Reid Wilson

Reid Wilson

Editor-in-Chief, National Journal Hotline

Reid Wilson is editor-in-chief of National Journal Hotline, Washington's premier daily tip sheet on campaigns and elections. He regularly contributes analysis of the national political environment in his weekly column, On The Trail, to National Journal Daily and to National Journal Magazine, as well as writing for 2012 Decoded. He regularly appears on MSNBC, CNN and C-SPAN and is a political contributor to Sirius-XM Radio.

Before becoming editor-in-chief, Wilson was editor of Hotline On Call, Hotline’s political blog. He has also served as a staff writer at The Hill newspaper, where he covered Congress, politics, campaigns and elections. He has covered the Supreme Court, the Federal Election Commission and top political races as they develop across the country.

Reid spent the 2008 election cycle authoring a popular political blog at RealClearPolitics.com, where he covered the presidential caucuses in Iowa, the primaries in New Hampshire and several debates around the nation. Also during the 2008 cycle, Wilson hosted a nationally-broadcast political talk show on XM Satellite Radio, on which he hosted the top newsmakers, reporters and analysts in the nation.

In 2006, Wilson covered polls and polling for The Hotline. He has also written for The New Republic, the Arizona Capitol Times, the Seattle Times and the Seattle Post-Intelligencer. He has appeared as a guest analyst on dozens of radio shows across the nation.

A native of Seattle, Wilson graduated from The George Washington University. He and his wife, Veronica, live on Capitol Hill, the best neighborhood in the country.

Reid Wilson's Latest Posts

Scandals Tailor-Made For GOP Base

George W. Bush lost control of Congress when voters lost trust of his ability to manage government. Obama faces the same threat in 2014. Read More »

As Hispanic Vote Lags, Millions of Votes Left on the Table

Less than half of all eligible Hispanics turned out to vote in 2012, according to census data, suggesting they have yet to flex their political muscle. Read More »

Inside The American Crossroads And Koch Post-Mortems

Conservatives identify what went wrong in 2012 -- and how to fix their problems. Read More »

How Colorado's Forthcoming Election Law Incentivizes The GOP

The Colorado state Senate on Thursday passed legislation requiring the state to conduct its elections entirely by absentee ballot. The party-line vote, and Gov. John Hickenlooper 's likely signature, means Colorado will become t...

Read More »

The Democratic Comeback To Voter ID

In Colorado, Democrats looking to liberalize voting laws to their advantage. Read More »

Gary Peters To Announce Senate Bid

Rep. Gary Peters will announce this week that he's running to replace retiring Sen. Carl Levin , sources tell The Hotline , giving Democrats another top recruit in a state critical to their hopes of keeping the Senate next year. Read More »

The Week That Kicked Off The Battle For The Senate

Republicans in position to take back the upper chamber, if they can avoid self-destructive tendencies. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

A Republican Divide in Sharp Relief

There's a growing split between the party's elites, based in D.C. and New York, and the increasingly vocal grassroots. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Shift Of King Coal

The coal industry still dominates in Appalachia, and that's becoming very bad news for the Democratic party. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Races to Watch in 2013

In the era of constant campaigning, politics never stops. While the White House moves on President Obama's second-term agenda and Washington debates the next fiscal cliff, immigration reform and potentially even gun control measu...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Congress Has Outsized Influence Over Obama's Cabinet

President Obama is allowing the personnel moves that will become critical in forming his foreign policy legacy to be influenced -- even decided -- by Congress Read More »

The Most Consequential Candidates of 2012 Show the Art of Politics Is Interpretive

Early next year, a Democrat will be sworn in as governor of red Montana. A Democrat will take her Senate seat in red North Dakota. Republican governors will gear up for reelection bids in blue Michigan and Wisconsin. They all won in...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The GOP's Electoral College Scheme

Republicans alarmed at the apparent challenges they face in winning the White House are preparing an all-out assault on the electoral college system in critical states, an initiative that would significantly ease the party's path to...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Stopping Gun Violence Starts With Obama

This morning, children – young children – were killed in their elementary school by a gunman in quiet, suburban Connecticut. Three days ago, holiday shoppers were killed in a mall in suburban Portland. Two weeks ago, an NFL line...

Read More »

Who Will Replace Jim DeMint?

If there's one thing you can count on in politics, it's that an unexpected twist will come out of South Carolina. Sen. Jim DeMint's surprise announcement today that he'll quit the Senate to run the Heritage Foundation is but the lat...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Republicans Confront Democrat Edge in Tech Skills, Campaign Talent

Many Republicans say there is a skills gap between the two parties when it comes to technological savvy, based on neglect within their own ranks and advances on the Democratic side. Acceptance, and adapting to overcome the deficit, ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Senate Democrats Face Another Daunting Numbers Game

Stop us if you've heard this one: Senate Democrats will defend many more seats than their Republican counterparts this cycle, putting the party squarely on defense and their 55-seat majority at risk. Faced with the same bleak scenar...

Read More »
ANALYSIS: HOUSE

Boehner Is Emulating Pelosi in One Thing: Fundraising

The House speaker has followed in his predecessor’s footsteps in raising huge amounts of money and, in turn, solidifying his position.  Read More »
HEALTH CARE

Republican Governors Happy With Sebelius Decision

Republican governors have spent two days bemoaning the Obama administration's deadline of Friday to decide whether to set up state-run health care exchanges or to allow the federal government to do it for them. But Health and Human ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Elections at Every Level Show Ever-Starker Divides

For the past six years, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the bursting housing bubble, and the Great Recession contributed to turbulence in American politics. Think of a bottle of salad dressing, the ingredients shaken up and mixed ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

At Republican Confab, Romney Gets the Blame

LAS VEGAS -- Republican presidential contender Mitt Romney failed to offer a vision that connected with everyday Americans, failed to respond to an early and ultimately successful attempt to define him as an out-of-touch corporate r...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

GOP Grapples With Embarrassing Polling Failures

In the weeks before Election Day, both Republicans and Democrats were nervous about their poll numbers. Both sides of the aisle have smart pollsters, they reasoned, so how could the numbers that Democrats were seeing diverge so shar...

Read More »
ELECTION 2012: GOVERNORS, BALLOT INITIATIVES

Governor Races Split on Partisan Lines

All politics isn’t local anymore. For an increasing number of voters, the party identification of state officials is what matters most.  Read More »
ELECTION 2012: HOUSE

Up Next: John Boehner's High-Stakes Moment

The speaker's success may depend as much on his finding common ground with his rowdiest members as it does in his reaching compromise with Obama and congressional Democrats.  Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Election Exposes Looming Challenges For Both Parties

Exuberant Democrats wake up this morning secure in the fact that they will control the White House for another four years and the Senate for at least another two. Mordant Republicans will crawl out of bed, if not content, then at le...

Read More »
ELECTION 2012

Democrats Poised To Keep Senate Control

Democrats are poised to keep control of the Senate as election results break against Republicans. Democrats have won Republican-held seats in Massachusetts and Indiana, and independent candidate Angus King has won in Maine. ...

Read More »
ELECTION 2012

Elizabeth Warren Defeats Scott Brown

Democrat Elizabeth Warren has defeated Republican Sen. Scott Brown in Massachusetts. With 32 percent of precincts reporting, Warren held a 52 percent to 48 percent lead over Brown. Brown first won election in a January 20...

Read More »
ELECTION 2012

Republicans Keep Control of House

CNN and MSNBC project Republicans hold onto control of the U.S. House of Representatives. With 42 states closed, Democrats haven't gained the 25 seats they would need to gain control of that chamber. House Speaker John Bo...

Read More »

House Dems Speaking Soon

House Democratic leaders will be the first to take the stage tonight -- another sign that the party's hopes of taking back the lower chamber are all but gone. Read More »

Boehner Sees No Change In House Makeup

After a wave election in 2010, it looked like Republicans would have to play defense this time around. But just days before Election Day 2012, House Speaker John Boehner was confident his party has done enough to hold onto -- if ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

An Uneasy Status Quo

A nationwide bevy of principals, contractors and subcontractors has spent $6 billion on a mammoth project of never-before-seen depth, breadth and complexity, and nothing much changed: Sounds like the latest government boondoggle. Read More »
CONGRESS

Boehner Expects 'Bridge' On Fiscal Cliff

House Speaker John Boehner doesn't expect a grand bargain avoiding the fiscal cliff to materialize in a lame duck session of Congress, but that doesn't mean the country is headed over the edge. Instead, Boehner said Sunday, he think...

Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

Candidates Become Partisan Stereotypes in Super PAC Era

WADSWORTH, Ohio -- This is the story of a Republican and a Democrat, fighting over a Congressional seat. That their names are Jim Renacci and Betty Sutton, and that the district lies just south of Cleveland, almost qualify as pieces...

Read More »

Schock Exploring Governor Bid

When he first won election to Congress in 2008, Rep. Aaron Schock became the youngest member of the House of Representatives. Now, Schock has his eye on becoming the youngest governor in Illinois history. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Obama and Romney Teams Top $1 Billion in Ad Spending

Between Sept. 11 and Sept. 17, after the two political conventions and as undecided voters began to tune in to the presidential campaign in earnest, President Obama, Mitt Romney, and the outside groups that support them spent $20 mi...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Parties Wonder Which Side's Polls Reflect Reality

A few days ago, I sat down with Rob Jesmer, the executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Jesmer is usually tight-fisted about his polling; he doesn't share it with members of the media when the numbers are...

Read More »
ANALYSIS

Massachusetts Republicans Grow Pessimistic About Brown

When Sen. Scott Brown won a special election to replace the late Edward Kennedy in January 2010, some Republicans called it a miracle. Now, some of those same Republicans are starting to acknowledge that Brown may need another episo...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Why Republicans Will Keep the House

In August 2010, I wrote a column arguing that the fate of the House Democratic majority hadn't been sealed yet, and that Republicans weren't guaranteed to win the majority. Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

October Surprises Hit Up And Down The Ballot

The October Surprise has a long, storied and mostly exaggerated history. Richard Nixon's White House announcing a potential peace deal in Vietnam just two weeks before the 1972 election wasn't the reason he won by 20 points. Sen. Jo...

Read More »

NRSC Sticking With Mourdock

Plenty of Republicans are feeling pretty squeamish about Indiana Senate nominee Richard Mourdock these days -- Mike Pence said Mourdock should apologize , Scott Brown rejected Mourdock's views, and John McCain was agains...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Republicans Spending More, but Obama Advertising More

If a presidential contest was decided entirely by virtue of the amount of money either side spends on campaign commercials, Mitt Romney should start measuring the drapes in the Oval Office today. But if the race will come down to wh...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Dirty Side of Voter Turnout

While President Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney work to mobilize as much of their base as possible, some operatives are working behind the scenes to dissuade the other side’s voters from casting ballots. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

First Weekend Of Early Voting Favors Obama In Battleground Nevada

LAS VEGAS – The Buy Low supermarket on Owens and J Streets sits just ten minutes from the Las Vegas Strip if you don't take a wrong turn, but it might as well be a world away. Read More »

The Cuomo Advantage

The parade of Democrats who hope to succeed President Obama in 2016 has already begun. Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has headlined events in Iowa. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar told Iowa delegates at the Democratic convention ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Presidential Ad Spending Nears $900 Million

President Obama, Mitt Romney and the outside groups supporting their campaigns have spent more than $881 million on television advertising since the general election began, according to sources watching the advertising market. With ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Why Virginia Is Ground Zero in 2012

For Democrats, Virginia is a firewall, a state that can virtually guarantee President Obama a second term and Democratic control of the Senate. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Obama's North Carolina Ads Highlight Romney Dilemma

On its face, North Carolina would seem the swing state President Obama is least likely to win on Nov. 6. But while they won't concede the state is lost, Obama's campaign is pursuing a curious strategy -- while they have ramped up sp...

Read More »
POLITICS

Senate May Hinge on Women, Latinos, Youth Who Cast a Split-Ticket Vote

Voters in states like Virginia, Nevada, and Wisconsin leaning for one presidential candidate may chose the senate candidate for the other party, showing their independent side — and power of voting a split-ticket. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Killer Ticket-Splitters

Forget the swing voters. The voters who will determine control of the Senate this year are anything but. Instead, they are voters who are already firmly in President Obama’s or Mitt Romney's camp but who are open to voting for the...

Read More »

Mapping Presidential Mega-Markets

About half the money being poured into television advertising during the presidential race is being spent in just 15 media markets, according to an analysis of data provided by sources watching the advertising market. Read More »

The Obama Who Cried Wolf

"The headlines are talking about how you and I got beat again by the other side in fundraising," President Obama wrote in an email to supporters in August. "Those headlines aren't going away. I will be outspent in this election." Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Obama Poised To Nearly Double '08 Ad Spending

President Obama's campaign has spent more than $300 million on television advertising, according to new figures compiled by sources watching the ad market, an amount that puts him on track to nearly double his own record-breaking sp...

Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

Debate Renews GOP Confidence in Down-Ballot Races

On the phone with a leading Republican strategist last week, I expressed surprise at his dour mood. “I thought you were confident,” I said. “That's when I thought Romney would run a competent campaign,” he lamented. Read More »

Chamber Buys: $1.9 Million

Last night, we told you about the nine new districts in which the Chamber of Commerce will run ads slamming the health care bill. Now, a Democratic source sends along the totals of the buys so far, which add up to about $1.9 million. Read More »

Chamber Expands Ads Into New York, Utah And Georgia

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce will launch a new round of advertisements in nine House districts beginning tomorrow, including on behalf of six New York Republicans and two conservative Democrats seeking re-election this year. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

When Assessing House, Parties Are in Parallel Universes

Get them together in public and the top political consultants in both parties will argue about every race in the country. But privately, the two sides usually see the same fundamentals at work in any given contest, and, more often t...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Presidential Ad Spending Soars Past $700 Million

Local television stations are reaping an unprecedented harvest of more than $700 million in advertising spending around the presidential contest as the two campaigns and their outside allies continue accelerating spending rates. Read More »
HOUSE RACES

Chamber Drops $3.3 Million for California Repubs

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce will spend $3.3 million on advertisements aimed at electing nine California Republican House candidates, several Democratic sources tell Hotline . Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

How a Romney Loss Would Impact the GOP

The fallout from a Romney loss has the potential to reverberate through the Republican Party for a decade. Read More »

Crossroads Makes Second Foray Into New York

The outside Crossroads organizations are making their second forays into New York media markets, buying advertising time likely aimed at winning a House seat. Read More »
ANALYSIS

Todd Akin Pains GOP

Todd Akin is one of the most conservative Republicans to win a Senate nomination this year. But it sure sounds like he's reading off a script written by his Democratic opponent's campaign. Read More »

McMahon's Smart Early Move

Have we mentioned that the scarcity of available television ad slots is going to cause some candidates a serious budget crunch? Once or twice . Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

TV Ad Spending on Presidential Race Surpasses Two-Thirds of a Billion

Spending on television advertising in the race for the White House has topped two-thirds of a billion dollars, according to sources watching the advertising market, with Republicans only narrowly outpacing those who back President Obama. Read More »

LaTourette's Fascinating Answer

Updated at 4:15 p.m.: An earlier version of their post included a misstatement. Cooper is seeking reelection. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

3 Questions to Answer By Election Day

With six and a half weeks to go before Election Day, Democrats are feeling cautiously optimistic about President Obama's chances for re-election. Republicans are bullish on their odds of keeping the House. And both sides believe the...

Read More »

Independent Spending Favors Republicans

Having trouble keeping track of all those independent expenditure dollars? A million here, a million there, and soon you're talking about real money, after all. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Ad Spending Reflects Shrinking Battlefield

Publicly, neither President Obama nor Republican challenger Mitt Romney will admit they are giving up on any battleground states. But as the campaigns begin the eight-week sprint to the finish, the way each side is spending its mone...

Read More »
POLITICS

What if There Is an Election Wave?

With a month to go before Election Day 1980, President Carter held a significant advantage over Ronald Reagan. Gallup surveys showed Carter leading Reagan by an 8-point margin. But thanks to an outstanding debate performance and a l...

Read More »

Republicans Play For Maine

Sen. Olympia Snowe 's surprise decision to retire after her term expires was supposed to be a body blow to Republican hopes of winning back the Senate. But top party strategists suddenly see reasons for cautious optimism -- enough ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Liberals' Moment

A funny thing happened in Charlotte this week: The Democratic Party, the party that has spent every day since Ronald Reagan became president running from the word "liberal" and its politically losing connotations, has, finally, firm...

Read More »

Democratic Senate Hopefuls Aim to Edge Obama

For the first time in three election cycles, the political landscape appears calm. Neither Democrats nor Republicans look poised to ride a wave to major wins this fall. For Democrats, who cling to a narrow Senate majority, the chanc...

Read More »

Conventioneers Snag Political Swag

Before the convention even started, the Charlotte host committee was trying to cast the Democrats as the “big tent” party, just a few days after the Republican National Convention pulled out all the stops to try to appeal to ...

Read More »

North Carolina a Necessity for Romney, Luxury for Obama

In coming to North Carolina to accept his party’s renomination, President Obama will be attempting the political equivalent of a kid with mediocre grades applying to an Ivy League school. He will be, in essence, reaching. Read More »

Some N.C. Democrats Fret Over Convention Spotlight

Millions of Democrats will be thrilled to watch on television as President Obama accepts renomination on Thursday. But for some North Carolina Democrats running in difficult races this year, Obama’s presence in their backyard has ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Republicans Plot Alternate Path to Senate Majority

Republicans saw the Senate seat in Missouri as almost a guaranteed pickup. But Rep. Todd Akin's flub has forced the GOP to come up with a new strategy for winning control of the upper chamber. Read More »

Hotline Sort: Travel Channel

Good morning, and welcome to an abbreviated Hotline Sort. We're headed from the bubble in Tampa to the bubble in Charlotte, but we aim to bring you the outside-the-bubble look at what's driving the political conversation today. Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

McConnell Sees Parallels With 1980 Reagan Win

Mitch McConnell was a local county official when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter in 1980. Now, 32 years later, he's the Senate Republican leader. Despite a slightly different vantage point, he's starting to see similarities between ...

Read More »
LEADERSHIP

Why Mitch McConnell Praised Ron Paul

Anyone surprised by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell 's appearance in a video lauding Rep. Ron Paul ? It's hard to imagine an odder couple than the decidedly establishment McConnell and Paul, who once ran for president on t...

Read More »

About That Mitch McConnell/Ron Paul Lovefest

Anyone surprised by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell 's appearance in a video lauding Rep. Ron Paul ? It's hard to imagine an odder couple than the decidedly establishment McConnell and Paul, who once ran for president on th...

Read More »
GOP CONVENTION GUIDE: 25 YEARS OF HOTLINE

The Best Campaigns and the Biggest Gaffes

The Hotline has now been around for 25 years. Here's a look back at the best campaigns, the most important campaign innovations, and the most consequential gaffes of the last quarter-century.  Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

Romney Has to Fill in the Blanks With Convention Speech

President Obama's campaign has spent nearly a quarter of a billion dollars defining Mitt Romney as the hopelessly rich, out-of-touch corporate raider intent on making his buddies rich and sending your job overseas. On Thursday night...

Read More »

Republicans' Pennsylvania ObamaCare Test

Back in 2011, Republicans were legitimately concerned that Democrats had found their silver bullet, the line of attack that could tie any Republican to Rep. Paul Ryan's budget and devastate their poll numbers. But that was before M...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Republican Spring Training: Rookies Poised to Take Over

It is somehow fitting that Republicans are holding this year's convention in Tampa, the city where the Chicago Cubs held their first spring training way back in 1913. Like the annual warm-ups, when minor leaguers vie for scarce and ...

Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

The Real Party Business Is Behind the Scenes

In hotel conference centers around Tampa, Republican Party officials are networking with colleagues from around the country on races that will determine control of Congress. Read More »

Steele Planned for Hurricane Possibility

Former Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele and convention organizers made plans to set up a radically different kind of convention if inclement weather threatened the Florida coast at the height of hurricane season...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Republicans Bullish on House Odds

Political history suggests a party that has just won a sweeping House majority will spend the following cycle defending their new incumbents. But this year, Republicans are increasingly optimistic they can buck the trend. Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

Shifting Storm Path Poses New Challenges for GOP

Tropical Storm Isaac is veering away from a direct hit on Tampa Bay and toward a potentially large political problem for Mitt Romney and the Republican National Convention delegates poised to nominate him for president. Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

Among Delegates, Spirits Soar as Barometer Drops

It takes more than a tropical storm to dampen the spirit of a delegate. With some 4,400 official delegates and alternates—along with their spouses, friends, and other special guests—converging on Tampa for the Republican Nationa...

Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

Reince Priebus’s Coming-Out Party

In early 1854, a group of antislavery activists disgusted by the Kansas-Nebraska Act began meeting in Wisconsin to show their opposition. On March 20, a little more than two weeks after the Senate passed the measure allowing additio...

Read More »
CONVENTIONS 2012

Hurricane Message to GOP, Dems: Hold Conventions in July

With Tropical Storm Isaac threatening the Gulf Coast, Republican Party officials said Saturday they will postpone convention activities originally scheduled for Monday in Tampa. It is the second straight Republican convention that w...

Read More »

Future Convention Planners, Be Warned

With Tropical Storm Isaac threatening the Gulf Coast, Republican Party officials said Saturday they will postpone convention activities originally scheduled for Monday in Tampa. It is the second straight Republican convention that w...

Read More »

The Conversation On Guns That Never Happened

A disgruntled former employee of an apparel company shot and killed a one-time co-worker and wounded nine others near the Empire State Building in New York on Friday. It was the third mass shooting in five weeks, after deadly rampag...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Republican Spending Advantage Growing

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and the outside groups that support him have spent more than twice as much as President Obama and his Democratic allies in three of the past four weeks, according to sources watching the...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Obama, Romney Convention Speeches Could Set Course for Next Four Years

There are critical moments in every campaign that can shake up a race: a primary campaign, the selection of a running mate, a convention speech or a nationally televised debate. But only one  — the convention speech — offer...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Ad Spending Tops Half-Billion Mark

President Obama, Mitt Romney, and their partisan allies have dumped more than half a billion dollars on television advertising this cycle, putting the two sides on pace to easily eclipse the $1 billion mark before Election Day, acco...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Playing Political Chicken

You are what you eat, in more ways than one. That is to say, the burger you grab on the run and the beer you pop open while watching your favorite television show gives consumer researchers clues about your political ideology.  Read More »

Six Winners From The Ryan Pick

Paul Ryan is having a pretty good day. Here are six other winners who will be smiling all day: Read More »

Referendum Becomes Choice

Mitt Romney is perhaps the most cautious presidential nominee in recent memory. He has built his campaign around the fundamental assumption that voters will cast their ballots as a referendum on President Obama's four years in offic...

Read More »

Connecticut Republicans Getting Hosed

The rule in Connecticut: If your party gets the most votes for governor, it gets the top ballot line in the next election. So Gov. Dan Malloy 's win in 2010 guarantees Democrats should be atop the ballot this year, right? Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Ad Spending Hints At Key Markets

More than one-third of Iowa residents live in the Des Moines media market. Just 12 percent live in the Davenport market. And yet both President Obama and Mitt Romney are spending more heavily in Davenport than in the state capital, ...

Read More »

Cantor-Tied PAC On Offense

A super PAC run by former top advisers to House Majority Leader Eric Cantor will spent nearly $6 million on advertising in Democratic-held House seats, an effort to keep Republicans on offense as Democrats struggle to retake the House. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

David Koch To Be Romney Delegate

If Mitt Romney wants to thank the funders of outside groups that are blasting President Obama with TV ads, he'll have the chance at the Republican National Convention. Read More »

Advice for GOP Candidates: Don't Show up Drunk or Embrace the Establishment

With an unpopular Congress and a pessimistic electorate, no candidate wants to embrace the establishment label. Being a part of the status quo is as dangerous to one’s political career as openly endorsing an opponent, snapping at ...

Read More »

Inslee Leads Washington Primary

Former Rep. Jay Inslee led all contenders, including Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna , in Washington State's all-party primary Tuesday as the two heavyweights vie for the right to replace retiring Democratic Gov. Christi...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Santorum, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush To Speak at Convention

Former Sen. Rick Santorum gave Mitt Romney a run for his money during the Republican primaries. In return, Santorum will get a major speaking role at the Republican National Convention, organizers will announce today. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

GOP Flexes Muscle as Ad Spending Nears Half-Billion Mark

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and outside groups that support him will spend more than twice as much as President Obama's campaign on television advertising this week, according to sources watching the advertising mark...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

For Undecided Voters, It's The Devil-You-Know Election

In the fight between President Obama and Mitt Romney, the decision key swing voters face is between the devil they know and the devil they don't. Read More »

Driving The Day: Chicken And Coffee

Judging by today's headlines, our politics have been reduced to a fast food menu. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Why August Will Determine Senate Control

August is usually a sleepy month in politics. Congress leaves Washington for its annual summer recess, and campaigning takes a back seat as voters, more concerned with their own vacations than with statewide elections, tune out. But...

Read More »
POLITICS

Dems Tap Rising Hispanic Star For Keynote

Democratic National Convention officials will announce this morning that Julian Castro, the mayor of San Antonio and a rising star in American politics, will become the first person of Hispanic descent to serve as the keynote ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Dems Tap Rising Hispanic Star For Keynote

Democratic National Convention officials will announce this morning that Julian Castro, the mayor of San Antonio and a rising star in American politics, will become the first person of Hispanic descent to serve as the keynote speake...

Read More »

Keep Your Polling Close...

Campaigns may not want to disclose the results of their polling, especially if it shows they're in lousy position, but the secret gets spoiled when quarterly reports are filed with the Federal Election Commission. After all, it's ha...

Read More »

What It Takes: Bill Clinton

"There's a philosophy of saying and doing anything it takes." That was David Axelrod's critique of Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign back in 2008, when he accused Bill Clinton of "doing slash and burn stuff" to win the nomination. Read More »

Poll Shows McCaskill Way Behind

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) trails all three of her potential Republican rivals, according to a new survey conducted for two Missouri news outlets, cementing her status as this cycle's most vulnerable incumbent. Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

Are Democrats Selling Themselves Short on Taxes?

Democrats aren't telling the full truth about their proposal to extend the Bush tax cuts for middle-class Americans while letting tax cuts for the wealthy expire. But instead of some nefarious plot to hide the real cost, Democratic ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

GOP Outspending Obama Across the Map

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney and his conservative allies are outspending President Obama in every swing state except Pennsylvania this week, dropping nearly $8 million more on television advertising than the incumbe...

Read More »

New Crossroads Ads Hit Heinrich, Berkley and Heitkamp

Crossroads GPS will launch a new round of television ads late this week aimed at bringing down Democratic Senate candidates in Nevada, North Dakota and New Mexico. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Ad Rates Spiking as Candidates, Groups Scurry to Get On Air

Pity the poor car dealer in Norfolk, Va. Advertising his business has become a lot more expensive in recent months, thanks to presidential campaigns and outside political groups that have poured millions into television advertising ...

Read More »

Michele Bachmann Wants You to Panic

In the annals of hyperbole, few candidates stand out like Rep. Michele Bachmann , R-Minn. She's figured out that the formula for raising big bucks involves breathless pleas for immediate cash, lest the evil liberals knock her out o...

Read More »

DSCC Reserving Time In Florida

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is setting aside $3.2 million for an advertising blitz to bolster Florida Sen. Bill Nelson as polls show the two-term Democrat locked in a surprisingly tight race. Read More »

Nine Things We Learned From Obama's FEC Report

Every month, President Obama's campaign dumps an incredible amount of data on the Federal Election Commission's servers, offering a glimpse into one of the largest political operations ever mounted. We sifted through the 243,000 rec...

Read More »

Time Heals All Wounds -- In D.C. At Least

The scandal that's slowly taking down the upper echelons of D.C. Mayor Vincent Gray 's 2010 mayoral campaign has decimated Gray's personal and political appeal -- just 29 percent approve of Gray's job performance, while 34 percent ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Republicans Double Obama's Ad Spending

Republican Mitt Romney and his allies are spending nearly twice as much on television advertisements this week than President Obama and his supporters, according to sources watching the advertising market. Read More »

Ad Spending Speaks Louder Than Words

Wither Wisconsin? The state's demographics argue it should be competitive. Gov. Scott Walker's win in a recall election earlier this year showed Republicans the path to victory, and fired up the base at the same time. And at an even...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

The Urgency of Fixing Campaign Finance Laws

There’s nothing quite like a mother’s love. In one House campaign this year, that saying is proving quite literally true. And it spotlights the bizarre, convoluted, and unfortunate state of campaign finance rules after a decade ...

Read More »

McCain For Quayle

Sen. John McCain will become the latest member of the Republican establishment to support Rep. Ben Quayle over Rep. Dave Schweikert in an increasingly bitter member-versus-member primary. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Quarter Billion Spent on Presidential Ads

Mitt Romney is worth up to $250 million, according to analyses of his public-disclosure records. But even his entire fortune wouldn't be enough to cover the amount of money that his campaign, President Obama's, and their allies have...

Read More »

RNC Launches Independent Unit

Update: This post originally misspelled the name of Republican strategist Jon Downs. Read More »
POLITICS

Suburban Mothers Are Fall's Key Swing Voters

President Obama and Mitt Romney can talk all they like, but the voters who will decide this year's presidential election aren't listening yet. That's because prototypical key swing voters this year are far more concerned with guidin...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Suburban Mothers Are Fall's Key Swing Voters

President Obama and Mitt Romney can talk all they like, but the voters who will decide this year's presidential election aren't listening yet. That's because prototypical key swing voters this year — the so-called Wal-Mart moms ...

Read More »
ANALYSIS

D.C. Mayor Vincent Gray's Days May Be Numbered

The latest scandal threatening to take down a major Washington political figure isn't emanating from Capitol Hill, or from the Obama administration. It's coming from the John A. Wilson Building — or, more accurately, from Mayor Vi...

Read More »

Crossroads Targeting North Dakota

Amid the millions of dollars American Crossroads and Crossroads GPS is spending on the presidential contest, the groups' efforts to win back control of the Senate is beginning to take shape. The latest effort: An $800,000 ad buy in ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Crossroads Groups Begin Fall Ad Buys

When Crossroads GPS announced last week it would spend $25 million on a wave of television advertisements slated to run over the next four weeks, the group's press release left one detail out of the mix – that its sister organizat...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Ad Spending Eases in Holiday Week

While Americans took a much-needed break to watch the fireworks this week, those watching television in critical presidential swing states got something of a breather from the constant barrage of campaign advertisements. Read More »

Democrats Lead House Ad Spending

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and its allies have made their plans known early this year, plopping down millions of dollars in advertising reservations in markets across the country months before those advertisemen...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

2012 Campaign-Ad Spending Poised To Smash 2008 Record

President Obama, Mitt Romney, and their allies are already spending money at a faster pace than the final weeks of the 2008 presidential election. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Whose Party Is It Anyway?

Organizing a national political party structure without the benefit of holding the White House is difficult. The national party committee has a chairman, but that person is little more than a figurehead, tasked with raising money an...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Democrats Build 2016 Foundations

The race for the White House has begun in earnest as candidates fan out across the country, introducing themselves to party activists and building the foundations that could lead them to the presidency. Read More »

DSCC Spending In North Dakota

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has reserved $1.2 million in airtime in North Dakota, according to a source with knowledge of the ad buy, an indication that Democrats are optimistic about an open seat that might have ea...

Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

Ad Spending Suggests a Bigger Map for Romney

President Obama's campaign has vastly outspent Mitt Romney's to date, and the incumbent maintains a healthy cash advantage over his Republican rival. But when we look back at the 2012 campaign, we'll remember this as the week p...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Powerful, Powerless President

To hear one side argue the case, Barack Obama is the most powerful president in the nation’s history, advancing his agenda through executive orders and unilateral action. To hear the other side, he is hobbled by conservatives in C...

Read More »
HOUSE RACES

Ad Buys Hint at House Battlegrounds

We're beginning to see the contours of the map House Democrats and Republicans will fight over in November. Redistricting, the 2010 Republican wave, and a dismally unpopular Congress are converging to create a volatile foundation fo...

Read More »

Barack Obama Is Rich

When Mitt Romney reminds everyone of his enormous personal success, it creates serious problems for a candidate already struggling to connect with average Americans. Every time Romney says he knows NFL team owners, or NASCAR team ow...

Read More »

With Friends Like These...

Take a look at this statement reacting largely negatively to President Obama 's speech on the economy today in Ohio: Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Senate and the Old Normal

After three successive wave elections, one might be forgiven for assuming that massive swings are the new normal. But with five months to go before Election Day, both senior Democratic and Republican strategists agree that the count...

Read More »

Hie Thee To North Carolina

As we write in today's Hotline spotlight (Subscribers can click here ), it's highly likely that North Carolinians have seen Mitt Romney's vice presidential nominee -- it's just not clear which one of the high-profile Republicans ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Ad Spending Tops $100 Million in Presidential Race

President Obama, Mitt Romney, and the outside groups bolstering their campaigns have spent more than $100 million on television advertising, according to sources tracking the buys. Read More »
SENATE

Senate Race Rankings: Stability In An Unstable World

The Senate landscape has coalesced into three clear tiers. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Romney’s Tipping Point

Every four years, the race for the White House is defined by a turning point, a period when the contest breaks toward one side and the other can never recover. In the winter and spring of 1996, a rebounding economy gave Bill Clinton...

Read More »

Why Buying Early Matters

All cycle, we've warned groups interested in buying television spots in key races to snap up ad time early. The Wisconsin governor's race is a great example of why that's so important. Read More »

Wisconsin: Canary or Coal Mine?

In May 1994, Ron Lewis won a special election in a rural Kentucky district that hadn't elected a member of his Republican Party in more than a century. In January 2010, Massachusetts voters handed Scott Brown a Senate seat they ...

Read More »

Direct Your Inquiries To...

Attention, Rick Scott, Marco Rubio, Brian Sandoval, Paul Ryan and anyone else who thinks they deserve a prominent speaking role at this year's Republican National Convention in Tampa: Please direct your inquiries to Anne Hathaway. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Steaming Mad

The tea party is dead; long live the tea party. Despite a national media that craves the spectacle of a tea party-versus-establishment fight for the soul of the Republican Party, the populist conservative movement that so dominated ...

Read More »

2012: The Un-Movement Election

Four years ago next week, Sen. Barack Obama stood before a crowd of 17,000 in St. Paul, having won the Democratic nomination to become President of the United States. "You chose to listen not to your doubts or your fears, but to you...

Read More »

McCotter Could Miss Ballot

Rep. Thad McCotter likely won't be on the ballot for re-election this year after his campaign failed to file the appropriate number of signatures to qualify, according to reports out of Michigan over the weekend. Read More »

Christie's Sporting Bet

Sports bettors along the Eastern Seaboard, rejoice -- New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie says you'll have a place to make a wager on your favorite football or basketball teams without flying all the way to Las Vegas. Read More »

The Massachusetts Popularity Contest

In an atmosphere of broad and deep voter disenchantment, it's rare to see a race in which two candidates are actually popular. But in this year's marquee Senate contest, voters are largely optimistic about the direction of their sta...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Buy Early and Often

The bully pulpit ain’t what it used to be. That’s the lesson President Obama learned when his assault on Bain Capital was drowned out by Newark, N.J., Mayor Cory Booker. It’s no better for Mitt Romney, who lost control of his ...

Read More »

The Obama Camp's Hit Parade

Last week, President Obama's team rolled out its first assault on Mitt Romney's career as head of Bain Capital, a two-minute advertisement focused on the fate of Kansas City, Mo.-based GST Steel. This week, Obama's team is at it a...

Read More »

Newspapers, the Internet and Reaching New Voters

Want to reach an undecided voter these days? Your best bets are through newspapers, the medium through which a slim plurality of undecided voters say they get their political news. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Get Out the Vote

In the 2004 election, both sides knew Ohio would be the state in which the presidency was won or lost. Sen. John Kerry ’s campaign spent months and millions trying to persuade voters in suburban counties. But as they canvassed, t...

Read More »

Club For (Establishment) Growth

The three Washington-based conservative organizations that are most able to confer the Tea Party mantle on a candidate very clearly picked a side in Nebraska's primary election held yesterday. Their side lost -- and in the process, ...

Read More »

Why Liberty Won't Host Romney's 'Sister Souljah' Moment

To borrow a convenient word from President Obama, the process of running for the White House is evolutionary in nature: A candidate must convince their base to like them, then they must evolve to appeal to a wider audience (Etch A S...

Read More »
NEXT AMERICA

Analysis: Not Courting Minorities May Doom GOP

Demographics are destiny. This much, in American politics, is true. But we rarely appreciate the pace of the racial and ethnic change happening throughout the country. To step back and see the broader, long-term picture is to re...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Republican Failure to Court Minorities Voters Could Doom Party

Demographics are destiny. This much, in American politics, is true. But we rarely appreciate the pace of the racial and ethnic change happening throughout the country. To step back and see the broader, long-term picture is to recogn...

Read More »

Lugar Proves That Campaigns Matter

By most reasonable measures, Sen. Orrin Hatch should face the same fate as Sen. Richard Lugar , who lost his primary last night to a conservative challenger by 20 points. Hatch, after all, has been in Washington as long as Lugar,...

Read More »
THE NEXT AMERICA

Democrats Make Inroads in Fast-Growing Counties

When President Obama’s team goes looking for votes this year, they will find a rapidly changing Sun Belt region that is providing Democrats inroads into previously Republican-held territory. Minorities are the principal engine of...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Democrats Make Inroads in Fast-Growing Counties

When President Obama’s team goes looking for votes this year, they will find a rapidly changing Sun Belt region that is providing Democrats inroads into previously Republican-held territory. Minorities are the principal engine of ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Convention-al Wisdom

Now that Mitt Romney has sewn up the Republican nomination, he will turn his attention to picking a vice presidential running mate and building a foundation for a national campaign. Romney has it easy—at least compared with the po...

Read More »
CONGRESS

McConnell No Fan Of FCC Political Advertising Rule

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell , R-Ky., said on Friday he sees a proposed rule to publicize political advertising spending as a potential burden on free speech rights. Read More »
THE NEXT AMERICA

City Slickers

In political vernacular, “urban” issues have long been code for policies of primary concern to minorities. In coming decades, that stereotype will start to look outdated as Americans of increasing diversity move to the nation...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

City Slickers

In political vernacular, “urban” issues have long been code for policies of primary concern to minorities. In coming decades, that stereotype will start to look outdated as Americans of increasing diversity move to the nation’...

Read More »

Big Day for the Veepstakes

There used to be unwritten rules for anyone who wanted to be a vice presidential candidate: Keep your head down. Deny any interest and call your current job "the best job in the world." And for the love of all that is holy, don't ac...

Read More »

How To Influence A Primary

The second-ranking party leader on Capitol Hill weighs into a redistricting-inspired primary fight between two incumbents. What happens next? Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

RNC Formally Backs Romney

The Republican National Committee will move to formalize its ties to Mitt Romney's presidential campaign after declaring him the party's presumptive nominee, chairman Reince Priebus said in a statement provided to National Journ...

Read More »

Condi on the Wishlist

If members of the Republican National Committee had their druthers, Mitt Romney would turn to former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice as his vice presidential running mate. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Romney Campaign: No Pledge of Support, No Perks

No signature, no photo. At a private reception for supporters before a speech to the Republican National Committee, a top aide to presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney risked creating an incident by enforcing that rule. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Romney Collects Delegate Pledges at GOP Meeting

Mitt Romney is taking no chances in his drive for the 1,144 delegates he needs to formally capture the Republican presidential nomination. At a meeting of the Republican National Committee in Arizona, Romney allies are locking down ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

RNC Close to Calling Romney Presumptive Nominee

The Republican National Committee sees Tuesday's primary contests in several Northeastern states as the moment at which the party can semiofficially declare Mitt Romney the presumptive presidential nominee, Chairman Reince Priebus s...

Read More »

Explaining Early Ad Buys

When a campaign or a party committee places reservations for television commercials, it's akin to showing one of their two hole cards in Texas Hold'em: The campaigns aren't broadcasting what those commercials will say, but they're g...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Shifting Winds

For the most part, the first three years of the Obama administration have reinforced the tropes that have consumed the American political debate for decades: The administration is hopelessly obsessed with expanding the size and scop...

Read More »

Dem Establishment Agrees In Seattle-Area Seat

Washington State's Democratic establishment is making a concerted effort to line up behind a single candidate running for an open House seat north of Seattle after concluding three other contenders could give Republicans an opening ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Romney to Take RNC Victory Lap

Presumptive presidential nominee Mitt Romney will take a victory lap before members of the Republican National Committee when the party meets at an annual event in Scottsdale, Ariz., this week, a party spokesman tells National Journal . Read More »

DSCC, NRSC Pick Top Targets

Sens. Scott Brown and Claire McCaskill might as well start packing their bags right now, according to the party strategists plotting to oust them this November. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

VP Pick Will Usher in New Generation of GOP Leaders

Rick Santorum's exit from the presidential race this week brings a formal end to a contest that had been over, for all practical purposes, for weeks. It also invites a temporary spotlight on Romney's next task, picking a running mat...

Read More »

Romney's Pennsylvania Ad Bomb

Mitt Romney spent last week trying to lower expectations in Pennsylvania while boosting the pressure on Rick Santorum. But actions speak louder than words, and it's clear Romney's advisors see the Keystone State as their opportunity...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Hispanic Gap

Turns out, it really is the economy. Americans have voted with their pocket books, or with their cynical view toward Washington, for the last three election cycles. But the ramifications of the worst recession since the Depression h...

Read More »

Cantor Spending $50K On Jobs Ad

It's rare for a House member to be running an advertisement at this point in the election cycle, so far in advance of November. It's even more noteworthy if that member is one of the top Republican leaders in the House. Read More »

Total TV Tab: $87 Million

The Republican presidential candidates and their supportive super PACs have spent more than $87 million on television advertising since the beginning of the race, according to figures compiled by GOP sources watching the ad buys. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Raising Arizona

PHOENIX — What does it take to paint a red desert blue? For Democrats hoping to win their first federal races in Arizona in 16 years, the answer lies in getting the state’s electorate to more closely resemble the state’s popul...

Read More »

Rob Jesmer and the Year of the Woman

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee chairwoman Patty Murray was first elected to the upper chamber in 1992, oft cited as the Year of the Woman. And Murray has made a point of reaching out to women candidates, even favoring th...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Mitt Romney's 81 Lifelines

Imagine the scenario that keeps Mitt Romney's top strategists up at night: The polls close in the final primary state, Utah, on June 26, and Romney gets every one of the state's 40 winner-take-all delegates -- yet still falls short ...

Read More »
ECONOMY

Dartmouth President Wins Nod for World Bank President From Obama

In a surprise move, President Obama said on Friday that he was nominating Dartmouth College President Jim Yong Kim to serve as World Bank president. Kim's name was not among those reportedly on the president’s short list, which...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Redistricting’s Dark Matter

Searching for the real impact of the decennial redistricting process is like searching for dark matter: Your instruments tell you it’s there, but it’s not visible to the naked eye. Read More »

Hatch Challenger Loses Own Precinct

The most prominent Republican challenging Sen. Orrin Hatch won't be a delegate at the party's state convention next month. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Known Unknowns

The Republican Party is in the midst of a self-immolating primary that pits its electable, if unpopular, moderate wing against its unelectable, passionate flank. President Obama has more than 10 times the cash on hand as his nearest...

Read More »

On Rubio and the Vice Presidency

This post has been updated to correct a typo Read More »

RNC Raises $11.3 Million

The Republican National Committee will report raising $11.3 million in February, a committee spokeswoman tells us, leaving the party in good financial position once they actually nominate a presidential candidate. Read More »
NEED TO KNOW: SENATE

The National Journal Big 10

NJ introduces a blue-chip guide to the 10 most pivotal Senate races of 2012. Read More »
ELECTION ANALYSIS

Four Ways the Republican Nomination Race Could End

The fight for the Republican presidential nomination has entered a phase Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would find familiar. From now until a candidate actually clinches the nomination, the race will become a contest for delegates...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The 1992 Deja Vu

Amid a nail-biter in Ohio, where Mitt Romney edged out Rick Santorum by a mere 12,000 votes out of more than 1.2 million cast, signs of a political earthquake emerged during Tuesday’s primaries. Rep. Jean Schmidt , the three-term...

Read More »

Super Tuesday TV Tab Up To $11 Million

Every Republican presidential delegate may be created equal, but some sure cost a lot more than others. Read More »
ANALYSIS

Dicks Retirement Ends Boeing Generation

The last member that generation of Boeing-backers, Washington Rep. Norm Dicks , is retiring. Read More »
ANALYSIS

In Aide's Departure, Chance for a Thaw and a Renewed Focus

The departure of a top aide to House Majority Leader Eric Cantor could presage a thaw in the sometimes frosty relations between the Hill's top Republicans. Read More »
HOUSE

Top Cantor Aide Out

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor 's chief spokesman resigned abruptly on Friday. Read More »

Walker For President?

As if juggling simultaneous campaigns in more than a dozen swing states wasn't complicated enough. Now, top strategists for President Obama and the eventual Republican nominee will have to contend with a new variable: The possibilit...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Politics as Mass-Trauma Event

How did you buy the tube of toothpaste that sits next to your sink? Odds are, it’s become such a routine procedure that you don’t even think about it: You probably went to the same store you always do and picked up the same bran...

Read More »

Snowe's Departure Part of Moderate Exodus

To update Yeats, the center is not holding. Read More »

The Possible Potomac Primary

When the nation's governors get together for their semi-annual conferences, a few characters always pop out: The media darlings (Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie these days...

Read More »

McDonnell Coming Around on Term Limits

Virginia is the only state in the nation that limits its governor to a single four-year term. Gov. Bob McDonnell is starting to think that's not enough time. Read More »

Corporate Money in Politics? Old News.

The prospect of major corporations or single donors with extreme agendas writing big checks to influence an election has outraged Democrats. Privately, even many Republicans worry that recent Supreme Court decisions allowing corpora...

Read More »

Santorum And The Specter Endorsement

Update: An earlier version of this post incorrectly characterized the partisan breakdown of the 109th Congress. The partisan breakdown was 55 Republicans and 45 Democrats. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Learning From McCain

Bitter Republicans get no small satisfaction in openly criticizing Sen. John McCain 's 2008 presidential campaign. But party strategists privately point to another McCain bid—his 2010 reelection effort—as the textbook exam...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The New Democratic Litmus Test

Perhaps no flip flop in his career has caused Mitt Romney more grief among conservatives than his evolution on abortion, from a pro-choice gubernatorial candidate  to a pro-life presidential contender . His struggle to convin...

Read More »

Paper: Candidate Threatened Lover With Deportation

An Arizona sheriff who became the face of Sen. John McCain's stand against illegal immigration threatened his boyfriend, an illegal immigrant himself, with deportation if news of their relationship ever leaked out, an alternative ne...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Prominent Romney Supporter Announces He's Gay, Steps Away from Campaign

Paul Babeu, the Pinal County, Ariz., sheriff and an Arizona co-chair of Mitt Romney's presidential campaign, announced suddenly on Saturday that he is gay and will leave the Romney campaign, the Phoenix New Times reported . Read More »

Santorum, Super PAC Double Down On Michigan

Former Sen. Rick Santorum's campaign is preparing their own ad buy in response to Mitt Romney and a Romney-backing political action committee, according to new ad data provided to The Hotline. But even with the big new spending, Rom...

Read More »

There's A Reason Obama's At Boeing

With apologies to my colleagues from Detroit, Mr. Fournier and Mr. Alberta, President Obama's trip to Washington State today underscores one of the biggest overlooked success stories in American manufacturing: On the shoulders of ne...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Suburban Swingers

Reps. Dave Reichert and Joe Walsh approach politics in very different ways. Reichert, the Washington state Republican first elected in 2004, has won reelection in a swing district even in good Democratic years by appealing to th...

Read More »

Romney's $5 Million Ad Blitz

A central strength most pundits (including this one) have cited when describing Mitt Romney as the Republican front-runner is money: He has it, his opponents do not. Read More »

Winning Without Money

Mitt Romney has won two nominating contests by spending millions of dollars, and with the help of millions more from a supportive super PAC, on television advertising. Newt Gingrich won South Carolina by pursuing the same ad-heavy s...

Read More »

Taking A Deep Dive In Virginia

Behind the paywall, we're taking an in-depth look at the races that will decide who controls the Senate next year, based on exit poll data from 2006, 2008 and 2010 -- including unreported breakdowns specially provided to Hotline ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Case for Renewed Reform

After some embarrassing flubs, caucus states could soon become a thing of the past. Read More »
CONGRESS

GOP Rep. Myrick Won't Run For Reelection

Rep. Sue Myrick , a nine-term North Carolina Republican, won't seek a 10th term this year, she said in a posting on her Facebook page on Tuesday. "After thoughtful discussion with my family, I have decided not to run for another...

Read More »

Myrick Won't Run For Re-Election

Updated at 3:27 p.m. Read More »

House Dems Embrace Their Super PAC

A super PAC that will raise and spend millions on behalf of House Democrats will borrow top party leaders for a kickoff fundraiser tonight on Capitol Hill, just a day after President Obama grudgingly admitted his campaign needs as...

Read More »
SENATE

Power Grab

Senate Democrats have a lot working against them heading into the November elections but a couple of things working for them: the rapid growth of the minority population and the fact that it’s a presidential election year. Read More »

Bowles Won't Run In NC

Former White House chief of staff Erskine Bowles won't run for governor of his home state, a senior Democratic official confirmed Thursday, leaving his party without one of their better-known contenders. Read More »

Sanchez Squashing Quitting Rumors

There goes New Mexico Lt. Gov. John Sanchez 's day. The Republican running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeff Bingaman is going to spend his time trying to squash rumors that he'll quit his bid to run for an open House seat...

Read More »

Why Gingrich's Florida Challenge Won't Work

Anyone getting a sense of deja vu? For the Republican National Committee, the eerie feeling that they've lived this day before is exactly the reason why former Speaker Newt Gingrich won't be able to snag any delegates from Florida, ...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Split-Ticket Extinction

Once, in the time before super PACs and independent expenditures, before blogs and social media made even local elections a national sport, great herds of split-ticket voters roamed the plains. They voted easily for a Democrat for o...

Read More »

Obama's Ratings Collapse

If President Obama were a television show, the network executives might start holding some serious meetings about how to turn his ratings around. Tuesday's State of the Union address was the third consecutive year Obama's overall au...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Romney’s Hispanic Problem

Florida’s presidential primary next week is a crucial test of Mitt Romney’s front-runner status. But dive into the exit polls after voters have spoken their minds, because Florida will be a test of Romney’s strength among Hisp...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Don't Expect A Bounce

Swiss Mitt

Mitt Romney had a Swiss bank account. You're welcome, Democratic National Committee. Read More »

Can Santorum Survive?

Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum's campaign moved quickly Saturday night to squash any speculation that his campaign is over. But there's a reason to speculate: Santorum's disappointing finish shows he has all but lost the rac...

Read More »

Abortion Rumor Spreads To Gingrich List

Hours after South Carolina Republicans reported receiving a fake breaking news alert spreading rumors about former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, the same rumors are showing up as an email from what appears to be Gingrich's campaign....

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

How To Spend Your Saturday Night

If you're like us, you'll spend Saturday evening clicking refresh to get the latest results out of South Carolina. Here are the key areas to watch as the numbers roll in: Read More »
ANALYSIS

The Race Is Still Romney's

The fundamentals of Mitt Romney's presidential campaign are strong. Even in the wake of former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's surging momentum in South Carolina, the fact remains that Romney is the overwhelming front-runner for the R...

Read More »

Warren Knows How To Money Bomb

A lot of very qualified, potentially strong Senate candidates raised less than $1 million over the last three months. Massachusetts Senate contender Elizabeth Warren has raised that much in the last 24 hours. Read More »

Romney Needs A Jobs Answer

No, not an answer about how to create jobs. Republican front-runner Mitt Romney needs to settle on a single number to pull out when he's describing his tenure at Bain Capital. Just like his stumbles over whether he'll release his ta...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Perry's Voters Up for Grabs in S.C.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s departure from the Republican presidential race on Thursday does not release a large pool of South Carolina voters suddenly looking for another candidate – nearly every poll shows the GOP candidate langui...

Read More »
CONGRESS

Campaign Finance Reform's Non-Comeback

Two years ago this week, the Supreme Court dealt a blow to advocates of strict campaign finance reform. But the decision in Citizens United v. FEC hurt more than just the provisions of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act it...

Read More »

Obama's First Ad, In The Post-Citizens United World

Updated with an Obama advisor's insights Read More »

OR 01: GOP Poll Has It Close On The Coast

Businessman Rob Cornilles, the Republican running to replace disgraced ex-Rep. David Wu, D-Ore., is just four points behind the Democratic front-runner, according to a survey taken for his campaign. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Huntsman Will End Bid

Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman will announce on Monday that he is dropping his bid for the Republican presidential nomination after a disappointing finish in last week's New Hampshire primary, a source confirmed to  National Journal . Read More »

Parsing South Carolina Schedules

There are eight days left before South Carolina voters head to the polls, and Republican presidential candidates are racing across the state to reach as many voters as they can. But are they spending their time efficiently? Talk to...

Read More »
NEED TO KNOW: LOBBYING

South Carolina's Congested Air(time)

Super PACs are taking the state's famously venomous GOP primary to a TV near you.  Read More »

Perry's Secret Plan: Staying Positive

ROCK HILL, SC -- South Carolina is known for dirty tricks, underhanded tactics, and basically anything and everything that people hate about politics (Our pal Peter Hamby has a great take today on how South Carolina's reputation f...

Read More »

Clarifying the California Chess Board

A new system that supposedly takes the politics out of California's decennial redistricting process has now claimed a third victim after Rep. Jerry Lewis said Thursday he will end his three-decade tenure in Washington. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Veepstakes Race Well Under Way

Senior Republicans may be unwilling to publicly call the presidential nominating campaign finished, but consensus is that Mitt Romney will be the party's candidate against President Obama later this year. As Romney works toward the ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Gingrich Friends Worry He Has Gone Rogue

Friends and allies of Newt Gingrich, alarmed at his recent attacks that seem straight out of the Democratic playbook, worry that the former House speaker may be doing his party's eventual presidential nominee serious damage--and tha...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Romney Takes Momentum to Hard-Hitting South Carolina

Wednesday is the first day of the rest of Mitt Romney's life. Ever since announcing he would make a second run for the Republican presidential nomination, the 2008 runner-up has followed a campaign strategy of winning the New Hampsh...

Read More »

What South Carolinians Are Waking Up To

This post has been updated to clarify which PACs have purchased air time in South Carolina. Read More »

Why, And How, Romney Quit In '06

My colleagues Josh Kraushaar and Alex Roarty have taken note of ex-Sen. Rick Santorum's big-time loss in his 2006 bid for re-election -- and rightly so, given just how badly Sen. Bob Casey beat Santorum across virtually all demo...

Read More »

Romney's Go-To Play: Roll Out Endorsements

If Mitt Romney's campaign ever feels challenged among key segments of the Republican electorate, he's got a well-worn page in his playbook to turn to: The endorsement rollout. And Romney's team has handled those roll-outs with exper...

Read More »

Gosar Will Switch Districts

CORRECTION: An earlier version of this blog post misstated the year in which ex-state Sen. Jonathan Paton lost the Republican primary in the 8th district. That year was 2010. Read More »
ANALYSIS

South Carolina: Social Conservatives’ Last Stand

The eyes of the nation are on New Hampshire, but they should be focused on South Carolina, where on Jan. 21 Republicans will decide how quickly and how easily Mitt Romney will lock up the Republican presidential nomination. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Super PAC Arrives

How a super PAC helped to pave the way for Romney's Iowa win by bringing down his rivals. Read More »

Setting Expectations With Jim And David

You can bet the last people Mitt Romney's campaign wants setting expectations for them are their buddies over at Obama for America headquarters in Chicago. But in a call with reporters this afternoon, that's just what campaign manag...

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Iowa's Place In Mormon Tradition

Correction: An earlier version of this post misstated where Joseph Smith was killed. He died in Carthage, Ill. Read More »

Steve King, Overrated

Rep. Steve King, the conservative who represents a little under a quarter of all active Republican voters in Iowa, won't endorse a candidate in this year's first-in-the-nation caucuses. Read More »

The Youth Exodus

Spurred by President Obama's campaign, younger voters proved a decisive, and growing, segment of the electorate in 2008. They turned out at higher levels than they had in generations, giving Democrats wins in swing states that had b...

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Colbert Sought Naming Rights For South Carolina Primary

Imagine what could have been: Iowa votes for Ron Paul! New Hampshire breaks for Mitt Romney! And the entire Republican presidential contest switches gears and focuses on ... The Colbert Super PAC South Carolina Republican Primary? Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

How 2012 Is Changing Presidential Campaigns

Next year will go down in history books as the year that Iowa and New Hampshire lost their supremacy in the presidential nominating contests.  Read More »
SENATE

The Hotline's Senate Race Rankings: Christmas Edition

It's the political equivalent of The Night Before Christmas: The Senate field is largely set, with top recruits snug in their seats, and all through the DSCC and the NRSC, the only sounds that matter are the fundraisers dialing f...

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Romney, Perry Running Huge Iowa Buys

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and his allies are making an all-out push to win the Iowa caucuses -- or at least to knock down their toughest opponent -- according to advertising data from key local markets around the first-i...

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Craig James, Anonymous

There is striking overlap between those obsessed with politics and those obsessed with sports. If you enjoy the competition of the former, you're probably attracted to the competition of the latter. So when the two worlds combine, i...

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While You Weren't Looking...

We've said it before, and we'll say it again: Rules matter. Pay attention and take advantage, or face the consequences of being unprepared. Read More »

RNC Hitting Debate Airwaves

The Republican National Committee has come up with a clever way to make sure it's reaching the right audience as it seeks to build its outreach list: Advertise during a presidential debate. Read More »

Previewing Gingrich's Down Escalator

Watch out, Newt Gingrich, your rocket to the top of the Republican field may be running low on gas. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Don James Campaign

Winning at football is pretty simple: There’s the offense, the defense, and the special teams. As legendary coach Don James put it while he led the University of Washington Huskies to the 1991 national championship: Win two of tho...

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The Americans Elect Threat

President Obama's re-election team is keeping a wary eye on a group pledging to put an independent ticket on the ballot in next year's elections, top Democratic strategists hinted Tuesday. Read More »

The Cain Train Chugs Along

Erstwhile presidential candidate Herman Cain may be out of the race, but he's promising to stick around and play a role in conservative politics. Cain has established himself as decidedly anti-establishment in a way that's proving p...

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ON THE TRAIL

The Perception Dilemma

President Obama is embarking on the campaign trail alongside his best friend and his worst enemy: good economic news. Positive reports like the administration received last week from the Bureau of Labor Statistics hint at an economy...

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DCCC Going On TV In OR-01 Special Election

Updated 3:54 p.m. and at 4:22 p.m. Read More »

Explaining Elizabeth Warren's Appeal

In today's Hotline Spotlight, we take a look at the left's new knight in shining armor. For the third presidential election cycle in a row, the liberal blogosphere has a candidate to rally around: In 2004, it was Howard Dean . In...

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CAMPAIGN 2012

Texas Gov. Rick Perry Saturating Iowa Airwaves Next Week

Texas Gov. Rick Perry will saturate the Iowa airwaves next week in a major push to boost his poll numbers just three weeks before the state's first-in-the-nation caucuses. Read More »

Perry Drops Half Million On Iowa Ads

This post has been updated with further information about Perry's radio ad buys. Read More »

The Last Temptation of Mitt

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney's campaign has been worried about Iowa from the beginning. The Hawkeye State cost Romney real blood and treasure in his 2008 bid, and his team was wary of trying again after it became obvious hi...

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Romney, Perry Have Bought Most Ads

The advertising wars are in full swing four weeks before the Iowa caucuses, and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is far outspending the rest of the field, according to data provided by a Republican keeping a close eye on key me...

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A Sign Of The Non-Organized Times

A smart Republican operative in Iowa, unaligned with any campaign, brings up an interesting way to characterize the lack of organization Newt Gingrich has established in the Hawkeye State: Gingrich, like other candidates without tra...

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CAMPAIGN FINANCE

FEC Simultaneously Clarifies, Punts

Members of Congress won’t be able to raise and spend unlimited amounts of money on behalf of other candidates they support, the Federal Election Commission said on Thursday. Read More »
POLITICS

FEC: Members Can’t Run Super PACs

Members of Congress won't be able to raise and spend unlimited amounts of money on behalf of other candidates they support, the Federal Election Commission said Thursday. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Obama’s Silver Demographic Linings

From 30,000 feet, President Obama’s prospects for reelection look bleak. A majority of voters do not approve of the job he’s doing and even more disapprove of his signature legislation, while a teetering Europe threatens to plun...

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Romney Buying New Hampshire Ads

Corrected: This post has been updated to reflect the size of Romney's initial ad buy on WMUR last week . Read More »

Bonus Quotes of the Day

Every now and then, we suffer from an embarrassment of riches. As we considered today's Hotline Quote of the Day, there were just too many good choices. Here are some of the best runners-up from today: Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Paging Gray Davis

With the imminent collapse of Herman Cain's campaign and a surging Newt Gingrich, the Republican primary field is closer than it's been in months to anointing an anti-Mitt Romney candidate. Read More »

The Dems' Money Problems

It is becoming obvious that the outside groups that will raise and spend hundreds of millions of dollars on behalf of Republican candidates are going to outraise those groups spending money for Democratic candidates. That's going to...

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ON THE TRAIL

The ‘Tickle Me’ Media Markets

Imagine searching for that perfect Christmas present for your child, the one he’s been pining after for months. It’s so popular that other parents with more time to shop have snapped up most of the inventory. As supply dwindles ...

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SENATE

The Hotline's Senate Race Rankings: 20 Seats Up for Grabs

What goes around comes around. After losing virtually every toss-up Senate race in 2006, Republicans find themselves in prime position to pick up the four seats they need to control the Senate. And Democrats' success five years ago ...

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SUPER COMMITTEE

Parties Gearing Up for Political Fights Following Failure

Already referring to failure as a fait accompli, super committee members and aides are turning their attention to the immediate and nasty fights expected to result. Read More »

Tuning Out Rick Perry

Imagine the frustration if you'd spent huge amounts of money on advertisements aimed at improving your image and it hadn't helped one bit. Now you have an idea of how Rick Perry's campaign must be feeling right now. Read More »

Warren Spending Mid-Six Figures on First TV Ad

A source passes along the details of Elizabeth Warren 's first ad buy in Massachusetts, and she's spending over $465,000 to air the ad on broadcast channels over eight days, with the vast majority money being spent in the Boston ma...

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ON THE TRAIL

The Retirement Season

Thanksgiving and the winter holidays are a peaceful time after the mad rush of last-minute legislating, but the time away can give members a chance to think of what comes beyond Washington. The biennial retirement season, which runs...

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Huntsman Who?

Last night, former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman spoke to more than 100 voters at a Portsmouth Elks Lodge. It was the 100th event Huntsman has held in the first-in-the-nation primary state, a state Huntsman has targeted as his only hope of...

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Walker On Air During Football Tonight

Updated with Walker's fundraising numbers Read More »

About Those Crossroads Ads

American Crossroads is running advertisements hitting five Democratic Senate contenders, as Sean Sullivan wrote this morning . Here's what they're spending in two of those states, Virginia and Massachusetts, according to several ...

Read More »

Personhood Amendments Aren't Finished Yet

Mississippi voters on Tuesday knocked down a proposed amendment to their state constitution that would have extended the definition of "personhood" well beyond its current use, placing further restrictions on abortion rights. Read More »

Rick Perry's Two Non-Answers

Rick Perry is bad in debates. Really bad. This morning's coverage of his incredible brain freeze last night compares the moment, unfavorably , with Gerald Ford 's assertion that "there is no Soviet domination of eastern Europe...

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ON THE TRAIL

A Seniors Moment

Right as seniors are growing in political influence, the nation’s retirees believe they are under assault from both sides. Democrats and Republicans alike have taken firm stands that have angered older voters, leaving a crucial vo...

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Virginia As Imperfect Bellwether

Let's be clear, off-year elections aren't great indicators of the direction of a presidential contest. But even after Republicans won control of the Virginia state Senate last night, Democrats can make the case that they didn't do s...

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Bill Clinton Loves Rick Perry

In perhaps his biggest gaffe so far as a presidential candidate, Rick Perry sought to defend his support for the DREAM Act as an economic positive, and to cast opponents of the law as heartless. Read More »
WHITE HOUSE

Name and Shame? Obama May Go Public with Lawmakers' Funding Requests

President Obama may be preparing to out members of Congress who have found a way around the earmarks ban. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Republicans’ Senate Advantage

The political environment in 2006 was almost uniquely well-suited for the Democrats who kicked out incumbent Republicans from the Senate. Now, as they prepare reelection bids at a time when everyone in Washington is more unpopular t...

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Dems Up To $1.2 Million for Ben Nelson

Sen. Ben Nelson , D-Neb., may not be certain about whether he'll run for re-election, but the Nebraska Democratic Party is sure sinking a lot of money into their hopes that he will. Read More »
POLITICS

Ben Nelson Sounds Skeptical On 2012 Bid

Sen. Ben Nelson , D-Neb., is giving Democrats fits. The two-termer is the most vulnerable incumbent up for re-election next year, and he hasn't even committed to running for another term. Read More »

Perry Super PAC Going Up In Iowa, South Carolina

An outside group of big donors who back Texas Gov. Rick Perry will start running advertisements in Iowa and South Carolina tomorrow, the first in a coming barrage of independent spending on behalf of specific presidential campaigns. Read More »

Explaining The Glut Of Debates

Whether he's right or not, Rick Perry has a point -- there are a ton of debates planned this year. There's a reason for that: An internal agreement within the Republican National Committee means the party is using some sanctioned de...

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ON THE TRAIL

Incumbents Beware: ’92 Redux Ahead

Unlike recent wave elections, the 2012 contests are shaping up as an opportunity for voters to cast a pox on both parties — a split verdict similar to the outcome two decades ago, when Congress was almost as unpopular as it is today. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

For Perry, A Rapid Fundraising Rise -- and Fall

Texas Gov. Rick Perry meets today with Washington insiders, and his fundraising figures show he may need to do an expert sell job. Read More »

Buying In Bulk

In states that allow citizen initiatives on the ballot, the petition and campaign process is a big business for consultants, especially in off years. Look no farther than my home state of Washington, where wholesaler Costco has crus...

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ON THE TRAIL

Fundraising Doesn’t Always Matter

In the super-PAC era, reading the tea leaves of a candidate’s Federal Election Commission filing reveals far less about a campaign’s viability than it did just last cycle. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Bill Gardner's Bluffing

In a statement [pdf] on his website Wednesday, New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner drew a clear line in the sand between his state's traditional first-in-the-nation primary and Nevada's newer first-in-the-West caucuses...

Read More »

New Hampshire Pushing Nevada Boycott

At least four Republican presidential candidates will pledge to boycott the Nevada presidential caucuses if the Silver State GOP goes ahead with plans to hold the contests on January 14. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Missing Establishment

Mitt Romney is the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination. But don’t buy the talk that he has wrapped up the GOP establishment and is somehow the party’s inevitable nominee. That’s the impression the former Ma...

Read More »

Steele: Race To Front Evidence Of Party's Limited Power

The race to hold presidential nominating contests first has become a quadrennial fact of life. This year, Florida's decision to hold its presidential primary on January 31 forced Iowa, South Carolina and Nevada to move their contest...

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ON THE TRAIL

The Inconsequential Parties

As both the Republican and Democratic National Committees are finding out, states intent on influencing the presidential nominating system have decided they no longer wish to be bound by party rules, regardless of the sanctions. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Anthony Kennedy, Running Mate

The Obama Administration is no glutton for punishment. At least that seems to be the case after the Justice Department declined to press for a rehearing of a Circuit Court panel's finding that the administration's signature health c...

Read More »

That's a Lot To Process

Buried in a Dallas Morning News story about Texas Gov. Rick Perry 's shaky debate performances is a shocking suggestion: That the campaign's initial fundraising swings in Texas and Oklahoma raised $20 million -- in just three days. Read More »
ANALYSIS

Romney the Slow and Steady

MACKINAC ISLAND, Mich. -- In a presidential nominating contest dominated by shooting stars who burn bright but briefly, it may be the most consistent, if less thrilling, Mitt Romney who proves most resilient. Read More »

Durant Hiring Wadhams

Mitt Romney and Rick Perry will get the headlines, but behind the scenes and in the hallways of the Grand Hotel here on Mackinac Island, Michigan Republicans are getting a harder sell from candidates who want the opportunity to ...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Rick Perry Makes Authenticity Centerpiece in Romney Country

Rick Perry is trying to convince party faithful that he's the candidate most likely to beat President Obama. Read More »
POLITICS

Paul Ryan To Head Presidential Trust

Rep. Paul Ryan , R-Wis., will head the Republican National Committee's presidential trust, the party announced Friday morning, a position from which he could launch a national campaign of his own -- eventually. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Early Money on Nelson

Holding only 53 Senate seats and defending nearly two dozen next year, Democrats have little room for error when it comes to their majority in the upper chamber. And they are demonstrating that they won’t cede much turf to Republi...

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POLITICS

Moving Markets

Pennsylvania Republican lawmakers are pushing a plan to change the way the state awards it's Electoral College votes. It could revolutionize the way presidential campaigns are fought, but don't expect it to go anywhere anytime soon. Read More »
POLITICS

Playing Against Type

In Washington state, Republicans have a chance at ending a losing streak with a decidedly un-tea party candidate. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Advice for Obama: Make a Deal, Pick a Fight, Play Some Golf

After a difficult summer of political and legislative setbacks that has the White House and congressional Democrats on their heels, the party would be wise to remember Rahm Emanuel's axiom: "You never want a serious crisis to go to ...

Read More »

Hatch's Campaign Strategy In a Nutshell

Sen. Orrin Hatch , R-Utah, dodged a bullet when Rep. Jason Chaffetz said he wouldn't mount a primary challenge, but Hatch doesn't have a totally clean shot at re-election just yet. Some Tea Party Republican types are keeping an e...

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POLITICS

Lynch Won't Run For Re-Election

New Hampshire Gov. John Lynch (D) will not seek a record fifth term, he will announce today, setting the stage for another toss-up governor's race in 2012. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Obama at Arm’s Length

Every time a special election hands one party control of another party’s open seat, the refrain rings throughout Washington: The winners crow that a new tide is sweeping in. The losers insist the results are an anomaly that has li...

Read More »

DCCC: NY 09 A "Tough Loss"

Do not let the moment define the long-term: Democrats stole a Republican seat in upstate New York and now they have stolen one from us. This was one in a series of battles, not the end of the war. We are singularly focused on winn...

Read More »

Why Dennis Kucinich is a Happy Man

CORRECTION: The previous version of this post incorrectly stated the name of the 6th District representative. It is Bill Johnson. Read More »
POLITICS

Warren Will Announce Candidacy Wednesday

Consumer advocate and Harvard Professor Elizabeth Warren will announce Wednesday she is running against Sen. Scott Brown , R-Mass., after a brief exploratory period, finally giving national Democrats their preferred candidate aga...

Read More »

Nebraska Dems on Air for Nelson

The Nebraska Democratic Party is running its first campaign ad of the cycle, an ad that aims to set Sen. Ben Nelson , D-Neb., apart from the partisan sniping in Washington. Read More »
COVER STORY

New Campaign Technology Makes It a Small World, After All

As Hotline Editor Reid Wilson reports, campaigns are using technology to bring us together, even as they’re driving as apart. Sound contradictory? National Journal takes an inside look at the latest in campaign innovations. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

GOP’s Special (Elections) Treatment

RENO, Nev. — If Democrats have proven anything over the last several years, it’s that they have become adept at capturing special-election contests that they have little business winning. But in two special elections next week, ...

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Marshall Closer Attacks on Three Fronts

Nevada's Democratic state Treasurer Kate Marshall is giving voters as many reasons as possible to vote against former state Sen. Mark Amodei , lobbing a last-minute volley as her closing message in Nevada's 2nd District special e...

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CONGRESS

Irene Claims Hoyer's Trees, Barn

House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer was no luckier than his shorn Maryland constituents when Hurricane Irene roared up the Eastern seaboard this weekend, he told National Journal today. Read More »

Marshall Returns To Medicare Messaging

RENO, Nev. -- Nevada state Treasurer Kate Marshall is using the beginning of early voting to renew an attack on her Republican rival, accusing him of wanting to end Medicare. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Death of the 'Yellow Dog' Democrat

The Yellow Dog Democrats who helped keep the party alive in the South now appear on the verge of extinction. Read More »

DeFazio: 'Fight' Isn't In Obama's Vocabulary

Rep. Peter DeFazio , D-Ore., thinks President Obama would face a difficult time winning liberal Oregon if he were to face a mainstream Republican, because the president hasn't demonstrated any interest in standing up for his campai...

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POLITICS

DNC Fundraising Slows In July

The Democratic National Committee's torrid fundraising pace after President Obama announced he would run for re-election slowed dramatically in July, according to new reports filed with the Federal Election Commission. Read More »
POLITICS

Feingold Won't Run For Senate

Former Sen. Russ Feingold , D-Wisc., won't try to get his old job back, he's telling supporters in an email this morning. Read More »

The Joys Of Tom Davis

One of the most fun parts about covering politics in Washington is getting to know former Rep. Tom Davis , the Virginia Republican who left Congress after 2008. Read More »
CRIME

Former House Member: Drop Probe of Roger Clemens

Former Rep. Tom Davis, R-Va., believes that Roger Clemens, the former Major League Baseball pitcher who has been accused of lying to Congress over his use of steroids, has suffered such substantial financial damage that th...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

President Obama's Tipping Point

President Obama has an important factor breaking his way as he seeks another term: Americans still like the guy. Read More »

Did Anyone Else Laugh...

At Newt Gingrich 's unfortunately decorated apron? That pork logo can mean so many things. Read More »
POLITICS

Democrats Take Gallup Edge

A majority of voters would back a Democratic candidate for Congress, according to new numbers from Gallup. But Democrats don't enjoy anything close to the edge they held in 2006 and 2008, when the party held more seats in Congress. Read More »
POLITICS

The New Senator From Boeing

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 's decision to name Sen. Patty Murray as co-chair of the super committee tasked with finding $1.2 trillion in deficit cuts gives him a reliable ally on a crucial panel. It is also a sign that the...

Read More »

Mystery Romney Donor Comes Forward

A former fellow top executive at Bain Capital is behind a shell corporation that donated $1 million to a group backing Mitt Romney's presidential campaign. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Anonymous Romney Donor Comes Forward

An anonymous donor to Mitt Romney's campaign comes forward after campaign watchdogs push for a federal investigation. Read More »

Walsh Plays Offense On Child Support Charges

How do you handle a potentially career-threatening crisis? If you're Rep. Joe Walsh , R-Ill., the answer is by playing aggressive offense. Read More »

Sounding The Obama Alarm

It wouldn't be August without a political crisis of some degree. This year, it's President Obama 's campaign that's trying to claim the crisis mantle. In the last two days, Obama's campaign has sounded the alarm -- twice -- that th...

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POLITICS

California’s Golden Opportunity at Bipartisanship

Could California offer a beacon of hope for a nation trapped in partisan gridlock? Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Paul Over Pawlenty In Ames?

The Iowa Republican Party's quadrennial straw poll in Ames, just a week and a half away, is all about setting expectations. Outperforming those expectations, as Mike Huckabee did in 2007 when he finished a surprising second, can v...

Read More »

Perry Backer Gives Big To Romney

A new independent expenditure-only political action committee backing former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has raised more than $12 million in the first half of the year, the group reported over the weekend, a staggering amount t...

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ON THE TRAIL

Angry Voters = 2012 Turmoil

The ceremonial office from which House Speaker John Boehner addressed the nation Monday night has changed hands twice in just five years, from Dennis Hastert to Nancy Pelosi in 2007 and from Pelosi to Boehner earlier this year. ...

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POLITICS

Boehner Bill Dividing GOP Groups

House Speaker John Boehner 's proposal to raise the debt ceiling by $1 trillion in exchange for $1.2 trillion in cuts has achieved what Democrats have spent months trying to do: It has divided Republican interest groups that have s...

Read More »
CONGRESS

Wu Will Not Seek Reelection

Rep. David Wu , D-Ore., will not seek reelection in the wake of a weekend report that he had a sexual encounter with a teenage girl, a Democratic source confirms to National Journal . Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Why Even Some Devoted GOP Budget-Cutters Want to Spend Money on Human Spaceflight

Why are conservative Republicans, who love nothing more than trimming government as far as they can, bent on perpetuating NASA’s human spaceflight program? Read More »

GOP Leaders Lay Foundations for Debt Deal

Sometimes your closest allies can become your biggest headaches. That's what senior Republicans, negotiating an increase in the nation's debt ceiling, are finding out as the clock ticks down toward the August 2 deadline. Read More »
BUDGET

Congressional GOP Leaders Slowly Convincing Newer Members of Importance of Raising Debt Ceiling

Sometimes your closest allies can become your biggest headaches. That's what senior Republicans, negotiating an increase in the nation's debt ceiling, are finding out as the clock ticks down toward the August 2 deadline. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

A New Front in the Cash War

There is no question that President Obama will have more money to spend on his reelection bid than the Republican presidential nominee. But his opponent’s bank account won’t be his biggest concern. Instead, it will be spending b...

Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Obama Campaign Raises $47 Million in Second Quarter

President Obama's campaign will report raising a staggering $47 million in the past three months, his campaign manager said in a Web video released early Wednesday morning. Read More »

Obama Campaign Raises $47 Million

President Obama 's campaign will report raising a staggering $47 million in the past three months, his campaign manager said in a web video released early Wednesday morning. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Outsiders in Name Only

In December, President Obama and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell negotiated a continuing resolution and an extension of the Bush tax cuts; a few months later, Obama and House Speaker John Boehner negotiated another budget...

Read More »
POLITICS

Obama Attracted Nearly Half A Million Donors

Almost half a million people contributed to President Obama's re-election campaign, manager Jim Messina said in an email to supporters on Saturday. Read More »
POLITICS

Cain Raises $2.5 Million, With Help

Former Godfather's Pizza executive Herman Cain pulled in just shy of $2.5 million in the second quarter of the year, a total aided by some of the candidate's own money. Read More »
POLITICS

Pawlenty Raises $4.2 Million

Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty will report raising $4.2 million in the past three months, a total that will raise concerns about his status as a front-running presidential contender. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Changing Face of the GOP

It’s not every day that a group of conservative activists storms an institution of the Republican establishment and demands that the national party kick out a longstanding member who has not been implicated in any sort of personal...

Read More »
ANALYSIS

GOP White House Hopefuls Face First Big Test This Week

The end of June brings the first big day of reckoning for the 2012 GOP presidential field. Read More »

Limited Presidential Coattails in Governors' Races

Washington Rep. Jay Inslee 's decision to run for governor of Washington puts the 1st District Democratic congressman on a likely collision course with GOP Attorney General Rob McKennna , setting up what could be one of 2012's m...

Read More »
NEED TO KNOW: ECONOMY

Rick Perry’s Job Boom

Texas owes much of its comparative economic health to two seemingly improbable forces: strict regulation and expanding state government. Read More »

Iowa Poll Coming Saturday

The first public measure of where the candidates stand will come Saturday, when the Des Moines Register releases its first Iowa Poll of the year. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Primary Concern

Republicans and Democrats alike rely on a favored talking point when they make the case that one of their vulnerable seats is safer than it seems: The other guys are going to have a nasty primary, one that divides their base while s...

Read More »
POLITICS

Perry Road-Tests A Stump Speech

NEW ORLEANS, La.--Republican activists have waited all week to see a front-running presidential candidate. When Texas Gov. Rick Perry took the stage Saturday, they may have finally gotten their glimpse. Read More »

The End Of The Cattle Call?

NEW ORLEANS, La. -- Mitt Romney is not here. Tim Pawlenty is otherwise engaged, in San Francisco and Minneapolis. Jon Huntsman is under the weather; his surrogate, his wife, canceled her speech. Read More »
POLITICS

Obama Impersonator Gets The Hook

NEW ORLEANS, La.--An actor impersonating President Obama delivered racially tinged jokes to a crowd of more than a thousand Republican activists here Saturday, taking aim at the incumbent president, the Republican presidential fie...

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POLITICS

Paul Wins Big In GOP Straw Poll

NEW ORLEANS, La.--Rep. Ron Paul rode a wave of support from young activists to win a straw poll at the Republican Leadership Conference here, his latest title fueled by a group of rabidly loyal fans who have little use for the res...

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POLITICS

DeMint Might Target GOP Debt Ceiling Defectors

NEW ORLEANS, La. -- Sen. Jim DeMint isn't planning to target any of his fellow Republican senators for defeat this year, but that could change if incumbents end up voting to raise the federal debt limit, he said Friday. Read More »

Bachmann Pitches From The Second Tier

Every four years, the GOP's hard core populist conservatives seem to vault one of their own into position to compete with the better-funded establishment candidates. On Friday, all four members of this year's second tier made their ...

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POLITICS

Barbour: We Can Win Kentucky, West Virginia

NEW ORLEANS, La. -- Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour isn't buying the notion that this year's gubernatorial races are going to be boring. In remarks to the Republican Leadership Conference on Friday, Barbour said Republican candidat...

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POLITICS

Gingrich Promises His October Surprise

NEW ORLEANS, La. -- Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is planning an October surprise for President Obama . But he's giving the White House political shop a heads up just a few months in advance. Read More »

NRSC Pays Off Debt

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has paid off its debt load and is the first of the six campaign committees to free itself of debt this cycle. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Trickle-Up Politics

Perhaps the most sweeping ramifications of Republican wins in 2010 have been felt in the states, where new governors are cutting budgets, revamping regulations and election laws, and reinventing a party that only recently seemed at ...

Read More »

Sims Quits HUD Post

2:20 p.m. Update: Well, so much for that rumor. Sims tells us there's nothing to the speculation that he'll run for governor. Read More »
POLITICS

VIDEO: New Hampshire or Iowa? Where Republicans Should Place Their Chips

Rep. Michele Bachmann , R-Minn., announced on Monday that she's officially running for president while at the GOP debate in New Hampshire -- but she might want to put her focus on Iowa. Watch to find out where others in the field w...

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POLITICS

New Hampshire or Iowa: Where Republicans Should Place Their Chips

Rep. Michele Bachmann , R-Minn., announced on Monday that she's officially running for president while at the GOP debate in New Hampshire -- but when official campaigning kicks off, she might want to put her focus on Iowa. Watch to...

Read More »

Gregoire Won't Run For Third Term

Updated at 1:18 p.m. Read More »

Farmer From Frog Jump Bails On Ag

Rep. Stephen Fincher , R-Tenn., was one of the media's favorite subjects for profiling in the run-up to the 2010 elections. The Washington Post and the Wall Street Journal , among others, spotlighted the man they dubbed the "Far...

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POLITICS

Stock Rising: Bachmann and Perry

Two potential Republican presidential hopefuls are on the rise. What makes them a threat to front-runners? Watch to find out. Read More »
ANALYSIS

Rick Perry's Moment?

The biggest beneficiary of Newt Gingrich's staff exodus may be Texas Gov. Rick Perry. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Newt Gingrich's Staff Resigns

Newt Gingrich's campaign staff has resigned en masse, raising questions about the future of the former House speaker's presidential campaign less than a month after it was formally launched. Read More »
NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

High Gas Prices Behind Pessimism of Obama's Economic Policy

Despite measurable evidence to the contrary, Americans’ mood on the economy is bleak. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Permanent Pessimism

The economy is recovering, however slowly. Gas prices are easing downward after rocketing skyward earlier this year. And President Obama is considering dramatically drawing down troop levels in Iraq and Afghanistan. Those are all re...

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ON THE TRAIL

The Lone Wolf

Karl Rove is an inviting target for Democrats, and after founding American Crossroads, the Republican strategist has become a bogeyman and the representation of shadowy corporate interests from whom he raises money. Read More »
CAMPAIGN 2012

Bachmann Signs Top Pollster

Rep. Michele Bachmann , R-Minn., is taking another step toward making her presidential bid official, signing a prominent Republican pollster to conduct surveys for her campaign, sources tell The Hotline . Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Special Election Spectrum

It’s a Washington refrain that both parties try to spin: Don’t read too much into special election results … unless my party wins. Read More »

Democratic PAC Run By Lobbyists?

Updated 3:25 p.m. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The GOP’s Turnout Problem

DALLAS — Austerity isn’t only a phenomenon for cash-strapped European governments. Saving money is the new “it” thing for the Republican National Committee as well. After two years of profligate spending and shrinking revenu...

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RNC Pays Down $1M From Debt

DALLAS -- The Republican National Committee has knocked another $1 million off its massive debt, the party will report to the Federal Election Commission this month. Read More »
POLITICS

A Perry Shot At Romney?

DALLAS -- What does Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) think of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 's (R) health care plan? Not much, apparently. Read More »
POLITICAL ROUNDUP

Former Gov. Thompson Mulling Bid to Replace Kohl

Former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson is considering running for retiring Democratic Sen. Herb Kohl ’s Senate seat, according to several Republican officials who have been involved in initial conversations with Thompson. However, ...

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POLITICS

Kohl Departure Is Another Blow to Democratic Hopes of Senate Control

Kohl departure is another blow to Democratic hopes of Senate control. Read More »

Do As I Say, Not As I Do

House Republican freshmen on Wednesday called for a truce on Medicare attacks in an effort to reach a bipartisan agreement to save the entitlement program from bankruptcy. Read More »

Mitt Romney's Modesty

Later this month, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 's (R) holding a fundraising phone-a-thon with supporters in Las Vegas. Romney insiders told the Center for Public Integrity he hopes to raise between $2 million and $3 million. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Declining Relevance Of Parties

After two years of almost nonstop bad electoral news, Democrats have a golden opportunity to pick up a Republican-held House seat in upstate New York. Republicans, meanwhile, face the unpleasant prospect of losing a district they’...

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Dem Groups Investing In NY-26

Democratic organizations are finally jumping into the special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Chris Lee (R) in New York's 26th District, sources told Hotline On Call on Tuesday. Read More »
ANALYSIS

Huntsman Touts Exceptionalism, And A Different Approach

Count former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman among those trumpeting American exceptionalism, even in a time of achingly slow economic recovery. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

The Partisan Minefield

Meeting with a bipartisan delegation of congressional leaders and their spouses Monday night, President Obama received that rarest of Washington gifts—a sustained, standing ovation, bestowed after he brought up Osama bin Laden’s...

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Dems Make It Official: They'll Take Undisclosed Donations, Too

Prominent Democratic strategists, including two former top aides to President Obama , are formally launching independent committees aimed at countering the onslaught of outside Republican organizations expected to spend hundreds of...

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POLITICS

Democrats Make It Official: They'll Take Undisclosed Donations, Too

Former top aides to President Obama detail plans for new campaign organizations that will raise money outside of federal limits. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Rubio’s Clinton Strategy

There is an inherent danger in entering the Senate as a well-known commodity. Winning election as an already-established brand, and then acting like it, is a good way to earn the ire of senior colleagues in an august chamber more us...

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CAMPAIGN 2012

Barbour: Not Running for President

In a surprise announcement that reshapes the field of candidates seeking the GOP presidential nomination, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour took himself out of the 2012 presidential race on Monday. Read More »

Freshmen Take Millions In PAC Money

House Republican freshmen may beat their chests over how terrible Washington is, but they're learning the Beltway is a great place to raise money for their next campaigns. The new class is already acting like old pros, kicking off t...

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ON THE TRAIL

But Seriously, Folks

After the Republican presidential field in 2008 spent a year trying to agree with each other, this year's GOP contenders are showing early signs that they have real policy differences, and they're not afraid to debate them. And y...

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Don't Believe Everything You Hear

Call it an exercise in making every dollar count: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee pulled one of the oldest tricks in the book this week, buying radio ads in tiny amounts in hopes of earning local media coverage. And,...

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POLITICS

Giffords Camp Prepares For Re-Elect

Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.) is beginning a potential re-election campaign in good financial position, thanks to friends in Congress who helped her raise big money during her long recovery process. Read More »

McCarthy Aide Compares Members To "Hanoi Jane"

A top aide to House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy on Thursday suggested Republicans who have problems with the continuing resolution hitting the floor Thursday are committing a sin akin to Jane Fonda heading to Vietnam. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Defining 2012

Remember this as the week both parties staked out their turf for the 2012 election, offering starkly contrasting visions for dealing with the national debt and government spending that will define each in voters’ minds. Read More »
NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

Video: Rules of the Game Unclear for 2012

In 2010, "super PACs" played a huge role, spending millions of dollars for and against Democratic and Republican candidates. In 2012, their influence is only going to grow. One campaign finance lawyer recently suggested that more th...

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NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

N2K: Rules of the Game Unclear for 2012

In 2010, "super PACs" played a huge role, spending millions of dollars for and against Democratic and Republican candidates. In 2012, their influence is only going to grow. One campaign finance lawyer recently suggested that more th...

Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Success Breeds Apathy

Beware electoral success: It breeds lethargy in your political base and fires up the other side. It’s a lesson both parties had the chance to learn in recent years, though neither really did. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Uneasiness in California and Florida

The decennial redistricting process is a humbling experience for many members of Congress. They must head home, proverbial hats in hand, and beg state legislators tasked with redrawing district boundaries to help them stay in office. Read More »
NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

Video: Is the Tea Party Maturing?

Some signs show that the movement might be growing up and  moving toward becoming more sustainable. Read More »
NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

N2K: Is the Tea Party Maturing?

Some signs show that the movement might be growing up and moving toward becoming more sustainable. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Pawlenty: The Credible Alternative?

Tim Pawlenty is not going to light the world on fire. His speaking style will never be described as awe-inspiring, even by his most charitable admirers. But in politics, the flashiest contender doesn't always win, and Pawlenty's bra...

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NEED-TO-KNOW VIDEO

N2K: Pawlenty's Offensive

Former Minn. Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who announced the formation of a presidential exploratory committee, faces some significant hurdles in winning the GOP nomination. National Journal Hotline Editor-in-Chief Reid Wilson talks about how ...

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ON THE TRAIL

John Boehner’s Prisoner’s Dilemma

Remember this as the week the freshman class of House Republicans had enough. And their frustration is about to prove beneficial to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi , D-Calif. Read More »

Democrats Pushing Kaine Replacements

Democrats in Virginia are quietly hopeful former Gov. Tim Kaine will run for Senate, but across the Potomac, the popular parlor game is guessing who will replace Kaine as chairman of the Democratic National Committee. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Running as a Business Ploy

Donald Trump is not a serious candidate for president. Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee are showing more interest in selling books than in building the policy chops required to be commander in chief. And yet their every move is documen...

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POLITICS

Comeback Kids? Gingrich, Roemer Declare Presidential Ambitions

Two former Republican congressmen are trying to make political comebacks--by running for president. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

Why Labor Is Vulnerable

The length to which Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott Walker has gone to undermine state employee unions is remarkable. His proposals are an all-out assault on one of the key members of the Democratic coalition, something no Republica...

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VOTE RATINGS

McCain's Shift Makes Him Senate's Most Conservative

The politician who once best exemplified the idea of a "maverick" independent has shifted so far to the right that he is now tied for the title of the Senate's most conservative member, according to National Journal 's 2010 vote ...

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ON THE TRAIL

Wisconsin and the Fundamental Threat to the Democratic Party

Republican efforts to target unions and their political operations represent a major threat to Democrats’ ability to turn out voters. Read More »
POLITICS

One Month in Office, Gov. Scott Walker Steals the Show

A head-on collision with the labor movement has turned the little-known Republican governor of a Midwestern state into an overnight superstar. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

John Ensign—No RSVP Required

Mere months removed from a Senate race that took over the Silver State, Nevada voters are about to get a second helping: Both parties are on the verge of recruiting A-list candidates for 2012 who can raise the money necessary to run...

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SENATE RACES

Kyl Won't Run Again

SENATE

Kyl Will Not Seek Reelection

Sen. Jon Kyl of Arizona, the No. 2 Republican leader in the Senate, has decided not to seek reelection, several Republican sources have told National Journal's Hotline . Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

A Victim of Its Own Success

The Democratic Leadership Council’s decision to shutter this week after 25 years of operation brings to a close an organization that, perhaps more than any other, shaped the Democratic Party as we know it today. But, like many pol...

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SENATE RACES

Webb Won't Run Again

Democratic Virginia Sen. Jim Webb has decided not to run for reelection. Read More »
ON THE TRAIL

GOP Presidential Hopefuls Have the Answer, but What's the Question?

Running for president is, in some sense, an exercise in fortune-telling. Every cycle, candidates strive to portray themselves as the best answer to the question their party’s electorate is asking: Who will bring about change? Who ...

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ON THE TRAIL

Where’s Mitt Romney?

MANCHESTER, N.H. — As presidential candidates jockey for position ahead of next year’s nominating contests, Republicans in New Hampshire believe that the race will come down to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney—and the res...

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ANALYSIS

Hoosier Dreams: Should Mike Pence Run for President? Or Governor of Indiana?

Rep. Mike Pence will make public his future plans this week as he contemplates a bid for higher office. But with a wealth of opportunities at his fingertips, it remains unclear which office the Indiana Republican will pursue. Read More »
SEE MORE
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