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National Journal Coverage
Jack Lew Discusses the 2013 FSOC Annual Report

Ready to Testify on Financial Stability, Lew Is Likely To Be Grilled on IRS Scandal

The poor Financial Stability Oversight Council. It's likely this will be the second year in a row where testimony on the council's annual report turns into a grill-a-thon on the scandal du jour.
Alan Greenspan Receives Honorary Harvard Degree, 1999

So, a Fed Chairman Is Speaking at Your Graduation

"The future of the country is in jeopardy." It's what every college graduate wants to hear while sitting up on that stage, sweltering in the spring heat with friends and family watching.
Heart Monitor

Are Recessions Good for Your Health?

With the recovery underway, things are starting to look up. Consumer confidence rose to a six-year high on Friday, the housing sector is improving, the economic gears are turning. But there may also be a less-welcome rebound: fatalities could rise.
Bank of America

Where Are We on Too Big to Fail?

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Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren's Playbook to Win Over Young Voters

Massachusetts senator's focus on student loans is popular with college students.
Brandon Singlaterry

Who Says Fiscal Policy Is Hurting the Economy? (Almost) Everyone.

OK, not everyone thinks that the recent spending cuts and tax hikes are slowing the recovery, but plenty of experts say current fiscal policy will slow growth in 2013—by anywhere from 0.3 percent to 2 percent.
Jobs fair

Forget the Unemployment Rate: The Alarming Stat Is the Number of 'Missing Workers'

The unemployment rate dipped slightly to 7.5 percent in April, but that’s little consolation for the millions of workers who have dropped out of the labor force and who economists struggle to understand.
American dream

The American Dream, Downsized

The middle class now worries more about holding on for dear life than about climbing the ladder to riches. 
Middle Class Home

The Middle Class Is Coming Out of Its Coma

National Journal introduces its index of middle-class well-being—using 17 measurements from household debt to social trust. 
Youth unemployment

Millennials Are the Unluckiest Generation

Entering the workforce during a recession puts young people behind from the start. 
MOOC

How Online Education Saves Everyone Money

Online learning isn’t just another path into the middle class. It’s also a way for the government to spend more wisely. 
Alan S. Blinder, left, and Glenn Hubbard.

Two Completely Different Ways to Deal With the Upward-Mobility Crisis

Top economists from the Clinton and Bush administrations debate how to revive the economy to keep people from getting stuck. 
job seeker

6 Ways to Get the Long-Term Unemployed Back to Work

It’s one of the most puzzling modern economic problems: how do you get those who have been jobless the longest back to work? Their share of the unemployed doubled in recent years and their numbers have remained stubbornly high. And, at a Wednesday hearing, lawmakers sought to explore what could be done about it.
Rep. Henry Waxman

The ‘Liberal Bulldog’ Takes on His Biggest Challenge

Rep. Henry Waxman, the California liberal who has spent decades battling the tobacco, coal, and pharmaceutical industries, is taking on what appears to be the most insurmountable challenge of his long career.
Boston aftermath

Plenty of Clues, Few Leads on Motive of Boston Marathon Bomber

The bombings could be the work of al-Qaida affiliates, domestic right-wing extremists, or lone-wolf terrorists inspired by an indeterminate ideology.
President Barack Obama, Boston Marathon

For Obama, a Rising Tide of Rage

The Boston bombing is the first since 9/11, but only because of effective interdiction.
Boston marathon explosion

In Boston, a Rare Tragedy

Because of the FBI's police work, attacks like Monday's Boston Marathon bombing have been uncommon since 9/11.
Federal Reserve HQ at Sunrise

Surprise! Fed Releases Minutes Early

The government closely guards potentially market-moving data until its release time. So it was a surprise Wednesday morning when the Federal Reserve announced that it had inadvertently transmitted the minutes from its latest policy-setting meeting to a distribution list on Tuesday, nearly 24 hours ahead of schedule. 
Budget

Beware Obama's Budget Predictions: Many Forecasts Are Wrong

CBO forecasts are bound by current law, not future policies, while White House forecasts reflect a president's hopes. Both have been wildly amiss.
Janet Yellen

Fights Over Fed Likely to Continue if Yellen Becomes Next Chairman

First, however, she would have to be confirmed—and the vote could be one of the closest ever.
March unemployment

Breaking Down the Weak March Jobs Report

The US economy added 88,000 jobs in March, falling well short of expectations, while the unemployment rate dropped to 7.6%. Here’s the breakdown of employment status for all Americans age 16 and above:
Crowd of Job Seekers in March 2013

What That Lousy Jobs Report Means for a Spring Slump

A disappointing jobs report this morning is sure to renew talk of a so-called spring slump.
Janet Yellen

Who Is Janet Yellen, Bernanke's Likely Successor?

The Fed vice chairwoman has a long history with the central bank and is one of the most dovish members of the Federal Open Market Committee.
William McChesney Martin, Jr.

1960s ‘Money-Market Men’ Design Their Dream Fed Chairman

With Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s term set to expire in January, the handicapping of the race to replace him has begun. 
payday lenders

The Online Lenders That Could Break the Payday Loan Racket

Payday loans provide quick cash to many Americans--but with crippling fees. New online lenders may provide a path to good credit.
Cypriots Cue for Laiki ATM on March 21, 2013

Cyprus's Steps to Stop Bank Runs Are Risky, but the Eurozone Is Likely to Survive Them

On Wednesday, Cyprus will announce the eurozone’s first-ever capital controls. 
pre-school

What San Antonio Has to Teach Washington

The city is trying a small-scale version of Obama's pre-K plan. If politicians want to send more 4-year-olds to school, they should pay attention.
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Speaks at a March 20, 2013 Press Conference

What You Need to Know about Ben Bernanke's Evolving Views on Asset Bubbles

Ben Bernanke isn’t seeing hints of irrational exuberance in the stock market.
Bernanke

Fed Cautious About Economic Growth

The Federal Reserve slightly downgraded on Wednesday its forecasts for growth in 2013. It now expects gross domestic product to rise between 2.3 percent and 2.8 percent, just a hair less than the 2.3 percent to 3.0 percent it expected in December.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke

Three Big Questions for Bernanke at Wednesday's Fed Press Conference, Plus One More

No changes in monetary policies are expected to be announced, but the Fed chairman's news conference could give insight into what lies ahead.
Protester in Cyprus on March 18, 2013

How the Cyprus Tempest Could Pose a Threat to the U.S. Economy

The situation there serves as a reminder that a dark cloud still looms over the U.S. recovery in the form of the eurozone crisis.
Paul Volcker and Robert Rubin with Sen. Barack Obama in 2008

Former Top Economic Officials Fret About Asset Bubbles

A number of them worry about potential long-term consequences of the Fed's easy-money policies.
Federal Reserve Building

Paul Ryan Misses the Mark on Fed Policy in Budget Blueprint

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan mischaracterized the relationship between the Federal Reserve and the Obama administration in his discussion of monetary policy in the budget blueprint he released Tuesday.
Sheryl Sandberg

Two Cheers for Sheryl Sandberg, Who Helped Give Us the Financial Crisis

She made a billion; wrote Lean In, a good book on feminism; and helped deregulate the financial sector.
Obama at presser

It’s Obama’s Economy—at Last

We only seem to be back. It’s a far less equal economy—and big dangers loom for the president’s legacy. 
Line at Job Fair

Jobs Market Is Improving, But the Long-Term Unemployed Still Can't Catch a Break

The good news? The nation is adding jobs. The bad news? Those who have been out of work the longest still can't seem to get them.
Trader Smiles as Market Comes to a Close on March 5, 2013

The Economy Is Sluggish and Weighed Down by Washington's Gridlock. So Why Are Stocks Soaring?

Wall Street is ebullient even as Main Street frets over its future. Here are some reasons for the surge in equity prices and some caveats about the gains.
Paul Volcker

What's Behind the Endless Delays on New Rules for Wall Street?

Just over one-third of the roughly 400 required rule-makings under the Dodd-Frank financial-reform law have been finalized. Why the holdup?
Alamo Academy Students in San Antonio

How Did These Kids Score Good Jobs Right Out of High School?

A public-private partnership in San Antonio lets students earn college credits--and a job in the aerospace industry.
Dow

The Stock Market Is Back! The American People...Not So Much.

Since the bleakest hours of early 2009, the stock market has clawed, scampered and inched higher—with some notable slips. Now that venerable equity market metric—the Dow Jones Industrial Average—has summited 14,164.53, its all-time highest close last seen way back on Oct. 9, 2007. 
Alamo Academy Students in San Antonio

How Did These Kids Score Good Jobs Right Out of High School?

Frank Pena doesn’t have much time to chat, because he’s repairing a jet engine. The 24-year-old technician at Lockheed Martin is a big guy, but even he looks tiny compared with some of the engines—from the Air Force’s C-5 to the commercial 727—arrayed in the factory. Pena is here, and not flipping burgers at McDonalds, because of a decision he made when he was a sophomore in high school. He enrolled in the Alamo Area Aerospace Academy.
Bernanke

Does Ben Bernanke Care Too Much About Jobs?

Critics say the Fed chair has tried so hard to get Americans back to work that he may cause another financial crisis.

Video: Inside This Week's Cover Story

In this week's cover story, National Journal's Catherine Hollander and Caren Bohan discuss Ben Bernanke's job creation role at the Fed.
Money Roll

Sequester's Economic Impact Will Build Slowly

The inopportune moment of sequestration — hitting just as the economy shows bright spots — will create a drag on the economy in a slow-motion manner.
Federal Reserve Board of Governors Meets

Budget Cuts Complicate Fed Debate Over Easy Money

The automatic spending cuts thatl begin Friday might not have much of an impact on the Federal Reserve’s current policy course. But they will add a layer of complexity to the central bank’s deepening debate over when to taper its bond-buying program—one that’s already a tough call, without yet another fiscal crisis thrown its way.
Ben Bernanke Testifies before the Senate Banking Commitee

Bernanke Weighs In on Debate Over Ending Easy-Money Policies

Is this the beginning of the end of QE3? Federal Reserve watchers have speculated in recent days that the bank could ease off of the highly accommodative monetary policy sooner than expected as it weighs the looming risks of its current course of action.
Bernanke hearing

Could Bernanke's Testimony Signal an Early End to Easy Money?

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet continues to grow. But for how long?
Jacob Lew

Few Know Jack Lew's Views on Big Bank Laws As His Confirmation Moves Through Senate

So far, the Senate proceedings on President Obama’s nominee for Treasury secretary, Jacob Lew, have been surprisingly free of political fireworks, which could pave the way for a confirmation vote by the end of the week.
Votes

Key Votes Used to Calculate the Ratings

The 116 Senate votes and 116 House votes on which National Journal’s 2012 vote ratings are based.
S&P

The S&P Lawsuit: The Empire Strikes Back ... Sort Of

The Justice Department’s lawsuit against the Standard & Poor’s ratings agency, announced Tuesday, may be overdue but at least it is happening.
Wall Steet

4 Takeaways From a Week of Mixed Economic Data

Three numbers will get the most attention here in the Beltway: Jobs, growth and confidence. The latter two delivered a resounding 'meh' this week. It was a reminder to Washington that the fledgling recovery is far from out of the woods. 

The Politics of John Cornyn's 'No' Vote on Kerry

Of the three senators to vote on Tuesday against President Obama's nomination of Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., to be the next secretary of state, two are up for re-election in 2014: Sen. John Cornyn, the GOP minority whip from Texas, and Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-Okla. The other is Cornyn's fellow Texan, the n...

Early Data Says the Economy Contracted at the End of Last Year. Don't Panic Yet.

The economy unexpectedly contracted in the last three months of 2012, according to early data released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday.
Barack Obama Re-nominates Richard Cordray

Why Richard Cordray Re-Nomination Fight Won’t Be About Richard Cordray

President Obama’s re-nomination of Richard Cordray to head the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau reignites the battle that raged last year over the structure of the regulatory agency created under the landmark Dodd-Frank financial-reform law.
Mary Jo White Reacts at a 1998 News Conference

Obama Signals Tougher Approach on Wall Street with SEC Pick

President Obama was accused by liberal critics of coddling Wall Street during his first term. His pick of Mary Jo White to head the Securities and Exchange Commission is a signal that he is ready to take a more confrontational approach toward the financial industry. The timing of the SEC selection—coming three days after his inaugural address in which he championed a progressive agenda and a willingness to fight for it—underscores that message.
Bernanke Yellen Proposed Rules

A Look Behind the Fed's Curtain: Diet Pepsi, Twinkies, and Dark Humor

The stakes rose for the Federal Reserve in 2007. Over the course of the year, Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues would grapple with a financial crisis that would build into a global conflagration, sending the United States into a deep recession. Fed officials were at odds over the scale of the threat and how to respond to it, though by December they moved toward a consensus for stronger action.
S&P Headquarters

How Washington's Disarray Could Prompt Another Credit Downgrade

Raising the nation’s borrowing limit, and thus avoiding a historic default, isn’t enough to prevent a potential downgrade. Not by a long shot.
Ben Bernanke

Why the Fed Is So Worried About the Debt-Limit Dispute

A look at what the central bank may be forced to do if brinksmanship over the debt limit turns into a stalemate—and a default.  
Spider Chart that Explains Job Recovery

One 'Spider Chart' That Explains the Jobs Recovery

A handy graphic from the Atlanta Fed provides a glimpse of how far the economy has come back.
President Obama Nominates Jack Lew for Treasury Secretary

What Treasury Secretary Jack Lew Needs to Do

If confirmed as the next Treasury secretary, White House Chief of Staff Jacob Lew will be tagging into an immediate three-round fight, with a long tournament ahead.
Wall Street

Is Jack Lew A Friend to Wall Street?

Like Tim Geithner, the new Treasury nominee may owe his views to Robert Rubin. So don't expect him to pursue much in the way of bank reform.
John Boehner spending

Republicans in Fighting Mood Over Debt Ceiling

While polls show GOP took hit on fiscal cliff, party leaders aren't backing down.
Platinum Coins

Why the $1 Trillion Platinum Coin Won’t Solve the U.S. Debt Problem

When faced with absurdity, it can feel like the only recourse is more absurdity.
Platinum Coins

The $1 Trillion Platinum Coin Is As Good an Idea As FDR's Court-Packing

A provocative idea has the Treasury secretary minting $1 trillion coins to pay off the debt. Ignore it.

The December Jobs Report in 2 Graphs

The US economy added 155,000 jobs in December, meeting expectations, and the unemployment rate was 7.8%. Here’s the breakdown of employment status for all Americans age 16 and above:
Economy

Why the Economy Won't Blast Off Anytime Soon

This is not the surging economic recovery we were hoping for.
Cliffs of Moher

Don't Despair (Yet) Over Next Fiscal Cliff

Here’s a radical thought: Maybe the next round of Capital Hill strife won’t be as bad as what we’ve just endured at the precipice of the fiscal cliff.
Christie

Chris Christie May Be the Smartest Man in Politics

The smartest move in politics today is to move against Washington and the major political parties.
The Capitol building on the night of the State of the Union address

Here's What's in the Fiscal-Cliff Deal

Although the legislation will avert many of the year-end tax hikes and spending cuts that were set to kick in, it failed to address some of the major issues.
Sun on the capitol dome

Five Sleeper Issues Washington Could Face in 2013

The incoming Congress has big challenges ahead. But don’t be distracted by the bright shiny objects that are tax reform, entitlement reform, and maybe even gun control. There are some important issues for the U.S. economy and U.S. industries that could pop to the top of the agenda in 2013 and have widespread implications for Washington and the country.
Wall Street

Wall Street and Financial Markets Await Smoke Signals From the Hill

The New York financial world sits just a four-hour train ride from Washington, yet the distance has seemed much longer in the last few weeks as politicians have parried over the fast-approaching fiscal cliff: that noxious mix of tax hikes and spending cuts scheduled to take effect in the New Year.
Sun on the capitol dome

The Bright Side of Falling Off the Fiscal Cliff

As 2012 sputters to a close, it wraps up with a yawning gap between widespread economic pessimism and the actual state of economic affairs.
Cliff Economy

How Cliff-Jumping Could Play Out for the Economy

With Washington deadlocked over the mix of automatic tax hikes known as the "fiscal cliff," worries are rising about the impact on the economy. But many economic forecasters say a brief slide off the fiscal cliff might not be catastrophic. The cliff is more like a slope, those experts say, and the most damaging effects won't be felt immediately—though they would be felt quickly. The slope only gets steeper as the early days of 2013 tick away with no deal in sight.
Earth at Night

What to Expect From the Global Economy in 2013

Economic experts take a look at the prospects for the global economy in 2013.
Wall Street

Wall Street to D.C.: Get Serious About the Fiscal Cliff

The New York financial world is all about the bottom line. So it can't quite fathom a dysfunctional Washington that's all about finger-pointing.      

Tweet of the Moment: Dr. Ruth on Fiscal Cliff

It seems that everybody -- your barista, for instance -- has  got somethin' to say about the fiscal cliff

Hill Dems Haven't Been Told of Latest Obama Fiscal Cliff Plan

President Obama is sending a scaled back fiscal cliff measure to Capitol Hill today, CNN's Dana Bash is reporting citing two unidentified sources. But that was news to some congressional Democrats. A senior Senate Democratic aide told the Alley that White House hasn't notified Democrats of the plan.
2013

5 Things to Look for in the Economic Year Ahead

Looking toward 2013, economists see a question mark in the shape of the fiscal-cliff negotiations. 

Republicans Aim To Slash Dodd-Frank Reforms in 'Plan B'

Beneath the fracas on the fiscal cliff fight, the Republicans' Plan B proposal would check off many items on the GOP’s financial services wish-list, gutting core pieces at the heart of the Dodd-Frank 2010 reform law and terminating one of the administration’s main housing relief programs, under the radar.
Play of the Day screen shot 12/20/12

Is the Apocalypse Actually Just the Fiscal Cliff? — VIDEO

Check out the best of the late-night political jokes. Did you know former President George W. Bush's pickup truck is for sale?
Benghazi

Where’s Obama in the Benghazi Report?

The Pickering-Mullen report gave no sense of who was responsible farther up the chain.
Jack Lew and Barack Obama

Jack Lew: The Man Who Could Save Obama's Legacy

Lew’s power has grown over less than a year as President Obama’s chief of staff—and he already has Republicans dreading a budget confrontation with him during the lame-duck session of Congress.
Kids playing in open fire hydrant

Weather or Not

An extremely hot summer, like this one, isn’t as disruptive to the economy as a very cold winter.

How much further can the housing market sink?

Home prices have plunged by about one-third since the peak of the housing bubble, according to the S&P/Case Schiller composite index of 20 major cities. Sales of new and existing homes slumped again after the expiration of the Home Buyer's tax credit. And on Monday, Corelogic reported that 22.5 percent of residential properties were underwater in the third quarter, meaning the mortgage was higher than the property's resale value. All this at a time when the Federal Reserve has pushed mortgage interest rates down to nearly all-time lows.

What Can Be Done for the Housing Market?

How much further can the housing market sink? When will it begin to rebound?

A Split on Monetary Policy?

In the two decades before the financial crisis, there was remarkably little partisan or ideological disagreement among economists about how the Federal Reserve should conduct monetary policy. Liberals and conservatives both wanted to keep inflation below about 2 percent and unemployment below about 5 percent. Disagreements were over nuance and timing, not about overall direction. But this week, economists with Republican ties are running newspaper ads warning that the Fed's decision to pump an extra $600 billion into the economy - "quantitative easing" - will debase the dollar and spur inflation. Economists with Democratic leanings say the real danger is the opposite: deflation and double-digit unemployment.

What Are the Prospects for 'Balanced' Growth?

When President Obama meets with leaders from other Group of 20 nations this week, what is he most likely to accomplish in terms of persuading countries to adopt more "balanced'' growth strategies? The United States has been imploring countries that rely on exports for growth and have huge trade surpluses, especially China, to work harder at spurring domestic consumption. But now Asian countries are complaining that the United States is intentionally devaluing its currency through the Federal Reserve's new "quantitative easing" program. Has the Fed made the president's case harder to sell?

POLITICS - As Bush Does Balancing Act, His Ratings Keep Slipping

As war with Iraq increasingly appears inevit-
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