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Political Insiders Poll: Immigration Reaction Political Insiders Poll: Immigration Reaction

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Political Insiders Poll: Immigration Reaction

The National Journal magazine's popular feature on a close examination of issues via polls includes two questions, exploring people's opinions about immigration.



Will the recent developments involving immigration prompt higher Latino turnout in 2012 than in 2008?

DEMOCRATS (100 Votes)

Yes: 85%
No: 15%



“The president’s decision on immigration, and Romney’s refusal to embrace it, puts in stark relief the difference between the two parties. Hispanics get it.”

“What have the Republicans done from a legislative standpoint to help immigrants? That is all you really need to know.”

“While much of the increase will be due to demographics (increasing citizen population), the focus on immigration issues will provide some additional turnout over the level seen in 2008.”

“If history in California is any indication, going back at least as far as 1994, the immigration debate dramatically increases Latino participation in the political process.”


“Latinos are energized. The choice between ‘self-deporting’ versus ‘dreaming’ could not be more stark.”

“The numbers don’t lie. The Latino population will be a force like never before. The fact that little-known and untested Sen. Rubio remains as a possible Romney choice tells you all you need to know.”

“The door is open: The question is whether progressive Hispanic organizations will have the resources on a parallel track to the Obama campaign to run the programs necessary to drive increased registration and turnout.”


“It will be close to 2008 levels, and that’s good enough for Obama to win Colorado, Nevada, and very possibly Florida.”

“I think the Latino vote is pretty locked in for 2012, both in terms of turnout (not as strong as Obama would like) and result (more lopsided than Romney would like).”

“This may not change turnout, but it will solidify a big margin for Obama.”

“Why do we keep thinking Latinos care more about immigration than they do about jobs? They don’t.”


Will the recent developments involving immigration prompt higher Latino turnout in 2012 than in 2008?


Yes: 32%
No: 68%


“This is the best thing to happen to the Obama administration since killing bin Laden.”

“Probably about the same turnout, but that’s no solace for Republicans. Romney’s primary strategy on immigration traded short-term gain for long-term pain.”

“Fear is one of the great motivators of politics, and it won’t take much to convince Latinos that their status in the U.S. is on the line in this election.”

“A major voting bloc that George W. Bush tried to bring into the GOP but which the extremists have callously turned away—for generations.”


“Not appreciably. They aren’t one-issue voters, and they are also feeling the negative effects of the Obama economy.”

“Latinos are disenchanted more so than in 2008; that usually leads to lower turnouts, especially among youths.”

“Latinos are smarter than that. After bragging about extraditing more Latinos than George W. Bush, arguing that Latinos should now turn out for him is too much of a U-turn.”

“I don’t see that level of enthusiasm. And record deportations by this administration make Obama’s fearmongering ring hollow.”

“Just maintaining 2008 enthusiasm would be huge for Obama.”

“Latino turnout was very high in 2008, and immigration reform was a big issue in the summer of 2008. The Supreme Court decision may lessen the intensity.”

“Neither side has made a credible or emotional appeal to Latinos that would produce added interest.”

“It’s hard for it to go much higher than 2008, but nevertheless, this issue is becoming a bigger loser for Republicans.”

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article appeared in the Saturday, June 30, 2012 edition of National Journal.

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