect immediate criticism from its Republican opponents." (New York Times)
  • In AK SEN, the American Energy Alliance is launching a new TV ad attacking Sen. Mark Begich (D) for trying to "have it both ways" on the carbon tax. The ad campaign, which includes an online component, is backed by a $526,000 buy. The spot will run through April 23. (Hotline reporting)
  • In NH SEN, former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R) said on WGIR-AM Wednesday that he is running and that he will officially announce his campaign next week. ("New Hampshire Today with Jack Heath")
  • In MS SEN, Sen. Thad Cochran (R) launched a new TV ad touting his endorsement from the NRA, his "more than 100 votes" against Obamacare and his 100% pro-life voting record from National Right to Life. (The Hill)
  • In AZ-07, state Rep. Ruben Gallego (D) "will announce raising $160,000 in his first month of campaigning" and "having $150,000 in cash on hand as of Monday." (Roll Call)
  • In CA-17, Rep. Mike Honda (D) raised "more than" $650,000 in the first quarter of 2014 and has "more than" $1.05 million cash on hand. (release)
  • In FL-02, Americans for Prosperity released a new TV ad thanking Rep. Steve Southerland (R) for fighting against Obamacare. The spot will run "on broadcast and cable for three weeks." (release)
  • In ID-02, the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association began running a 30-second radio ad on Tuesday thanking Rep. Mike Simpson (R) for supporting the Electricity, Security and Affordability Act. (Hotline reporting)
  • In IL-10, the League of Conservation Voters Action Fund endorsed Rep. Brad Schneider (D). (release)
  • In MI-04, state Sen. John Moolenaar (R) "said Tuesday he plans to run for the ... seat that" Rep. Dave Camp (R) "will vacate at the end of the year." (Detroit News)
  • In WV-03, the American Energy Alliance launched a new TV ad attacking Rep. Nick Rahall (D) for standing with "anti-coal extremists" in Washington. The ad campaign, which includes an online component, is backed by a $113,000 buy. The spot began airing on Tuesday and will run through April 12. (Hotline reporting)
  • In NH GOV, former BAE CEO Walter Havenstein (R) "is entering the race." (WMUR-TV)
  • In the Washington, D.C., mayoral race, Councilmember Muriel Bowser (D) "won the Democratic ... nomination Tuesday, emerging from a pack of challengers in a low-turnout primary to deny scandal-tarnished" Mayor Vincent Gray (D) "a second term." Bowser "triumphed in the latest in a string of District elections to reveal a city unsettled over the shape of its future. Bowser's win heralds many more months of uncertainty as she faces a substantial general-election challenger while a lame-duck Gray is left to steer the city amid the threat of federal indictment." (Washington Post)

NUMBER BRUNCHING

  • According to a new Quinnipiac University poll of national RVs, conducted March 26-31, 42% approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president, while 50% disapprove. In the previous poll, conducted Jan. 15-19, 40% approved and 54% disapproved. (release)
  • The poll also shows Democrats leading the generic House ballot 40-38%. In January, the Republicans led 38-37%. (release)

OUR CALL

Hotline editors weigh in on the stories that drive the day

• American Crossroads is showing a more cautious approach to Republican primaries, but there's one scenario that might force the GOP super PAC out of its comfort zone. If Democrats meddle in Republican Senate primaries -- for instance, running ads boosting a candidate like Rep. Paul Broun in Georgia -- as they did with Todd Akin in 2012, GOP insiders suggest the group might have no choice but to respond. -- Alex Roarty

• Remember immigration reform? That legislation is still ostensibly kicking around in the House, but the latest Quinnipiac poll reinforces why it can't head anywhere right now: 60% of Republicans say they're less likely to vote for an immigration reform supporter versus 34% who say they'd be more likely or just as likely to vote for one. House passage was never as likely as some made it seem, but election season looks like it will be an especially powerful opposing force. -- Scott Bland

 

HAIR OF THE DOG

FRESH BREWED BUZZ

  • "The Newer, Softer Iteration of American Crossroads" (National Journal)
  • The DCCC "is building a national computer model to predict voters' marital status, with hopes of targeting what may be the party's most important demographic group: unmarried women." The project "is just one example of the party's growing focus on single female voters. ... But Democrats have their work cut out for them. Not only do unmarried women tend to vote in far smaller numbers during midterm elections, Democrats are lagging in support from that group of voters compared with 2012." (Washington Post)
  • "In the hours before a Monday campaign finance deadline," Rep. Allyson Schwartz (D) contacted an unlikely supporter:" former Department of Environmental Protection secretary Katie McGinty's (D) husband. McGinty spokesman Mike Mikus: "She never made the hard ask." (Pittsburgh Tribune-Review)
  • The FEC "is looking into new allegations that" former Rep. Ron Paul's (R-TX) "2012 presidential campaign tried to bribe" then-state Sen. Kent Sorenson (R) "to back him on the waning days of the Iowa caucuses." (San Antonio Express-News)
  • Florida Gov. Rick Scott's (R) "administration violated federal law by trying to remove noncitizens from the voter rolls too close to the 2012 presidential election, a federal appeals court ruled Tuesday in calling the mistake-prone effort 'far from perfect.'" (Tampa Bay Times)
  • Arizona state Sen. Olivia Cajero Bedford (D) questioned state Sen. Steve Gallardo's (D) "honesty in regards to his sexual orientation in a closed-door caucus meeting on Tuesday and said Gallardo should 'act more gay.'" (Arizona Capitol Times)
  • "Everybody has a script, everybody has an idea, everybody wants to make a movie. ... I've never felt so popular." -- Former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA), who is now the CEO of EchoLight Studios (Washington Post)
  • Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) and Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear (D) "are putting their state's best beer and bourbon on the line in a friendly wager over the outcome of Saturday's Final Four game." (AP)
  • "This senator offers surfing lessons — will anyone bite?" (Washington Post)
  • "I'm proud to stand with Winston Churchill. ... And I've got to say my wife was fairly astonished." -- Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), showing of a fake tattoo of the former British prime minister's face on his bicep in an appearance on Fox News (National Journal)

PLAY OF THE DAY!

What Obamacare enrollment numbers mean for your doctor's office waiting room

ROOSTER'S CROW

  • The Senate returns at 9 a.m., while the House is back at 10 a.m.
  • The National Press Club Newsmaker Program holds a news conference on the midterm elections featuring DCCC Chairman Steve Israel. (National Press Club, 10 a.m.)
  • Obama delivers remarks on raising the minimum wage at the University of Michigan. (3 p.m.)
  • Obama attends two DNC events in Chicago. (4:45 p.m. CT)
  • The Wizards host the Celtics. (Verizon Center, 7 p.m.)
  • Have an event for us to highlight? Email us!

SWIZZLE CHALLENGE

  • Sen James Risch's (R-ID) U.S. Senate seat has been in Republican control for 65 years, the third-longest of any seat.
  • The winner is Joe Luchok, and here's his Swizzle Challenge: "A current member of Congress holds a seat that elected a Democrat in 2004, a Republican in 2006, a Democrat in 2008, and a Republican in 2010. Name the member and the state." The 3rd correct e-mailer gets to submit the next question.

NJ'S EARLY BIRD SPECIALS

SHOT...

"We'd love to have Scott [Brown] back. We're happy that he's running for the Senate. He's an old friend of ours." -- Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell  (ABC News)

...CHASER

"I've already let it be very clearly known to Mitch McConnell that I'm completely disgusted as to whats going on down there, and he has a lot of work to do to earn my vote. Because I don't work for him or Harry Reid." -- Brown, during a 2012 MA SEN debate (YouTube)

Adam Wollner, Editor

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