Poll: Would a GOP Senate Majority Leader End Filibustering of Bills?

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(L-R)  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL), and Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA) hold a news conference on Capitol Hill, November 21, 2013 in Washington, DC. The Senate voted 52-48 to invoke the so-called "nuclear option", voting to change Senate rules on the controversial filibuster for most presidential nominations with a simple majority vote. 
National Journal
Michael Catalini Sarah Mimms and Peter Bell
Aug. 1, 2014, 1 a.m.

Q: If Re­pub­lic­ans win the Sen­ate, how likely is it the new ma­jor­ity lead­er would elim­in­ate the fili­buster on le­gis­la­tion?

DEMO­CRATS (81 VOTES)

Very likely: 21%
Some­what likely: 20%
Some­what un­likely: 25%
Very un­likely: 34%

Very likely

Ma­jor­ity Lead­er Harry Re­id and Sens. Chuck Schu­mer, Dick Durbin, and Patty Mur­ray an­nounce the Sen­ate’s 52-48 vote in Novem­ber to block fili­busters of most ex­ec­ut­ive-branch nom­in­ees. (Drew Anger­er/Getty Im­ages)”When have Re­pub­lic­ans ever been shy about chan­ging the rules to fit their new cir­cum­stances?”

“Tit for tat!”

“It’s one of the only things they can unite their caucus on.”

Some­what likely

“Even Mitch might find that hy­po­crisy hard to ex­plain.”

Some­what un­likely

“Tough battle with­in Re­pub­lic­an Con­fer­ence. Won’t hap­pen.”

“They don’t really want to — but it’s a great threat.”

Very un­likely

“It is a slip­pery slope. Plus, Obama has veto power.”

“For the party that mostly wants to stop things, the fili­buster is the most im­port­ant tool in the tool­box.”

Q: If Re­pub­lic­ans win the Sen­ate, how likely is it the new ma­jor­ity lead­er would elim­in­ate the fili­buster on le­gis­la­tion?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (78 VOTES)

Very likely: 10%
Some­what likely: 14%
Some­what un­likely: 36%
Very un­likely: 40%

Very likely

“It’s the old say­ing, ‘If it’s good for the goose …’ “

“Dirti­est little secret in D.C.: The fili­buster is un­con­sti­tu­tion­al, and would be de­clared so if chal­lenged in court. Long over­due time for ma­jor­ity rule in the Sen­ate.”

Some­what likely

“Would do it on day one so you can get down to re­peal­ing Obama­care, green-light­ing Key­stone, and rolling back the reg­u­lat­ory state. Obama’s ve­toes would be great fod­der for 2016 pres­id­en­tial and a tough Sen­ate slate for R’s.”

Some­what un­likely

“Re­pub­lic­ans tend to play by the rules.”

“Mc­Con­nell knows the [main­stream me­dia] would not al­low him the same lat­it­ude they gave Re­id in elim­in­at­ing the fili­buster on nom­in­a­tions.”

“Seems to me, Mc­Con­nell ac­tu­ally val­ues Sen­ate tra­di­tion and the checks and bal­ances — un­like Harry Re­id, who val­ues power.”

“Dems have opened the door, but un­likely the Re­pub­lic­ans will walk through it.”

“We don’t want to fol­low Harry Re­id’s path … do we?”

Very un­likely

“No in­cent­ive for GOP if Obama still can veto.”

“Who on earth wants to be re­membered like Harry Re­id — the worst ma­jor­ity lead­er in Sen­ate his­tory?”

“Wheth­er it’s Sen­at­or Mc­Con­nell or someone else, Re­pub­lic­ans are rule-ori­ented by nature.”

“The real ques­tion is: Will Ma­jor­ity Lead­er Mc­Con­nell roll back the nuc­le­ar-op­tion de­cisions from last year?”

“Giv­en what’s been said, how could he?”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders  Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders  Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

Q: If Republicans win the Senate, how likely is it the new majority leader would eliminate the filibuster on legislation?

DEMO­CRATS (81 VOTES)

Very likely: 21%
Some­what likely: 20%
Some­what un­likely: 25%
Very un­likely: 34%

Very likely

Ma­jor­ity Lead­er Harry Re­id and Sens. Chuck Schu­mer, Dick Durbin, and Patty Mur­ray an­nounce the Sen­ate’s 52-48 vote in Novem­ber to block fili­busters of most ex­ec­ut­ive-branch nom­in­ees. (Drew Anger­er/Getty Im­ages)”When have Re­pub­lic­ans ever been shy about chan­ging the rules to fit their new cir­cum­stances?”

“Tit for tat!”

“It’s one of the only things they can unite their caucus on.”

Some­what likely

“Even Mitch might find that hy­po­crisy hard to ex­plain.”

Some­what un­likely

“Tough battle with­in Re­pub­lic­an Con­fer­ence. Won’t hap­pen.”

“They don’t really want to — but it’s a great threat.”

Very un­likely

“It is a slip­pery slope. Plus, Obama has veto power.”

“For the party that mostly wants to stop things, the fili­buster is the most im­port­ant tool in the tool­box.”

Q: If Republicans win the Senate, how likely is it the new majority leader would eliminate the filibuster on legislation?

RE­PUB­LIC­ANS (78 VOTES)

Very likely: 10%
Some­what likely: 14%
Some­what un­likely: 36%
Very un­likely: 40%

Very likely

“It’s the old say­ing, ‘If it’s good for the goose …’ “

“Dirti­est little secret in D.C.: The fili­buster is un­con­sti­tu­tion­al, and would be de­clared so if chal­lenged in court. Long over­due time for ma­jor­ity rule in the Sen­ate.”

Some­what likely

“Would do it on day one so you can get down to re­peal­ing Obama­care, green-light­ing Key­stone, and rolling back the reg­u­lat­ory state. Obama’s ve­toes would be great fod­der for 2016 pres­id­en­tial and a tough Sen­ate slate for R’s.”

Some­what un­likely

“Re­pub­lic­ans tend to play by the rules.”

“Mc­Con­nell knows the [main­stream me­dia] would not al­low him the same lat­it­ude they gave Re­id in elim­in­at­ing the fili­buster on nom­in­a­tions.”

“Seems to me, Mc­Con­nell ac­tu­ally val­ues Sen­ate tra­di­tion and the checks and bal­ances — un­like Harry Re­id, who val­ues power.”

“Dems have opened the door, but un­likely the Re­pub­lic­ans will walk through it.”

“We don’t want to fol­low Harry Re­id’s path … do we?”

Very un­likely

“No in­cent­ive for GOP if Obama still can veto.”

“Who on earth wants to be re­membered like Harry Re­id — the worst ma­jor­ity lead­er in Sen­ate his­tory?”

“Wheth­er it’s Sen­at­or Mc­Con­nell or someone else, Re­pub­lic­ans are rule-ori­ented by nature.”

“The real ques­tion is: Will Ma­jor­ity Lead­er Mc­Con­nell roll back the nuc­le­ar-op­tion de­cisions from last year?”

“Giv­en what’s been said, how could he?”

… … … … .

Demo­crat­ic Polit­ic­al In­siders  Jill Alp­er, John An­za­lone, Brad Ban­non, Dave Beat­tie, Andy Bech­hoe­fer, Cor­nell Belch­er, Matt Ben­nett, Mitchell W. Ber­ger, Mike Ber­man, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brath­waite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brew­er, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bon­nie Camp­bell, Bill Car­rick, Guy Cecil, Mar­tin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Co­hen, Jerry Craw­ford, Jeff Daniel­son, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott De­Fife, Jim De­mers, Tad Dev­ine, Dav­id Di Mar­tino, Debbie Din­gell, Mon­ica Dix­on, Patrick Dor­ton, Pat Du­jakovich, An­ita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve El­men­d­orf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Fer­son, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Fo­ley, Jef­frey For­bes, Vin­cent Fril­lici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Mi­chael Gonza­lez, Joe Grand­mais­on, Anna Green­berg, Stan Green­berg, Pat Griffin, Larry Griso­lano, Mi­chael Gron­stal, Lisa Grove, Mar­cia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Har­poot­li­an, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hat­t­away, Mike Henry, Kar­en Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Har­old Ickes, Mar­cus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jard­ing, Jona­thon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kauf­man, Lisa Koun­toupes, Celinda Lake, Dav­id Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Le­hane, Jeff Link, Bob Malo­ney, Jim Man­ley, Steve Marchand, Jim Mar­gol­is, Paul Maslin, Keith Ma­son, Susan Mc­Cue, Ger­ald McEntee, Steve McMa­hon, Tom McMa­hon, Phil Mc­Namara, Dav­id Med­ina, Mi­chael Mee­han, Mark Mell­man, John Mer­rigan, Mi­chael Mon­roe, Steve Murphy, Janet Na­pol­it­ano, Dav­id Nas­sar, Mar­cia Nich­ols, John Nor­ris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Don­nell, Jef­frey Peck, De­bora Pig­na­telli, Tony Podesta, Je­frey Pol­lock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Re­iley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ric­chetti, Will Robin­son, Steve Rosenth­al, Dav­id Rudd, Ry­an Rudom­in­er, John Ry­an, Mi­chael Sar­geant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shu­maker, Sean Sin­clair, Phil Sing­er, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thor­nell, Jef­frey Tram­mell, Ed Tur­l­ing­ton, Rick Wien­er, James Wil­li­ams, JoDee Win­ter­hof, Bri­an Wolff, Jon Young­dahl, and Jim Zo­gby.

GOP Polit­ic­al In­siders  Dan Al­len, Stan An­der­son, Gary An­dres, Saul­i­us (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bain­wol, Bri­an Baker, Gary Bauer, Dav­id Beck­with, Paul Ben­necke, Clark Ben­son, Wayne Ber­man, Bri­an Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Bla­lock, Car­mine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bon­jean, Jeff Bu­ley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Carde­n­as, Danny Car­roll, Alex Cas­tel­lanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cic­coni, Jonath­an Col­le­gio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Cor­man, Scott Cot­ting­ton, Jay Cran­ford, Greg Crist, Di­ane Crookham-John­son, Fer­gus Cul­len, Tom Dav­is, Mike Den­nehy, Ken Duber­stein, Debi Durham, Sara Fa­gen, Frank Fahren­kopf, John Fee­hery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Ben­jamin Gins­berg, Dav­id Gir­ard-di­Carlo, Bill Green­er, Jonath­an Grella, Lanny Grif­fith, Janet Mullins Gris­som, Doug Gross, Todd Har­ris, Steve Hart, Chris­toph­er Healy, Ral­ph Hell­mann, Chris Hen­ick, Terry Holt, Dav­id Ian­nel­li, Ed Ingle, Jim In­no­cenzi, Clark Judge, Dav­id Keat­ing, Dav­id Ken­sing­er, Bob Kjel­lander, Ed Kut­ler, Chris La­Civ­ita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lom­bardo, Kev­in Mad­den, Joel Maiola, Gary Malo­ney, Dav­id Mar­in, Mary Matal­in, Dan Mat­toon, Bri­an Mc­Cor­mack, Mark McKin­non, Kyle Mc­Slar­row, Ken Mehl­man, Jim Mer­rill, Lisa Cam­ooso Miller, Tim Mor­ris­on, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nel­son, Neil Ne­w­house, Dav­id Nor­cross, Zi­ad Ojakli, Jack Oliv­er, Todd Olsen, Kev­in O’Neill, Con­nie Par­toy­an, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, Dav­id Rehr, Tom Reyn­olds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, Dav­id Roeder­er, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, An­drew Shore, Kev­in Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steep­er, Bob Steven­son, Terry Sul­li­van, Dav­id Tamasi, Eric Tan­en­blatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Tim­mons, War­ren Tomp­kins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Don­gen, Jan van Lo­huizen, Stew­art Ver­dery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee West­ine, Dave Win­ston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Mat­thew Zablud.

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