NJ Topics Monetary Policy

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Alan Greenspan Receives Honorary Harvard Degree, 1999

So, a Fed Chairman Is Speaking at Your Graduation

"The future of the country is in jeopardy." It's what every college graduate wants to hear while sitting up on that stage, sweltering in the spring heat with friends and family watching.
American dream

The American Dream, Downsized

The middle class now worries more about holding on for dear life than about climbing the ladder to riches. 
Alan S. Blinder, left, and Glenn Hubbard.

Two Completely Different Ways to Deal With the Upward-Mobility Crisis

Top economists from the Clinton and Bush administrations debate how to revive the economy to keep people from getting stuck. 
Oil refineries

What If Oil Lasts Forever?

New technology and a little-known energy source suggest that fossil fuels may not be finite. This would be a miracle—and a nightmare.
Obama

Routes to a Budget Deal Appear Stalled

The two routes to an agreement—regular order or schmoozing—do not seem to be working, despite Washington's deep dive into fiscal issues.
Rep. Henry Waxman

The ‘Liberal Bulldog’ Takes on His Biggest Challenge

Rep. Henry Waxman, the California liberal who has spent decades battling the tobacco, coal, and pharmaceutical industries, is taking on what appears to be the most insurmountable challenge of his long career.
Marie Arrasate, left, and Joan McGarr

It's Easy to Fix Social Security

Unlike Medicare and Medicaid, it's simple arithmetic. If only the politics added up. 
President Obama's budget

A New Budget for a New Party

Obama's fiscal proposal aligns him with the politics of minority, millennial, and college-educated voters.
Federal Reserve HQ at Sunrise

Surprise! Fed Releases Minutes Early

The government closely guards potentially market-moving data until its release time. So it was a surprise Wednesday morning when the Federal Reserve announced that it had inadvertently transmitted the minutes from its latest policy-setting meeting to a distribution list on Tuesday, nearly 24 hours ahead of schedule. 
Obama Budget

7 Things to Know About Obama's Budget

You’ll see a lot about the aggregate budget size of $3.8 trillion. But here are the things that are really worth knowing.
Budget

Beware Obama's Budget Predictions: Many Forecasts Are Wrong

CBO forecasts are bound by current law, not future policies, while White House forecasts reflect a president's hopes. Both have been wildly amiss.
Janet Yellen

Fights Over Fed Likely to Continue if Yellen Becomes Next Chairman

First, however, she would have to be confirmed—and the vote could be one of the closest ever.
Janet Yellen

Who Is Janet Yellen, Bernanke's Likely Successor?

The Fed vice chairwoman has a long history with the central bank and is one of the most dovish members of the Federal Open Market Committee.
William McChesney Martin, Jr.

1960s ‘Money-Market Men’ Design Their Dream Fed Chairman

With Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s term set to expire in January, the handicapping of the race to replace him has begun. 
pre-school

What San Antonio Has to Teach Washington

The city is trying a small-scale version of Obama's pre-K plan. If politicians want to send more 4-year-olds to school, they should pay attention.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Speaks at a March 20, 2013 Press Conference

What You Need to Know about Ben Bernanke's Evolving Views on Asset Bubbles

Ben Bernanke isn’t seeing hints of irrational exuberance in the stock market.
Bernanke

Fed Cautious About Economic Growth

The Federal Reserve slightly downgraded on Wednesday its forecasts for growth in 2013. It now expects gross domestic product to rise between 2.3 percent and 2.8 percent, just a hair less than the 2.3 percent to 3.0 percent it expected in December.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke

Three Big Questions for Bernanke at Wednesday's Fed Press Conference, Plus One More

No changes in monetary policies are expected to be announced, but the Fed chairman's news conference could give insight into what lies ahead.
Federal Reserve Building

Paul Ryan Misses the Mark on Fed Policy in Budget Blueprint

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan mischaracterized the relationship between the Federal Reserve and the Obama administration in his discussion of monetary policy in the budget blueprint he released Tuesday.
Ryan Budget

Paul Ryan's Budget, Simplified: Save the Rich, Spare the Old, Forget the Poor

It balances the budget! But it solves our income inequality problem like a flamethrower solves a house fire.
Patty Murray

Dueling Budget Plans Help Define Both Parties

By the middle of this week, Americans will once again be plunged into the wildly different world views of Republicans and Democrats as the two parties release competing budget proposals within hours of one another.
Obama at presser

It’s Obama’s Economy—at Last

We only seem to be back. It’s a far less equal economy—and big dangers loom for the president’s legacy. 
Trader Smiles as Market Comes to a Close on March 5, 2013

The Economy Is Sluggish and Weighed Down by Washington's Gridlock. So Why Are Stocks Soaring?

Wall Street is ebullient even as Main Street frets over its future. Here are some reasons for the surge in equity prices and some caveats about the gains.
Paul Volcker

What's Behind the Endless Delays on New Rules for Wall Street?

Just over one-third of the roughly 400 required rule-makings under the Dodd-Frank financial-reform law have been finalized. Why the holdup?
Bernanke

Does Ben Bernanke Care Too Much About Jobs?

Critics say the Fed chair has tried so hard to get Americans back to work that he may cause another financial crisis.

Video: Inside This Week's Cover Story

In this week's cover story, National Journal's Catherine Hollander and Caren Bohan discuss Ben Bernanke's job creation role at the Fed.
Federal Reserve Board of Governors Meets

Budget Cuts Complicate Fed Debate Over Easy Money

The automatic spending cuts thatl begin Friday might not have much of an impact on the Federal Reserve’s current policy course. But they will add a layer of complexity to the central bank’s deepening debate over when to taper its bond-buying program—one that’s already a tough call, without yet another fiscal crisis thrown its way.
Ben Bernanke Testifies before the Senate Banking Commitee

Bernanke Weighs In on Debate Over Ending Easy-Money Policies

Is this the beginning of the end of QE3? Federal Reserve watchers have speculated in recent days that the bank could ease off of the highly accommodative monetary policy sooner than expected as it weighs the looming risks of its current course of action.
Bernanke hearing

Could Bernanke's Testimony Signal an Early End to Easy Money?

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet continues to grow. But for how long?
Jacob Lew

Few Know Jack Lew's Views on Big Bank Laws As His Confirmation Moves Through Senate

So far, the Senate proceedings on President Obama’s nominee for Treasury secretary, Jacob Lew, have been surprisingly free of political fireworks, which could pave the way for a confirmation vote by the end of the week.
Orrin Hatch

New Language for Old Ideas in GOP Medicare Proposals

In the months leading up to last November’s elections, politicians were engaged in a linguistic war over how to describe Republican Medicare-reform plans.
John Boehner

John Boehner Talks Foreplay and Immigration Reform

Speaker waxes about everything from ‘foreplay’ and immigration to poker games and the sequester.
Barack Obama Re-nominates Richard Cordray

Why Richard Cordray Re-Nomination Fight Won’t Be About Richard Cordray

President Obama’s re-nomination of Richard Cordray to head the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau reignites the battle that raged last year over the structure of the regulatory agency created under the landmark Dodd-Frank financial-reform law.
Inauguration day

Austerity, Not Default, Is Now the Only Threat to America's Economy

Hooray, we're not a banana republic! But we still might become Europe.
Mary Jo White Reacts at a 1998 News Conference

Obama Signals Tougher Approach on Wall Street with SEC Pick

President Obama was accused by liberal critics of coddling Wall Street during his first term. His pick of Mary Jo White to head the Securities and Exchange Commission is a signal that he is ready to take a more confrontational approach toward the financial industry. The timing of the SEC selection—coming three days after his inaugural address in which he championed a progressive agenda and a willingness to fight for it—underscores that message.
Bernanke Yellen Proposed Rules

A Look Behind the Fed's Curtain: Diet Pepsi, Twinkies, and Dark Humor

The stakes rose for the Federal Reserve in 2007. Over the course of the year, Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues would grapple with a financial crisis that would build into a global conflagration, sending the United States into a deep recession. Fed officials were at odds over the scale of the threat and how to respond to it, though by December they moved toward a consensus for stronger action.
Jerry Brown

Why the Democrats Are Golden in California

Demographic shifts and coastal liberalism have given huge power to Democrats. They control the state – but there's restlessness on the left.
Ben Bernanke

Why the Fed Is So Worried About the Debt-Limit Dispute

A look at what the central bank may be forced to do if brinksmanship over the debt limit turns into a stalemate—and a default.  
President Obama Nominates Jack Lew for Treasury Secretary

What Treasury Secretary Jack Lew Needs to Do

If confirmed as the next Treasury secretary, White House Chief of Staff Jacob Lew will be tagging into an immediate three-round fight, with a long tournament ahead.
Wall Street

Is Jack Lew A Friend to Wall Street?

Like Tim Geithner, the new Treasury nominee may owe his views to Robert Rubin. So don't expect him to pursue much in the way of bank reform.
Platinum Coins

Why the $1 Trillion Platinum Coin Won’t Solve the U.S. Debt Problem

When faced with absurdity, it can feel like the only recourse is more absurdity.

What Obama is Going to Say on Meet The Press

On a decisive day in the fiscal cliff talk, President Obama used his appearance on NBC's Meet the Press to remind Republicans that he'll use all the pulpits at his disposal to bully them into accepting a deal and, failing that, blame them for sending the nation over the cliff. 
Sun on the capitol dome

The Bright Side of Falling Off the Fiscal Cliff

As 2012 sputters to a close, it wraps up with a yawning gap between widespread economic pessimism and the actual state of economic affairs.
Earth at Night

What to Expect From the Global Economy in 2013

Economic experts take a look at the prospects for the global economy in 2013.
Wall Street

Wall Street to D.C.: Get Serious About the Fiscal Cliff

The New York financial world is all about the bottom line. So it can't quite fathom a dysfunctional Washington that's all about finger-pointing.      
2013

5 Things to Look for in the Economic Year Ahead

Looking toward 2013, economists see a question mark in the shape of the fiscal-cliff negotiations. 

Time for Fiscal-Cliff Plan C? Here Are 3 Options for Entitlements

The White House is looking for a "Plan C" for the fiscal-cliff negotiations, after talks between the White House and House Speaker John Boehner have gotten off track. As the president and his staff turn to the Senate now for a possible compromise, everything is once again on the table: all the tax hikes and all of the possible spending cuts. This may include different or additional cuts to the government’s social safety-net programs.

Republicans Aim To Slash Dodd-Frank Reforms in 'Plan B'

Beneath the fracas on the fiscal cliff fight, the Republicans' Plan B proposal would check off many items on the GOP’s financial services wish-list, gutting core pieces at the heart of the Dodd-Frank 2010 reform law and terminating one of the administration’s main housing relief programs, under the radar.
Sandy Hook Vigil

Newtown Shooting Provides Perspective Amid Fiscal Cliff

Two days after the Newtown school massacre, Congress returned to Washington with a more subdued attitude toward partisan bickering and with a newfound focus on finding a compromise on the fiscal cliff.
Barrack Obama

Is Social Security Still Off-Limits?

The White House wants to unparcel Social Security from the fiscal cliff and a package designed to deal with the debt.

A Split on Monetary Policy?

In the two decades before the financial crisis, there was remarkably little partisan or ideological disagreement among economists about how the Federal Reserve should conduct monetary policy. Liberals and conservatives both wanted to keep inflation below about 2 percent and unemployment below about 5 percent. Disagreements were over nuance and timing, not about overall direction. But this week, economists with Republican ties are running newspaper ads warning that the Fed's decision to pump an extra $600 billion into the economy - "quantitative easing" - will debase the dollar and spur inflation. Economists with Democratic leanings say the real danger is the opposite: deflation and double-digit unemployment.

What Are the Prospects for 'Balanced' Growth?

When President Obama meets with leaders from other Group of 20 nations this week, what is he most likely to accomplish in terms of persuading countries to adopt more "balanced'' growth strategies? The United States has been imploring countries that rely on exports for growth and have huge trade surpluses, especially China, to work harder at spurring domestic consumption. But now Asian countries are complaining that the United States is intentionally devaluing its currency through the Federal Reserve's new "quantitative easing" program. Has the Fed made the president's case harder to sell?

POLITICS - As Bush Does Balancing Act, His Ratings Keep Slipping

As war with Iraq increasingly appears inevit-
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