Skip Navigation

Close and don't show again.

Your browser is out of date.

You may not get the full experience here on National Journal.

Please upgrade your browser to any of the following supported browsers:

Shaping the Future of Politics Shaping the Future of Politics

This ad will end in seconds
 
Close X

Not a member? Learn More »

Forget Your Password?

Don't have an account? Register »

Reveal Navigation
 

 

The Next America - Politics 2012 / POLITICS

Shaping the Future of Politics

In 2050, the political landscape is still up for debate.(AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)

June 6, 2012

A minority-majority is predicted to occur in the United States by 2050. What will the future of politics look like?

To Ruy Teixeira, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, demographic change will bring challenges and opportunities for both political parties--even though minorities tend to identify more with the Democrats. In the 2008 elections, “the minority vote was 80 percent to 18 percent for [President] Obama,” he says. 

“That’s the obvious effect in terms of political preferences. But embedded in that are issues of policy preferences and what these voters want to see happen.” 

 

“Over time, we should see some increase of the level of voters who want to see more money spent on education or more emphasis on government services that are effectively delivered,” he says.  

“It doesn't necessarily mean that they automatically tilt the policy agenda for the whole United States. But it does mean that again, all of those people should send things somewhat in that direction." 

That could potentially be countered by at least some proportion of the non-Hispanic white population becoming markedly more conservative. However, that may not happen, Teixeira cautions, because of the decline of the white population, particularly the white working class.  

But there are other ways for Republicans to maintain control. “They see that the mix of population is changing and it’s against them,” he says. 

“There are two things that they are trying to do: take care of the electoral boundaries that are being redrawn to be done in such a way that protects their seats to the maximum extent possible,” and they are trying to make it harder for minorities to vote. “Hence, the emphasis on voter identification and voter fraud laws,” Teixeira says. 

Obtaining political power through the vote is itself a challenge, as Latinos are once again illustrating. 

Although there are 50 million Latinos in the United States--16 percent of the population--they represent only 7 percent of voters. In addition to the almost 11 million undocumented immigrants, Latino nonvoters include 8 million people who are eligible to vote but have not registered, and millions more who are eligible to become citizens but have not yet been naturalized.

More The Next America - Politics 2012
Job Board
Search Jobs
Digital and Content Manager, E4C
American Society of Civil Engineers | New York, NY
PRODUCT REVIEW ENGINEER
American Society of Civil Engineers | CA
Neighborhood Traffic Safety Services Intern
American Society of Civil Engineers | Bellevue, WA
United Technologies Research Fellow
American Society of Civil Engineers | New York, NY
Process Engineering Co-op
American Society of Civil Engineers | Conshohocken, PA
Electrical Engineer Co-op
American Society of Civil Engineers | Findlay, OH
Application Engineer/Developer INTERN - Complex Fluids
American Society of Civil Engineers | Brisbane, CA
Application Engineer - Internships CAE/CFD Metro Detroit
American Society of Civil Engineers | Livonia, MI
Chief Geoscientist
American Society of Civil Engineers
Application Engineer - Internships CAE/CFD Metro Boston
American Society of Civil Engineers | Burlington, MA
Professional Development Program Engineer
American Society of Civil Engineers | Farmington Hills, MI
Civil Enginering Intern - Water/Wastewater/Site-Development
American Society of Civil Engineers | Sacramento, CA
Staff Accountant
American Society of Civil Engineers | Englewood, CO
Biomedical Service Internship Position
American Society of Civil Engineers | Flint, MI
 
Comments
comments powered by Disqus