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Growth in Minority Population Expected to Boost Share of Vote Compared With '08 Growth in Minority Population Expected to Boost Share of Vote Compared...

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The Next America - Politics 2012

Politics

Growth in Minority Population Expected to Boost Share of Vote Compared With '08

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Voters stand behind the red, white and blue curtains as they cast their ballots at a polling place in Manchester, N.H., Tuesday, Jan. 8, 2008, during New Hampshire's Presidential Primary. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Alabama- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (35%)
White share (65%)
Alaska- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (22%)
White share (78%)
Arizona- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (25%)
White share (75%)
Arkansas- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (17%)
White share (83%)
California- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (37%)
White share (63%)
California- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (37%)
White share (63%)
Colorado- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (19%)
White share (81%)
Connecticut- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (22%)
White share (78%)
Delaware- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (23%)
White share (77%)
District of Columbia- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (65%)
White share (35%)
Florida- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (29%)
White share (71%)
Georgia- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (35%)
White share (65%)
Hawaii- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (59%)
White share (41%)
Idaho- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Idaho- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Illinois- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (27%)
White share (73%)
Indiana- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (12%)
White share (88%)
Iowa- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (27%)
White share (73%)
Kansas- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Kentucky- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (15%)
White share (85%)
Louisiana- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (35%)
White share (65%)
Maine- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (4%)
White share (96%)
Maryland- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (36%)
White share (64%)
Massachusetts- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (21%)
White share (79%)
Michigan- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (18%)
White share (82%)
Michigan- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (18%)
White share (82%)
Minnesota- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Mississippi- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (38%)
White share (62%)
Missouri- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (18%)
White share (82%)
Montana- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Nebraska- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (8%)
White share (92%)
Nevada- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (31%)
White share (69%)
New Hampshire- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (6%)
White share (94%)
New Jersey- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (27%)
White share (73%)
New Mexico- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (50%)
White share (50%)
New York- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (29%)
White share (71%)
North Carolina- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (28%)
White share (72%)
North Dakota- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (8%)
White share (92%)
Ohio- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (17%)
White share (83%)
Oklahoma- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (18%)
White share (82%)
Oregon- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (11%)
White share (89%)
Pennsylvania- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (19%)
White share (81%)
Rhode Island- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (17%)
White share (83%)
South Carolina- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (29%)
White share (71%)
South Dakota- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Tennessee- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (16%)
White share (84%)
Texas- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (37%)
White share (63%)
Texas- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (37%)
White share (63%)
Utah- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (10%)
White share (90%)
Vermont- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (5%)
White share (95%)
Virginia- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (30%)
White share (70%)
West Virginia- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (6%)
White share (94%)
Wisconsin- Voted Obama
Nonwhite share (11%)
White share (89%)
Wyoming- Voted McCain
Nonwhite share (9%)
White share (91%)

 

One major theme overshadowing Campaign 2012 has been the shifting demographics that have defined much of the past four years and helped first bring President Obama into office.

While nonwhite voters comprised just 26 percent of the vote in 2008, that share is expected to show an increase on Tuesday as the United States heads toward the projected majority-minority makeup that will define the Next America.

A look at the share of nonwhite voters by state in 2008 (above) reflects the makeup of the area’s general population. States such as California, New Mexico, and Texas that are heavily populated with minorities also boasted high turnout of nonwhite voters that year.

In contrast, states like Maine, West Virginia, and Wyoming had less than 10 percent of its '08 votes from nonwhite voters.

The big question this year is whether the Obama-Biden campaign has sustained enough momentum among minority voters to spur them to the polls on Tuesday. But no matter what, with the continued growth of the U.S. minority population, the nonwhite voter share will only continue to rise in coming years.

As states release exit polling on Election Day, the Next America team will track the percentages of white and nonwhite voters by state. Check back for more data and a look at how the nonwhite vote share has grown in the past four years.

 

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